Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2013
Small Craft Advisory 118, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Dec 4, 2013, 3:40 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 5, 2013, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 38 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 4, 2013, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 5, 2013, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 6, 2013, 2:00 PM EST
- In force
- 38 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
905 WHUS71 KBUF 042040 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 340 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 LEZ040-041-050445- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0300Z-131205T1500Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 340 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-050445- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0500Z-131205T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 340 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-050445- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0500Z-131206T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 340 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
10 follow-up statements
608 WHUS71 KBUF 050231 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 931 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 LEZ040-041-051045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0300Z-131205T1500Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 931 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-051045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0500Z-131205T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 931 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-051045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0500Z-131206T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 931 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
082 WHUS71 KBUF 050845 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 345 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 LEZ040-041-051500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131205T1500Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 345 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-051645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131205T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 345 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-051645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 345 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
896 WHUS71 KBUF 051436 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 936 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 LEZ040-041-051545- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131205T1500Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 936 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. CONDITIONS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ LOZ043-052100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131205T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 936 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-052245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 936 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJR
846 WHUS71 KBUF 052036 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 LEZ040-041-060300- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-060445- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-060445- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-060445- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK/JJR
154 WHUS71 KBUF 060231 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 931 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 LEZ040-041-060345- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 931 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... $$ LOZ042-043-061045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 931 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-061045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 931 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
878 WHUS71 KBUF 060242 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 942 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 LEZ040-041-060900- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0900Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 942 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LOZ042-043-061045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 942 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-061045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 942 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RSH
614 WHUS71 KBUF 060839 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 339 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 LEZ040-041-060945- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0900Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 339 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LOZ042-043-061500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 339 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-061645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 339 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
504 WHUS71 KBUF 061218 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 718 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 LOZ042-043-061500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 718 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-061900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 718 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMITH
696 WHUS71 KBUF 061448 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 948 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 LOZ042-043-061600- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 948 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LOZ044-045-061900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 948 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
004 WHUS71 KBUF 061851 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 151 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 LOZ044-045-062000- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 151 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 4, 2:46 PM EST, 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 2:46 PM EST, 54 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 246 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 .SYNOPSIS... DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL LIFT ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND ONTARIO PROVINCE ON THURSDAY...WHEN IT WILL SWING ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS NEW YORK STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...BEFORE THE FRONT USHERS IN A RETURN TO MUCH COLDER AIR AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY ON THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... DURING THIS PERIOD...LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...THEN ON TO JAMES BAY ON THURSDAY. IN THE PROCESS...THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY MILD AIR ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE SWINGING ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS NEW YORK STATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TONIGHT...EXPECT GENERALLY DRY WEATHER TO PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THIS EVENING...THOUGH THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER ONCE AGAIN AS YET ANOTHER SURGE OF WARM AIR ADVECTION OVERSPREADS OUR REGION. AFTER THAT...A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET SEGMENT AND MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL RIPPLE NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...AND SHOULD HELP TO AUGMENT THE BACKGROUND WARM ADVECTIVE LIFT JUST ENOUGH TO GENERATE A ROUND OF SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. AT THIS POINT...THE BEST CHANCES FOR THESE APPEAR TO BE FROM THE COUNTIES ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO NORTHWARD...WITH SOMEWHAT LOWER PROBABILITIES FOUND FURTHER TO THE SOUTH GIVEN WEAKER OVERALL SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING. OTHERWISE...THE COMBINATION OF THE INCREASINGLY MILD AIRMASS AND A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN NIGHTTIME LOWS THAT WILL BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES...AS WELL AS A NON-DIURNAL TEMPERATURE TREND WITH READINGS GENERALLY BOTTOMING OUT THIS EVENING...THEN SLOWLY RISING OVERNIGHT. EXPECT LOWS TO RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...TO AS HIGH AS THE MID AND UPPER 40S ALONG THE LAKE PLAINS OF FAR WESTERN NEW YORK WHERE INCREASING DOWNSLOPING EFFECTS WILL ALSO COME INTO PLAY. SPEAKING OF WHICH... THESE WILL PROBABLY ALSO RESULT IN INCREASINGLY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE SOUTH OF BUFFALO...WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR SO APPEAR TO BE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. ON THURSDAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH OUR AREA DURING THE MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY CROSSING NEW YORK STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A WEAK SECONDARY WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS AND RIDES NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. COUPLED TOGETHER...THESE TWO FEATURES WILL HELP FORCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER ROUND OF MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS BETWEEN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH THE 12Z GUIDANCE SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON FOCUSING THE BULK OF THESE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND NORTH COUNTRY...WHILE KEEPING MORE SCATTERED ACTIVITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. GIVEN BOTH FAVORABLE LIFT AND MOISTURE...HAVE BUMPED POPS ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN TIER/FINGER LAKES/NORTH COUNTRY ZONES TO THE HIGH LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL RANGE FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE KEEPING CHANCE POPS IN PLAY FURTHER TO THE NORTH AND WEST. TEMPERATURE-WISE...THE VERY MILD AIRMASS AND PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S IN MOST PLACES BY MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON...BEFORE READINGS BEGIN TO DROP OFF A BIT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW YORK THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE FROPA. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... THURSDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. AS IT DOES SO...A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RUN NORTHEAST ALONG THE BOUNDARY. THIS WILL INCREASE DIFFERENTIAL THERMAL ADVECTION ACROSS THE BOUNDARY WITH FRONTOGENETIC FORCING AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE BRINGING INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIP OVERNIGHT. THE GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH THE FINGER LAKES TO CENTRAL NY...WITH MUCH LESSER AMOUNTS NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER. PRECIP TYPE WILL BE DIFFICULT...AS LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION UNDERCUTS THE FRONTAL WAVE. IN GENERAL EXPECT RAIN TO SLOWLY TURN TO WET SNOW LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST...BUT WITH THE COLD AIR UNDERCUTTING THE FRONTAL WAVE THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN DURING THE TRANSITION MAINLY FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER INTO THE FINGER LAKES. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT...WITH AN INCH OR SO ON THE HILLS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND LESS THAN AN INCH ELSEWHERE. THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF CENTRAL NY WILL BE LAST TO CHANGEOVER...SO EXPECT MAINLY RAIN THERE WITH NO ACCUMULATION. ON FRIDAY THE FIRST FRONTAL WAVE WILL MOVE OFF INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS SHOULD ALLOW PRECIP TO END IN MOST AREAS...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE SOUTHERN TIER WHICH MAY REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE FRONTAL ZONE TO ALLOW A FEW LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE. OTHERWISE FOR THE REST OF THE AREA EXPECT A GOOD AMOUNT OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BACK CLOSE TO AVERAGE WITH MID TO UPPER 30S AT MOST LOCATIONS. FRIDAY NIGHT ANOTHER FRONTAL WAVE IS A POSSIBILITY...ALTHOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE AMPLITUDE AND TRACK OF THIS WAVE. THE NAM...ECMWF...AND SREF MEAN ARE A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH WITH THIS FEATURE WHILE THE LATEST 12Z GFS IS MORE SUPPRESSED AND WEAKER. FAVOR THE SOMEWHAT FARTHER NORTH MODEL CONSENSUS FOR NOW GIVEN RUN TO RUN INCONSISTENCY SEEN IN THE GFS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. IF THE FARTHER NORTH SOLUTION VERIFIES THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES WITH SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. BY SATURDAY MORNING THIS NEXT FRONTAL WAVE WILL BE EXITING INTO NEW ENGLAND. COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE WAVE WILL BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SOME LIMITED LAKE RESPONSE...BUT A VERY DRY BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT...ANTICYCLONIC CURVATURE IN THE LOW LEVELS... AND AN OVERALL UNFAVORABLE SYNOPTIC SETTING WILL GREATLY LIMIT THIS POTENTIAL. EXPECT JUST A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE ON SATURDAY. EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO MAY BE MARGINALLY MORE FAVORABLE...BUT STILL ONLY EXPECT A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... SUNDAY WILL START OFF DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY CRESTING OVER THE LOWER LAKES IN THE MORNING. OUR ATTENTION QUICKLY TURNS TO THE NEXT SYSTEM AS A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE EJECTS OUT OF THE WESTERN TROUGH. A WEAK ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT THEN TRACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL LAKES ON MONDAY. THIS TRACK WILL ALLOW A BRIEF PUSH OF WARMER AIR TO MOVE INTO OUR REGION LATER SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION...WITH LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING LATE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY EVENING THEN QUICKLY CHANGING TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN EVENTUALLY TO JUST RAIN BY MONDAY. SNOW AND MIXED PRECIP AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY MINOR...SO WHILE THIS MAY PRODUCE SOME TRICKY TRAVEL FOR A FEW HOURS IT WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANT. FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM IT IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKELY THAT AT LEAST A PIECE OF THE FRIGID AIR BUILDING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL BE DRAWN SOUTHEAST AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WOULD BRING TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW AVERAGE STARTING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN FROM TUESDAY INTO AT LEAST MIDWEEK WOULD ALSO SUGGEST A BETTER CHANCE OF ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES WITH CYCLONIC WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING. STAY TUNED. && .AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL LIFT INTO WISCONSIN BY THIS EVENING... THEN OUT ACROSS ONTARIO PROVINCE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT CROSSING OUR REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THROUGH THIS EVENING...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TO BE THE GENERAL RULE...ALBEIT WITH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS AGAIN THIS EVENING AS ANOTHER SHOT OF WARM AIR ADVECTION DEVELOPS INTO OUR REGION. OVERNIGHT...THE ONGOING WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN COULD GENERATE SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS...BUT OVERALL CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN VFR...EXCEPT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER WHERE SOME MVFR/LOCALIZED IFR CIGS MAY REDEVELOP AS A SURGE OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE LIFTS NORTHWARD AT THE LOW LEVELS. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS A 45 KT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET OVERSPREADS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST...WITH THIS THEN EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. DURING THURSDAY...EXPECT SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NUMEROUS JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF KBUF AND KIAG AS THE COLD FRONT WORKS INTO OUR REGION...AND A WEAK SECONDARY WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS AND RIDES NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN CONDITIONS EVENTUALLY LOWERING TO MVFR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SOME POST-FRONTAL MVFR CIGS ALSO LIKELY TO IMPACT KBUF/KIAG FOR A TIME. OUTLOOK... THURSDAY NIGHT...DETERIORATION TO MVFR/IFR WITH A PERIOD OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. FRIDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES. SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. && .MARINE... IN THE WAKE OF A WARM FRONT...A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...THEN WILL PERSIST UNTIL A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION BETWEEN LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND EARLY THURSDAY EVENING...WHEN WINDS WILL VEER MORE WESTERLY AND DECREASE SOMEWHAT. WHILE THE HIGHEST WAVES WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE AND IN CANADIAN WATERS GIVEN THE PREVAILING SOUTHERLY FLOW...WE STILL EXPECT WINDS TO REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS EASTERN LAKE ERIE AND THE EASTERN HALF OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...FOR WHICH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN HOISTED. AFTER THIS...WESTERLY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY INCREASE AGAIN ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY NIGHT...WHICH COULD RESULT IN ADVISORY-TYPE WINDS AND WAVES PERSISTING ACROSS THAT LAKE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS IS NOT A SURE BET HOWEVER...SO FOR NOW HAVE HELD OFF ON EXTENDING THE EXISTING FLAGS INTO/THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT WINDS AND WAVES TO GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS ONLY A WEAK TO MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION. && .BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...JJR NEAR TERM...JJR SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK AVIATION...JJR MARINE...JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 4, 2:39 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 NYZ001>005-010-011-051945- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- 239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY THEN CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO JUST RAIN BY MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ012-019-020-085-051945- WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- 239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE TRANSITION. A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MAY BRING A LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATION OF SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY THEN CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO JUST RAIN BY MONDAY. FINALLY...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS MUCH COLDER AIR ENTERS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ013-014-021-051945- LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY- 239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE TRANSITION. A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MAY BRING A LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATION OF SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY THEN CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO JUST RAIN BY MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006>008-051945- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THEN CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX BY EARLY MONDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO JUST RAIN BY MIDDAY MONDAY. SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS MUCH COLDER AIR ENTERS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-051945- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF HITCHCOCK
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.