Small Craft Advisory 26, NWS Buffalo, NY

551 
WHUS71 KBUF 171445
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
945 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

LOZ042-172245-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.130217T1500Z-130218T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
945 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-172245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.130217T1800Z-130218T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
945 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-172245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.130217T2100Z-130218T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
945 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-172245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.130217T2300Z-130218T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
945 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

APFFEL

327 
WHUS71 KBUF 172055
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
355 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

LOZ043-044-180500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
355 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-180500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.130217T2055Z-130218T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
355 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-180500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.130217T2055Z-130218T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
355 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
355 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

911 
WHUS71 KBUF 180247
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
947 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

LOZ042-181000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
947 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-181100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
947 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-181100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
947 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-181000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
947 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

392 
WHUS71 KBUF 180911
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
411 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

LEZ040-041-181715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0007.130219T1500Z-130220T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
411 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOT GALES. 

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-181015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
411 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

LOZ043-044-181700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
411 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-181700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
411 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

518 
WHUS71 KBUF 181438
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
938 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

LOZ043>045-181545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-130218T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
938 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...THEREFORE
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

LEZ040-041-182300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.130219T1500Z-130220T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
938 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

JJR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
122 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK UP THE EASTERN AND BRING IN BITTERLY
COLD AIR THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AND VERY CHILLY TEMPERATURES. MONDAY A MODEST
WARMING TREND BEGINS AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA
WITH A WINTRY MIX MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATED THE FORECAST EARLY THIS MORNING TO ADJUST THE START TIME FOR
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR MONROE COUNTY FROM 7AM TO NOW WITH
KBUF RADAR SHOWING MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW FALLING ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY. ALSO INCREASED THE POPS AND
WEATHER GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE CURRENT RADAR TRENDS SHOWING A
CURVED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHIFTING SOUTH ACROSS WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS SNOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY CONVERGENCE AND LIFT ON GOING
WITHIN A MESOLOW THAT FORMED OVER THE WESTERN END OF LAKE ONTARIO
EARLIER SATURDAY EVENING. MESOSCALE MODELS SHOWING THIS MESOLOW AND
ASSOCIATED SNOW WILL SHIFT SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING AND LIKELY
WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS FURTHER AWAY FOR THE LAKE WHERE IT FORMED.
SNOWFALL RATES ARE RUNNING UP TO AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF PER
HOUR.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW IS FOUND OFF THE CAROLINA COASTLINE THIS
LATE EVENING...AND RAPIDLY DEEPENING AS IS ADVANCES NORTHWARD UP THE
COASTLINE. TO OUR WEST A COLD UPPER LEVEL CLOSE LOW IS LOCATED OVER
THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED COMPACT SHORTWAVES
ROTATING AROUND THIS FEATURE. REGIONAL RADARS DISPLAY WIDE MESO
VORTEX OVER THE WESTERN END OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH SNOW SHOWERS ALONG
THE WESTERN SOUTHERN SHORELINE OF THE LAKE. AS THIS DEVELOPING ATLANTIC
SURFACE LOW RAPIDLY DEEPENS TONIGHT WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME
NORTHERLY AND NORTHWESTERLY ACROSS THE CWA AND THIS WILL SLOWLY
BRING THE SYNOPTIC SNOW...AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
NIAGARA FRONTIER AND GENESEE VALLEY. LATER IN THE NIGHT ALSO EXPECT
SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO DEVELOP OFF LAKE ERIE WITH GOOD MOISTURE IN
THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE...THOUGH WITH WIND SHEER THROUGH THE LAKE BAND
AND PIECES OF ICE ON THE LAKE DO NOT EXPECT LAKE EFFECT SNOW HERE TO
BE AS GREAT AS OFF LAKE ONTARIO. GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL BE ALONG THE UPSLOPE...WESTERN FACE OF THE CHAUTAUQUA
RIDGE.

FOR THE ADVISORIES...BASED ON THE SYNOPTIC SET UP AND MODEL
GUIDANCE...WILL CONTINUE WITH A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO. ALTHOUGH THIS ADVISORY RUNS ALONG THE ENTIRE SOUTH
SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO...THERE ARE TWO SEPARATE CAUSES FOR THE
HEADLINE. FOR THE WESTERN SOUTH SHORES...INCLUDING
NIAGARA/ORLEANS/GENESEE/MONROE COUNTIES...THE MAIN FOCUS IS ON AN AREA OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WHICH IS OVER THE WESTERN END OF THE LAKE
AND WITH THE BACKING WINDS...EXPECT A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWS TO
PUSH ONSHORE AND SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE THREE COUNTIES MENTIONED
ABOVE. GIVEN THE VERY MESOSCALE NATURE OF THIS...IT IS INHERENTLY
DIFFICULT TO FORECAST. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE GOOD CONSENSUS OF HIGH
RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE...AND SUPPORTING OBSERVATION AND RADAR
TRENDS...HAVE SUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE FOR AN ADVISORY FOR 3 TO 6
INCHES OF SNOW IN MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. SNOWS WILL LIKELY TAPER OFF
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...AS DRIER AIR WORKS IN FROM THE NORTH. THE
ONLY CAVEAT HERE...IS MOISTURE OFF GEORGIAN BAY WHICH MAY TEMPORALLY
ENHANCE SNOWFALL.

THE REMAINDER OF THE ADVISORY AREA (WAYNE/N CAYUGA/OSWEGO)
SHOULD NOT HAVE STEADY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS START UNTIL SUNDAY...AND
ARE EXPECTED TO LAST INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. INITIALLY...THIS WILL START
OFF AS MORE OF AN UPSLOPE EVENT RATHER THAN BANDED LAKE EFFECT...BUT
AS WINDS BECOME MORE ALIGNED IN THE WNW DIRECTION...EXPECT MODEST
ORGANIZATION. LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY IS IMPRESSIVE...WITH 850 MB
TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO -20C...LAKE INDUCED CAPE WILL INCREASE TO
400 J/KG. ALSO CAN SEE THE UPPER LOW FORECAST TO BE ACROSS THE
REGION AS AIDING IN LIFT. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE
FAIRLY DRY AIR IN PLACE...AND THAT THERE IS ONLY BRIEF PERIOD OF
WELL ALIGNED WINDS. IN THIS CASE...HAVE AMPLE CONFIDENCE IN ADVISORY
SNOWS...THINKING THE MODEST FLOW MAY HELP OFFSET DRIER AIR UPSTREAM.

ONE OTHER FACTOR IN THIS EVENT WILL BE THE COLD TEMPERATURES SHOULD
RESULT IN A GOOD SNOW RATIOS...ESPECIALLY EARLY IN THE EVENT WHEN
OMEGA IS WELL ALIGNED WITH THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE. LATER...IT MAY BE
MARGINALLY TOO COLD FOR THE BEST SNOWFALL RATIOS...BUT STILL LOOKING
FOR A FLUFFY SNOW OVERALL.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE CHILLY BOTH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. LOWS WILL BE IN
THE TEENS IN MOST LOCATIONS...AND THE SINGLE DIGITS EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO. EXPECT HIGHS ON SUNDAY TO ONLY BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN
TONIGHTS OVERNIGHT LOWS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
ONGOING LAKE SNOWS WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT AS NARROW SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AND A MORE BROAD UPPER RIDGE ENTER THE REGION...DECREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INCREASING SHEAR. EXPECT THE ALREADY
WEAKENING LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE TO DISSIPATE EARLY...AND WEAKENING
LAKE ONTARIO BANDS WILL PROBABLY REMAIN INTACT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

DURING MONDAY...THE NARROW SURFACE HIGH WILL BE SANDWICHED BETWEEN
THE DEPARTING LOW TO THE EAST AND AN APPROACHING LOW ADVANCING
EASTWARD FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST. SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE
HIGH PRESSURE AND THE MIDWESTERN LOW WILL TURN WINDS TO A MORE
SOUTHERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE DAY...AND WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
REBOUND TO NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS...AFTER A COLD START TO THE DAY.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 30S WEST OF THE FINGER LAKES...AND
IN THE 20S ACROSS CENTRAL NY TO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. ANY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THAT LINGER SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
SHOULD HAVE COME TO AN END BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

DURING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...A POTENT LOW
LEVEL JET SETS UP JUST AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE NOW CENTERED OVER
THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. AFTER A BRIEF DIP...THE TEMPERATURES WILL
BE ON THE RISE DURING MONDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET AND STRONGER
SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP THROUGH THE NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE MID LEVELS
WILL BE QUITE DRY DURING MOST OF THE DAY ON MONDAY...THE LOW LEVEL
JET WILL TAP INTO DEEPER MOISTURE OVER THE LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEE
VALLEYS AND WILL TRANSPORT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE TO OUR REGION. STRONG
WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD THE COLDER AIR BELOW...AND
CREATE A MIX OF PRECIPITATION TYPES...MAINLY ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES
TO THE NORTH COUNTRY AS THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN NY SHOULD HAVE
WARMED WELL ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT. EXPECT A MIX OF RAIN...SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

A SHARP COLD FRONT ARRIVES FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
WILL CHANGE THE PRECIP BACK TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST...BUT THE
STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRISK AND GUSTY
WINDS. 12Z MOMENTUM TRANSFER WIND GUST ESTIMATES ON GFS SHOW GUSTS
APPROACHING ADVISORY LEVELS FOR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...
THIS WILL BEAR WATCHING ON THE NEXT COUPLE OF MODEL RUNS.

AFTER HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID 30S TO THE LOWER 40S ON TUESDAY...TEMPS
WILL FALL LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO THE LOW 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
GFS/ECMWF/GGEM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT MIDWEEK WITH SOME LAKE
EFFECT SNOW FOLLOWING THE DEPARTURE OF THE EARLY WEEK LOW
PRESSURE...850MB TEMPS FALLING BACK TO THE MINUS TEENS CELSIUS AND A
WESTERLY WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST. STILL LOTS OF OPEN WATER ON LAKE
ERIE FOR SNOWS ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND A FULL LAKE FETCH ON
LAKE ONTARIO WILL PLACE THE TUG HILL REGION UNDER THE GUN ON
WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOW SHOULD NOT BE LONG
LIVED AS ALL THREE MODELS BRING HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND
RIDGING ALOFT INTO THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE HIGH SLIDES TO THE EAST LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND A WARM
FRONT SETS UP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY TO LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
MIDWESTERN STATES ON FRIDAY MORNING.

THERE IS CONTINUED MODEL AGREEMENT AS TO THE ARRIVAL OF SNOW AHEAD
OF THE WARM FRONT FOR MUCH OF FRIDAY...AND A SLIGHT INDICATION OF
WARMER AIR ALOFT DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH 850MB TEMPS NUDGING
CLOSER TO 0C ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER TO THE FINGER LAKES. THIS MAY
BE TOO SPECIFIC A FEATURE TO ADDRESS THIS FAR OUT...BUT WILL HAVE TO
WATCH FOR MIXED PRECIP AT THE END OF THE WEEK AS WELL. SATURDAY WILL
BE COLDER ONCE AGAIN WITH 850MB TEMPS BACK INTO THE MINUS
TERRITORY...THUS ALL PRECIP SHOULD BE AS SNOW WITH THE UPPER FLOW
DEVELOPING A REX BLOCK FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO HUDSON BAY.

TEMPS WILL SHOW A WIDE RANGE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE 20S ON WEDNESDAY...LOWS IN THE SINGLE NUMBER TO LOW
TEENS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MID TEENS TO NEAR 20 FOR HIGHS ON
THURSDAY...AND LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE TEENS THURSDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL HAVE MILDER TEMPS WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 20S EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND LOWER TO MID 30S ELSEWHERE...
AND LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE 20S.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FOR THE 06Z TAFS THE FOCUS IS ON A CURVED BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
SNOW SHIFTING SOUTH ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. THIS FEATURE IS
IMPACTING BOTH THE WIND DIRECTION AND ALSO FLIGHT CONDITIONS AS A
SNOW HAS TO BROUGHT FLIGHT LEVELS TO IFR OR LOWER ACROSS KIAG AND
KROC AND WILL ALSO LOWER AT KBUF SHORTLY. ON THE EAST SIDE OF THIS
FEATURE WILL BE EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS THAT WILL BACK TO NORTH AND
THEN NORTHWESTERLY AS THE MESO VORTEX SPIRALS SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD.
EXPECT THE BULK OF THE IFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS THE FIRST 6 HOURS OF
THE TAF CYCLE...IN WHICH TIME THE MESO VORTEX WILL BE WEAKENING AND
LARGELY SOUTH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED THREE TAF SITES.

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER A COLD FLOW OVER LAKE ERIE WILL BEGIN TO
BRING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN TIER AS MOISTURE
BRIEFLY DEEPENS IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW. THERE
REMAINS WIND SHEER UP THROUGH THE SNOW BAND...AND LAKE INSTABILITY
DIMINISHES THROUGH THE DAY SUCH THAT THE PERIOD FOR LIKELIEST MVFR
AND POSSIBLE IFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS FOR THE KJHW TERMINAL WILL BE
LATE TONIGHT AND THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY SUNDAY. LIGHTER MVFR/VFR
SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF CYCLE.

TOMORROW AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWESTERLY A FOCUS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL BE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE...TO THE EAST
OF KROC AND SOUTH OR KART. THIS BAND OF SNOW MAY SHIFT CLOSE TO THE
KROC AIRFIELD SUCH THAT A VCSH IS JUSTIFIED FOR THE TAF FOR THE DAY
AND EVENING HOURS.

FOR KART EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS TO RULE THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...MVFR. RAIN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW LATE.
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MVFR/LOCALIZED IFR IN LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
GIVE WAY TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING. IN EACH
CASE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY
AS COASTAL STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL LIKELY
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN
LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE.

THE STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL EXIT ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND ON
MONDAY...WITH RIDGING ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. LOW PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO LIFT ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES ON TUESDAY...PUSHING A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE WATERS.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST
     MONDAY FOR NYZ004>006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ001>003-011.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...SMITH/THOMAS
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...WCH
AVIATION...SMITH/THOMAS
MARINE...APFFEL/WCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
347 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-172100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
347 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-011-172100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-GENESEE-
347 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>006-172100-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
347 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-012>014-019>021-085-172100-
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
347 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-172100-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
347 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1221 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

NYZ001-170630-
NIAGARA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NIAGARA FALLS
1221 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SHIFTING SOUTH ACROSS THE
NIAGARA FRONTIER...

BUFFALO RADAR SHOWS A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW FROM NIAGARA
FALLS TO LEWISTON TO WILSON NEAR 1220 AM. THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL
SHIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGH 130 AM WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF
AN INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO HALF MILE OR LESS
AT TIMES WITH A FRESH COVER OF SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DIFFICULT ON AREA ROADWAYS INCLUDING THE I-190.

ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY IF
UNTREATED. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY DETERIORATING
DRIVING CONDITIONS AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATIONS

SMITH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1232 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

NYZ010-170845-
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1232 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SHIFTING SOUTH ACROSS THE
NIAGARA FRONTIER...

BUFFALO RADAR SHOWS A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW FROM GRAND
ISLAND TO NIAGARA FALLS TO WILSON NEAR 1230 AM. THIS BAND OF SNOW
WILL SHIFT SOUTH INTO NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND THE BUFFALO
NORTHTOWNS THROUGH 130 AM WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH TO AN
INCH AND A HALF PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO HALF MILE OR
LESS AT TIMES WITH A FRESH COVER OF SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DIFFICULT ON AREA ROADWAYS INCLUDING THE I-190...I-290...I-990
AND I-90.

ROADS AND OVERPASSES WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK
QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY IF UNTREATED. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY DETERIORATING DRIVING CONDITIONS AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATIONS

SMITH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
133 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

NYZ001-010-170800-
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO
133 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH ACROSS
THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...

BUFFALO RADAR CONTINUING TO SHOW A CURVED BAND OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW FROM BUFFALO ACROSS THE NORTHTOWNS TO NIAGARA FALLS AND
EAST TO LOCKPORT AND GASPORT NEAR 130 AM. THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL
SHIFT SOUTH REACHING AKRON...ALDEN AND CHEEKTOWAGA THROUGH 300 AM
WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES DOWN
TO HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES WITH A FRESH COVER OF SNOW. THIS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ON AREA ROADWAYS INCLUDING THE
I-190...I-290...I-990 AND I-90.

ROADS AND OVERPASSES WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK
QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY IF UNTREATED. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY DETERIORATING DRIVING CONDITIONS AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATIONS

SMITH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
217 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

NYZ003-170900-
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER
217 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

...BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH ACROSS
MONROE COUNTY...

A BAND OF MODERATE SNOW IS SHIFTING SOUTH ACROSS MONROE COUNTY
EARLY THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR IS
REDUCING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES WITH A FRESH
COVER OF SNOW THROUGH 4 AM. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ON AREA
ROADWAYS INCLUDING THE I-390...I-490...AND I-90.

ROADS AND OVERPASSES WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK
QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY IF UNTREATED. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY DETERIORATING DRIVING CONDITIONS AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATIONS

SMITH