Small Craft Advisory 83, NWS Buffalo, NY

894 
WHUS71 KBUF 091441
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1041 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

LEZ040-041-092245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1041 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-092245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1041 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-092245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1400Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1041 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

220 
WHUS71 KBUF 091636
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

LEZ040-041-100045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-100045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-100045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1400Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

486 
WHUS71 KBUF 091752
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
152 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

LEZ040-041-100200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
152 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-100200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
152 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-100200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1400Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
152 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

638 
WHUS71 KBUF 092000
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

LEZ040-041-100400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
400 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-100400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
400 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-100400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1400Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
400 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

254 
WHUS71 KBUF 092343
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
743 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

LOZ045-100900-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1000Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
743 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-100900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
743 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-100900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
743 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-100900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1400Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
743 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/JJR/RSH/WOOD

478 
WHUS71 KBUF 100249
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1049 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

LEZ040-041-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1049 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1049 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1400Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1049 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1000Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1049 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

070 
WHUS71 KBUF 100842
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
442 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

LEZ040-041-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
442 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
442 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1400Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
442 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1000Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
442 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

977 
WHUS71 KBUF 101109
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
709 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

LEZ040-041-101915-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
709 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-101915-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1300Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
709 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-101915-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.130910T1400Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
709 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-101915-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
709 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

252 
WHUS71 KBUF 102038
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
438 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

LOZ042-043-102145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-130911T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
438 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

$$

LOZ045-102145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
438 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

$$

LEZ040-041-102200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-130910T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
438 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-102200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
438 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

823 
WHUS71 KBUF 102156
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
556 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-102300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-130910T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
556 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY...PROVIDING FAIR
WEATHER AND MODERATING TEMPERATURES. THEN A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT
ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING A RETURN TO MIDSUMMER HEAT AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS ON THURSDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
TODAY WILL GET OFF TO A CHILLY START...WITH PATCHY FROST ACROSS
LEWIS COUNTY. HOWEVER...HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTING EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND
WILL SET UP A SOUTHERLY FLOW WHICH WILL BRING SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY. THERE WILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS WHICH ARE WELL AHEAD OF A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE
WEST...BUT ANY SHOWERS SHOULD HOLD OFF THROUGH THE DAYTIME PERIOD.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S ACROSS THE REGION.

THIS EVENING A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM LOW PRESSURE
NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS FRONT
WILL SLOWLY LIFT INTO OUR REGION TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT
WILL BE AN AREA OF WARM AIR ADVECTION IN THE MID-LEVELS. A CONSENSUS
OF 00Z GUIDANCE (SREF/NAM/RGEM/GFS) SUGGEST THIS BOUNDARY WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY ACTIVE OVERNIGHT AS IT LIFTS TO OUR NW. THE
STEADIEST SHOWERS WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE WELL TO THE NORTH OF OUR
REGION...BUT THIS MAY BRING A BRIEF SHOWER OR SPRINKLE DURING THE
EVENING HOURS. THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS LATE
TONIGHT IN THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. INCREASING ELEVATED
INSTABILITY SUGGESTS EVEN A THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE.

TONIGHT WILL BE MUCH DIFFERENT IN THAT AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL LIMIT RADIATIONAL COOLING. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF BRIEFLY
DURING THE EVENING HOURS...BUT AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE WARMER
AIR ALOFT WILL START TO MIX DOWN LATE TONIGHT WITH RISING
TEMPERATURES. EXPECT EVENING LOWS TO BE MAINLY IN THE 60S...PERHAPS
SLIGHTLY COOLER EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. BY DAYBREAK...MANY SPOTS NORTH
OF THE THRUWAY SHOULD BE WELL INTO THE 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A RETURN TO MID SUMMER WARMTH...AND ONE OF THE WARMEST DAYS THIS
YEAR...WILL START THIS PERIOD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OF WHICH
SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
WILL END THIS PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO BELOW NORMAL.

ALOFT ON TUESDAY A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL HAVE SHIFTED FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS EASTWARD TOWARDS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST.
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT WILL BE CRESTING THIS RIDGE...LOCATED
TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE UPPER PLAIN STATES.

AT THE SURFACE A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE CWA CARRYING RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
NORTH COUNTRY. THERE WILL BE THREE SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
TUESDAY...HEAT...WINDS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HEAT...BEHIND THIS WARM FRONT UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL BE
FOUND AS THE RECENT HEAT ACROSS THE PLAINS SLIDES NORTHEASTWARD. THE
CENTER OF A 592 DM 500 HPA RIDGE WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR SOUTH OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES...BUT ITS AXIS WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION TUESDAY. AT 850 HPA TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO 20 TO AS
MUCH AS 22C WHICH WOULD FACTOR AT 2 SD ABOVE NORMAL. THESE
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL TRANSLATE TO AFTERNOON HIGHS WELL IN TO THE
80S...WITH THE VALLEYS WARMER INCLUDING THE GENESEE VALLEY WHERE LOW
90S ARE LIKELY. A SOUTHWEST WIND OFF A LOW 70S LAKE WILL KEEP AREAS
AROUND BUFFALO AND JUST NORTH OF WATERTOWN A FEW DEGREES COOLER. FOR
MORE DETAILS ON RECORD TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY PLEASE
REFERENCE THE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW. WITH THE WARMEST DAYS THIS YEAR
IN THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE REGION...THIS TUESDAY WILL BE ONE OF
THE WARMEST DAYS THIS YEAR...AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE
GENESEE VALLEY COULD HAVE A SHOT OF TUESDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY OF
THE YEAR. WHEN FACTORING IN THE HUMIDITY TUESDAY'S AFTERNOON APPARENT
TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR WELL INTO THE 90S ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
OF WESTERN NEW YORK...AND POSSIBLY UPPER 90S WITHIN THE GENESEE
VALLEY AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES REGION.

WINDS...TUESDAY WILL ALSO BE QUITE BREEZY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
INCREASES BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE ARCHED ALONG THE EAST COAST AND THE
NEARING COLD FRONT BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED STORM SYSTEM OVER THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AID IN WARMING
THE VALLEYS OF THE CWA...WHILE ALSO GUSTING DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE
INTO THE 35 TO 40 MPH RANGE. THE 00Z NAM IS QUITE A BIT STRONGER
WITH THE LLJ (45-50 KNOTS) THAN THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF (35-40 KNOTS)
AND WILL FAVOR THE LATTER TWO MODELS...GIVEN THAT THE LOW PASSING TO
OUR NORTH IS ALSO WEAKENING.

THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A WARM FRONT THAT WILL STALL NEAR THE
US AND CANADIAN BORDER WILL ALSO BRING INCREASING MOISTURE AND
HUMIDITY INTO THE REGION. DEWPOINTS WILL RISE INTO THE MID AND UPPER
60S...WHICH COMBINED WITH THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL BRING
IMPRESSIVE SBCAPE VALUES TO OUR REGION. SBCAPES RANGING FROM 2000 TO
JUST OVER 2500 J/KG ARE POSSIBLE BEHIND THIS WARM FRONT...HOWEVER
WITH NO TRIGGER TO INITIATE CONVECTION (UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDING
TO OUR NORTH ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER) AS WELL AS WARMING IN THE
MID LEVELS...WILL LEAVE AREAS SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT DRY ON
TUESDAY. ALSO AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO TEND TO HAVE A HARD TIME
FORMING THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS...AND THESE FACTORS
WILL ALL SUPPORT A DRY DAY TUESDAY BEHIND THE WARM FRONT.

THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL STALL NEAR US AND CANADIAN
BORDER ON TUESDAY. AREAS POSSIBLE FOR STORMS WILL BE THE NORTH
COUNTRY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO AND POSSIBLY
OSWEGO COUNTY. IN ADDITION TO THE SBCAPES OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG
THROUGH THIS REGION...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER LLJ THROUGH
THE REGION IN ADDITION TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND PASSAGE OF A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT COULD INITIATE CONVECTION. THERE WILL ALSO
BE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WITH A 110 KNOT 250 HPA JET PASSING ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC CANADA. THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION WILL PASS ACROSS
THE CANADIAN AND US BORDER...AIDING IN LARGE SCALE LIFT.

THE WATERTOWN BUFKIT HODOGRAPH DEPICTS STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
WITHIN THE 0-3 KM LAYER...AND HELICITY VALUES OF 200 TO 400 M2/S2.
EXPECT THE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR TO TAKE ON MORE OF THE CLASSIC
HOCKEY STICK SIGNATURE...WITH STRONGER WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE 0-1 KM
LAYER CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT WHICH WILL BE NEAR THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY AND JUST THE OTHER SIDE OF THE US BORDER. WITH THESE
PARAMETERS IN MIND...WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION OF POSSIBLE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE HWO FOR THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION...WITH
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM TO BE ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. ANY TORNADO THREAT ON
TUESDAY MAY BE JUST ACROSS THE CWA BORDER WHERE THE STRONGER 0-1 KM
WIND SHEAR WILL BE FOUND. EXACT LOCATION OF POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS
WILL OF COURSE DEPEND UPON WHERE THE WARM FRONT STALLS.

TUESDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO BE MUGGY AND LARGELY BE QUIET SOUTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE THE STALLING WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY. CENTERED WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR OF THIS STORM SYSTEM THIS
NIGHT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO NOT DROP
OUT OF THE LOW 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA. INLAND AND ACROSS THE
HILL TOPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AND THESE AREAS WILL BE THE
LOCATIONS THAT WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 60S.

WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE THE UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGION...THOUGH LIKELY A DEGREE OR TWO LESS THAN TUESDAY. THE LOW
PRESSURE THAT WILL DRAG A WEAKENING COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA
WEDNESDAY WILL NOT BE AS DEEP AS WHAT IT WAS ON TUESDAY
MORNING...SUCH THAT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SOUTHEAST AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW PRESSURE WILL NOT BE AS GREAT. THE LIGHTER
WIND FLOW...COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER WILL STILL BRING A
VERY WARM DAY...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE A DEGREE OR SO
LESS THAN TUESDAY.

WITH THE INCREASING MOISTURE/CLOUDS WEDNESDAY COUPLED WITH THE WEAK
COLD FRONT CROSSING INTO THE AREA THERE WILL BE INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS COLD FRONT WILL WEAKEN SOME AS
IT ADVANCES AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY. STILL LIFT FROM THIS
FEATURE...COMBINED WITH DAYTIME INSTABILITY AND PWATS CLIMBING
TOWARDS 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. A SOUTHWEST WIND OFF LAKE ERIE MAY
LIMIT THE DAYTIME INSTABILITY SUCH THAT AREAS THROUGH THE NORTHERN
NIAGARA FRONTIER MAY REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS. WILL
CONTINUE WITH JUST A LOW CHANCE POP FOR THESE AREAS ON WEDNESDAY.

STORMS ON WEDNESDAY COULD BECOME STRONG ACROSS THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH SBCAPES AGAIN
RISING TO 1000 TO 2000 J/KG WITH A HUMID BOUNDARY LAYER. THERE WILL
ALSO BE A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER BURSTS OF RAIN WITH THE ABOVE NORMAL
PWATS. THE 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 30 KNOTS SHOULD KEEP STORMS
MOVING...BUT COULD ALSO PRODUCE SOME GUSTY WINDS FROM THESE PULSING
THUNDERSTORMS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY IS WHEN WE EXPECT THE MOST
EXPANSIVE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS IS WHEN
HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO FALL AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT
WILL BE DIVING DOWN INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. WITH THE
STILL WARM BOUNDARY LAYER AND INSTABILITY OF 250 TO 500 J/KG THAT
WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT AND WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ITS
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT NEARING WESTERN NEW YORK EXPECT EXPANDING
AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN
NEW YORK...AND ALSO NEAR THE NORTH COUNTRY NEAR THE LINGERING OLD
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN BECOME MORE EXPANSIVE ACROSS THE
GENESEE VALLEY AND POINTS EAST IN THE DAYTIME HEATING. TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY WILL BE WARMEST TO THE EAST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHERE
MID TO UPPER 70S WILL BE FOUND. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TEMPERATURES
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK MAY BEGIN TO FALL THROUGH THE DAYTIME.

MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS COLD FRONT CARRYING
JUST TO OUR EAST THURSDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
LINGER IN THE EVENING HOURS THURSDAY TO THE FAR EASTERN ZONES OF THE
CWA...OTHERWISE A DRYING AND COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES AT 850 HPA WILL FALL INTO THE LOW
SINGLE DIGITS BEHIND THE FRONT...COLD ENOUGH THAT LAKE EFFECT
CLOUDINESS AND POSSIBLY A SHOWER WILL LINGER SOUTH AND EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...AND POSSIBLY EAST OF LAKE ERIE. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL
FALL BACK INTO THE 50S...WITH UPPER 40S ACROSS THE HIGHER INTERIOR
SECTIONS. THESE READINGS WILL BE A DEGREE OR SO BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A SHARP TRANSITION TO NOTICEABLY COOLER CONDITIONS WILL TAKE PLACE
FRIDAY AS THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COOL POOL SETTLES OVER NEW
YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND. LINGERING MOISTURE AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE
AIR IN THE VICINITY OF THE TROUGH MAY GENERATE A FEW MORE SHOWERS
FRIDAY. ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO THE SHOWERS ON FRIDAY WILL BE A COOL
FLOW OVER THE WARM LAKE WATERS...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES FRIDAY MORNING. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL BE SOME
8 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...WITH AFTERNOON READINGS IN THE UPPER
50S AND LOWER 60S. THIS WILL ALSO BE ABOUT 25 TO 30 DEGREES COOLER
THAN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH INTO THE
NORTHEAST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...AND OUTSIDE OF RIVER VALLEY FOG
ACROSS THE INLAND AREAS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY SHOULD BE FINE WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND LOWER HUMIDITY. SATURDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST
OF THE TWO WEEKEND DAYS...AS WINDS SUNDAY SHIFT TO MORE OF A
SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING EASTWARD. LOOK FOR
HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S...WITH SUNDAY ABOUT 5
TO 10 DEGREES WARMER.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS 06Z TODAY THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY. EXPECT WINDS
WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP THE BOUNDARY LAYER AT JHW MIXED...WHICH
SHOULD PREVENT FOG FROM DEVELOPING EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
ONLY HIGH CLOUDS TODAY...HAVING A MINIMAL IMPACT ON AVIATION. A WARM
FRONT WILL LIFT FROM SW-NE THIS EVENING WHICH MAY BRING SOME
SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN WHICH SHOULD NOT BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO CAUSE
ANY VSBY RESTRICTIONS. THE BOUNDARY WILL BECOME MORE ACTIVE LATER
TONIGHT AS IT MOVES ACROSS ART...WHERE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM ARE A BETTER POSSIBILITY. ANOTHER CONCERN FOR LATE
TONIGHT WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR LLWS AT 2000 FEET INCREASE TO AROUND
40 KTS.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...VFR. WINDY.
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
ASSOCIATED BRIEF MVFR/IFR.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS TODAY AND INTO
TONIGHT...WITH NO MARINE HEADLINES. ONE EXCEPTION WILL EARLY THIS
MORNING...WHERE A FEW GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG LAKE
ERIE FROM DUNKIRK TO RIPLEY. THIS IS DUE TO A BRIEF INCREASE IN
WINDS ALOFT...AND SHOULD END BY MID-MORNING.

AFTER THIS...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION WITH AN
INCREASING SW FLOW. WITH THE WARM AIR...WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST ON
LANE WHERE WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX MORE READILY. THIS SAID...HAVE AMPLE
CONFIDENCE THAT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE TIGHT ENOUGH TO BRING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO LAKE ERIE AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF
LAKE ONTARIO ON TUESDAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...IN A PERSISTENT SW FLOW.

&&

.CLIMATE...
NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY A LATE SUMMER AIRMASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS
THE REGION WITH MANY AREAS WELL INTO THE 80S. BELOW ARE THE RECORD
HIGHS...AND RECORD WARM LOWS FOR OUR THREE CLIMATE SITES:

BUFFALO..

TUESDAY    HIGH: 90 (1955)  LOW: 75 (1983)
WEDNESDAY  HIGH: 87 (1952)  LOW: 72 (1931)

ROCHESTER..

TUESDAY    HIGH: 94 (1897)  LOW: 73 (1925)
WEDNESDAY  HIGH: 94 (1931)  LOW: 71 (1931)

WATERTOWN..

TUESDAY    HIGH: 90 (1959)  LOW: 70 (1962)
WEDNESDAY  HIGH: 89 (1961)  LOW: 70 (1961)

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NYZ008.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...APFFEL
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...APFFEL
MARINE...APFFEL/THOMAS
CLIMATE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
452 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

NYZ008-100900-
LEWIS-
452 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL INTO THE 80S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...
WHICH COUPLED WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WILL
INCREASE THE RISK FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY TIME FRAME. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY...WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-100900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
452 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL INTO THE 80S AND LOWER 90S TUESDAY...
WITH GUSTY WINDS ANTICIPATED NEAR LAKE ERIE AND PARTICULARLY
WITHIN THE BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER CORRIDOR. THERE WILL BE THE RISK
FOR WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WITHIN THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS.

COUPLED WITH THE WARMTH TUESDAY WILL ALSO BE RISING DEW POINTS
WHICH WILL BRING APPARENT TEMPERATURES INTO THE 90S...WITH MID 90S
FOUND THROUGH THE GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES REGION.

SIMILAR WARMTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THIS HEAT...COUPLED WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WILL INCREASE THE RISK
FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME
FRAME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-100900-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
452 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL
WILL PRODUCE SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY TIME FRAME. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL OVER THE WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-007-100900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
452 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL INTO THE 80S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...
WHICH COUPLED WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WILL
INCREASE THE RISK FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY TIME FRAME. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY...WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-100900-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
452 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL
WILL PRODUCE SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY TIME FRAME. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY...WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019>021-100900-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
452 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 80S TUESDAY...WITH APPARENT
TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SIMILAR WARMTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THIS HEAT...COUPLED WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WILL INCREASE THE RISK
FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME
FRAME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

THOMAS