Lake Effect Snow Warning 11, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 160201
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ085-160315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T0500Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE HEAVIEST OF THE LAKE EFFECT BAND HAS SHIFTED SOUTH OF ERIE
COUNTY THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES OF A HALF AN INCH PER HOUR MAY
CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO FROM COLLINS TO SPRINGVILLE. 

$$

NYZ006-161000-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T2100Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. SHIFTING SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY OVERNIGHT.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES TONIGHT AND UP TO 2 INCHES 
  MONDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T0500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 ADDITIONAL INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE
  SNOWS TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.
  SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR HAVE BEEN REPORTS EARLIER
  THIS EVENING WHICH WILL BRING SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADS.
  TRAVEL ALONG I-90 WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ021-160500-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T0500Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

* LOCATIONS...MAINLY WESTERN ALLEGANY COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 ADDITIONAL INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
  LAKE SNOWS TONIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-161000-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT AND AN INCH OR LESS
  MONDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ012-160500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T0500Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTY. 

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 ADDITIONAL INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
  LAKE SNOWS TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ008-161000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T1200Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES TONIGHT AND AN INCH OR LESS 
  MONDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-161000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T2100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
901 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT AND UP TO 2 INCHES 
  MONDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

SMITH

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 160353
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1053 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ012-160500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T0500Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
1053 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

STEADY LAKE SNOWS HAVE TAPERED OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS.

$$

NYZ007-008-161000-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T1000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1053 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND
  SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...WITH STEADIEST SNOWS SOUTH OF A ADAMS TO
  LOWVILLE LINE.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 14 INCHES IN MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A QUARTER MILE.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS IN HEAVY SNOW
  AND BLOWING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON THE TUG HILL AND ON INTERSTATE 81.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-161200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1053 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OVERNIGHT IN MOST
  PERSISTENT SNOWS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...GUSTING TO 30 MPH NEAR THE LAKESHORE.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. GUSTY WINDS NEAR THE LAKESHORE WILL
  RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006-161200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T2100Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1053 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. SHIFTING SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY 
  OVERNIGHT.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 14 INCHES IN MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS THROUGH
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. TRAVEL ALONG
  INTERSTATE 81 IS LIKELY TO BE IMPACTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ021-161200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T1500Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
1053 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MAINLY WESTERN ALLEGANY COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 ADDITIONAL INCHES IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS TONIGHT. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-161200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T2100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1053 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT AND UP TO 2 INCHES 
  MONDAY. 

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

APFFEL

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 160816
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
316 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013

NYZ019-020-161630-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T1800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
316 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006-161630-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T2100Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
316 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY...MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF. 

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-160930-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131216T1000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
316 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS HAVE SHIFTED WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...
THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ021-160930-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T1500Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
316 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

WHILE SOME LOCALIZED MINOR ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY...
THE THREAT OF MORE SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS HAS ENDED. FOR THIS
REASON...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ004-005-161630-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-131216T2100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
316 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS AND GREATLY REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

JJR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
327 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD WEST NORTHWEST FLOW OF AIR WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES IN WAKE OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THIS FLOW OF AIR
WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES
THROUGH MONDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER CLIPPER SYSTEM BRINGS ANOTHER
GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
SURGE OF LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
DEPARTING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTING NORTHEAST FROM THE COAST OF
MAINE WILL CONTINUE TO REINVIGORATE THE LAKE PROCESSES THROUGH
MONDAY. STILL LOOKING AT MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
OFF LAKE ERIE WHERE DEEP BACKGROUND SYNOPTIC MOISTURE RESIDES.
PROFILES A BIT DRIER AIR OFF LAKE ONTARIO WITH A SLUG OF DRIER
AIR ACCOMPANYING THE COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN THERE...WHICH MAY
LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS JUST A BIT.I N ANY EVENT WILL MAINTAIN LAKE
ADVISORIES WHERE IN PLACE...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR ACTIVITY OFF
LAKE ERIE WHERE SOME POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED WARNING
AMOUNTS. COLD AGAIN TONIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT IN THE TEENS TO SINGLE
NUMBERS ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. WINDS
CHILLS ZERO TO 10 BELOW...PERHAPS EVEN COLDER EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

ONGOING WEST NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOWS MONDAY MORNING
SHOULD DECREASE IN INTENSITY WITH DEPLETING MOISTURE PROFILES AND
LOWERING INVERSIONS...AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE NOSES DOWN ACROSS THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
TO START THIS TIME PERIOD LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING
EAST OF BOTH LAKES. AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY PASS
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT...AND WHILE WINDS WILL BACK SOME
AHEAD OF THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SENDING LAKE EFFECT SNOW
NORTHWARD...INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND BRIEF PASSAGE OF DRIER AIR
WILL QUICKLY ERODE AWAY THE SNOW BANDS.

THE 12Z OPERATIONAL MODEL RUNS ARE COMING INTO BETTER ALIGNMENT WITH
A STRENGTHENING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEST...WITH SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES DIVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. EACH OF
THESE WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIKELY BRING A BURST OF SNOW TO THE
REGION...GENERALLY SEVERAL INCHES TO LOW END ADVISORY LEVEL
SNOWS...WITH THE FIRST WAVE ARRIVING LATER MONDAY NIGHT.

WEAK ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE...COMBINED WITH
DIFFLUENT FLOW AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE PROMOTING VERTICAL UPLIFT
SHOULD BRING A LIGHT SNOW TO WESTERN NEW YORK OVERNIGHT...AND
REACHING EASTERN ZONES LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

BEHIND THE FIRST SHORTWAVE TROUGH A SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL CROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES TRENDING DOWN WITH THE
LOSS OF UPWARD MOTION. HOWEVER THE NEXT SHORTWAVE WILL ARRIVE
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE REGION.

ON WEDNESDAY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ALOFT...WHILE HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE CENTERED OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL BRING
MORE OF A WEST TO EAST FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES AT
850 HPA WILL BE JUST COLD ENOUGH TO PROMOTE INSTABILITY FOR ANOTHER
ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...WITH THE LAKES NOW COOLED DOWN TO
AROUND +2C ON ERIE AND +3-4C ON LAKE ONTARIO. FALLING LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AND LOWERING INVERSION HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY
WILL NOT MAKE FOR AN IDEAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SET UP THAT WE SAW
LAST WEEK. STILL SEVERAL ADDITIONAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OUTSIDE
OF THESE LAKE BANDS SOME SUNSHINE IS POSSIBLE.

TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN JUST BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE TIME
PERIOD...AND NOT AS COLD AS IN PRIOR DAYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A BRIEF PATTERN CHANGE WILL EVOLVE THIS TIME PERIOD AS A LONG WAVE
TROUGH FLATTENS THE WESTERN US RIDGE. IN RESPONSE DOWNSTREAM A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE EAST COAST...THOUGH THE
COLD POLAR LOW DROPPING SOUTHWARD TO HUDSON BAY WILL LIKELY RESTRICT
THE AMPLIFICATION OF THE RIDGE.

THIS WILL BRING SOME WARMING TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA TO START THE
TIME PERIOD. MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING SOME INCONSISTENCIES WITH
THE TIMING OF THE EJECTION OF THE CUT OFF LOW OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST. THIS CUT OFF LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL EVENTUALLY EJECT
FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND LIKELY INTERACT WITH THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF
THE JET STREAM.

WILL BRING SOME CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE REGION FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS
SHORTWAVES WITHIN THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM CROSS THE
AREA. WITH THE 12Z MODELS BACKING OFF ON THE TIMING OF THE EJECTION
OF THE DESERT CUT OFF LOW...A DEEPER LOW POSING A LARGER STORM
SYSTEM MAY NOT REACH THE AREA UNTIL THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THIS AFTERNOON...EXPECT MVFR CIGS/VFR VSBYS...ALTHOUGH IFR
CONDITIONS WILL LINGER IN REGIONS OF FAVORED UPSLOPE FLOW/DEVELOPING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF THE LAKES.

TONIGHT...A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL FOCUS AREAS
LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND ASSOCIATED IFR EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES...WITH GENERAL MVFR CIGS AND MUCH MORE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
PREVAILING ELSEWHERE.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WITH LOCAL IFR SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES DIMINISHING...ELSEWHERE MVFR TO VFR.
TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH AREAS OF MVFR/IFR.
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...EXCEPT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES WITH LOCAL IFR.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST MAINE COAST WILL LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT...WITH BRISK
WESTERLIES DEVELOPING ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
PERIOD OF ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND WAVES ON BOTH LAKES...WHICH WILL
LAST INTO MONDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION ALONG
WITH DIMINISHING WINDS.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ004>006-
     012-019-020-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ044-045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ001-002-010-011-162045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-162045-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-162045-
ALLEGANY-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-013-014-162045-
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004>006-162045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-162045-
JEFFERSON-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ008-162045-
LEWIS-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-162045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
244 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ012-019>021-085-152115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
244 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...

MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN
ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTUAQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND INTO ALLEGANY
COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. SPECIFIC LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED BY
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...FORESTVILLE...ARKWRIGHT...GOWANDA...COLLINS
SPRINGVILLE...EAST CONCORD...DELEVAN...ARCADE...BLISS AND
CENTERVILLE. SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR OR MORE WILL
BE LIKELY IN THESE AREAS...THIS WILL RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES
WHICH WILL MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING
ACROSS THESE AREAS...EXPECT TO ENCOUNTER SLICK SPOTS AND SNOW COVERED
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...ALLOW PLENTY OF
BREAKING DISTANCE BETWEEN YOUR CAR AND OTHER VEHICLES. IN
ADDITION...BE PREPARED BY HAVE AN EMERGENCY TRAVEL KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING AS YOU TRAVEL IN CASE YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK.

REYNOLDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
306 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ006>008-152200-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
306 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION THIS AFTERNOON. SPECIFIC LOCATIONS THAT WILL
LIKELY BE IMPACTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...PULASKI...ALTMAR
REDFIELD...SANDY CREEK...MANNSVILLE...WORTH...BARNES CORNERS...THE
TUG HILL AND I-81 FROM PARISH TO WATERTOWN. SNOWFALL RATES OF UP
TO AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE LIKELY...RESULTING IN REDUCED
VISIBILITIES...SLICK SPOTS AND SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE
URGED TO SLOW DOWN...ALLOW PLENTY OF BREAKING DISTANCE BETWEEN
YOUR CAR AND OTHER VEHICLES.

ALSO...BE PREPARED BY HAVE AN EMERGENCY TRAVEL KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING AS YOU TRAVEL IN CASE YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ010>012-085-152300-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
356 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT BAND WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW TO THE
BUFFALO METRO AREA...

A LAKE EFFECT BAND EXTENDING FROM LAKE ERIE BEACH INTO HAMBURG WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD INTO DOWNTOWN BUFFALO BETWEEN 400 PM AND 500 PM AND
THEN THE BAND WILL GRADUALLY DROP SOUTHWARD AROUND SUNSET. THE
BAND WILL EXTEND INLAND INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF WYOMING COUNTY
AND SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF GENESEE COUNTY AS WELL. THIS WILL
BRING A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW TO MOST OF THE BUFFALO METRO
AREA...INCLUDING THE SOUTH TOWNS...DOWNTOWN BUFFALO AND POSSIBLY
INTO TONAWANDA AND WILLIAMSVILLE. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO
TWO INCHES AN HOUR WITH THIS LAKE EFFECT BAND. AGAIN...EXPECT THE
BAND WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTHWARD BACK INTO THE SOUTH TOWNS AND
BOSTON HILLS AFTER SUNSET. MOTORISTS SHOULD MAKE EVERY ATTEMPT TO
AVOID TRAVEL IN HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SINCE ROAD CONDITIONS CAN
DETERIORATE RAPIDLY.

APFFEL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ010>012-085-152315-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
358 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...LAKE EFFECT BAND WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW TO THE
BUFFALO METRO AREA...

A LAKE EFFECT BAND EXTENDING FROM LAKE ERIE BEACH INTO HAMBURG WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD INTO DOWNTOWN BUFFALO BETWEEN 400 PM AND 500 PM AND
THEN THE BAND WILL GRADUALLY DROP SOUTHWARD AROUND SUNSET. THE
BAND WILL EXTEND INLAND INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF WYOMING COUNTY
AND SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF GENESEE COUNTY AS WELL. THIS WILL
BRING A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW TO MOST OF THE BUFFALO METRO
AREA...INCLUDING THE SOUTH TOWNS...DOWNTOWN BUFFALO AND POSSIBLY
INTO TONAWANDA AND WILLIAMSVILLE. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO
TWO INCHES AN HOUR WITH THIS LAKE EFFECT BAND. AGAIN...EXPECT THE
BAND WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTHWARD BACK INTO THE SOUTH TOWNS AND
BOSTON HILLS AFTER SUNSET. MOTORISTS SHOULD MAKE EVERY ATTEMPT TO
AVOID TRAVEL IN HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SINCE ROAD CONDITIONS CAN
DETERIORATE RAPIDLY.

APFFEL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
500 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ010>012-085-160000-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
500 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL IMPACT THE SOUTH TOWNS AND
BOSTON HILLS THROUGH 700 PM...

A 15 MILE WIDE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE LOCATED JUST
SOUTH OF DOWNTOWN BUFFALO TO HAMBURG...EXTENDING INLAND TO
ALDEN...ATTICA...AND BATAVIA THROUGH 600 PM. THIS BAND WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 600 PM AND 700 PM...FOCUSING ON
THE FAR SOUTH TOWNS...BOSTON HILLS...AND MOST OF WYOMING COUNTY.
EXPECT HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AN HOUR IN THIS
LAKE EFFECT BAND...REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE. THIS
WILL ALSO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT TRAVEL ON INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN
LAKE ERIE BEACH AND WEST SENECA. EXPECT EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL
CONDITIONS IN THIS BAND. TRAVEL THROUGH THIS BAND SHOULD BE AVOIDED
OR DELAYED.

APFFEL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
514 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

NYZ005-006-008-160000-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
514 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

...ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
BETWEEN 800 PM AND MIDNIGHT...

EXPECT ANOTHER BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO
DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING. THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT AREAS
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BETWEEN FAIR HAVEN AND CENTRAL SQUARE AND
EXTENDING NORTHWARD TO SANDY CREEK AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
TUG HILL. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE
AS THIS BAND DEVELOPS...WHICH WILL LIKELY IMPACT TRAVEL ON
INTERSTATE 81. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN AREAS LIKELY TO BE
IMPACTED BY THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND SHOULD ADJUST PLANS
ACCORDINGLY.

APFFEL