Lake Effect Snow Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

918 
WWUS41 KBUF 300142
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
842 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

NYZ007-008-301000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130130T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.130131T1800Z-130202T1100Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
842 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED ABOVE FREEZING THIS
EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
  FRIDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
  LATE FRIDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF GREATER THAN 6 INCHES IN
  THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
  NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
  NIGHT WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL WITH POOR VISIBILITY.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM WITH PLACEMENT OF HEAVIER SNOW
  BANDS STILL UNCERTAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

&&

$$

NYZ006-012-019-020-085-301000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.130131T1800Z-130202T1100Z/
OSWEGO-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
842 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA AND 
  CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF GREATER THAN 6 INCHES IN 
  THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. 

* WINDS..WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  WITH POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVER ON ROADS. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM WITH PLACEMENT OF HEAVIER SNOW 
  BANDS STILL UNCERTAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

147 
WWUS41 KBUF 300910
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
410 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NYZ006>008-012-019-020-085-301715-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.130131T1800Z-130202T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...
WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
410 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND LEWIS COUNTIES IN NORTH
  CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND
  CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES IN WESTERN NEW YORK.

* TIMING...EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF GREATER THAN 6 INCHES IN 
  THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
  FRIDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL ALONG WITH POOR
  VISIBILITY.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE
  HEAVIER SNOW BANDS STILL UNCERTAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

&&

$$

JJR

981 
WWUS41 KBUF 301515
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1015 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NYZ006>008-012-019-020-085-302315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.130131T1800Z-130202T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...
WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1015 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND LEWIS COUNTIES IN NORTH 
  CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...
  AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES IN WESTERN NEW YORK. 

* TIMING...EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF GREATER THAN 6 INCHES IN 
  THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
  FRIDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL ALONG WITH POOR 
  VISIBILITY. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE 
  HEAVIER SNOW BANDS STILL UNCERTAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

&&

$$

TMA

315 
WWUS41 KBUF 301748
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1248 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NYZ019-020-310200-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.130131T1800Z-130202T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.130131T1500Z-130201T2300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1248 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY...4 TO 6 INCHES THURSDAY
  NIGHT...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES FRIDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 6
  TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW AND
  BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT 
  TRAVEL WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-310200-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.130131T1800Z-130202T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.130131T1500Z-130201T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1248 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES THURSDAY...4 TO 7 INCHES THURSDAY
  NIGHT...AND 4 TO 7 INCHES FRIDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 7
  TO 16 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW AND
  BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-085-310200-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.130131T1800Z-130202T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0006.130131T1500Z-130201T2300Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1248 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM
EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY...1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY
  NIGHT...AND UP TO 2 INCHES FRIDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS UP
  TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW AND
  BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL WITH
  VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVER ON ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-310200-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.130131T1800Z-130202T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0006.130131T1500Z-130201T0600Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1248 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO
1 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM
EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY...MAINLY SOUTH OF ADAMS.

* TIMING...LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT THURSDAY 
  NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES THURSDAY AND 1 TO 3 INCHES 
  THURSDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IN 
  THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW AND
  BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL WITH
  VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVER ON ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

TMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
THERE WILL BE A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF MILD AIR ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW WITH PERIODS OF RAIN...SOME OF WHICH MAY
FALL AS FREEZING RAIN EARLY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. A COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT WITH
GUSTY WINDS...RAIN AND SHARPLY FALLING TEMPERATURES. BEHIND THIS
COLD FRONT EXPECT ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IN THE TRADITIONAL
SNOWBELTS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LATE THIS AFTERNOON A WEST-EAST WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO NUDGE
NORTHWARD INTO THE CWA...WITH PERIODS OF RAIN FALLING ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. FARTHER TO THE WEST EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF MICHIGAN AND THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES. A SURFACE LOW IS FOUND NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH A SECOND WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A MORE POTENT
COLD FRONT FOUND OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ALOFT A SHORTWAVE IS
FOUND DEEP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...ROTATING THROUGH WEST TEXAS
THIS LATE AFTERNOON. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW MOISTURE FLOWING
NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE PACIFIC INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

TEMPERATURES THIS LATE AFTERNOON ARE GENERALLY IN THE 40S SOUTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE NORTHEAST WINDS THROUGH THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY FROM A SURFACE HIGH OVER SOUTHEASTERN QUEBEC HAVE MAINTAINED
A SHALLOW LAYER OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND SHELTERED PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. WILL
MAINTAIN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THIS LOCATION...AND THOUGH
SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY CLIMB INTO THE MID 30S...THE GROUND WILL
LIKELY LAG IN WARMING TO STILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICY SPOTS
IN FALLING PRECIPITATION.

WITH THE DEEP LAYER OF MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD PWATS WILL
CLIMBED TO 1.00 TO 1.25 INCHES WHICH IS 4 TO AS MUCH AS 5 SD ABOVE
LATE JANUARY LEVELS. EXPECT A PERIOD OF RAIN THIS EVENING AND
THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT TO LIFT FROM JUST SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. WILL HAVE LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL
POPS FOR THIS REGION...WHILE LOW END LIKELY TOWARDS THE STATE LINE.
ELEVATED INSTABILITY OF 100 TO 200 J/KG WILL PASS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER THIS EVENING. WILL INCLUDE THE SLIGHT CHC
FOR THUNDER THIS EVENING. THIS INSTABILITY IS LESS THAT WHAT IS
PRESENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES SO FEEL THUNDER SHOULD NOT BE
AS WIDESPREAD...IF IT DOES INDEED OCCUR.

FOG WILL AGAIN BE A CONCERN TONIGHT WITH THE MILD AIRMASS AND
DEWPOINTS CLIMBING INTO THE MID 40S. WILL LIKELY SEE PATCHY FOG
ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS...WHILE ACROSS THE STILL SNOW COVERED
SOUTHERN TIER AND PERHAPS THE NORTH COUNTRY FOG WILL LIKELY BE A
LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD. WITH SURFACE OBSERVATIONS STILL DISPLAYING
AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER HAVE
EXTENDED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH FOG
LIKELY DIMINISHING AS SURFACE WINDS INCREASE.

AS THIS UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LOW...THE
SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT NEARS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION
TOMORROW MORNING. A 75 TO 80 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET 3K FEET OFF THE
GROUND AHEAD OF THIS SURFACE LOW WILL REACH INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF OUR CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND SLIGHTLY WEAKER FARTHER
EASTWARD. THOUGH WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOULD PREVENT THESE STRONGER
WIND GUSTS FROM MIXING DOWN...A SUSTAINED WIND MAY REACH AS HIGH AS
25 TO 30 KNOTS ACROSS MAINLY THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
TIER. WILL HOIST A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REASON...AND CONTINUE THE
ADVISORY INTO THURSDAY. AS THE LOW LEVEL JET PASSES EASTWARD LATER
WEDNESDAY THERE MAY BE A TIME OF SLIGHTLY WEAKER WINDS.

WEDNESDAY THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO DEEPEN AS IT PASSES JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION. WITH THE
INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
DAY WEDNESDAY.

THIS DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TO NEAR WESTERN
NEW YORK BY 00Z...HOWEVER BOTH THE NAM AND GFS ARE SUGGESTING A
SURFACE TROUGH AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MAY BRING A LINE OF SHOWERS
INTO THE REGION LATE MORNING TOWARDS THE WEST AND THEN EASTWARD
ACROSS THE CWA IN THE AFTERNOON. WHILE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
MARGINAL...THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS OF A POTENT SHORTWAVE AND STRONG
HEIGHT FALLS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER WITHIN A
POTENTIAL CONVECTIVE SQUALL LINE CROSSING THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL REMAIN STEADY TO SLIGHTLY RISING THROUGH
THE NIGHT. HIGHS TOMORROW BE NEAR RECORD LEVELS WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S...TO LOWER 60S. RECORD HIGHS TOMORROW INCLUDE....BUFFALO 56
(1916)...ROCHESTER 55 (1974)...AND WATERTOWN 52 (2006).

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
SHARP COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TRACK FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS...WITH PROFILES NOT SUPPORTING
SNOW ACROSS MOST AREAS UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. THEREFORE...WE
CONTINUE TO EXPECTED A BAND OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
TO CROSS THE AREA ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE EVENING.
THERE IS SOME CONCERN FOR A BAND OF ENHANCED WINDS IF THE
CONVECTIVE LINE CAN ORGANIZE SUFFICIENTLY.

FIRST CONCERN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY
OR NEAR WARNING LEVEL WINDS. IMPRESSIVELY STRONG COLD ADVECTION
WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP MIXING WITH WINDS GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH A GOOD PART OF THURSDAY. A WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE AREA TO ADDRESS THIS HIGH
WIND POTENTIAL.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL SHARPLY IN WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH 50S IN
THE EVENING DROPPING INTO THE 20S BY THURSDAY MORNING. A
SECONDARY UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY
THAT WILL PROVIDE AN INITIAL LAKE EFFECT SETUP AS THE COLD AIR
GRADUALLY DEEPENS. DEPTH OF INSTABILITY NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
INITIALLY AND THINK ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO JUST A
COUPLE INCHES...ACROSS PRIMARILY THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AS WELL AS
THE TUG HILL.

THE COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO NEAR -20C
BY FRIDAY MORNING. INSPECTION OF NAM BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOWING THAT
THE LAKE RESPONSE WILL BE ON THE UPTICK AFTER 18Z THURSDAY AS THE
PASSING OF A SHORTWAVE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENS THE INVERSION AND
ALLOWS EQUILIBRIUM HEIGHTS TO CLIMB TO AROUND 12K FEET. THERE ARE
SEVERAL FACTORS WHICH POINT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT EVENT FOR THIS PERIOD. BESIDES THE
EXCELLENT OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY WITH LAKE INDUCED CAPES CLIMBING TO
AROUND 700 J/KG...AMBIENT MOISTURE WILL BE MORE THAN ADEQUATE WITH
THE PASSING WAVE. ALTHOUGH THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE WILL BE
RELATIVELY LOW IN THE COLD AIRMASS...WE SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO
GET SOME DECENT SNOW RATIOS. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS WILL BE IN FAVORED WESTERLY FETCH AREAS OF
THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS CONTINUING TO
SUGGEST THAT THE COLD AIR ADVECTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...AS THE MEAN TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND
NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK TO BELOW
NORMAL LEVELS. PARAMETERS FOR CONTINUED ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS CONTINUE TO LOOK GOOD AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES REMAINING AROUND
-20C...COMBINED WITH EXCELLENT 850 MB TO 700 MB MOISTURE. ABOUT
THE ONLY NEGATIVE WILL BE THE LOWER THAN IDEAL INVERSION HEIGHTS
WHICH WILL BE GENERALLY FALL BELOW 7K FEET AND SOME LOSS OF
DENDRITIC GROWTH DEPTH AS MUCH OF THE SATURATED LAYER FALLS BELOW
-18C. THE PASSAGE OF SEVERAL SHORTWAVES WILL KEEP WINDS LESS THAN
STEADY STATE WITH LAKE EFFECT BANDS IMPACTING MULTIPLE AREAS OVER
THE WEEKEND...WITH SOME AREAS STILL HAVING THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOWS. THE UPPER TROUGH LOOKS TO RETREAT BACK UP INTO
NORTHEAST CANADA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING FOR A MODERATION IN
TEMPERATURES AND LIKELY AN END TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IS FORMING AHEAD OF A
WARM FRONT THAT IS LIFTING ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK. LOOKS LIKE THE
STEADIEST RAIN WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK BY 19Z. MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE PASSING AREA OF SHOWERS. AFTER THE
SHOWER CLEAR THE AREA...EXPECT MAINLY MVFR CIGS TO PREVAIL. THE
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION WILL BE VCNTY OF KJHW WHERE CIGS MAY LOWER BACK
TO IFR AFTER THE STEADIER RAIN ENDS.

CIGS SHOULD IMPROVE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS SOUTHERLY
DOWNSLOPE WINDS INCREASE...HELPING TO SCOUR OUT THE LOWER STRATUS.
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT CIGS WILL LIFT TO VFR OVERNIGHT NORTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER.

EXPECT SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

LLWS WILL ALSO IMPACT ALL TAF SITES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS A
POWERFUL (60 TO 70KT) LOW LEVEL JET SURGES AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MVFR WITH LOCALIZED IFR IN LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF THE LAKES.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH MVFR IN LOCALIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SOME DENSE FOG WILL BE FOUND OVER THE LAKES THIS MORNING WITH THE
VERY MOIST AIRMASS THAT HAS SHIFTED OVER THE LOWER LAKES. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO PICK UP THIS AFTERNOON AS A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
MORE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AHEAD
OF THE ADVANCING LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUES BEGINNING TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY THEN
GALE WATCHES TAKE OVER WITH GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AHEAD AND ALONG THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
     FRIDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ006>008-012-019-020-085.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NYZ012-019-020-085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ007-008.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NYZ001>008-010-011-013-014-021.
     DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NYZ019>021.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR
         LEZ020-040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
         WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
         AFTERNOON FOR LOZ030-042>045-062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
         LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...THOMAS
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...TJP
MARINE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

NYZ007-008-302115-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-302115-
OSWEGO-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-302115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-302115-
ALLEGANY-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-302115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-085-302115-
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ030-042>045-062>065-302115-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-302115-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-302115-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1200 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

NYZ010>013-019>021-085-291800-
ALLEGANY NY-CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-GENESEE
NY-LIVINGSTON NY-WYOMING NY-
1200 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 1154 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
  ALDEN TO OTTO TO 8 MILES NORTH OF LAKEWOOD...AND MOVING EAST AT 60
  MPH.

LAT...LON 4201 7970 4239 7894 4300 7846 4294 7793
      4299 7791 4299 7773 4294 7773 4293 7757
      4286 7755 4285 7759 4271 7761 4267 7759
      4266 7748 4258 7749 4258 7766 4254 7767
      4253 7772 4201 7774

JAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1222 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

NYZ011>014-020-021-291800-
ALLEGANY NY-CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-LIVINGSTON NY-ONTARIO
NY-WYOMING NY-
1222 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 1218 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED
  THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
  WARSAW TO 11 MILES NORTH OF FRANKLINVILLE TO ASHFORD TO 18 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF ALLEGANY PARK...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  INCLUDE...SALAMANCA...GENESEO...OLEAN AND DANSVILLE.

LAT...LON 4200 7906 4254 7906 4253 7899 4244 7889
      4253 7850 4252 7841 4288 7812 4286 7697
      4276 7697 4275 7731 4257 7737 4257 7765
      4253 7767 4253 7771 4200 7775

JAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
113 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

NYZ007-008-291930-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
113 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON...

AN AREA OF FREEZING RAIN WILL IMPACT THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THIS REGION REMAIN NEAR OR
JUST BELOW THE FREEZING MARK IN MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS JEFFERSON
AND LEWIS COUNTY. ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 3 PM...LESS THAN
A TENTH OF AN INCH.

THIS WILL KEEP UNTREATED ROADS...SIDEWALKS...AND PARKING LOTS VERY
SLIPPERY AND TREACHEROUS. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION AND BE
ALERT FOR VERY SLIPPERY TRAVEL. ROADS THAT APPEAR JUST WET MAY IN
FACT BE ICE COVERED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
114 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

NYZ007-008-291945-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
114 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON...

AN AREA OF FREEZING RAIN WILL IMPACT THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THIS REGION REMAIN NEAR OR
JUST BELOW THE FREEZING MARK IN MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS JEFFERSON
AND LEWIS COUNTY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 3 PM...LESS
THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH.

THIS WILL KEEP UNTREATED ROADS...SIDEWALKS...AND PARKING LOTS VERY
SLIPPERY AND TREACHEROUS. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION AND BE
ALERT FOR VERY SLIPPERY TRAVEL. ROADS THAT APPEAR JUST WET MAY IN
FACT BE ICE COVERED.