Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 20, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 3, 2013

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Feb 3, 2013, 3:51 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 3, 2013, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2013, 3:51 PM EST (20:51 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 3, 2013, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 4, 2013, 6:39 PM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

382 
WHUS71 KBUF 032051
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
351 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

LEZ040-041-040500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.130204T0300Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
351 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-040500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.130204T0300Z-130204T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
351 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-040500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.130204T0500Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
351 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-040500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.130204T0800Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
351 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH/WOOD
7 follow-up statements
977 
WHUS71 KBUF 040234
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
934 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

LEZ040-041-041045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.130204T0300Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
934 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-041045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.130204T0300Z-130204T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
934 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-041045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.130204T0500Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
934 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-041045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.130204T0800Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
934 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
964 
WHUS71 KBUF 040908
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013

LOZ042-041715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
408 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-041715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
408 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-041715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
408 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-041715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
408 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
105 
WHUS71 KBUF 041716
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1216 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

LEZ040-041-042300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1216 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-041900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1216 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-050100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1216 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-050100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1216 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
789 
WHUS71 KBUF 041900
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
200 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

LOZ042-042000-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
200 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...


$$

LEZ040-041-042300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
200 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-050100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
200 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-050100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
200 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
970 
WHUS71 KBUF 042034
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
334 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

LEZ040-041-042300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
334 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 FEET OR LESS THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-050100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
334 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-050100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
334 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
803 
WHUS71 KBUF 042303
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
603 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

LEZ040-041-050015-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
603 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

$$

LOZ043-044-050100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
603 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-050100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
603 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
746 
WHUS71 KBUF 042339
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
639 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

LOZ043>045-050045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
639 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 3, 12:54 PM EST, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 12:54 PM EST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1254 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION
LATER TODAY...THEN BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL ONCE DEVELOP EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. OTHERWISE...IT WILL
BE COLD THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH SOME MODIFICATION IN OUR TEMPERATURES
ANTICIPATED FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
TWO MAIN FORECAST UPDATES THIS MORNING PERTAINING TO TWO DIFFERENT
ISSUES. FIRST IS A WEAK MESOSCALE LOW OVER CENTRAL LAKE ONTARIO THAT
IS ALLOWING 'TEA-KETTLE' LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS TO ROTATE ONSHORE
ACROSS ORLEANS AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY. THIS FEATURE
IS EXPECTED TO LINGER FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS BEFORE ROTATING AWAY
FROM THE SHORELINE AND BACK OVER THE LAKE...BUT NOT BEFORE DROPPING
ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
AREA.

OTHERWISE EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN NEW
YORK...AND IN PARTICULAR THE SOUTHERN TIER THIS AFTERNOON AS A
NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT PUSHES LIFTS ACROSS NEW
YORK STATE FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO. GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE
AND FAST-MOVING NATURE OF THE SHORTWAVE...AM NOT EXPECTING MORE THAN
AN INCH OR TWO OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION. GIVEN
THE NEUTRAL TEMPERATURE ADVECTION AND ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER ACROSS
THE REGION...DO NOT EXPECT A DRAMATIC RISE IN TEMPERATURES AND HAVE
KEPT MOST LOCALES IN THE LOW 20S FOR HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON..WITH A
FEW SPOTS IN THE FINGER LAKES CREEPING INTO THE MID 20S.

MORE IMPRESSIVE SNOWS WILL BE ON TAP FOR TONIGHT ACROSS THE USUAL
SNOWBELTS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES AS WELL-ALIGNED 290 DEGREE FLOW
DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE OF THE SHORTWAVE. HAVE HOISTED LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORIES FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND SOUTHERN
ERIE COUNTIES AS WELL AS OSWEGO/LEWIS COUNTIES SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO. IT APPEARS TO BE A HIGH-END ADVISORY...BORDERLINE
WARNING...LEVEL EVENT HOWEVER THERE WERE A COUPLE OF FACTORS THAT
RECOMMENDED GOING WITH A HIGH-END ADVISORY. FIRST...EQUILIBRIUM
LEVELS STAY UNDER 10KFT FOR MUCH OF THE EVENT WITH LAKE-INDUCED
CAPES GENERALLY STAYING UNDER 500J/KG AND THERE ARE CONCERNS ABOUT
THE PRESENCE OF MID-LEVEL DRY AIR AFFECTING SNOWFALL RATES. FINALLY
IT APPEARS AS A SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES BY TO OUR SOUTH...FLOW WILL
BACK MORE NORTHWESTERLY ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO...AND SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF
WEST ACROSS LAKE ERIE MONDAY MORNING AND THIS COULD LIMIT RESIDENCE
TIME OF THE BANDS ACROSS ANY ONE AREA...KEEPING ACCUMULATIONS BELOW
WARNING LEVELS. ONCE AGAIN...WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF TEMPERATURE
ADVECTION...INCREASING FLOW OFF THE LAKES AND PLENTY OF CLOUD
COVER...EXPECT A LIMITED DROP IN TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS
IN THE TEENS. THAT SAID...INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WILL MAKE IT
FEEL MORE BRISK WITH WIND CHILLS DROPPING JUST BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY AND THE SOUTHERN TIER WITH SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO
ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
ON MONDAY...RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...WHILE ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH DROPS
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...AND HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS
IN OUR DIRECTION FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND ONTARIO PROVINCE.
ALL OF THIS WILL KEEP A WESTERLY TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF
SEASONABLY COLD AIR INTACT ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...WHICH IN
TURN WILL ALLOW FOR LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES.

OFF LAKE ERIE...A GENERAL 270 TO 280 DEGREE FLOW WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE DAY...HELPING TO FOCUS THE LAKE ERIE LAKE SNOWS ACROSS
THE TYPICAL SNOWBELTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES AND
THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. WHILE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW LOOKS TO BE
FAIRLY WELL ALIGNED...LATEST NAM12 BUFKIT PROFILES SUGGEST THAT
CRITICAL THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS DO NOT QUITE COME TOGETHER ALL AT
ONCE DURING THIS PERIOD. AT THIS TIME...RATHER FAVORABLE MOISTURE IN
THE SNOW GROWTH REGION SUNDAY MORNING APPEARS AS IF WILL BE OFFSET
BY A RELATIVELY LOW CAP AROUND 5 KFT...WITH DECREASING MOISTURE THEN
COUNTERING A BRIEF 2-3 KFT RISE IN THE CAP IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE
OHIO VALLEY WAVE PASSES BY TO OUR SOUTHWEST. THE NAM12 AND REGIONAL
GEM BOTH REFLECT THIS WITH RELATIVELY LIMITED QPF OUTPUT ACROSS THE
MOST FAVORED REGION DURING MONDAY...SUGGESTING THAT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAY WILL REMAIN AT OR A BIT BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS...OR SOMEWHERE ON THE ORDER OF 2-4"/3-5".

MEANWHILE OFF LAKE ONTARIO...MORE OF A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
RESULT IN THE LAKE ONTARIO LAKE SNOWS AFFECTING AREAS SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE ON MONDAY...THOUGH CONSIDERABLE QUESTION
REMAINS AS TO EXACTLY WHERE THE MOST ORGANIZED/MOST PERSISTENT LAKE
SNOWS WILL BE. NAMELY...THE 00Z NAM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP A STRONG
ENOUGH UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON THAT HELPS FOCUS THE LAKE
SNOWS FROM EASTERN NIAGARA TO WAYNE COUNTIES FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...WHEREAS THE 00Z REGIONAL GEM TENDS TO FAVOR A SOMEWHAT MORE
EASTERLY BAND POSITION...WITH THE CORE OF THE BAND REMAINING FROM
ORLEANS COUNTY EASTWARD TO EXTREME SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. GIVEN THE
OVERALL LOW LEVEL FLOW PATTERN AND PRIOR EXPERIENCE...TEND TO FAVOR
THE LATTER SOLUTION MORE...WITH THE NAM APPEARING TO BE A LITTLE TOO
FAR WEST OVERALL. COMPARED TO THE LAKE ERIE ACTIVITY...THE LAKE
ONTARIO LAKE EFFECT WILL HAVE A HIGHER CAP AROUND 8 KFT AND DEEPER
OVERALL MOISTURE TO WORK WITH THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...THOUGH AT
THE SAME TIME IT WILL ALSO HAVE TO FIGHT AGAINST A BIT MORE SHEAR.
WITH THE ABOVE IN MIND...FEEL THAT THE LAKE ONTARIO LAKE EFFECT WILL
BE A LITTLE STRONGER AND SHOULD THEREFORE BE CAPABLE OF SOMEWHAT
MORE IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION PROVIDED THE SNOW BANDS CAN FOCUS
OVER AN AREA FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD...IN WHICH CASE ADVISORY-TYPE
AMOUNTS OF 3-6" WILL BE POSSIBLE.

OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS...MONDAY SHOULD JUST BE
RELATIVELY QUIET AND SEASONABLY COLD...WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS OR FLURRIES. SURFACE TEMPS LOOK TO PEAK IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 20S...WHICH IS ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BUT AT THE
SAME TIME NOT AT ALL UNUSUAL FOR EARLY FEBRUARY.

MONDAY NIGHT...THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE UPPER
LAKES WILL BUILD DIRECTLY ACROSS OUR REGION. INCREASING SUBSIDENCE
AND DRYING ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE WILL ACT IN CONCERT WITH A
LIGHTENING WIND FIELD TO DIMINISH THE LAKE SNOWS TO JUST A FEW
LEFTOVER FLURRIES BY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH SOME ADDITIONAL MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES BEFORE THE ACTIVITY
COMPLETELY TAPERS OFF. ELSEWHERE...IT WILL GENERALLY JUST BE QUIET
AND QUITE COLD...WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS SOUTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO...TO ZERO TO 10 BELOW FROM THE TUG HILL NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

LOOKING A BIT FURTHER OUT IN THE PERIOD...EXPECT A LARGELY DRY AND
QUIET DAY ON TUESDAY...THOUGH THERE WILL BE A WEST-EAST INCREASE IN
CLOUDS OVER TIME AS THE NEXT WEAK SURFACE WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES. THIS FEATURE WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY AND BRING A GENERAL CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT
SNOW...WITH SOME MINOR ACCUMS POSSIBLE BEFORE THIS FEATURE DEPARTS
TO OUR EAST ON WEDNESDAY. IN ITS WAKE...SOME WEAK/LIMITED LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO FOR A
BRIEF PERIOD WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND QUICKLY SHUTS THIS DOWN. GIVEN THE
RELATIVELY UNIMPRESSIVE SETUP...WILL JUST KEEP POPS FOR THIS IN THE
LOW CHANCE RANGE FOR NOW...WITH A TREND TOWARD DRIER WEATHER
EXPECTED OTHERWISE...EVEN DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE WHERE THE AIRMASS
APPEARS AS IF IT WILL BE TOO WARM ALOFT FOR A LAKE RESPONSE. AS FOR
TEMPS...THESE WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH TUESDAY...BEFORE RECOVERING BACK INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S
ON WEDNESDAY AS TEMPS ALOFT FINALLY START TO MODERATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK...PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA WILL BREAK DOWN...THEREBY ALLOWING A MORE
ZONAL FLOW TO EVENTUALLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
COUNTRY...WITH A MILDER PUSH OF PACIFIC AIR WORKING INTO OUR REGION
LATER NEXT WEEK.

LOOKING A BIT MORE CLOSELY AT THE FORECAST DETAILS...ON THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND...THOUGH WILL
LIKELY MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER ACROSS OUR AREA FOR A GOOD PORTION OF
THE DAY. WITH 850 TEMPERATURES ALOFT WARMING BACK TO ZERO TO -6C BY
LATE THURSDAY...TEMPS WILL FINALLY RECOVER BACK INTO THE LOWER TO
MID 30S IN MOST AREAS...THOUGH THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL STILL SEE
SLIGHTLY COLDER HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.

LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF
SLIDE A DECENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FEATURE
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS SAID...CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES
EXIST IN THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THE SURFACE WAVE...WITH THE 00Z GFS
TAKING A SINGLE LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON FRIDAY...WHILE THE
00Z ECMWF BRINGS AN INITIAL PRIMARY LOW ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SECONDARY WAVE ALONG THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST ON FRIDAY. GIVEN THE ABOVE DIFFERENCES...FOR NOW
WILL JUST INDICATE BROADBRUSH CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION TYPE...BOTH SOLUTIONS BRIEFLY
BRING A MODEST SURGE OF ABOVE-FREEZING AIR ALOFT INTO THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY WHICH MAY POSE SOME PYTPE ISSUES...
THOUGH AT THIS RANGE WILL JUST ELECT TO KEEP THINGS SIMPLE AND
INDICATE A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW.

FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM...A QUICK SHOT OF COLDER AIR WILL WORK ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT...BEFORE RIDGING BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA
AT ALL LEVELS NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A RENEWED TREND TOWARD WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSING THE LOWER GREAT LAKES IS
CURRENTLY SPREADING LIGHT SNOW INTO WESTERN NEW YORK AND THE
SOUTHERN TIER. THIS WILL BRING A PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS AT
KBUF/KIAG THIS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THIS SAME
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IFR CONDITIONS TO THE SOUTHERN TIER
INCLUDING KJHW.

AFTER THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE
BACK TO VFR ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND AT KART...HOWEVER LAKE
EFFECT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT WITH IFR OR
LOWER CONDITIONS LIKELY THERE...WITH VFR ELSEWHERE. THE BANDS OFF
LAKE ONTARIO WILL LIKELY MIGRATE SOUTH DURING THE MORNING ON
MONDAY...BRINGING IFR CONDITIONS TO AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO...HOWEVER AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS THAT
SNOW SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF KROC...WITHIN A FEW MILES OF THE
SHORELINE.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...MVFR WITH LOCALIZED IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR.
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR/MVFR CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR.
FRIDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
A RELATIVELY WEAK SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP GENERALLY LIGHT
WINDS OVER BOTH LAKES TODAY...BUT AS WE MOVE TOWARDS THIS EVENING...
A DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL FRESHEN
THE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS ON LAKE
ERIE.

DURING THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT...THE DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OFF
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WHILE WINDS AND WAVES WILL BUILD ACROSS BOTH
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BY MIDNIGHT...SO FLAGS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY THE NEXT
FORECAST PACKAGE. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL THEN
PERSIST INTO MONDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ006-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY
     FOR NYZ002>005.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ019-020-085.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...WOOD
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...WOOD
MARINE...RSH
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 5:00 AM EST, 10 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
500 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

NYZ001-007-008-010>014-021-041000-
NIAGARA-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
500 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ002>006-041000-
ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
500 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-085-041000-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
500 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-041000-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
500 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJR

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 3, 3:12 PM EST, 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
312 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

NYZ019-085-032215-
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
312 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA...

AN AREA OF MODERATE SNOW ALONG LAKE ERIE FROM DUNKIRK TO LAKE ERIE
BEACH WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES
INTERSTATE 90 FROM DUNKIRK TO HAMBURG. A SECOND AREA OF MODERATE SNOW
ALONG THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK FROM SILVER CREEK TO SPRINGVILLE TO
DELEVAN...WILL MOVE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON INTO HAMBURG...BOSTON...EAST
AURORA AND HOLLAND BY 330 TO 4 PM. SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO AN INCH
PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE AREAS OF SNOW.

THE SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER OF A MILE AT
TIMES. IN ADDITION...SNOW WILL COAT ROADS RESULTING IN SLICK
SPOTS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 3, 10:34 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Lewis, Monroe and 4 more35 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.