Gale Warning 21, NWS Buffalo, NY

570 
WHUS71 KBUF 092032
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

LOZ043-044-100445-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.131209T2100Z-131211T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.GL.W.0021.131209T2100Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-100445-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131211T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.GL.W.0021.131209T2100Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-100445-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131211T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.GL.W.0021.131209T2100Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-100000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-100445-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.131209T2100Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-100445-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.131209T2100Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-100445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131210T1200Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-100445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131211T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
332 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

432 
WHUS71 KBUF 092342
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
642 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

LEZ040-041-100500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
642 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-100745-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
642 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-100745-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
642 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-100745-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131211T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
642 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-100745-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131210T1200Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
642 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

274 
WHUS71 KBUF 100311
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1011 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

LEZ040-041-100500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1011 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-100900-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
1011 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-100900-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1011 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-101115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131211T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1011 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-101115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131210T1200Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1011 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

293 
WHUS71 KBUF 100445
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1145 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

LEZ040-041-101245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131211T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1145 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-100900-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
1145 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-100900-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1145 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-101245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131211T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1145 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-101200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131210T1200Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1145 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

367 
WHUS71 KBUF 100858
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

LOZ043>045-101700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131210T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0022.131210T2300Z-131211T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY INCREASING TO TO 35 KNOTS THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...5 TO 9 FEET TODAY BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FEET TONIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-101700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131210T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0022.131210T2300Z-131211T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET TODAY BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-101700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0022.131210T2300Z-131211T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-101700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-131210T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0022.131210T2300Z-131211T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-101000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131210T1200Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LEZ040-041-101700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131210T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0022.131210T2100Z-131211T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET THIS MORNING BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-101700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-131211T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
954 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
PATCHY LIGHT DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...
WITH A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
A COLD FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING WITH LIMITED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. EVEN COLDER AIR WILL THEN SETTLE IN ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE COMING WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
REGIONAL RADARS CONTINUE TO SHOW WIDESPREAD AREAS OF PRECIP ACROSS
THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST RETURNS ARE CONCENTRATED ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE THRUWAY CORRIDOR WHERE LOW/MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS
AND ISENTROPIC UPLIFT IS AT A MAXIMUM ON THE NOSE OF A 40KT LOW
LEVEL JET. KBUF DUAL-POL RADAR SHOWS A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND UNKNOWN
HYDROMETEORS...INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WITH THE
AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW MAINLY BEING CO-LOCATED WITH THE RELATIVELY
HIGHER DBZ RADAR RETURNS AND THE MIX OF FREEZING DRIZZLE ELSEWHERE.

AS THE NOSE LOW LEVEL JET PUSHES NORTHWARDS INTO CANADA THIS
MORNING...EXPECT THE AREA OF MAXIMUM FRONTOGENESIS/ASCENT TO LIFT
NORTH WITH IT. THUS THE MORE SUSTAINED AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW AND
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE CONFINED INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS AND EVEN THIS SHOULD TAPER OFF TO PATCHY DRIZZLE AND
LIGHT SNOW BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL ALLOW PATCHY DRIZZLE TO CONTINUE TODAY. SURFACE TEMPS
HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST PLACES FROM CAYUGA COUNTY
WESTWARD. A FEW PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE STILL POSSIBLE
THROUGH 11AM OR SO IN A FEW SPOTS IN CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY
COUNTIES. COVERAGE WILL BE SPARSE HOWEVER...SO ALL ADVISORIES HAVE
BEEN DROPPED EXCEPT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WILL PICK UP AND
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS INTO WESTERN NEW YORK. THE AIRMASS DOES NOT GET COLD ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT ANY LAKE RESPONSE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...SO EXPECT THE
PATCHY DRIZZLE TO GRADUALLY END FROM WEST TO EAST WITH PLENTY OF DRY
TIME DURING THE AFTERNOON. CLOUDS ARE NOT GOING ANYWHERE HOWEVER
WITH EXTENSIVE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE TO SUPPORT OVERCAST
SKIES.

EVEN ONCE WE DO GET A FEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS GOING THIS
EVENING...AM NOT EXPECTING MUCH MORE THAN ONE TO TWO INCHES
OVERNIGHT SINCE THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH DRY AIR IN THE MID-LEVELS
TO KEEP EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS HOVERING AROUND 5KFT ON LAKE ERIE AND
5-7KFT ON LAKE ONTARIO. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOW
TO MID 20S OVERNIGHT...THOUGH WINDS GUSTING INT HE 15 TO 25 MPH
RANGE WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS INTO THE TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS
THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE WEATHER FOCUS AND HEADLINE STEALER FOR THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK
REMAINS THE MUCH ANTICIPATED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT WE HAVE BEEN
HIGHLIGHTING FOR SEVERAL DAYS. ON TUESDAY MODELS SHOW A SURFACE
RIDGE CROSSING THE LOWER LAKES WHICH SHOULD TAME THE LAKE EFFECT.
DESPITE FAVORABLE WESTERLY FLOW AND 850MB TEMPS /-15C TO -17C/
CROSSING THE LAKES...THE SURFACE RIDGING WILL PROVIDE LITTLE IF
ANY SYNOPTIC LIFT AND KEEP OVER-LAKE INVERSION HEIGHTS BELOW 10KFT
MUCH OF THE DAY. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN FAIRLY DISORGANIZED SNOW
BANDS OVER AND EAST OF THE LAKES WITH ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN TWO
INCHES. THE COLDER AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL MAKE FOR A CHILLY DAY
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES CAPPED OUT IN THE 20S.

FORECAST MODELS AND BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW LAKE EFFECT SNOWS RAMPING
UP TUESDAY EVENING AND AGAIN LATER WEDNESDAY AS A CLIPPER LOW
CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. FOR TUESDAY NIGHT THE CLIPPER WILL BOOST
SYNOPTIC LIFT AND MOISTURE FOR WELL ORGANIZED LAKE SNOW BANDS TO
DEVELOP. INITIALLY A SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL FOCUS
LAKE BANDS FURTHER NORTH TOWARD BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN THEN AS THE
LOW QUICKLY PASSES EAST OF NEW YORK WIND WILL VEER BACK TO WESTERLY
SETTLING SNOW BAND BACK TOWARD THE FAVORED SNOW BELTS REGIONS EAST
OF THE LAKES.

GFS AND NAM BUFKIT PLAN VIEWS SHOW OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY AND LIFT
MAY RELAX SOME DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WHICH WOULD BRING A SLIGHT
WEAKENING TO THE SNOW BANDS BEFORE A SECONDARY SURFACE TROUGH DROPS
SOUTH ACROSS THE LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS SECONDARY TROUGH WILL
BRING DOWN A BLAST OF REINFORCING COLD AIR WHICH WILL PROVIDE
ANOTHER BOOST TO THE LAKE BANDS. WINDS MAY AGAIN BACK TO SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH LIFTING LAKE SNOWS NORTHWARD
THEN QUICKLY SETTLE BACK SOUTH UNDER A RETURN TO WESTERLY FLOW.
LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT MODELS SHOW 850MB WINDS WILL VEER TO NORTHWEST
AS AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY. THIS WOULD DROP LAKE SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH OF THE SNOW BELT
AREAS WITH CHANCES OF SNOW INCREASING ALONG THE SOUTHERN LAKE
SHORES.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT EAST OF THE LAKES FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. COUNTIES INCLUDE SOUTHERN
ERIE/WYOMING/CHAUTAUQUA/CATTARAUGUS EAST OF LAKE ERIE...AND FOR
OSWEGO/JEFFERSON/LEWIS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE 00Z NAM CONTINUES
TO SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR THE LAKE SNOWS TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD
FOR A TIME LATER WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SURFACE TROUGH AND
IMPACT THE BUFFALO/WATERTOWN AREAS. BASED ON CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
08/12Z AND 09/00Z RUNS HAVE INCREASED CHANCES FOR SNOW FURTHER NORTH
THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BUT DUE TO THE LIMITED CONFIDENCE AND
UNCERTAINTY IN RESIDENCE TIME HAVE LEFT NORTHERN ERIE OUT OF THE
WATCH FOR NOW.

OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
BE COLD AND WINDY WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW AREA WIDE
DRIVEN BY THE PASSING CLIPPER OVER THE LOWER LAKES REGION. THE
CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPS
BELOW NORMAL WITH DAYTIME HIGHS DROPPING TO THE LOWER TO MID
20S BY WEDNESDAY...AND NIGHTTIME LOWS FALLING TO THE 5-15 RANGE BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS MENTIONED ABOVE...ON THURSDAY POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS
SHOULD CONTINUE EAST OF THE LAKES AS A GENERAL WESTERLY FLOW OF COLD
AIR CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION. WITH SOME OF THE MEDIUM RANGE
GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTING THAT BRIEF MINOR FLUCTUATIONS IN THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE
PLACEMENT OF THE LAKE SNOWS MAY VARY SOME THROUGH THE DAY...SO HAVE
ELECTED TO INDICATE BROADER REGIONS OF SOMEWHAT LOWER (HIGH CHANCE
TO LOW LIKELY) POPS DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES. OUTSIDE OF THESE AREAS...
COLDER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ALONG WITH A MORE GENERAL
LOW CHANCE OF SOME SNOW SHOWERS.

AFTERWORDS...CONSIDERABLE DISCREPANCIES PERSIST WITH RESPECT TO BOTH
THE TIMING AND AMPLITUDE OF THE NEXT NOTEWORTHY SURFACE TROUGH
LATE IN THE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND...WITH THE 12Z OPERATIONAL
GUIDANCE ALL OVER THE MAP ON THE HANDLING OF THIS FEATURE. GIVEN
THE ENSUING LARGE DEGREE OF FORECAST UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO
BOTH PRECIP POTENTIAL AND THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST...HAVE ELECTED
TO LEAN TOWARD WPC GUIDANCE AND THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF FOR THE
REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE FORECAST...THIS IS REFLECTED
BY CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPS...AS WELL AS MORE BROADBRUSH POPS
THAT FALL OFF THROUGH THE CHANCE RANGE LATE IN THE WEEK...THEN TO
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LIGHT PRECIPITATION EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON WITH A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE.
FARTHER TO THE WEST JUST PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL BE FOUND. MAINLY MVFR
CIGS WILL CONTINUE WITH IFR ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHILE
SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 20KT TO 30KT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. A
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN NY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
VEERING TO THE SOUTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING A THREAT OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO KBUF AFTER 00Z. ELSEWHERE...LOOK FOR
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO RAMP UP EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT
MAINLY SOUTH OF KART THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR OUTSIDE OF LAKES BANDS WITH MVFR/LOCALIZED IFR IN LES BANDS.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH LOCALIZED IFR IN LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.
SATURDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST AND FRESHEN INTO THE
25 TO 30 KNOT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE
LAKES. GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY BY THIS EVENING WITH WAVES
BUILDING AS HIGH AS 9 FEET ON LAKE ERIE TONIGHT AND 11 FEET ON LAKE
ONTARIO THANKS TO STRONG COLD ADVECTION AND A REASONABLY TIGHT
GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE LIFTING ACROSS JAMES BAY AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE MIDWEST. BRISK WESTERLY FLOW AND COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP CONDITIONS ROUGH ON THE LAKES FOR MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES CROSS THE REGION.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ006>008-012-019-020-085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ006>008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ040-
         041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
         LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST
         WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ043-044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST
         WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
         SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/WOOD
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/WOOD
SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK/WOOD
MARINE...WOOD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
936 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013

NYZ006>008-101445-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
936 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-101445-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
936 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-101445-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
936 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-101445-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
936 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK