Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 118, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 4, 2013

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Dec 4, 2013, 3:40 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 5, 2013, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 38 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 4, 2013, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 5, 2013, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 6, 2013, 2:00 PM EST
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

905 
WHUS71 KBUF 042040
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
340 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

LEZ040-041-050445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0300Z-131205T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
340 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-050445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0500Z-131205T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
340 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-050445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0500Z-131206T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
340 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
10 follow-up statements
608 
WHUS71 KBUF 050231
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
931 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

LEZ040-041-051045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0300Z-131205T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
931 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-051045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0500Z-131205T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
931 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-051045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.131205T0500Z-131206T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
931 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
082 
WHUS71 KBUF 050845
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
345 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

LEZ040-041-051500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131205T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
345 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-051645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131205T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
345 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-051645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
345 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
896 
WHUS71 KBUF 051436
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
936 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

LEZ040-041-051545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131205T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
936 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

CONDITIONS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...THEREFORE THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

LOZ043-052100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131205T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
936 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-052245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
936 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
846 
WHUS71 KBUF 052036
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

LEZ040-041-060300-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-060445-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-060445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-060445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
336 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/JJR
154 
WHUS71 KBUF 060231
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
931 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

LEZ040-041-060345-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
931 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...



$$

LOZ042-043-061045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
931 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-061045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
931 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
878 
WHUS71 KBUF 060242
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
942 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

LEZ040-041-060900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
942 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LOZ042-043-061045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
942 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-061045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
942 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH
614 
WHUS71 KBUF 060839
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

LEZ040-041-060945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
339 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LOZ042-043-061500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
339 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-061645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
339 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
504 
WHUS71 KBUF 061218
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
718 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

LOZ042-043-061500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
718 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-061900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
718 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH
696 
WHUS71 KBUF 061448
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
948 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

LOZ042-043-061600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
948 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 


$$

LOZ044-045-061900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
948 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
004 
WHUS71 KBUF 061851
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
151 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

LOZ044-045-062000-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-131206T1900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
151 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 4, 2:46 PM EST, 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 2:46 PM EST, 54 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
246 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL LIFT ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES TONIGHT AND ONTARIO PROVINCE ON THURSDAY...WHEN IT WILL SWING
ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS NEW YORK STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS
WILL BE FOUND ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...BEFORE THE FRONT USHERS IN A RETURN TO MUCH COLDER AIR
AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY ON THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DURING THIS PERIOD...LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...THEN ON TO JAMES BAY ON
THURSDAY. IN THE PROCESS...THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP A SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY MILD AIR ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNING...BEFORE SWINGING ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS NEW YORK
STATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TONIGHT...EXPECT GENERALLY DRY WEATHER TO PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF
THIS EVENING...THOUGH THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER ONCE
AGAIN AS YET ANOTHER SURGE OF WARM AIR ADVECTION OVERSPREADS OUR
REGION. AFTER THAT...A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET SEGMENT AND
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL RIPPLE NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE DEEP
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...AND SHOULD HELP TO AUGMENT THE BACKGROUND
WARM ADVECTIVE LIFT JUST ENOUGH TO GENERATE A ROUND OF SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. AT THIS POINT...THE BEST CHANCES FOR THESE
APPEAR TO BE FROM THE COUNTIES ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO
NORTHWARD...WITH SOMEWHAT LOWER PROBABILITIES FOUND FURTHER TO THE
SOUTH GIVEN WEAKER OVERALL SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING. OTHERWISE...THE
COMBINATION OF THE INCREASINGLY MILD AIRMASS AND A STRENGTHENING
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN NIGHTTIME LOWS THAT WILL BE
WELL ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES...AS WELL AS A NON-DIURNAL TEMPERATURE
TREND WITH READINGS GENERALLY BOTTOMING OUT THIS EVENING...THEN
SLOWLY RISING OVERNIGHT. EXPECT LOWS TO RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER
30S ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...TO AS HIGH AS THE MID AND UPPER 40S
ALONG THE LAKE PLAINS OF FAR WESTERN NEW YORK WHERE INCREASING
DOWNSLOPING EFFECTS WILL ALSO COME INTO PLAY. SPEAKING OF WHICH...
THESE WILL PROBABLY ALSO RESULT IN INCREASINGLY WINDY CONDITIONS
ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE SOUTH OF BUFFALO...WHERE SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR SO APPEAR TO BE A
DISTINCT POSSIBILITY DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

ON THURSDAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH OUR AREA
DURING THE MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY CROSSING NEW YORK STATE DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A WEAK SECONDARY WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS AND RIDES NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. COUPLED
TOGETHER...THESE TWO FEATURES WILL HELP FORCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ANOTHER ROUND OF MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS BETWEEN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH THE 12Z GUIDANCE SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON
FOCUSING THE BULK OF THESE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND NORTH COUNTRY...WHILE KEEPING MORE
SCATTERED ACTIVITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. GIVEN
BOTH FAVORABLE LIFT AND MOISTURE...HAVE BUMPED POPS ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN TIER/FINGER LAKES/NORTH COUNTRY ZONES TO THE HIGH LIKELY TO
CATEGORICAL RANGE FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE KEEPING CHANCE POPS
IN PLAY FURTHER TO THE NORTH AND WEST. TEMPERATURE-WISE...THE VERY
MILD AIRMASS AND PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT
WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S IN MOST
PLACES BY MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON...BEFORE READINGS BEGIN TO DROP OFF
A BIT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW YORK THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE
FROPA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
THURSDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION.
AS IT DOES SO...A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RUN NORTHEAST ALONG
THE BOUNDARY. THIS WILL INCREASE DIFFERENTIAL THERMAL ADVECTION
ACROSS THE BOUNDARY WITH FRONTOGENETIC FORCING AND UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE BRINGING INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIP OVERNIGHT. THE
GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE
AREA FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH THE FINGER LAKES TO CENTRAL
NY...WITH MUCH LESSER AMOUNTS NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER.

PRECIP TYPE WILL BE DIFFICULT...AS LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION
UNDERCUTS THE FRONTAL WAVE. IN GENERAL EXPECT RAIN TO SLOWLY TURN TO
WET SNOW LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST...BUT WITH
THE COLD AIR UNDERCUTTING THE FRONTAL WAVE THERE MAY BE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN DURING THE TRANSITION MAINLY FROM
THE SOUTHERN TIER INTO THE FINGER LAKES. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE
RELATIVELY LIGHT...WITH AN INCH OR SO ON THE HILLS OF THE SOUTHERN
TIER AND LESS THAN AN INCH ELSEWHERE. THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF
CENTRAL NY WILL BE LAST TO CHANGEOVER...SO EXPECT MAINLY RAIN THERE
WITH NO ACCUMULATION.

ON FRIDAY THE FIRST FRONTAL WAVE WILL MOVE OFF INTO NEW ENGLAND.
THIS SHOULD ALLOW PRECIP TO END IN MOST AREAS...WITH THE POSSIBLE
EXCEPTION OF THE SOUTHERN TIER WHICH MAY REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
FRONTAL ZONE TO ALLOW A FEW LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE.
OTHERWISE FOR THE REST OF THE AREA EXPECT A GOOD AMOUNT OF MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BACK
CLOSE TO AVERAGE WITH MID TO UPPER 30S AT MOST LOCATIONS.

FRIDAY NIGHT ANOTHER FRONTAL WAVE IS A POSSIBILITY...ALTHOUGH MODEL
GUIDANCE IS STILL IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE AMPLITUDE
AND TRACK OF THIS WAVE. THE NAM...ECMWF...AND SREF MEAN ARE A LITTLE
FARTHER NORTH WITH THIS FEATURE WHILE THE LATEST 12Z GFS IS MORE
SUPPRESSED AND WEAKER. FAVOR THE SOMEWHAT FARTHER NORTH MODEL
CONSENSUS FOR NOW GIVEN RUN TO RUN INCONSISTENCY SEEN IN THE GFS
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. IF THE FARTHER NORTH SOLUTION VERIFIES
THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES WITH SOME MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

BY SATURDAY MORNING THIS NEXT FRONTAL WAVE WILL BE EXITING INTO NEW
ENGLAND. COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE WAVE WILL BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SOME LIMITED LAKE RESPONSE...BUT A VERY DRY
BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT...ANTICYCLONIC CURVATURE IN THE LOW LEVELS...
AND AN OVERALL UNFAVORABLE SYNOPTIC SETTING WILL GREATLY LIMIT THIS
POTENTIAL. EXPECT JUST A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE ON SATURDAY. EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO MAY BE MARGINALLY MORE FAVORABLE...BUT STILL ONLY EXPECT A
FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SUNDAY WILL START OFF DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY CRESTING OVER
THE LOWER LAKES IN THE MORNING. OUR ATTENTION QUICKLY TURNS TO THE
NEXT SYSTEM AS A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE EJECTS OUT OF THE
WESTERN TROUGH. A WEAK ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
LOWER OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT THEN TRACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL LAKES
ON MONDAY. THIS TRACK WILL ALLOW A BRIEF PUSH OF WARMER AIR TO MOVE
INTO OUR REGION LATER SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION...WITH LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING LATE
SUNDAY OR SUNDAY EVENING THEN QUICKLY CHANGING TO A WINTRY MIX
SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN EVENTUALLY TO JUST RAIN BY MONDAY. SNOW AND
MIXED PRECIP AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY MINOR...SO WHILE THIS MAY
PRODUCE SOME TRICKY TRAVEL FOR A FEW HOURS IT WILL NOT BE
SIGNIFICANT.

FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM IT IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKELY THAT AT
LEAST A PIECE OF THE FRIGID AIR BUILDING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
WILL BE DRAWN SOUTHEAST AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS WOULD BRING TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW AVERAGE STARTING
AS EARLY AS TUESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. THE
SYNOPTIC PATTERN FROM TUESDAY INTO AT LEAST MIDWEEK WOULD ALSO
SUGGEST A BETTER CHANCE OF ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE
LAKES WITH CYCLONIC WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL LIFT INTO WISCONSIN BY THIS EVENING...
THEN OUT ACROSS ONTARIO PROVINCE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH ITS
TRAILING COLD FRONT CROSSING OUR REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

THROUGH THIS EVENING...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND VFR CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE TO BE THE GENERAL RULE...ALBEIT WITH SOME INCREASE IN
CLOUDS AGAIN THIS EVENING AS ANOTHER SHOT OF WARM AIR ADVECTION
DEVELOPS INTO OUR REGION. OVERNIGHT...THE ONGOING WARM AIR ADVECTION
PATTERN COULD GENERATE SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS...BUT OVERALL
CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN VFR...EXCEPT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE SOUTHERN TIER WHERE SOME MVFR/LOCALIZED IFR CIGS MAY REDEVELOP
AS A SURGE OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE LIFTS NORTHWARD AT THE LOW LEVELS.
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS A 45 KT
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET OVERSPREADS THE REGION FROM WEST TO
EAST...WITH THIS THEN EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THURSDAY MORNING
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY.

DURING THURSDAY...EXPECT SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS TO GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF KBUF AND KIAG AS THE COLD FRONT
WORKS INTO OUR REGION...AND A WEAK SECONDARY WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS AND RIDES NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN CONDITIONS EVENTUALLY LOWERING TO MVFR ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SOME
POST-FRONTAL MVFR CIGS ALSO LIKELY TO IMPACT KBUF/KIAG FOR A TIME.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT...DETERIORATION TO MVFR/IFR WITH A PERIOD OF RAIN AND
SNOW LIKELY.
FRIDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO.
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
IN THE WAKE OF A WARM FRONT...A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
OVERSPREAD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...THEN WILL PERSIST UNTIL A
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION BETWEEN LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND
EARLY THURSDAY EVENING...WHEN WINDS WILL VEER MORE WESTERLY AND
DECREASE SOMEWHAT. WHILE THE HIGHEST WAVES WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE AND
IN CANADIAN WATERS GIVEN THE PREVAILING SOUTHERLY FLOW...WE STILL
EXPECT WINDS TO REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS EASTERN LAKE ERIE AND
THE EASTERN HALF OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...FOR WHICH
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN HOISTED.

AFTER THIS...WESTERLY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY INCREASE AGAIN ACROSS
LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY NIGHT...WHICH COULD RESULT IN ADVISORY-TYPE
WINDS AND WAVES PERSISTING ACROSS THAT LAKE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS
IS NOT A SURE BET HOWEVER...SO FOR NOW HAVE HELD OFF ON EXTENDING
THE EXISTING FLAGS INTO/THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
WINDS AND WAVES TO GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AS ONLY A WEAK TO MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...JJR
MARINE...JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 4, 2:39 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

NYZ001>005-010-011-051945-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY THEN CHANGE TO A
WINTRY MIX SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO JUST RAIN BY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-051945-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS
DURING THE TRANSITION.

A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MAY BRING A LIGHT TO MODERATE
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF
PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY THEN
CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO JUST RAIN
BY MONDAY.

FINALLY...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE NEXT TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY AS MUCH COLDER AIR ENTERS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-014-021-051945-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS
DURING THE TRANSITION.

A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MAY BRING A LIGHT TO MODERATE
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF
PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY THEN
CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO JUST RAIN
BY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-051945-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THEN CHANGE TO A
WINTRY MIX BY EARLY MONDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO JUST RAIN BY MIDDAY
MONDAY.

SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO NEXT
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS MUCH COLDER AIR ENTERS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-051945-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
239 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.