Gale Watch 12, NWS Buffalo, NY

693 
WHUS71 KBUF 121434
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
934 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

LEZ040-041-122245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
934 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-122245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
934 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-122245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
934 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-122245-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0012.131113T2300Z-131114T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
934 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

070 
WHUS71 KBUF 121736
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1236 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

LEZ040-041-130145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1236 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-130145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1236 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-130145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1236 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-130145-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0012.131113T2300Z-131114T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1236 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

212 
WHUS71 KBUF 122039
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

LEZ040-041-130445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
339 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-130445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
339 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-130445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
339 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-130445-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0012.131113T2300Z-131114T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
339 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

849 
WHUS71 KBUF 130233
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
933 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

LEZ020-131045-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.131113T1600Z-131114T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
933 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-131045-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.131113T1800Z-131114T1100Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
933 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
933 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-131045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
933 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-131045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
933 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-131045-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0012.131113T2300Z-131114T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
933 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

559 
WHUS71 KBUF 130834
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
334 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013

LEZ040-041-131645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131113T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0018.131113T2300Z-131114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
334 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-131645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131113T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0018.131113T2300Z-131114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
334 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-131645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-131113T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0018.131113T2300Z-131114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
334 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-131645-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0012.131113T2300Z-131114T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0018.131113T2300Z-131114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
334 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-131645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0018.131113T2300Z-131114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
334 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-131645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.131113T1600Z-131114T1100Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
334 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-131645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.131113T1600Z-131114T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
334 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
331 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WILL EXPERIENCE AN EARLY TASTE OF
WINTER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST...BRINGING TEMPERATURES MORE
TYPICAL OF DECEMBER ALONG WITH SOME LIMITED LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS. AS THE HIGH SETTLES FURTHER SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...A BRISK SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OF WARMER AIR
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...RESULTING IN TEMPERATURES
MODERATING BACK ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE
BUILDING SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY AND
TONIGHT... WHILE ALSO CONTINUING TO CIRCULATE A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
OF RATHER CHILLY AIR ACROSS NEW YORK STATE. 850 MB TEMPS WILL
AVERAGE AROUND -12C TODAY AND IN THE -12C TO -14C RANGE TONIGHT...
WHICH WILL TRANSLATE INTO WELL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES MORE
TYPICAL OF DECEMBER THAN MID NOVEMBER. EXPECT DAYTIME HIGHS TO
STRUGGLE TO REACH THE LOWER TO MID 30S TODAY...WITH A BRISK
NORTHWESTERLY WIND MAKING IT FEEL EVEN COLDER AS APPARENT
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NIGHTTIME LOWS TONIGHT WILL THEN RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO THE
LOWER-MID 20S SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...TO AS LOW AS THE 10 TO 15
DEGREE RANGE ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

WHILE OUR AIRMASS WILL BE PLENTY COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A LAKE
RESPONSE...IT IS ALSO VERY DRY...AND THIS WILL HELP TO SEVERELY
LIMIT ANY RESULTING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WHEN COUPLED WITH THE
SHORTER NORTHWESTERLY FETCH AND RELATIVELY LOW INVERSION HEIGHTS
THAT WILL ALSO BE IN PLACE. FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECT JUST SOME
SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES
THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THESE POSSIBLY BECOMING BRIEFLY ENHANCED IN
SPOTS BY TRANSIENT CONNECTIONS TO THE UPSTREAM LAKES.

LOOKING A LITTLE MORE CLOSELY AT THE FORECAST DETAILS...OFF LAKE
ERIE A PREDOMINANTLY NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BACK
A LITTLE TO MORE OF A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON. WITH A
UPSTREAM CONNECTIONS LIKELY REMAINING NONEXISTENT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...THESE SHOULD MERELY PRODUCE SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS AND VERY MINIMAL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKE...FOR WHICH ONLY SOME LOW CHANCE POPS WILL BE IN PLACE.

THEN AS WE GET INTO TONIGHT...FURTHER SLOW BUT STEADY BACKING OF THE
FLOW TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WILL INCREASE THE FETCH ACROSS THE
LAKE...WHILE MOISTURE ALSO INCREASES FOR A BRIEF PERIOD THANKS TO A
BRIEF CONNECTION WITH LAKE HURON. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A BRIEF UPTICK
IN THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE SOMETIME BETWEEN
00Z AND 06Z THIS EVENING...FOR WHICH POPS HAVE BEEN INCREASED TO
LIKELY FOR A FEW HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME...THE LOSS OF THE UPSTREAM
CONNECTION AND DIMINISHING MOISTURE/A LOWERING CAP WILL RESULT IN
THIS ACTIVITY DIMINISHING BACK TO SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT. IN TERMS OF POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMS...THESE COULD BE BIT
HIGHER TONIGHT THANKS TO THE AFOREMENTIONED UPSTREAM CONNECTION...
WITH AS MUCH AS 1-2 INCHES POSSIBLY FALLING ACROSS THE CHAUTAUQUA
RIDGE.

MEANWHILE OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW THIS
MORNING WILL ON AVERAGE TEND A BIT MORE NORTHWESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
ALONG THE ENTIRE SOUTH SHORE OF THE LAKE THIS MORNING TENDING TO
SHIFT MORE TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...GENERALLY EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
REMAIN WEAKER THAN ITS LAKE ERIE COUNTERPART GIVEN THE MORE LIMITED
MOISTURE/LOWER INVERSION HEIGHTS IT WILL HAVE TO WORK WITH...AS WELL
AS THE LACK OF A WELL-DEFINED UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO GEORGIAN BAY.
CONSEQUENTLY...HAVE KEPT POPS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LAKE ONTARIO LAKE
EFFECT CONFINED TO THE LOWER HALF OF THE CHANCE RANGE...WITH ANY
POTENTIAL ACCUMS THROUGH THE PERIOD GENERALLY ON THE ORDER OF AN
INCH OR LESS.

OUTSIDE OF THE ABOVE LAKE EFFECT AREAS JUST SOME SCATTERED FLURRIES
ARE EXPECTED...WITH MAINLY DRY AND COLD WEATHER OTHERWISE PREVAILING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
THE SHORT PREVIEW TO WINTER WILL END DURING THIS PERIOD AS THE DEEP
TROUGH THAT HAD BEEN FEEDING MODIFIED CANADIAN ARCTIC AIR ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES WILL BE REPLACED BY A LOW AMPLITUDE FLOW. WHILE THE
AIRMASS WILL BE INCREASINGLY PACIFIC IN NATURE IN THE MID LEVELS...
OUR SOURCE REGION IN THE LOWER BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. THIS WILL PROVIDE WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WITH A
NICE REBOUND IN TEMPERATURES AS MERCURY READINGS WILL CLIMB TO
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. GETTING TO THE
SPECIFICS...

A CHILLY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AS WE
OPEN THIS PERIOD ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME NUISANCE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS STILL BE FOUND ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY AND SITES SOUTHEAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE WEAKENING THOUGH...AS
EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS
WILL PROMOTE A LOWERING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION OVER THE LAKES.
MEANWHILE...A MODERATE TO HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FOUND
WITHIN A BACKING FLOW WITH INCREASINGLY DRIER AIR BEING ENTRAINED
DOWNWARD FROM THE MID LEVELS. ALL OF THESE FACTORS WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO BRINGING AN END TO ANY RESIDUAL LAKE EFFECT.

OFF LK ERIE...LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS (MAINLY OVER CHAUT CO) IN THE
MORNING WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES WITH THE DYING ACTIVITY DRIFTING
TO THE NORTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE MIDDAY. SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...ANY SNOW SHOWERS (MAINLY OVER OSWEGO/NRN CAYUGA CO'S) WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH TO THE TUG HILL WHERE THEY WILL TAPER OFF TO
FLURRIES. ANY DAYTIME ACCUMS SHOULD BE UNDER A HALF INCH. ELSEWHERE
ON WEDNESDAY...A PSEUDO WARM FRONT/LEADING EDGE OF A PACKED H85-70
THERMAL GRADIENT WILL PUSH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE COURSE OF
THE DAY...AND THIS WILL PRODUCE A FEW HOUR PERIOD OF ALTO-CU WHILE
ENCOURAGING OUR NEAR SFC TEMPS TO CLIMB A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN
THOSE FROM THE DAY BEFORE. ALL IN ALL...A PARTLY SUNNY DAY.

THE LARGE SFC HIGH WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY...BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE RETURN FLOW AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THIS ANOMALOUSLY
STRONG HIGH WILL SET UP A DEEP SOUTHWEST FEED OF MILDER AIR OUT OF
THE SRN PLAINS...WHICH IN TURN WILL LEAD A NOTICEABLE WARMING ACROSS
OUR REGION FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. H85 TEMPS WILL MODERATE TO ABOUT
5C ON THURSDAY...AND WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE...THIS WILL SUPPORT
READINGS IN THE 50S ACROSS THE LAKE PLAINS (40S TERRAIN).

A SHALLOW TROUGH CROSSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY WILL TIGHTEN
THE HGT FIELD GRADIENT ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...BUT WILL ALSO
TEND TO SHUNT THE WARMEST AIR TO THE EAST. THIS SHOULD KEEP OUR
TEMPS FROM GETTING TOO MUCH HIGHER...WHILE OUR SUNSHINE WILL
DISAPPEAR BEHIND INCREASING/THICKENING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A BROAD TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AT THE START OF
THIS PERIOD WILL AMPLIFY AND PUSH EAST ACROSS THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES/
U.S. PLAINS DURING THE COURSE OF THE WEEK...AS SEVERAL VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVES WILL FEED INTO THE TROUGH FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AS
WE END THIS PERIOD MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE
BULK OF THIS PACIFIC ENERGY WILL EJECT OUT OF THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
AND TAKE AIM ON THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A
DEEPENING 'CUTTER' STORM THAT WOULD LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
EARLY NEXT WEEK AND COULD EVENTUALLY LEAD TO A WIND EVENT FOR OUR
FORECAST AREA. AN EQUALLY POSSIBLE SOLUTION THOUGH IS THAT THE
ENERGY WILL SPIT OUT OF THE TROUGH IN PIECES AND RESULT IN MORE OF A
WAVY FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WOULD PROGRESS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND
MID WEST.

WHILE THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST PACKAGES SEEM TO BE SPLIT DOWN THE
MIDDLE WITH THE SURFACE FEATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK...THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE THAT THE DESCRIBED SYNOPTIC PATTERN WOULD SUPPLY US WITH
SEVERAL DAYS OF SEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS. EITHER WAY YOU SLICE
IT...THE AVERAGE FLOW IN THE LOWER BOUNDARY LAYER (H925-85) WILL BE
OUT OF THE SRN PLAINS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND LIKELY OUT OF
THE GULF ON MONDAY. THIS WILL EASILY SUPPORT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...
ESPECIALLY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD WHEN DAYTIME HIGHS IN SOME AREAS
COULD TOP 60. THE RETURN TO RELATIVELY MILD WEATHER WILL COME AT THE
USUAL PRICE THOUGH...AS IT WILL BECOME MORE UNSETTLED WITH AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS.

BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE...SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT SHOULD
CONTINUE TO BE PCPN FREE AS HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST IS
FORECAST TO NOSE BACK FAR ENOUGH ACROSS OUR REGION TO REMAIN THE
DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE. AS THE HIGH MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE ON
SUNDAY...THE DOOR WILL OPEN FOR SUBTLE SHORTWAVES TO MOVE NORTH OUT
OF THE ADVANCING LONGWAVE TROUGH. THESE FEATURES WILL COMBINE WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE OUT OF THE GULF TO INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR SOME
SHOWERS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

WILL LEAN MORE TOWARDS THE SOLUTION OF THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF...WHICH
HAS BEEN CONSISTENT FOR A COUPLE RUNS ON DEPICTING AN ELONGATED...
COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT. ON
MONDAY...LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THIS SFC TROUGH WOULD THEN LIKELY
CONSOLIDATE SOMEWHERE OVER THE MID WEST BEFORE DEEPENING WHILE
LIFTING NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION LATE MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD STRENGTHEN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES...WHICH BY LATE MONDAY WOULD BE VERY MILD AND RICH
IN MOISTURE. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND
FLURRIES WILL BE FOUND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...WITH THE LAKE ERIE
ACTIVITY POTENTIALLY BECOMING JUST A LITTLE MORE NUMEROUS/ORGANIZED
THIS EVENING AS AN UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON BRIEFLY
DEVELOPS. IN GENERAL...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL...WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF BRIEF LOCALIZED REDUCTIONS TO MVFR/IFR WITHIN ANY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF MVFR DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES IN DYING LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...OTHERWISE VFR.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A FRESH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF COLD AIR WILL KEEP WINDS AND WAVES AT
OR NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO FOR CONSIDERABLE PORTIONS OF TODAY AND/OR
TONIGHT. A STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL THEN SET UP ACROSS THE
LOWER LAKES REGION ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING CONTINUED ADVISORY-LEVEL
WINDS AND WAVES TO THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF THE LAKES...AS WELL AS
THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOW-END GALES TO THE OPEN PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO. FOR THESE REASONS...SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES AND GALE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT AS OUTLINED BELOW.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
         MORNING FOR LOZ063>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...JJR
MARINE...JJR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1146 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-130500-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1146 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-130500-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1146 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1055 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-120700-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1055 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013

...THREAT OF BLACK ICE OVERNIGHT...

A COLD FRONT HAS CROSSED THE REGION THIS EVENING WITH TEMPERATURES
RAPIDLY FALLING BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE
THREAT OF BLACK ICE ON UNTREATED ROADS...SIDEWALKS...AND OTHER
SURFACES WHICH BECAME WET FROM EARLIER RAIN AND SNOW. MOTORISTS ARE
ADVISED TO EXERCISE CAUTION AS UNTREATED ROADS AND PARTICULARLY
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY BECOME VERY SLICK.

NYZ012-019>021-085-120700-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1055 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013

...SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT...

A COLD FRONT DROPPING ACROSS THE REGION HAS BROUGHT COLDER
TEMPERATURES AND THE FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON
FOR MANY LOCATIONS. ROADS HAVE BECOME SNOW COVERED IN SPOTS
RESULTING IN SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS. IN AREAS WERE ROADS ARE
JUST WET THERE IS A THREAT OF BLACK ICE AS TEMPERATURES FALL
OVERNIGHT. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE CAUTION AS UNTREATED
ROADS AND PARTICULARLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY BECOME VERY
SLICK.

NYZ006>008-120700-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1055 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013

...SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT...

A COLD FRONT DROPPING ACROSS THE REGION HAS BROUGHT COLDER
TEMPERATURES AND ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL FOR MANY LOCATIONS. ROADS
MAY BE SNOW COVERED IN SPOTS RESULTING IN SLICK DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IN AREAS WERE ROADS ARE JUST WET THERE IS A THREAT OF
BLACK ICE AS TEMPERATURES FALL OVERNIGHT. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO
EXERCISE CAUTION AS UNTREATED ROADS AND PARTICULARLY BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES MAY BECOME VERY SLICK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
201 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-121015-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
201 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...

THE COLD FRONT THAT CROSSED THE REGION MONDAY EVENING BROUGHT THE
FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON FOR MANY LOCATIONS...
WITH TEMPERATURES ALSO TUMBLING BELOW FREEZING. DUE TO THIS...ROADS
ARE SNOW COVERED IN SPOTS RESULTING IN SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS.
IN ADDITION...WERE ROADS ARE JUST WET...AREAS OF BLACK ICE MAY
ALSO FORM OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO FALL. IF YOU
WILL BE DRIVING OVERNIGHT...EXERCISE CAUTION AS UNTREATED ROADS
AND ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY BECOME VERY SLICK.

JJR