Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2013

Gale Warning 23, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 12, 2013

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale warning at Dec 12, 2013, 9:40 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 12, 2013, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 12, 2013, 9:40 AM EST (14:40 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 12, 2013, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 13, 2013, 9:39 AM EST
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

866 
WHUS71 KBUF 121440
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
940 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

LOZ043>045-122245-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131212T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0023.131212T2300Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
940 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS TO 35 KNOT GALES OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY
  MORNING. 

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-122245-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0023.131212T2300Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
940 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS TO 35 KNOT GALES OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY
  MORNING.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-122245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
940 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-122245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
940 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
6 follow-up statements
979 
WHUS71 KBUF 122100
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

LOZ043>045-130500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131212T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.131212T2300Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
400 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-130500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.131212T2300Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
400 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-130500-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.131212T2100Z-131213T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
400 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-130500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
400 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-130500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
400 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
404 
WHUS71 KBUF 130222
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
922 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

LOZ043>045-063>065-131030-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
922 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
922 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-131030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
922 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131213T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
922 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
135 
WHUS71 KBUF 130606
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
106 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

LOZ043>045-063>065-131415-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
106 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
106 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-131415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
106 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131213T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
106 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
056 
WHUS71 KBUF 130914
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
414 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

LOZ043>045-063>065-131500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
414 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
414 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-131715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
414 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131213T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
414 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
569 
WHUS71 KBUF 131142
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
642 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

LOZ043>045-063>065-131500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
642 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131213T1600Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
642 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
642 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-131945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
642 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
529 
WHUS71 KBUF 131439
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
939 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

LOZ043>045-132245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-131213T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
939 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-131545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-131213T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
939 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131213T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
939 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-132245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
939 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-132245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131214T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
939 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 12, 6:58 AM EST, 2 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 12, 6:58 AM EST, 2 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
658 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE
GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH FRIDAY...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT IMPRESSIVE PLUMES OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. WHILE THE LAKE SNOWS
WILL TAPER OFF AS WE HEAD INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...A STORM SYSTEM
PASSING OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL PRODUCE A WIDESPREAD
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR PUSHED SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT...AND THIS DISRUPTED THE WELL ORGANIZED AND IMPRESSIVE
LAKE SNOW PLUMES THAT HAS PREVIOUSLY PRODUCED 2 TO 3 FEET OF SNOW
EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. THE BAND OFF LK ONTARIO SAGGED
SOUTH OF THE LAKE SHORE OVERNIGHT AND BROUGHT A FEW INCHES OF
SNOW TO THE LAKE SHORE COUNTIES...WHILE THE SNOWS OFF LK ERIE WERE
NOTABLY WEAKER AND LESS ORGANIZED OVER A LARGE PERCENTAGE OF THE
WRN SOUTHERN TIER.

DURING THE COURSE OF THIS MORNING THOUGH...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
BECOME BETTER ALIGNED WITH A RISING CAP SUPPORTING RENEWED PLUMES OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW. THESE PLUMES WILL LIFT NORTH DURING THE
MIDDAY INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH HEAVY SNOWS APPROACHING
BOTH BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN. GETTING INTO SOME SPECIFICS...

OFF LAKE ERIE...
MODERATE TO EXTREME INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE LAKE TODAY
WITH MODERATELY SHEARED 280 FLOW PRODUCING MULTIPLE BANDS OF LIGHT
TO MODERATE SNOW OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.
SEVERAL INCHES OF FRESH SNOW WILL FALL BY LUNCHTIME...MAINLY SOUTH
OF THE BOSTON HILLS. AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL CONSOLIDATE INTO A PLUME OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW THAT
WILL LIFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ERIE COUNTY...LIKELY IMPACTING
THE SOUTH TOWNS (ORCHARD PARK/EAST AURORA) AND THE SOUTHERN BUFFALO
SUBURBS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND PARTICULARLY DURING THE EVENING
RUSH HOUR. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS ACTIVITY...WITH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE BAND POSSIBLY
REACHING BUFFALO AND ITS EASTERN SUBURBS DURING THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS. VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
EVENING RUSH HOUR...PARTICULARLY SOUTH AND EAST OF DOWNTOWN BUFFALO.

AS WE WORK THROUGH TONIGHT...THE STEERING WINDS WILL VEER TO ABOUT
280 DEGREES WITH THE STEADY HEAVY LAKE SNOWS DROPPING BACK SOUTH
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY. WHILE CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE IN THE BUFFALO METRO AREA...TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
WILL BECOME RE ESTABLISHED OVER SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WHERE
FRESH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS COULD APPROACH A FOOT.

THROUGH THIS 12 HOUR PERIOD...IT WILL LIKELY BE TOO COLD TO ALLOW
FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED PHASE CLOUD DEPTH OFF LK ERIE...SO AM NOT
ANTICIPATING ANY LAKE INDUCED THUNDERSNOW.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...
THE ONCE IMPRESSIVE SNOW BAND THAT WAS PRODUCING SNOW AT A RATE OF
UP TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR IS A MERE SHELL OF ITSELF EARLY THIS MORNING
AS A NOTABLY LOWER CAP AND A SOUTHWARD SHIFT OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE
OFF THE LAKE HAS LED TO WEAKER CONVECTION. A BAND STRETCHING ACROSS
THE SOUTH SHORE COUNTIES FROM NEAR THIRTY MILE POINT TO THE NORTHERN
SUBURBS OF ROCHESTER TO WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES WILL LIFT
BACK TO THE NORTH OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS AS THE MORNING MATURES.
BY LUNCHTIME...A RISING CAP AND A REALIGNING 270 FLOW WILL DIRECT A
CONSOLIDATING BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE
TUG HILL...WITH SNOW FALL RATES ONCE AGAIN INCREASING TO MORE THAN
AN INCH PER HOUR FORECAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...THE BAND MAY LIFT TO BETWEEN
WATERTOWN AND THE TUG HILL BEFORE SETTLING BACK TO THE SOUTH ACROSS
THE TUG DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH A CAP APPROACHING 15K FT...
IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT A LIMITED MIXED PHASE CLOUD LAYER
COULD INDUCE A BIT OF LIGHTNING...BUT AGAIN...THIS SPECIFIC EVENT IS
ON THE COLD SIDE FOR LAKE INDUCED ELECTRIFICATION.

FRESH SNOWFALL ACROSS THE TUG HILL IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ONE TO
TWO FEET LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...SO VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL
CONDITIONS CAN ONCE AGAIN BE EXPECTED ON I-90 BETWEEN THE I-81
EXCHANGE AND WATERTOWN.

OUTSIDE THE LAKE BANDS...IT WILL EB QUITE COLD TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH
FLURRIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOME 10 TO
15 DEG F BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS TODAY WILL ONLY REACH INTO THE
TEENS TO NEAR 20. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF
ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
DURING THE COURSE OF FRIDAY...LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL
EXIT EASTWARD ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...WHILE DRAGGING ITS
TRAILING COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS NEW YORK STATE. AS A RESULT...
SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS STILL ONGOING EAST OF THE LAKES AT THE START
OF THE DAY WILL GET SHUNTED SOUTHWARD AND WEAKEN DRAMATICALLY AS THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS MORE NORTHERLY AND MUCH DRIER AIR/A LOWERING
CAP GETS INTRODUCED BEHIND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY...THOUGH NOT BEFORE
DROPPING AT LEAST SOME ADDITIONAL ADVISORY-TYPE ACCUMULATIONS EAST
OF THE LAKES. THE DIMINISHING TREND WILL AFFECT THE LAKE ONTARIO
LAKE SNOWS FIRST...WITH THE LAKE EFFECT BAND INITIALLY GETTING
SHUNTED SOUTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH SHORE OF THE LAKE AND
DROPPING SOME ADDITIONAL MINOR ACCUMS OF 1-3 INCHES ACROSS THE
NIAGARA-CAYUGA COUNTY CORRIDOR...BEFORE RAPIDLY BREAKING UP AS IT IS
PUSHED FURTHER INLAND AND AWAY FROM ITS MOISTURE SOURCE.
MEANWHILE...THE LAKE ERIE ACTIVITY WILL HANG ON A BIT LONGER GIVEN
THE LATER ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT...BUT EVEN THIS SHOULD WEAKEN
NOTICEABLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF THE
MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS...GENERALLY JUST EXPECT SOME SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS AND MINOR ACCUMS OF AN INCH OR LESS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. GIVEN THE FROPA...TEMPS SHOULD EXHIBIT A NON-
DIURNAL TREND...WITH MORNING HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID-UPPER TEENS
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TO THE LOWER-MID 20S ELSEWHERE...THEN
SLOWLY DROPPING OFF DURING THE AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT...LOW LEVEL-RIDGING EXTENDING EAST ACROSS NEW YORK
STATE AND NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING A RELATIVE MINIMUM IN SNOWFALL
CHANCES DURING THE EVENING...BEFORE INCREASING WARM ADVECTION/
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY BRINGS A RENEWED POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW TO AREAS SOUTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. GIVEN WHAT SHOULD BE COLDER AIR
AND LESS CLOUD COVER OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY COMPARED TO AREAS SOUTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO...NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL EXHIBIT A DECENT NORTH-SOUTH
GRADIENT...WITH READINGS RANGING FROM THE TEENS SOUTH OF THE LAKE TO
BETWEEN ZERO AND 10 BELOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...OUR ATTENTION WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW OVER THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY REDEVELOPS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COASTLINE...THEN LIFTS
NORTHEASTWARD AND OUT INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...WHILE A WEAKER LOW
DRIFTS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN IN
ADVANCE OF THE MAIN SURFACE LOW WILL SPREAD A SHOT OF PLENTIFUL
MOISTURE AND LIFT ACROSS OUR REGION SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
EVENING...WITH THIS THEN EXITING OFF TO OUR NORTH AND EAST LATER
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. WITH OUR AIRMASS LIKELY REMAINING
COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW....THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BRING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA BETWEEN SATURDAY AND THE FIRST PART OF
SUNDAY. WHILE THE EXACT ACCUMS WE CAN EXPECT OUT OF ALL THIS ARE
STILL UNCERTAIN...AT THIS POINT A 00Z OPERATIONAL MODEL SUITE/WPC
BLEND SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR A DECENT ADVISORY-TYPE SNOWFALL
AREAWIDE. TEMPERATURE- WISE...READINGS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE
RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO MID 20S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND NIGHTTIME LOWS DIPPING INTO THE
10-20 RANGE SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ONCE THIS WEEKENDS SYNOPTIC SYSTEM LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...
ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION WITH LAKE SNOWS
REDEVELOPING ON A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW...WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL
FOR THESE COMING BETWEEN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. AFTER
THIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD BRING
DIMINISHING LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...
BEFORE THE NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
WHILE DISORGANIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL PRODUCE MVFR CONDITIONS
EAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THIS MORNING...VFR WEATHER WILL
BE FOUND AT THE MAJOR TAF SITES. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KJHW WHERE
MVFR CIGS WILL BE LIKELY.

DURING THE COURSE OF THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON...THE MULTIPLE BANDS
OF LAKE EFFECT WILL MOVE NORTH TOWARDS BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN. BY
LATE AFTERNOON...CONSOLIDATING PLUMES OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW
WILL APPROACH BOTH METRO AREAS WITH CONDITIONS DETERIORATING TO AT
LEAST MVFR. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR VLIFR CONDITIONS IN HEAVY
SNOW AT BOTH KBUF AND KART DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT DELAYS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT BOTH AIRFIELDS AS SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF AN INCH
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE.

TONIGHT...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS IN THE BUF AND ART METRO AREAS WILL
DRIFT BACK TO THE SOUTH. GENERAL IMPROVEMENT WILL TAKE PLACE
OERNIGHT AT THESE TAF SITES...WHILE CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO
AT LEAST LIFR AT KJHW.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR...EXCEPT IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF
THE LAKES.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW LIKELY.
MONDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
WITH A DEEP POOL OF COLD AIR OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES RIGHT INTO
THE WEEKEND...AND PASSAGE OF SEVERAL SURFACE WAVES/LOW PRESSURES
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES SOLID ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 PM EST
     FRIDAY FOR NYZ007-008-012-019-020-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR NYZ011.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR NYZ010.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...RSH
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...JJR/TMA
AVIATION...RSH
MARINE...APFFEL/THOMAS
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 12, 6:13 AM EST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
613 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

NYZ007-008-012-019-020-085-131115-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
613 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-131115-
OSWEGO-
613 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-013-014-021-131115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
ALLEGANY-
613 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-131115-
NORTHERN ERIE-
613 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ011-131115-
GENESEE-
613 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
1 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-131115-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
613 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 12, 5:29 AM EST, 4 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
529 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

NYZ010-085-121500-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
529 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EXPECTED FOR THE BUFFALO METRO
AREA LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...

DISORGANIZED...MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER SOUTHERN
ERIE COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL LIFT NORTH DURING THE COURSE
OF THE DAY AND CONSOLIDATE INTO AN IMPRESSIVE PLUME OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW OVER NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE STEADIEST...HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS
HAMBURG...ORCHARD PARK AND EAST AURORA BETWEEN NOON AND 4 PM...
THEN WILL APPROACH DOWNTOWN BUFFALO FOR THE EVENING RUSH HOUR.
SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SUBURBS OF BUFFALO BETWEEN 4 AND 8 PM. THIS
WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MOTORISTS ARE
ADVISED TO PREPARE FOR THIS SCENARIO BEFORE LEAVING FOR THEIR
DAYTIME ACTIVITIES. THERE WILL EVEN BE THE CHANCE THAT AIR TRAVEL
WILL BE AFFECTED AT THE BUFFALO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

THIS SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS OF 10 TO 20
MPH WITH WIND CHILL VALUES CLOSE TO ZERO.

RSH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 11, 11:37 PM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe16 hr
Dec 12, 3:51 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more60 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2013Every gale warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.