Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2013
Small Craft Advisory 109, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Nov 14, 2013, 12:52 PM EST. It was in force for 27 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 14, 2013, 12:52 PM EST (17:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 15, 2013, 3:36 PM EST
- In force
- 27 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
172 WHUS71 KBUF 141752 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1252 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 LEZ040-041-150200- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-131114T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1252 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-150200- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-131114T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.131114T1752Z-131115T1700Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1252 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-150200- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-131114T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 1252 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-150200- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-131114T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.131114T1752Z-131115T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1252 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062>065-141900- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-131114T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1252 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE WARNING. $$ LOZ030-142300- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T2300Z/ LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 1252 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-142100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T2100Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 1252 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
7 follow-up statements
252 WHUS71 KBUF 142044 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 344 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 LEZ040-041-150445- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131116T0600Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 344 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-150000- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T0000Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 344 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ030-150000- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T0000Z/ LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 344 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-150445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T1700Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 344 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-150445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 344 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-150445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 344 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
783 WHUS71 KBUF 142326 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 626 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 LOZ030-SLZ022-024-150030- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T0000Z/ LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 626 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TONIGHT. $$ LEZ040-041-150730- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131116T0600Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 626 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-150730- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T1700Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 626 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-150730- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 626 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-150730- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 626 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
147 WHUS71 KBUF 150601 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 101 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 LEZ040-041-151415- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131116T0600Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 101 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-151415- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T1700Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 101 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-151415- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 101 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-151415- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 101 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
703 WHUS71 KBUF 150837 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 337 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 LEZ040-041-151645- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131116T1300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 337 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-151645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T1700Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 337 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-151645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 337 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-151645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 337 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
734 WHUS71 KBUF 151436 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 936 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 LEZ040-041-152245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131116T1300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 936 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-151700- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T1700Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 936 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-152100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 936 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-152245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 936 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
861 WHUS71 KBUF 151741 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1241 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 LEZ040-041-160145- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131116T1300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1241 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-152100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 1241 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-152300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1241 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
673 WHUS71 KBUF 152036 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 336 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 LOZ043>045-160445- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-131115T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0013.131118T0000Z-131118T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 336 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...SOUTH TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LEZ020-152145- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131115T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 336 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LEZ040-041-160445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131116T1300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0013.131117T2100Z-131118T1800Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 336 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...SOUTH TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ042-062>065-160445- /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0013.131118T0000Z-131118T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 336 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 14, 12:50 PM EST, 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 12:50 PM EST, 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1250 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND BRING INCREASING SUNSHINE AND AND RATHER WINDY
CONDITIONS TO OUR AREA...THOUGH SOME CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY. AS THE HIGH SLIDES OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE AVERAGE LEVELS.
MOISTURE SURGING AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS SUNDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER JAMES BAY. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE
TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN BREEZY TO RATHER WINDY
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE. HAVE DECIDED TO
DROP THE WIND ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN ERIE AND NIAGARA COUNTIES
SINCE THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN AVERAGING UNDER ADVISORY
LEVELS.
REGARDING CLOUD COVER...WE ARE STILL SEEING THE INFLUENCE FROM A
NARROW LAYER OF MOISTURE WHICH IS TRAPPED BELOW A STEEP SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION...PER THE 12Z KBUF SOUNDING. THIS MOISTURE IS RESULTING
IN MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. FARTHER TO THE
WEST...MUCH DRIER AIR ABOVE THE INVERSION HAS MIXED DOWN TO THE
SURFACE. AS A RESULT MAINLY SUNNY SKIES ARE THE RULE ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA WEST OF THE NORTH COUNTRY.
TONIGHT THE CONTINUED WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN WILL CONTINUE.
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS THE MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT REMAINS
WELL TO OUR NORTH AND WEST AS IT ENCROACHES UPON THE BROAD
ANTICYCLONE OVER THE EAST COAST.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
OUR REGION WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WHICH WILL
LIFT FROM THE MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS
WILL BRING WESTERN NEW YORK FAIR WEATHER AND MODERATING TEMPERATURES.
ON FRIDAY...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL WASH OUT AS IT PASSES TO THE
NORTH...WITH 00Z NAM/GFS/GGEM AND 21Z SREF GUIDANCE ALL IN AGREEMENT
THAT ANY SHOWERS WITH THIS FRONT WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH.
THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH WIND GUSTS TO
35 MPH ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
MODEL CONSENSUS BRINGS A WEAK SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT...BUT AGAIN THIS WILL BRING NO SENSIBLE WEATHER WITH JUST SOME
HIGH CLOUDS. MEANWHILE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TO OUR
EAST...WHICH WILL BRING LIGHTER WINDS TO THE REGION. THIS WILL
PROMOTE SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
AND IN THE SOUTHERN TIER WHERE LOWS WILL DECOUPLING WINDS WILL
RESULT IN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM
BEHIND THE EXITING SHORTWAVE...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING WELL INTO
THE 50S ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
ON SATURDAY NIGHT OUR REGION WILL BE IN BETWEEN DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WHICH WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING MUCH OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE AN
ASSOCIATED WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIFT TO OUR WEST...BUT IT WILL
BE ILL-DEFINED FURTHER FROM THE LOW IN OUR REGION. SOME MODEL
GUIDANCE GENERATES SOME QPF WITH THE FRONT...BUT THE GENERAL
CONSENSUS KEEPS THIS TO OUR WEST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. AT THIS
POINT...EXPECT ANYTHING WITH THE WARM FRONT WOULD PROBABLY BE LIGHT
AND WIDELY SCATTERED.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN AS IT LIFTS FROM THE UPPER LAKES
TOWARD HUDSON BAY. 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THERE WILL BE AN INTENSE LOW NEAR HUDSON BAY ON MONDAY BUT IT DIFFERS
ON EXACTLY HOW THAT WILL EVOLVE. THE 00Z GFS IS FURTHER NW WITH THE
SURFACE LOW THAN OTHER GUIDANCE...AND THE CONSENSUS OF ALL 00Z RUNS
ARE FASTER THAN PREVIOUS GUIDANCE. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE LATEST
FORECAST IS A BIT FASTER WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE TIME PERIOD.
SUNDAY WILL BE A WARM AND RATHER WINDY DAY. WHILE THE 00Z GFS IS
LIKELY A BIT OVERDONE WITH ITS WINDS ON SUNDAY...EXPECT WIND GUSTS
OF 35 TO 40 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON IN A BRISK SOUTHERLY FLOW. THE
SOUTHERLY WIND WILL RESULT IN SOME DOWNSLOPING IN THE LAKE PLAINS
WHICH WILL BRING WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS IN THE
60S IN MOST LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION WILL PROBABLY DEPEND ON THE
LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WHICH SHOULD STAY
TO OUR WEST FOR THE BETTER PART OF THE DAY.
HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A PERIOD OF RAIN AS THE LOW LEVEL JET AND
COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE MOVE ACROSS OUR
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE 00Z GGEM/ECMWF BOTH FORECAST A
SURFACE LOW TRACK WHICH WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER BEHIND THE COLD FRONT EARLY
MONDAY. WILL ADD A MENTION OF THIS TO THE HWO...WITH UNCERTAINTY IN
THE MODEL TRACK.
THE COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN COLDER AIR ON MONDAY...WITH DROPPING
TEMPERATURES. EXPECT RAIN SHOWER TO EXIT EAST...WITH A BRIEF BREAK
BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE SHORTWAVE EXITS. THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS
TEMPERATURES ALOFT DROP ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS.
INITIALLY THIS SHOULD BE RAIN SHOWERS EAST OF THE LAKES...BUT THESE
WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT
DROP TO AROUND -11C AT 850MB. AT THIS POINT...THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION APPEARS LIMITED WITH A WNW FLOW WHICH WILL
LIMIT FETCH AND A SHARP BUT PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROF. THIS
SAID...SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY LINGER INTO TUESDAY UNTIL HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST AND DRIES THINGS OUT FOR WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH
DAYTIME HIGHS ONLY IN THE 30S.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
DEEPER MOISTURE OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE A VFR
DECK OF CLOUDS VCNTY OF KART THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...BEFORE DRIER
AIR MIXES DOWN TO THE SURFACE AND ALLOWS THE CLOUDS TO THIN OUT.
OTHERWISE...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON AS A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. THE
STRONGEST WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT KBUF/KIAG THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. WHERE THE WIND GUSTS ARE LOWER...LLWS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
CONCERN WITH LOW LEVEL WINDS AVERAGING 40 TO 50 KNOTS. AFTER WINDS
SUBSIDE THIS EVENING...LLWS WILL IMPACT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH MOST
OF THE NIGHT.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY...VFR.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH CHANCE OF -SHRA THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS...THEN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LLWS LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT.
MONDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH -SHRA LIKELY EARLY TO THE EAST. THEN SHOWERS
ENDING THROUGH THE DAY.
&&
.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DROPPED FOR ALL OPEN WATERS AND NEARSHORE
LOCATIONS AND HAVE BEEN REPLACED BY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE
TIMES INDICATED BELOW.
THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND LOW PRESSURE OVER TRACKING EAST ACROSS JAMES
BAY WILL MAINTAIN BRISK SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THE LAKES THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE A BIT TONIGHT...THEN PICK UP A BIT
MORE ON FRIDAY.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
LOZ030.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LOZ043>045.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR LOZ042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR SLZ022-024.
&&
SYNOPSIS...TJP
NEAR TERM...TJP
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL
AVIATION...TJP
MARINE...TJPHazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 12:44 PM EST, 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1244 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 NYZ001-010-151745- NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE- 1244 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...DEPENDING ON THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ002-003-011-019-085-151745- ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE- 1244 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...DEPENDING ON THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ004>008-012>014-020-021-151745- WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON- ONTARIO-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- 1244 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-151745- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 1244 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 11:34 PM EST | Wind Advisory | BUF | Erie, Niagara | 13 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.