Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2013
Small Craft Advisory 4, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jan 5, 2013, 4:00 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 5, 2013, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 5, 2013, 4:00 PM EST (21:00 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 5, 2013, 10:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 7, 2013, 10:00 AM EST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
098 WHUS71 KBUF 052100 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 400 PM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 LEZ020-060500- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.130106T0600Z-130107T0200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 400 PM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-060500- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.130106T0300Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 400 PM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-060500- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.130106T0800Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 400 PM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-060500- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.130106T0600Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 400 PM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-060500- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.130106T1400Z-130107T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 400 PM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
7 follow-up statements
389 WHUS71 KBUF 060636 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 136 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 LEZ020-061445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 136 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-061445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 136 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-061445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.130106T0800Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 136 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-061445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 136 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-061445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.130106T1400Z-130107T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 136 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ APFFEL
369 WHUS71 KBUF 060843 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 343 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 LEZ020-061645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 343 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-061645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 343 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-061645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 343 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-061645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 343 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-061645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.130106T1400Z-130107T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 343 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ THOMAS
385 WHUS71 KBUF 061435 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 935 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 LEZ020-062245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 935 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-062245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 935 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-062245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 935 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-062245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 935 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-062245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 935 AM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
846 WHUS71 KBUF 062040 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 340 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 LEZ020-070200- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 340 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST AND DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-070445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 340 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-070445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 340 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-070445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 340 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-070445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 340 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
023 WHUS71 KBUF 070218 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 918 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 LEZ020-070330- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 918 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ LEZ040-041-070900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 918 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-070900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 918 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-071030- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 918 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-070900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 918 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RSH
120 WHUS71 KBUF 070837 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 337 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 LEZ040-041-071645- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0005.130107T2300Z-130108T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 337 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-045-070945- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 337 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE SUBSIDED. $$ LOZ043-044-071500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 337 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ APFFEL
212 WHUS71 KBUF 071458 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 958 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 LOZ043-044-071600- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130107T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 958 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... WINDS AND WAVES HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS...THEREFORE THE CURRENT ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 10 AM. $$ LOZ042-072300- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0005.130108T0500Z-130108T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 958 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-072300- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0005.130108T0300Z-130108T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 958 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-072300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0005.130107T2300Z-130108T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 958 AM EST MON JAN 7 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 5, 3:46 PM EST, 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 5, 3:46 PM EST, 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EST SAT JAN 5 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY WITH VERY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND EASTERN GREAT LAKES FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES.
THE JANUARY THAW WILL LAST RIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND WITH MILD
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING LOW STRATUS PERSISTING OVER MOST
OF THE AREA FROM OSWEGO COUNTY WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON AS A SHALLOW
LAYER OF MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED BENEATH A STOUT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION PER 12Z KBUF SOUNDING. THE BACK EDGE OF THE LOW CLOUD IS
ERODING QUICKLY NOW THROUGH NE OHIO AND NW PA...SO EXPECT THE LOW
CLOUDS TO CLEAR OUT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THIS EVENING. THIS
MAY LEAVE JUST A FEW HOURS OF PARTIAL CLEARING BEFORE MID LEVEL
CLOUDS THICKEN UP AGAIN IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY SKIES HAVE BEEN SUNNY TODAY...BUT THE BACKING LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL CARRY THE LOWER STRATUS INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING
WITH INCREASING CLOUDS.
OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A RELATIVELY WEAK...YET COMPLEX SYSTEM
FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING A WELL
DEFINED SOUTHERN STREAM MID LEVEL CIRCULATION ENTERING ILLINOIS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH A SECOND NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH ENTERING MINNESOTA.
THE TWO SHORTWAVES WILL LARGELY REMAIN SEPARATE WITH LITTLE
PHASING...RESULTING IN TWO DISTINCT PERIODS OF SNOW POTENTIAL FOR
OUR AREA.
TONIGHT...THE SOUTHERN STREAM CIRCULATION WILL CONTINUE TO OPEN UP
AND ACCELERATE...WITH AN OPEN WAVE CROSSING THE LOWER LAKES AROUND
06Z. A BRIEF PERIOD OF DPVA WILL PROVIDE DEEP LAYER ASCENT...
SUPPORTED BY UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A
300MB UPPER LEVEL JET. THIS WILL ALSO COINCIDE WITH A BRIEF PERIOD
OF ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND DEEPER MOISTURE...WITH UP TO 2G/KG OF
MOISTURE NEAR 700MB. WITH THE BRIEF PERIOD OF ASCENT AND DEEPER
MOISTURE COMING TOGETHER...EXPECT A 1-3 HOUR PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS TO ENTER WESTERN NY SHORTLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT...THEN QUICKLY
OVERSPREAD THE REST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL QUICKLY
TAPER TO FLURRIES OR EVEN END ALTOGETHER ACROSS WESTERN NY...WHILE
LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY.
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE VERY LIGHT GIVEN THE VERY FAST MOVING DYNAMICS
AND VERY MARGINAL SURFACE TEMPERATURES RIGHT NEAR FREEZING ON THE
LAKE PLAINS. EXPECT AROUND A HALF INCH ON AVERAGE ACROSS WESTERN
NY...WITH JUST A COATING IN THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES AND
AROUND AN INCH EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
BY SUNDAY MORNING THE FIRST SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL BE LONG
GONE. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAVE A LULL IN PRECIPITATION FOR MOST OF THE
AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY...WITH JUST A FEW FLURRIES OR
EVEN SPRINKLES NEAR THE LAKESHORES AS TEMPERATURES MOVE ABOVE
FREEZING. LIGHT SNOW MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY AS WEAK ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE REMAINS IN PLACE NEAR AN
OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S ON THE LAKE
PLAINS AND LOWER TO MID 30S ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON THE NEXT NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH WILL APPROACH
THE REGION WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN LARGE SCALE ASCENT AS DPVA
OVERSPREADS THE LOWER LAKES. A SURFACE LOW WILL BE TRACKING DOWN THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY LATE IN THE DAY...WITH DEEPER WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE AND A WEAK/BROAD AXIS OF DEFORMATION ENTERING WESTERN NY
AND THE NORTH COUNTRY FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO PROVINCE. WITH THIS IN
MIND...EXPECT SNOW TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AGAIN LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON. IT MAY BE MIXED WITH A LITTLE RAIN AT THE START ON THE
LAKE PLAINS GIVEN THE MILD BOUNDARY LAYER...BUT SHOULD CHANGE TO ALL
SNOW AROUND SUNSET.
DURING THE DAYTIME ON SUNDAY...EXPECT NO ACCUMULATION ACROSS LOWER
ELEVATIONS WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING. THERE
MAY BE UP TO AN INCH LATER IN THE DAY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE SOUTHERN TIER AS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE FLOW
INCREASES. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH MORE PERSISTENT LIGHT SNOW...
THERE WILL LIKELY BE ANOTHER INCH OR SO ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS...
AND 2-3 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN
FOOTHILLS OF THE ADIRONDACKS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE ONGOING LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY NIGHT
AS MUCH DRIER AIR WORKS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT. THE SNOW THAT
DOES FALL WILL ACCUMULATE MAINLY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT.
EXPECT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS...WITH MAYBE
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE THERE WILL BE
ENHANCED LIFT IN THE VICINITY OF THE PASSING SURFACE LOW AND COLD
FRONT. BY THE TIME THE COLDER AIR ALOFT ARRIVES...THE DEEPER LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH WILL BE GONE.
THEREFORE...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ENHANCEMENT FROM THE LAKES.
THE NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES
TO DROP INTO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS GENERAL
TREND WILL BE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE READINGS COULD DIP INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS IN SOME SPOTS.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BE FOLLOWING THE LOW WILL CREST
OVER NEW YORK STATE MONDAY MORNING...THEN DRIFT TO THE EAST COAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW OF THE BACK SIDE OF
THE RIDGE WILL HELP TEMPERATURES REBOUND TO AROUND 30 ACROSS WESTERN
NEW YORK AND THE GENESEE VALLEY...BUT READINGS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
WILL HOVER IN THE LOWER 20S.
AS THE SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OFF THE EAST COAST MONDAY NIGHT...LOW
PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING EAST ACROSS JAMES BAY. ANY SNOW THAT IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL STAY WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA. OTHERWISE...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND
LOW WILL CAUSE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO PICKUP
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE. THE MODERATING
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL HELP TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY. IN
FACT...TEMPERATURES MAY NOT DROP MUCH FROM MONDAY/S DAYTIME
READINGS.
ON TUESDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OFF THE EAST
COAST. A SHORT WAVE THAT WILL BE TRACKING JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
MAY BRING SOME INCREASE IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...BUT NO PCPN IS EXPECTED. AREA TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S. IT WILL REMAIN DRY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH LOWS RANGING IN THE MID AND UPPER 20S.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A GENERAL ZONAL FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ALONG THE CANADIAN/U.S.
BORDER THROUGH THURSDAY. AFTER THAT...A MORE AMPLIFIED FLOW WILL SET
UP THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AS A DEEPENING TROUGH DIGS INTO THE
WESTERN U.S...WHILE A FLAT RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER EASTERN THIRD
OF THE NATION.
REGARDING THE FORECAST DETAILS...A WELL DEFINED SHORT WAVE WILL
PASS JUST NORTH OF NEW YORK STATE ON WEDNESDAY...BEFORE DRIFTING INTO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WEAK FRONT THAT IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS IMPULSE WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS NEW YORK STATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT THE FRONT WILL NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH. THEREFORE...DO NOT EXPECT ANY PCPN TO DEVELOP.
ON THURSDAY...THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT REGARDING
THE MOVEMENT OF THE CLOSED LOW THAT WILL BE LIFTING OUT OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE GFS IS STILL A LITTLE FASTER IN LIFTING THE
UPPER LOW OUT...BUT THE GENERAL TREND IS THAT ANY PCPN ASSOCIATED
WITH THE APPROACHING LOW MAY DELAYED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR
NIGHT...IF THE SLOWER ECMWF VERIFIES. THE SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE LOW
ALSO MEANS THAT IT WILL TAKE LONGER THE FOR BOUNDARY LAYER
TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE. THIS MAY RESULT IN A BETTER CHANCE FOR
LIGHT SNOW AT THE ONSET OF THE PCPN.
ON FRIDAY...THE UPPER LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE FLAT
RIDGE THAT WILL STILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE
NATION. BY SATURDAY...THE ECMWF TAKES THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW AND
MERGES IT WITH A DEEPER LOW THAT WILL BE LIFTING NORTH ACROSS JAMES
BAY. SINCE THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO STAY TO OUR WEST...A MILD
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
MOST PCPN TO FALL AS RAIN ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THE MODERATING TREND DURING THIS PERIOD WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES INTO
THE LOWER TO MID 40S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWING PLENTY OF LOW STRATUS REMAINING ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR
CIGS. EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING BEFORE A STRONGER PUSH OF SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN THE LOW
LEVELS CLEANS OUT THE LOW STRATUS FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
TONIGHT AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THIS
WILL SPREAD A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE REGION WITH VSBY
DROPPING TO AT LEAST MVFR...AND PROBABLY IFR FOR AN HOUR OR TWO
NORTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. CIGS WILL ALSO DROP TO MVFR AS
THE SNOW DEVELOPS. BY LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING THIS FIRST
BATCH OF LIGHT SNOW WILL LIKELY TAPER OFF ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.
MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE HOWEVER AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE DEEPENS...WITH
SOME IFR ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.
ANOTHER BATCH OF LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING WITH A 3-6 HOUR PERIOD OF IFR VSBY
LIKELY AT ALL THE TAF SITES.
OUTLOOK...
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...VFR.
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR.
THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
&&
.MARINE...
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE DOWN THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY LATER SUNDAY WITH MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS
VEERING TO THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT AND DIMINISHING BY MONDAY
MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL
BRING A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO BOTH LAKES.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
LEZ020.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY FOR LOZ043-044.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY
FOR LOZ042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY
FOR LOZ045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...TJP
LONG TERM...TJP
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCKHazardous weather outlook, Jan 5, 5:29 AM EST, 10 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 529 AM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 NYZ006>008-061030- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 529 AM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A PASSING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL MAY REACH ADVISORY LEVEL CRITERIA ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE TUG HILL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-061030- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- SOUTHERN ERIE- 529 AM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-061030- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 529 AM EST SAT JAN 5 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF THOMAS
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 7:29 PM EST | Gale Warning | BUF | 91 min | |
| Jan 4, 7:29 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 19 hr | |
| Jan 4, 9:09 PM EST | Gale Warning | BUF | 7 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.