Small Craft Advisory 25, NWS Buffalo, NY

686 
WHUS71 KBUF 141459
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

LEZ040-041-142300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0300Z-130216T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
959 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-142300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0600Z-130215T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
959 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-142300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0600Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
959 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-142300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T1000Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
959 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-142300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0800Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
959 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH

294 
WHUS71 KBUF 142049
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

LOZ062-150500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0009.130215T0900Z-130215T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
349 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-150500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0009.130215T1200Z-130215T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
349 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-150500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0300Z-130216T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
349 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-150500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0600Z-130215T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
349 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-150500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0600Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
349 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-150500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T1000Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
349 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-150500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0800Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
349 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

626 
WHUS71 KBUF 150222
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
922 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

LOZ062-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0009.130215T0900Z-130215T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
922 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0009.130215T1200Z-130215T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
922 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0300Z-130216T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
922 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0600Z-130215T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
922 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0600Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
922 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T1000Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
922 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T0800Z-130216T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
922 PM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

740 
WHUS71 KBUF 150823
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
323 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

LOZ062-151500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0009.130215T0900Z-130215T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
323 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-151630-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0009.130215T1200Z-130215T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
323 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-151630-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
323 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-151630-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.130215T1000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
323 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-151630-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
323 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-151630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
323 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-151630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130215T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
323 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/TJP

410 
WHUS71 KBUF 151457
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
957 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

LOZ063>065-151600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130215T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
957 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW GALE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

$$

LOZ062-151600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130215T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
957 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW GALE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

$$

LEZ040-041-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
957 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-152100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130215T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
957 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
957 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
957 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
957 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

787 
WHUS71 KBUF 152042
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
342 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

LEZ040-041-152145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
342 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LEZ020-152145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130215T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
342 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LOZ042-160445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
342 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-160445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
342 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-160445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
342 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

863 
WHUS71 KBUF 160236
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
936 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

LOZ042-160900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
936 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-161045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
936 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
936 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

539 
WHUS71 KBUF 160904
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
404 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

LOZ042-161015-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
404 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...



$$

LOZ043-044-161400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
404 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
404 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

011 
WHUS71 KBUF 161045
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
545 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

LOZ043>045-161145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-130216T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
545 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1147 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BETWEEN AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC STATES AND JAMES BAY WILL BRING MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS TO
THE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. A CLIPPER LOW TRACKING
SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE LOWER LAKES WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS LATE THURSDAY...THEN SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT.
COLDER AIR AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 1130 PM...SKIES WERE PARTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE REGION AS
A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SETTLED ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK. THE
00Z BUFFALO SOUNDING AND EXPANDING LOW CLOUDS ACROSS NW PA AND FAR
WESTERN NEW YORK SUGGEST THERE STILL IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE. THIS WILL PROBABLY LINGER UNTIL SUBTLE RIDGING
ALOFT MOVES IN JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK. FOR MOST AREAS EXPECT A
SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF CLEAR SKIES...BUT THERE COULD BE LINGERING
LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...AND PERHAPS EVEN SOME FOG IN
AREAS WHICH DO STAY CLEAR LONG ENOUGH. THIS WILL ADD A LITTLE
COMPLEXITY TO TONIGHTS LOW TEMPERATURES...BUT GENERAL IDEA OF
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S STILL APPLIES.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY. A CLIPPER SYSTEM
APPROACHING FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL CROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND
THEN RECURVE TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MID
LEVEL CLOUDS LATE THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS
WESTERN NY LATE IN THE DAY...MIXED WITH SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AS THE HIGH MOVES TO THE EAST OF THE
REGION AND THE LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE EAST. THIS WILL HELP
TO BOOST AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER TERRAIN OF THE LAKE PLAINS CLOSER TO
LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER LOWER MICHIGAN THURSDAY EVENING WILL MOVE TO THE
ONTARIO-QUEBEC PROVINCIAL BORDER BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. THE WARM
ADVECTIVE PROCESS IN ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE WILL HELP TO PRODUCE
A MIXED BAG OF RAIN AND WET SNOW SHOWERS OVER OUR REGION...WITH THE
BULK OF THE PCPN COMING DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT. QPF FROM
THIS FEATURE SHOULD AVERAGE UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH ACROSS THE WRN
COUNTIES WITH AMOUNTS POSSIBLY REACHING UP TO A QUARTER INCH OVER
THE NORTH COUNTRY.

WHILE THE FORECAST TRACK OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW IS A
CLIMATOLOLOGICALLY FAVORABLE ONE FOR STRONG WINDS OVER OUR REGION...
THIS WILL NOT BE THE CASE WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE SFC LOW WILL REMAIN
ABV 1000MB...AND IN FACT...MAY BE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES BY TO OUR
NORTH. WIND GUSTS IN THE DUNKIRK/BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER CORRIDOR MAY
REACH INTO THE MID 30S MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT THESE VALUES ARE
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AS THE SFC LOW WILL LIFT
ACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY...WHILE THE SECOND OF TWO ILL DEFINED
COLD FRONTS WILL CROSS OUR REGION. THIS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY...WITH COLDER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THESE FRONTAL
BOUNDARIES SETTING THE TABLE FOR SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW
EAST/NORTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON. OFF
LK ERIE...THE LI EQUILIBRIUM IS FORECAST TO JUMP ABV 7K FT WITHIN A
GENERAL 240-250 FLOW. THIS WILL FAVOR LAKE ENHANCED ACTIVITY FOR
SITES JUST SOUTH OF THE BUF METRO AREA...BUT A MODERATELY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT WILL LIKELY PAINT A BROAD AREA OF STEADIER LAKE ENHANCED
SNOW FROM CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NORTHWARDS TO BUFFALO. IN ANY CASE...DO
NOT EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO PRODUCE MORE THAN A COUPLE INCHES OF
SNOW BY NIGHTFALL. OFF LK ONTARIO...A SIMILAR MODEST CAP IS
ANTICIPATED ALTHOUGH THE FLOW WILL BE CLOSER TO 230. THIS WILL AIM
THE INITIAL LAKE ENHANCEMENT ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY.

AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE BASE OF
THE LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL SETTLE OVER ALL OF THE GREAT LAKES WITH
CONTINUED COLD ADVECTION PUSHING H85 TEMPS DOWN INTO THE MINUS
TEENS. THE RESULTING INCREASED INSTABILITY WILL THEN COMBINE WITH A
MODEST CAP OF 8-10K FT AND A VEERING LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW TO
GENERATE ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS EAST/SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES. THE
ONLY LIMITING FACTOR FOR THE LAKE EFFECT WILL BE A MODERATELY
SHEARED AIRMASS. EVEN SO...ADVISORY CRITERIA SNOWFALL LOOKS LIKELY
FOR THIS PERIOD WITH 24 HOUR WARNING CRITERIA (>8") STILL A
POSSIBILITY.

TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS WITH HIGHS
SATURDAY NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 20S.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES SATURDAY NIGHT
WHILE TEMPERATURES AWAY FROM THE LAKES WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE LONG WAVE PATTERN WILL BE FOUND ACROSS NORTH AMERICA
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...AND WHILE OUR WEATHER WILL
START OFF INNOCENT ENOUGH...A DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL EVENTUALLY
DOMINATE THE SPOTLIGHT. THE DETAILS...

AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP CLOSED LOW WILL LIFT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON
SUNDAY WHILE AN -18/20C CORE OF H85 AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS LAKE
ONTARIO. THIS WILL KEEP THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW MACHINE GOING...
ALTHOUGH DRYING IN THE MID LEVELS WILL TAKE ITS TOLL ON ITS
EFFICIENCY. OTHERWISE...SUNDAY WILL BE QUITE COLD ACROSS THE REGION
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ONLY AROUND 20 ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES
WHILE READINGS WILL NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE TEENS IN THE NORTH
COUNTRY.

RIDGING WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS OUR FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY...WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION LEADING TO A 15 TO 20 DEGREE
WARM UP FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE THE PROVERBIAL 'CALM
BEFORE THE STORM' WITH DRY UNEVENTFUL CONDITIONS.

A STRONG SHORTWAVE DROPPING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT
WILL THEN LEAD TO THE NEXT PHASED LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY. THIS WILL SUPPORT A CONSOLIDATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT
WILL TAKE SHAPE OVER OHIO BY MIDDAY TUESDAY...AND AS THE SUPPORTING
TROUGH BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...THE
LOW IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN TO ABOUT 990MB AS IT LIFTS ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA. CURRENT MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE STORM
SYSTEM WILL LIFT ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/WESTERN NEW YORK...
WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION.

THIS MIX WOULD THEN TURN TO JUST SNOW IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING
STORM TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH WEDNESDAY FEATURING COLDER CONDITIONS AND
MORE SNOW SHOWERS

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LARGELY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THERE IS STILL A
FAIR AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERING...WHICH COULD RESULT
IN PERIOD OF IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS IN A FEW SPOTS. AT 06Z...A SMALL
AREA OF IFR CIGS WAS ACROSS FAR SW NEW YORK...INCLUDING JHW.
IT IS DIFFICULT TO TELL HOW THIS AREA WILL EVOLVE...WITH FAIRLY
LIGHT WINDS. DO EXPECT HIGH CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST TO HELP
MIX OUT THIS CLOUD LAYER BY WEAKENING THE DEVELOPING INVERSION.

OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING. SHOWERS WILL
MOVE IN LATE AFTERNOON WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THESE MAY
MIX WITH SNOW AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY AT JHW/ART WHICH WILL BE JUST
A TAD COOLER.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.
SATURDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
SUNDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH MORNING SNOW SHOWERS.
MONDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND WAVES WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY AS A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHES EAST ACROSS THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP THURSDAY EVENING
AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. AS THIS
LOW PASSES NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS CHANNEL UP
THE LAKES. WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH STRONGEST
WINDS AND HIGHEST WAVES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AND WILL
SLOWLY DIMINISH AS A COLDER BUBBLE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ACROSS
THE LAKES DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WCH
NEAR TERM...APFFEL/WCH
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...APFFEL
MARINE...APFFEL/WCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
246 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-141800-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
246 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-012-019-020-085-141800-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
246 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-141800-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
246 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF