Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 82, NWS Buffalo, NY

September 7, 2013

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Sep 7, 2013, 4:44 AM EDT. It took effect at Sep 8, 2013, 4:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 7, 2013, 4:44 AM EDT (08:44 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 8, 2013, 4:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 8, 2013, 3:44 PM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

830 
WHUS71 KBUF 070844
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
444 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

LEZ041-071645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.130907T1500Z-130908T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
444 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-071645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.130907T1500Z-130908T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
444 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-071645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T0800Z-130908T2200Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
444 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-071645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
444 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-071645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
444 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-071645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130909T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
444 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
169 
WHUS71 KBUF 071416
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

LEZ040-072230-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.130907T1500Z-130908T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. NORTHEAST
  15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ041-072230-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.130907T1500Z-130908T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-072230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.130907T1500Z-130908T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-072230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T0800Z-130908T2200Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-072230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-072230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-072230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130909T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
231 
WHUS71 KBUF 071948
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
348 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

LEZ041-080300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-130908T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
348 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-080000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-130908T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
348 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-080400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T0800Z-130908T2200Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
348 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-080400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
348 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-080400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-130908T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
348 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING...THEN NORTHEAST
  15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-080400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
348 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-080400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130909T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
348 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
554 
WHUS71 KBUF 080155
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
955 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

LEZ040-081000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-130908T2000Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T0800Z-130908T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
955 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ041-080300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-130908T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
955 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LOZ030-081000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T0800Z-130908T2200Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
955 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-081000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
955 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-081000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
955 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-081000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T1000Z-130909T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
955 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH
753 
WHUS71 KBUF 080837
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
437 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

LOZ030-081645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2000Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
437 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-081645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T0837Z-130908T2000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
437 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-081645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T0837Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
437 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-081645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.130908T0837Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
437 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-081645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
437 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


THOMAS
132 
WHUS71 KBUF 081437
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1037 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

LOZ030-082000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2000Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1037 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-082000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1037 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-082200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1037 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-082200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1037 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-082000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
1037 AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
258 
WHUS71 KBUF 081944
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

LEZ040-LOZ030-042-082045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

$$

LOZ043>045-082045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-130908T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

$$

HITCHCOCK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 7, 4:35 AM EDT, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 7, 4:35 AM EDT, 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
435 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVEWAY TO AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
DROP ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS WILL SPREAD OUT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ANOTHER ROUND TONIGHT WITH THE
FRONT. BRIEFLY COOLER AIR WILL THEN FOLLOW SUNDAY...BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM NEXT WEEK...WITH A RETURN TO MID-SUMMER HEAT ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SUNSHINE MAY BRIEFLY SNEAK IN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT HIGH CLOUDS
WILL MOVE IN QUICKLY FROM NW-SE. DESPITE THE CLOUDS...THE REGION
SHOULD STAY MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS OUTSIDE OF A FEW
SPRINKLES NORTH OF THE THRU-WAY.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS LAKE HURON EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARD OUR REGION. BUFKIT DATA FROM BOTH THE GFS/NAM
LINK THESE SHOWERS ALMOST EXCLUSIVELY TO LIFT IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...ABOVE 15K FEET. THESE SHOWERS ALSO LINE UP WITH A
DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL FLOW. PREVIOUS MODEL GUIDANCE DIFFERED ON THE
EXTENT OF SHOWERS WITH THIS FEATURE...BUT NOW THAT RADAR SHOWS IT
HAS DEVELOPED WE CAN HAVE FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT IT WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK WITH THE 500 MB FLOW. THE GFS HAS CONSISTENTLY HAD
THE BEST HANDLE ON THIS...WITH THE HRRR ALSO LIKELY TO HANDLE THE
ADVECTION OF A FEATURE WELL. USING THE GFS/HRRR...EXPECT SHOWERS TO
ENTER N OF I-90 THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THESE WEAKENING LATE AFTERNOON
AS THE SHOWERS SLIDE ESE INTO THE FINGER LAKES AND EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO. THE SOUTHERN TIER SHOULD STAY DRY.

HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S IN MOST LOCATIONS...BUT EARLY
CLOUD COVER AND SPRINKLES WILL MAKE IT STRUGGLE TO REACH 70 EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO. A DECENT SW BREEZE WILL DEVELOP OFF LAKE ERIE FROM
BUFFALO TO NIAGARA FALLS.

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS. UNLIKE THE FIRST ROUND...THESE WILL BE GENERATED
FROM LOW LEVEL LIFT...WITH A FAIRLY STRONG MODEL CONSENSUS AMONG THE
NAM/RGEM/SREF/GFS THAT THERE WILL BE SOME MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION.
THERE WILL BE MODEST ELEVATED INSTABILITY...AND BECAUSE OF THIS
THERE MAY BE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. SHOWERS WILL END FROM N-S AS
THE FRONT DROPS SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT. NAM/GFS BOTH SHOW
SIGNIFICANT LOW MOISTURE BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH STRATUS LIKELY TO
LINGER BEHIND THE FRONT. THE LATE TIMING WILL KEEP THE CORE OF THE
COLDER AIR UPSTREAM...WITH LOWS FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
SUNDAY MORNING MODEL CONSENSUS IS TO BRING THE COLD FRONT TO OUR
SOUTH THROUGH PA. WITH THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH TO START THE
DAY...THERE WILL ONLY BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR A LEFT OVER SHOWER NEAR
THE STATE LINE EARLY. OTHERWISE SUNDAY WILL BE DRY...WITH MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES EXPANDING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. A MOIST NORTHERLY
FLOW FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT WILL HANG CLOUDS TOUGH THROUGH THE DAY
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS SLOW CLEARING WILL NOT REACH THE
SOUTHERN TIER UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
ALOFT BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING A COOL DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.

SUNDAY NIGHT A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL SLIDE
SOUTHWARD FROM NEAR LAKE HURON...TO ACROSS WNY THROUGH THE NIGHT.
ALOFT TEMPERATURES AT 850 HPA WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS...WITH +5 OR +6C SNEAKING INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY BY MONDAY
MORNING. THESE TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE COOL ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHES OF LAKE ENHANCED CLOUDINESS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER WITH THE DRY AIRMASS...DO NOT EXPECT WIDESPREAD LAKE
CLOUDS TO FORM. A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO MAY GET COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME PATCHY FROST...BUT THE
LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE CORE OF THE COOLEST AIR WILL SHIFT
EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT.

MONDAY THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGHS MOVES OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST
MONDAY AND A WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SET UP OVER WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NEW YORK. UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND
INTO THE LOWER 70S...AFTER A CHILLY START TO THE DAY. LATER IN THE
DAY EXPECT HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS TO BECOME THICKER ACROSS WNY AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT IN THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.

ONGOING WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL STRENGTHEN MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL
RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ACROSS OUR AREA AND AS MOISTURE IN
THE LOWER LEVELS INCREASES THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS.
THESE SHOWERS WILL BE FORMING ON A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENT BOUNDARY AS
LOW LEVEL WINDS INCREASE TOWARDS 30 KNOTS. THESE SHOWERS WILL BE
LIFTING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. WITH THE
WARMING AIRMASS AND THE SOUTHERLY WINDS THROUGH THE NIGHT LOWS WILL
REMAIN ON THE MILD SIDE...WITH MANY AREAS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
FOR THIS PERIOD ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF THIS PERIOD BEFORE A COOLING TREND TAKES PLACE
LATE IN THE WEEK AS A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETS UP OVER
SOUTHERN QUEBEC AND THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE U.S..

AT THE SURFACE...THE SOUTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED
OFF THE EAST COAST AND LOW PRESSURE TRACKING JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT
LAKES WILL BRING VERY WARM AIR INTO OUR AREA. WITH 850 MB
TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO RISE INTO THE UPPER TEENS...SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 80S. A FEW SPOT 90S CANNOT BE RULED
OUT ACROSS THE GENESEE VALLEY ON TUESDAY. SLIGHTLY LOWER HEIGHTS
WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLE MORE CLOUDS MAY LEAD TO TEMPERATURES A HAIR
COOLER ON WEDNESDAY THAN TUESDAY. THE WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE
ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN HUMIDITY AS A RETURN FLOW OFF ATLANTIC
PUSHES DEWPOINTS BACK INTO THE 60S...MAKING IT FEEL MORE LIKE LATE
JULY THAN MID-SEPTEMBER.

IN TERMS OF PCPN...A LIFTING WARM FRONT WILL BRING A FEW SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM TO OUR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA ON TUESDAY. THESE STORMS WILL FUEL OFF PWATS CLIMBING BACK
TOWARDS 1.5 INCHES AND GREATER. WILL BRING CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE
CWA AS THE BEST ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL REMAIN JUST TO OUR WEST. EXPECT
A DRYING TREND THEN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUNSHINE. MORE UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
BRINGS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THE WINDS LATER ON WEDNESDAY WITHIN THE LOWER 5K INCREASE
TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS...WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH SBCAPES EXCEEDING 1000
J/KG MAY BRING A FEW STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS STILL A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY BETWEEN THE MODELS WITH THE
CROSSING OF THE COLD FRONT. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE FRONT
WILL CROSS OUR AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY...WITH A CLEARING OF
THE HUMIDITY AND WARM AIRMASS WITH A SECONDARY COLD FRONT THAT WILL
DROP ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. WHILE IT WILL BE COOLER ON THURSDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE
AVERAGE.

THE DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE
DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW COOLER AIR TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY. HIGHS FALL BACK INTO THE BELOW NORMAL RANGE WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING INTO THE LOWER 60S WITH A BRISK
BREEZE.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH
MAINLY MID AND HIGH CLOUDS. THE EXCEPTION IS AT JHW...WHERE VSBY
WILL VARY IN GROUND FOG...WHICH SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND 12Z.

AN INITIAL WAVE OF SHOWERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO
BUF/IAG/ROC/ART. CIGS/VSBY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN IN THE VFR
CATEGORY WITH THIS. THEN ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WILL DROP N-S
THIS EVENING. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO AVIATION WILL BE
MVFR/IFR CIGS WHICH ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
LATE TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...MVFR CIGS LIFTING BY AFTERNOON.
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR.
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...
THE SW FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND THIS SHOULD
BE JUST ENOUGH TO BRING SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS TO NORTHERN LAKE
ERIE...AND THE UPPER NIAGARA RIVER. THEN MORE WIDESPREAD SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ON SUNDAY IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE
FRONT. WAVES WILL BUILD TO AROUND 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTH SHORES OF
LAKE ONTARIO. CONDITIONS WILL BE CHOPPY ON LAKE ERIE AS
WELL...MARGINAL TO SCA CRITERIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS
         EVENING FOR LEZ020-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ043-044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ042-045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...APFFEL
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...THOMAS/TJP
AVIATION...APFFEL
MARINE...APFFEL/TJP
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 6, 7:35 AM EDT, 21 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
735 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2013

NYZ001>006-010>014-019-085-071145-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
735 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-020-021-071145-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
735 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR FROST ON SUNDAY NIGHT...DEPENDING
ON HOW MUCH COLD AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION FOLLOWING A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-071145-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
735 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 7, 4:44 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF17 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.