River Flood Warning 13, NWS Buffalo, NY

328 
WGUS81 KBUF 230402
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1102 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-037-063-121-231002-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131223T2308Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T0809Z.131222T2300Z.131223T1708Z.NO/
1102 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER AT BATAVIA HAS CRESTED AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  AMHERST. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING ALONG ROUTE 5 FROM THE 
  WEST SIDE OF THE CITY OF BATAVIA INTO THE TOWN OF BATAVIA AND EAST
  PEMBROKE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND FEEDER 
  STREAMS ALONG TONAWANDA CREEK ESPECIALLY NEAR IROQUOIS NATIONAL
  WILDLIFE REFUGE AND THE TONAWANDA INDIAN RESERVATION.

$$

NYC029-063-231002-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-131225T1030Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0220Z.131224T0600Z.131225T0430Z.NR/
1102 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.5 FEET
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-231002-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131224T1400Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.131222T2250Z.131223T1200Z.131224T0800Z.UU/
1102 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.6 FEET 
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-231002-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T0130Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1200Z.131223T1930Z.NO/
1102 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.5 FEET 
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-231001-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131224T1800Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1505Z.131223T0600Z.131224T1200Z.NO/
1102 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR ITS FORECAST CREST OF 10.6 FEET AND IS NOW
  FORECAST TO SLOWLY RECEDE THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-037-231001-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131223T2046Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0701Z.131223T0600Z.131223T1446Z.NR/
1102 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED NEAR 9.7 FEET AND IS NOW FORECAST TO 
  STEADILY FALL THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

910 
WGUS41 KBUF 230537
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1237 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...
  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.

&&

NYC037-055-231137-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131224T1600Z/
/GRBN6.2.ER.131222T2250Z.131223T1200Z.131224T1000Z.UU/
1237 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.0 FEET 
  THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC037-055-231137-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T0400Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1200Z.131223T2200Z.NO/
1237 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.0 FEET 
  THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

APFFEL

045 
WGUS81 KBUF 230925
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
425 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-231525-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131225T0000Z/
/GRBN6.2.ER.131222T2250Z.131223T1200Z.131224T1800Z.UU/
425 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.1 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC037-055-231525-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T0920Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1200Z.131224T0320Z.NR/
425 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.7 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO THE VICINITY OF THE 
  ROCHESTER AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER PROBLEMS FROM THE GENESEE RIVER 
  EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-231524-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131224T0527Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T0809Z.131222T2300Z.131223T2327Z.NO/
425 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  AMHERST. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING ALONG ROUTE 5 FROM THE 
  WEST SIDE OF THE CITY OF BATAVIA INTO THE TOWN OF BATAVIA AND EAST
  PEMBROKE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND FEEDER 
  STREAMS ALONG TONAWANDA CREEK ESPECIALLY NEAR IROQUOIS NATIONAL
  WILDLIFE REFUGE AND THE TONAWANDA INDIAN RESERVATION.

$$

NYC029-063-231524-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-131225T1530Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0220Z.131224T0600Z.131225T0930Z.NR/
425 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.7 FEET
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC009-231524-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131224T1403Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1505Z.131223T0130Z.131224T0803Z.NO/
425 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 3 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-037-231524-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131223T2320Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0701Z.131223T0245Z.131223T1720Z.NR/
425 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

APFFEL

622 
WGUS81 KBUF 231510
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1010 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-232110-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131225T0000Z/
/GRBN6.2.ER.131222T2250Z.131223T1130Z.131224T1800Z.UU/
1010 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET AND CRESTING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC037-055-232110-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T1905Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1400Z.131224T1305Z.NR/
1010 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET AND CRESTING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO THE VICINITY OF THE 
  ROCHESTER AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER PROBLEMS FROM THE GENESEE RIVER 
  EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-232110-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131224T0527Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T0809Z.131222T2300Z.131223T2327Z.NO/
1010 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE 
  REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN ALABAMA SWAMPS, 
  RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND ALSO IN CITY OF 
  BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-063-232110-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-131225T1530Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0220Z.131224T0600Z.131225T0930Z.NR/
1010 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.7 FEET
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC009-232110-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131224T1403Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1505Z.131223T0130Z.131224T0803Z.NO/
1010 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.1 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-037-232110-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131223T2328Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0701Z.131223T0245Z.131223T1728Z.NR/
1010 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...SOME FLOODING BEGINS ALONG AERO
  DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO SOME FLOODING 
  ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH AS THE BIKE 
  PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK PARK. LITTLE
  OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

962 
WGUS81 KBUF 232035
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
335 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-240235-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T1715Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1900Z.131224T1115Z.NR/
335 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO THE VICINITY OF THE 
  ROCHESTER AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER PROBLEMS FROM THE GENESEE RIVER 
  EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-240235-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131224T0824Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T0809Z.131222T2300Z.131224T0224Z.NO/
335 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE 
  REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN ALABAMA SWAMPS, 
  RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND ALSO IN CITY OF 
  BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-063-240235-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-131225T1905Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0220Z.131224T0600Z.131225T1305Z.NR/
335 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.8 FEET
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-240235-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131225T0000Z/
/GRBN6.2.ER.131222T2250Z.131223T1130Z.131224T1800Z.UU/
335 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC009-232105-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131224T1403Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1505Z.131223T0130Z.131223T1415Z.NO/
335 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN.
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 9.3 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-037-232105-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131223T2328Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0701Z.131223T0245Z.131223T1907Z.NR/
335 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE.
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 4.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...SOME FLOODING BEGINS ALONG AERO
  DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO SOME FLOODING 
  ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH AS THE BIKE 
  PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK PARK. LITTLE
  OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

568 
WGUS81 KBUF 240235
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
935 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-240835-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T2145Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1900Z.131224T1545Z.NR/
935 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO THE VICINITY OF THE 
  ROCHESTER AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER PROBLEMS FROM THE GENESEE RIVER 
  EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-240305-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131224T0824Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T0809Z.131222T2300Z.131224T0145Z.NO/
935 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.1 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

NYC029-063-240835-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-131226T0300Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0220Z.131224T1800Z.131225T2100Z.NR/
935 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.4 FEET
  EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-240835-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131224T1600Z/
/GRBN6.2.ER.131222T2250Z.131223T1130Z.131224T1000Z.UU/
935 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

HITCHCOCK

775 
WGUS81 KBUF 240828
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
328 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-241428-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T2145Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1900Z.131224T1545Z.NR/
328 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

NYC029-063-241428-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-131226T0300Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0220Z.131224T1800Z.131225T2100Z.NR/
328 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.2 FEET
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-240858-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131224T1600Z/
/GRBN6.2.ER.131222T2250Z.131223T1130Z.131224T0636Z.UU/
328 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT.
* AT 3 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

148 
WGUS81 KBUF 241402
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
902 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-063-242002-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-131226T0300Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0220Z.131224T1800Z.131225T2100Z.NR/
902 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.2 FEET
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-242002-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T2224Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1900Z.131224T1624Z.NR/
902 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

680 
WGUS81 KBUF 241939
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
239 PM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-063-250139-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-131225T2230Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0220Z.131224T1815Z.131225T1630Z.NR/
239 PM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-242009-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131224T2224Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1900Z.131224T1835Z.NR/
239 PM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE.
* AT 2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 4.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
715 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE EAST COAST WILL PRODUCE A
LITTLE MORE LIGHT RAIN TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER
LAKES EASTWARD...WITH THIS MIXING WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS LATER
TONIGHT. MONDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WILL THEN FEATURE A
RETURN TO MUCH COLDER WEATHER ALONG WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS...
ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES WHERE SOME ACCUMULATING LAKE
EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 00Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE BAND OF MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE INDUCED PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA HAS WEAKENED AND SHIFTED EAST INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...AND LEWIS COUNTIES...WHERE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE ALL ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
FURTHER EAST AND EXIT THE AREA ENTIRELY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO...WITH MAINLY DRY AND CLOUDY WEATHER THEN FOLLOWING FOR THE
BALANCE OF THE EVENING. WITH THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL FREEZING RAIN
AND ICING THUS HAVING ENDED ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...HAVE
CANCELLED THE ICE STORM WARNING FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE AND
ADDITIONAL MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL RIPPLE NORTH ALONG THE
BOUNDARY. THIS MAY BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF LIGHT PRECIP MAINLY FROM
THE SOUTHERN TIER INTO THE FINGER LAKES AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION. TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE DROPPING LATE TONIGHT AS COLDER
AIR BEGINS TO FILTER BACK IN. THIS WILL CHANGE RAIN SHOWERS OVER TO
SNOW SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST. THIS COLDER AIR ALOFT WILL ALSO END THE FREEZING RAIN
RISK ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY LATE TONIGHT.

BY MIDDAY MONDAY THE WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING
NORTHEAST THROUGH NEW ENGLAND WITH ANY SYNOPTIC SCALE PRECIP COMING
TO AN END. STEADY LOW/MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL ALLOW THE
AIRMASS TO COOL ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A LIMITED LAKE RESPONSE DURING THE
AFTERNOON OFF LAKE ERIE...AND BY LATE AFTERNOON OFF LAKE ONTARIO.
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY DEVELOP BY MIDDAY NEAR BUFFALO AND
BATAVIA...THEN SETTLE SLOWLY SOUTH TO SOUTHERN ERIE/WYOMING COUNTY
AND THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER LATER IN THE DAY AND BECOME MORE
LIKELY. MAY SEE AN INCH OR SO BY EVENING ACROSS THE HILLS SOUTH OF
BUFFALO. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO
DEVELOP LATE IN THE DAY WITH A DUSTING TO AN INCH POSSIBLE IN A FEW
SPOTS BY EARLY EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
A RETURN TO NOTICEABLY COLDER WEATHER WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS PERIOD
AS A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETS UP ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES.

A NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLDER AIR WILL BE FILTERING ACROSS THE AREA
MONDAY NIGHT. WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO DROP TO ABOUT
-15C...LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE. AT THE SAME TIME
THERE WILL BE SOME INCREASE IN SYNOPTIC MOISTURE IN ADVANCE OF THE
APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE MAIN DETRIMENT TO THE GENERATION
OF ORGANIZED LAKE SNOWS WILL BE THE PRESENCE OF A LOT OF SHEAR
WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. MODEL GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTS A
CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY MAY SET UP ACROSS NW PA. THIS MAY RESULT IN
BETTER ORGANIZED SNOW ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

ON TUESDAY...THE AXIS OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
CENTRAL NEW YORK DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE FLOW BEHIND THE TROUGH
WILL BECOME BETTER ALIGNED FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS COMBINED WITH
FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH WITHIN A LAYER OF VERY MOIST AIR IN THE LOWEST
5K FEET WILL ALLOW LAKE SNOWS TO BLOSSOM SOUTH OF THE LAKES. THE
PRESENCE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL LIKELY RESULT IN VERY FLUFFY SNOW WITH
20 TO 30 TO 1 RATIOS POSSIBLE. IF THE SNOW DOES GET ORGANIZED WITHIN
THIS ENVIRONMENT...ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE ONTARIO.

TEMPERATURE AND MOISTURE PROFILES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT
SNOW THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY OFF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE
WEAKENING SNOW MAY LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. FOR LAKE
ERIE...DRIER AIR AND INCREASING SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DIE OUT DURING THE SECOND
HALF OF THE NIGHT.

ANY LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL END WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS OVER NEW YORK STATE. AS THIS HIGH
SHIFTS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON...WARMING
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS.

TUESDAY WILL BE A VERY COLD DAY AS TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO GET OUT
OF THE TEENS. THE CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR WILL BE OVER OUR AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...READINGS
MAY DROP TO MINUS FIVE TO MINUS 15 DEGREES. A SOUTHWEST FLOW ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 20S
ON CHRISTMAS DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
GFS AND ECMWF AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS PERIOD SHOW A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND A LARGE
SFC HIGH ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST. THIS SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO
SWING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NY THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
EVENING WITH ITS SFC COLD FRONT. BEHIND IT...LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP EAST OF BOTH LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO.
ALTHOUGH...BOTH MODELS SHOW LIMITED AMOUNT OF MOISTURE FOLLOWING THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE AND SFC HIGH RAPIDLY BUILDING INTO THE REGION.
FRIDAY..ANY LINGERING LAKE EFFECT WILL SHUT DOWN AS THE SFC HIGH
MOVES OVERHEAD. THIS SFC HIGH SHIFTS TO THE EAST SATURDAY WITH THE
APPROACH OF ANOTHER SHORTWAVE AND THEN PUSHES A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. TEMPERATURE WISE...FRIDAY WILL
BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE PERIOD THEN TEMPERATURES WARM TO OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...LOW PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS NEW YORK STATE
WILL GRADUALLY SLIDE EAST AND OUT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. PLENTY OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERING BEHIND THE LOW WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED IFR
TO MVFR CIGS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THESE GENERALLY SHOWING SOME
MODEST IMPROVEMENT DURING THE COURSE OF MONDAY.

IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...ONE FINAL WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD JUST INLAND FROM THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE WILL
BRING SOME LIMITED LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO INTERIOR PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN TIER/FINGER LAKES/NORTH COUNTRY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
AND EARLY MONDAY...WHICH COULD PRODUCE SOME REDUCTIONS IN VSBY TO
IFR/MVFR. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE...A WEST TO
NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLDER AIR OVERSPREADING THE AREA WILL THEN HELP
TO GENERATE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES THROUGH THE REST OF MONDAY...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE
REDUCTIONS TO IFR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH IFR IN STEADIER SNOW
SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
BRISK SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ON LAKE ERIE WILL BRING A SHORT WINDOW OF
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND WAVES THIS EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING
LATER TONIGHT. ON LAKE ONTARIO WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME SOUTHWEST
TONIGHT...BUT SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL THEN DEVELOP MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH
ANOTHER ROUND OF ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SEE THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE
INFORMATION.

THE HEAVY RAIN IS NOW OVER. GENERAL FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WHICH WAS CONCENTRATED IN WESTERN NY
ESPECIALLY THE BUFFALO METRO AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THIS
AFTERNOON AS WATER DRAINS. SMALL STREAMS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO
RECEDE THIS AFTERNOON AS WATER DRAINS INTO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS.

THE FASTER RESPONDING BUFFALO CREEKS OF CAZENOVIA...CAYUGA...AND
BUFFALO ARE ALL FALLING RAPIDLY AND NOW BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA IS ALSO BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND FALLING
RAPIDLY.

ELLICOTT CREEK IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE OTHERS. THIS CREEK ALSO
HAS A DOUBLE CREST. THE FIRST HAS ALREADY OCCURRED...THE SECOND
WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER AND WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING.

THE TONAWANDA CREEK IS MUCH SLOWER...AND WILL CREST AT THE MAJOR
FLOOD RANGE BY EARLY EVENING AT BATAVIA. THE FLOOD WAVE
TYPICALLY THEN TAKES ABOUT 48 HOURS TO REACH DOWN TO RAPIDS AND
IMPACT THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF AMHERST AND CLARENCE. MODERATE
FLOODING IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP THERE AND CREST BY AROUND TUESDAY
MORNING. AT THIS LEVEL THERE IS EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN
NORTHERN AMHERST AND CLARENCE. SOME OF THE SMALLER FEEDER STREAMS
ALSO BACK UP WITH WATER AND RESULT IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING.

THE ALLEGHENY RIVER WILL CREST RIGHT NEAR OR JUST BELOW FLOOD
STAGE AT SALAMANCA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AT OLEAN...THERE IS
TYPICALLY A DOUBLE CREST SO EXPECT A PEAK TODAY...THEN IT WILL
LEVEL OUT OR COME BACK UP JUST A LITTLE THROUGH MONDAY IN THE
MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

THE OATKA CREEK NEAR GARBUTT WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND REACH NEAR
FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT. BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE WILL CONTINUE TO
RISE SLOWLY...BUT FOR NOW IS EXPECTED TO CREST JUST BELOW FLOOD
STAGE LATE TONIGHT BUT BEARS WATCHING.

THE BLACK RIVER EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW
FLOOD STAGE. MUCH OF THE RAIN WAS ABSORBED BY DEEP SNOWPACK...AND
A PORTION OF THE RAIN FELL AS ICE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ040-041.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/JJR
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJR
SHORT TERM...TJP
LONG TERM...AR/TJP
AVIATION...JJR/TJP
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/JJR
HYDROLOGY...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
652 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

NYZ001>008-010>014-021-240000-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
652 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-085-240000-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
652 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SOME ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ERIE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-240000-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
652 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
354 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     FLOOD            WARSAW                  42.74N  78.13W
12/21/2013                   WYOMING            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BUFFALO RD FLOODED.

1130 AM     FLOOD            EAGLE                   42.55N  78.30W
12/21/2013                   WYOMING            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WESTHILL RD FLOODED.

1230 PM     FLOOD            SINCLAIRVILLE           42.26N  79.26W
12/21/2013                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            RT 380 NEAR BLOOMER RD.

0100 PM     FLOOD            BATAVIA                 43.00N  78.19W
12/21/2013                   GENESEE            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEAVINER RD FLOODED.

0221 PM     ICE STORM        CLAYTON                 44.24N  76.09W
12/21/2013                   JEFFERSON          NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE LIMBS AND POWERLINES DOWN

0222 PM     FLOOD            ALEXANDER               42.90N  78.26W
12/21/2013                   GENESEE            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            RAILROAD AVE FLOODED.

0223 PM     ICE STORM        ALEXANDRIA BAY          44.34N  75.92W
12/21/2013                   JEFFERSON          NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE LIMBS AND POWERLINES DOWN

1230 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION LIVONIA                 42.82N  77.67W
12/22/2013                   LIVINGSTON         NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FREEZING RAIN...ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH ON TREES.

0100 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION NORTH TONAWANDA         43.04N  78.87W
12/22/2013                   NIAGARA            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN. LIGHT GLAZE LESS THAN
            TENTH OF AN INCH.

0138 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 1 ESE MOUNT READ        43.25N  77.64W
12/22/2013                   MONROE             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FREEZING RAIN GLAZE ABOUT TWO SHEETS OF PAPER THICK.

0300 AM     FLOOD            DOYLE                   42.88N  78.78W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            I-90 RAMP TO WILLIAMS ST CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0304 AM     FLOOD            CHEEKTOWAGA             42.91N  78.75W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            WILLIAMS ST CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM CAYUGA CREEK RD
            TO TAMARK CT.

0416 AM     FLOOD            WEST SENECA             42.84N  78.75W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            RT 240 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM NORTH SENECA ST TO
            SENECA ST

0430 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 3 NE TONAWANDA          43.02N  78.83W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            0.2 INCHES

0500 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION MEDINA                  43.22N  78.39W
12/22/2013                   ORLEANS            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROUTE 31 CLOSED WEST OF MEDINA DUE TO POWERLINES
            BLOCKING ROAD...NUMEROUS TREELIMBS AND POWERLINES DOWN
            ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY. PROBLEMS STARTED
            AROUND 2 AM.

0506 AM     FLOOD            BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            RT 198 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM PARKSIDE AVE TO
            GRANT ST IN BUFFALO

0517 AM     FLOOD            TONAWANDA               42.98N  78.88W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            KENMORE AVE CLOSED BETWEEN ONTARIO ST AND MILITARY ROAD
            DUE TO FLOODING

0540 AM     FLOOD            BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            DELAWARE AVE CLOSED FROM FOREST TO RT 198 DUE TO
            FLOODING IN BUFFALO

0545 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION ALEXANDRIA BAY          44.34N  75.92W
12/22/2013                   JEFFERSON          NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ABOUT AN INCH OF ICE... AND AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW.
            ALSO WIRES DOWN DUE TO HEAVY ICING.

0545 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION HARRISVILLE             44.15N  75.32W
12/22/2013                   LEWIS              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN DUE TO ICE IN HARRISVILLE

0546 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION WATERTOWN               43.97N  75.91W
12/22/2013                   JEFFERSON          NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIDESPREAD ICING ACROSS THE COUNTY WITH WATER PONDING
            AT WATERTOWN. SOME ICE ON INTERSTATE 81.

0549 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 2 W WALWORTH            43.14N  77.31W
12/22/2013                   WAYNE              NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ABOUT AN 0.13 INCHES OF GLAZE. NO MAJOR ISSUES.

0600 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION BUFFALO                 42.94N  78.72W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   NWS OFFICE

            TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TREES...GLAZE ON CARS
            AND GRASS...LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION ON PAVEMENT.

0607 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION YOUNGSTOWN              43.25N  79.04W
12/22/2013                   NIAGARA            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ICE ACCUMULATION ON EVERYTHING...TREE LIMBS
            CRACKING...POWER OUTAGES.

0608 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION CHURCHVILLE             43.10N  77.88W
12/22/2013                   MONROE             NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIRES DOWN IN CHURCHVILLE AND BROCKPORT. ICE ON TREES.

0610 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION MORTON                  43.33N  78.00W
12/22/2013                   MONROE             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY ICING ON TREES AND POWERLINES. ICY ROADS.

0611 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION LOCKPORT                43.17N  78.70W
12/22/2013                   NIAGARA            NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES IN THE CITY.

0613 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION NEWARK                  43.04N  77.09W
12/22/2013                   WAYNE              NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.25 INCHES OF ICE ACCUMULATION

0655 AM     FLOOD            DEPEW                   42.91N  78.70W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRANSIT ROAD FROM WALDEN AVE TO TERRACE BLVD CLOSED DUE
            TO FLOODING.

0700 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 1 N CLARENCE CENTER     43.01N  78.63W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            ICE ACCUMULATION OF 0.25 INCHES ON TREES AND SHRUBS

0700 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION DEPEW                   42.91N  78.70W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            ICE ACCUMULATION OF 0.1 INCHES

0700 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 6 N CROGHAN             43.99N  75.39W
12/22/2013                   LEWIS              NY   COCORAHS

            0.25 INCHES OF ICE

0700 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 3 SSW CANANDAIGUA       42.85N  77.30W
12/22/2013                   ONTARIO            NY   COCORAHS

            0.1 INCHES OF ICE ON TREES

0700 AM     ICE STORM        BATAVIA                 43.00N  78.18W
12/22/2013                   GENESEE            NY   NEWSPAPER

            NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS AND POWERLINES DOWN THROUGHOUT
            COUNTY ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN HALF.

0715 AM     ICE STORM        BATAVIA                 43.00N  78.18W
12/22/2013                   GENESEE            NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN INCLUDING ONE BLOCKING RICHMOND
            AVE

0716 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION ROCHESTER               43.17N  77.62W
12/22/2013                   MONROE             NY   UTILITY COMPANY

            ESTIMATED 0.2 INCHES OF ICE ON TREES

0719 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION AMHERST                 43.02N  78.72W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            4800 POWER OUTAGES...MOSTLY DUE TO ICE.

0719 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 2 SW SPENCERPORT        43.17N  77.84W
12/22/2013                   MONROE             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.2 INCHES OF ICE

0720 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION WARSAW                  42.69N  78.22W
12/22/2013                   WYOMING            NY   CO-OP OBSERVER

            0.19 INCHES OF ICE

0730 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION MINETTO                 43.40N  76.48W
12/22/2013                   OSWEGO             NY   COCORAHS

            JUST UNDER 0.1 INCHES OF ICE

0745 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   CITY OFFICIAL

            TREE ON HOUSE...BROUGHT DOWN BY ICE.

0745 AM     FLOOD            BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   CITY OFFICIAL

            SCAJAQUADA CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS AND COMPLETELY
            FLOODING RT 198 AT ELMWOOD UNDERPASS

0800 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION CORFU                   42.96N  78.40W
12/22/2013                   GENESEE            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.13 INCHES OF ICE

0800 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 2 NE STAFFORD           43.00N  78.04W
12/22/2013                   GENESEE            NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            0.2 INCHES OF ICE ACCUMULATION

0838 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION LOCKPORT                43.17N  78.70W
12/22/2013                   NIAGARA            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE

0839 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION TONAWANDA               42.98N  78.88W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.125 INCHES OF ICE

0845 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION WATERTOWN               43.97N  75.91W
12/22/2013                   JEFFERSON          NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            ICE ACCUMULATION OF 1.1 INCHES IN DOWNTOWN WATERTOWN

0845 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION BEAVER FALLS            43.88N  75.43W
12/22/2013                   LEWIS              NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.3 INCHES OF ICE

0900 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION MILL GROVE              42.02N  78.34W
12/22/2013                   CATTARAUGUS        NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.125 INCHES OF ICE

0900 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION LAKEVILLE               42.84N  77.71W
12/22/2013                   LIVINGSTON         NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.1 INCHES OF ICE ON TREE BRANCHES

0900 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION BARKER                  43.33N  78.55W
12/22/2013                   NIAGARA            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.3 INCHES OF ICE

0910 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION PERRY                   42.72N  78.01W
12/22/2013                   WYOMING            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.25 INCHES OF ICE

0915 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION AMHERST                 43.02N  78.72W
12/22/2013                   ERIE               NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.25 INCHES OF ICE

0930 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION POINT BREEZE            43.37N  78.20W
12/22/2013                   ORLEANS            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.2 INCHES OF ICE

0930 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION NORTH TONAWANDA         43.04N  78.87W
12/22/2013                   NIAGARA            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.3 INCHES OF ICE

1100 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION OAKFIELD                43.06N  78.27W
12/22/2013                   GENESEE            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            0.3 INCHES OF ICE

1108 AM     ICE STORM        WATERTOWN               43.97N  75.91W
12/22/2013                   JEFFERSON          NY   NEWSPAPER

            OVER 25000 WITHOUT POWER IN JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH
            NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS AND POWERLINES DOWN ESPECIALLY
            NORTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY.

1120 AM     ICE ACCUMULATION 2 SW WATERTOWN          43.95N  75.94W
12/22/2013                   JEFFERSON          NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.2 INCHES OF ICE

0114 PM     ICE ACCUMULATION OSWEGO                  43.46N  76.49W
12/22/2013                   OSWEGO             NY   CO-OP OBSERVER

            0.20 INCHES OF ICE

0139 PM     ICE ACCUMULATION SANBORN                 43.13N  78.88W
12/22/2013                   NIAGARA            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.35 INCHES OF ICE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300399 BUF1300400 BUF1300396 BUF1300397 BUF1300401
BUF1300398 BUF1300402 BUF1300404 BUF1300405 BUF1300406 BUF1300421
BUF1300417 BUF1300418 BUF1300403 BUF1300444 BUF1300416 BUF1300419
BUF1300420 BUF1300408 BUF1300445 BUF1300409 BUF1300410 BUF1300407
BUF1300411 BUF1300412 BUF1300413 BUF1300415 BUF1300414 BUF1300422
BUF1300436 BUF1300437 BUF1300438 BUF1300439 BUF1300450 BUF1300428
BUF1300423 BUF1300424 BUF1300429 BUF1300425 BUF1300440 BUF1300426
BUF1300427 BUF1300432 BUF1300433 BUF1300430 BUF1300431 BUF1300434
BUF1300435 BUF1300441 BUF1300446 BUF1300447 BUF1300442 BUF1300443
BUF1300448 BUF1300449 BUF1300453 BUF1300451 BUF1300452 BUF1300454
BUF1300455

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