Alert archive / Texas / Wind Advisories in 2013

Wind Advisory 9, NWS Brownsville, TX

February 24, 20138 counties in Texas

NWS Brownsville, TX issued this wind advisory at Feb 24, 2013, 3:31 AM CST for 8 counties in Texas. It took effect at Feb 25, 2013, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2013, 3:31 AM CST (09:31 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 25, 2013, 9:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 25, 2013, 8:00 PM CST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Brownsville, TX

Counties Brooks County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Starr County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Zapata County, TX

The radar

The Brownsville radar (KBRO), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brownsville Intl, TX (KBRO), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brownsville Intl, TX at 00:00Z on 2013-02-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brownsville Intl, TX at 00:00Z on 2013-02-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -82 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1317 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

263 
WWUS74 KBRO 240931
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
331 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MONDAY WILL BRING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY MORNING. THE
COMBINATION OF VERY DRY AIR AND A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
PRODUCE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY.

TXZ248>257-241745-
/O.NEW.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
331 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED.

* TIMING...THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM MONDAY
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

* IMPACT...HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO
  DRIVE ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING
  COMMUTE TO WORK AND SCHOOL. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WILL
  BE EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. ANYONE
  WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL
  HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$

CASTILLO
8 follow-up statements
618 
WWUS74 KBRO 241056
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
456 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...DENSE FOG ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS MORNING...
...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY...

.LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW DENSE FOG TO
DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS MORNING.
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MONDAY WILL BRING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY MORNING. THE
COMBINATION OF VERY DRY AIR AND A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
PRODUCE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY.

TXZ248>251-241900-
/O.NEW.KBRO.FG.Y.0006.130224T1056Z-130224T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
SARITA
456 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 
  MPH ARE EXPECTED. 

* VISIBILITY...VISIBILITIES OF A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING
  AND WILL BEGIN TO BURN OFF AND LIFT LATER THIS MORNING.
  
  THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM MONDAY MORNING
  THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

* IMPACT...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. 
  VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS MAKE TRAVELING 
  AT NORMAL SPEEDS IMPOSSIBLE AND VERY DANGEROUS. HIGH INTENSITY 
  LIGHTS WILL MAKE THE FOG HARDER TO SEE THROUGH.

  HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO DRIVE ON
  AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WILL BE
  EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. ANYONE
  WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL
  HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND
MAINTAIN A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN VEHICLES IN DENSE FOG.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$

TXZ252>257-241900-
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...
EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...
BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
456 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 
  MPH ARE EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM 
  MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACT...HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO 
  DRIVE ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE TO WORK AND SCHOOL. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT 
  OBJECTS WILL BE EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE 
  STRONG WINDS. ANYONE WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON 
  ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$

CASTILLO
977 
WWUS74 KBRO 241654
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1054 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MONDAY
WILL BRING A STRONG BUT RELATIVELY DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF VERY DRY AIR AND
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PRODUCE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY.

TXZ248>257-250100-
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
1054 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED MONDAY.

* TIMING...THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM MONDAY
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
  LIKELY OCCUR FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
  AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO DRIVE ON
AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WILL BE
EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. ANYONE
WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL
HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$
473 
WWUS74 KBRO 241950
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
150 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MONDAY
WILL BRING A STRONG BUT RELATIVELY DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY MORNING. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THESE
VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE LATE MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. 

TXZ248>250-252-253-250400-
/O.CAN.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.HW.A.0001.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-HIDALGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...
WESLACO
150 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING. THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED MONDAY.

* TIMING...THESE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM
  MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS
  WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACT...HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO
  DRIVE ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS
  WILL BE EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS.
  ANYONE WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR
  LADDERS...WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BE AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR STRONGER...
WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

&&

$$

TXZ251-254>257-250400-
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
KENEDY-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARITA...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...
HARLINGEN...PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
150 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 
  MPH ARE EXPECTED MONDAY. 

* TIMING...THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM 
  MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST 
  WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO DRIVE ON
AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WILL BE
EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. ANYONE
WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL
HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$
259 
WWUS74 KBRO 250235
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
835 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MONDAY
WILL BRING A STRONG BUT RELATIVELY DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY MORNING. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THESE
VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE LATE MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

TXZ251-254>257-251130-
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
KENEDY-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARITA...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...
HARLINGEN...PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
835 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 
  MPH ARE EXPECTED MONDAY. 

* TIMING...THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM MONDAY
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
  LIKELY OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO DRIVE ON
AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WILL BE
EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. ANYONE
WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL
HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$

TXZ248>250-252-253-251130-
/O.CON.KBRO.HW.A.0001.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-HIDALGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...
WESLACO
835 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED MONDAY.

* TIMING...THESE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM MONDAY
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
  LIKELY OCCUR FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACT...HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO 
  DRIVE ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT 
  OBJECTS WILL BE EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE 
  STRONG WINDS. ANYONE WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON 
  ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BE AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR STRONGER...
WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

&&

$$
884 
WWUS74 KBRO 250942
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
342 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MONDAY
WILL BRING A STRONG BUT DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY MONDAY MORNING. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THESE VERY
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE LATE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

TXZ248>250-252-251800-
/O.UPG.KBRO.HW.A.0001.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.HW.W.0001.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA
342 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
CST THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH 
  ARE EXPECTED MONDAY. 

* TIMING...THESE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM 
  MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST 
  WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACT...HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO 
  DRIVE ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT 
  OBJECTS WILL BE EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE 
  STRONG WINDS. ANYONE WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON 
  ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
40 MPH OR GREATER...OR ANY GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

TXZ253-251800-
/O.UPG.KBRO.HW.A.0001.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
/O.EXA.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
HIDALGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...
WESLACO
342 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST
THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED MONDAY.

* TIMING...THESE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM 
  MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST 
  WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACT...HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO 
  DRIVE ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT 
  OBJECTS WILL BE EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE 
  STRONG WINDS. ANYONE WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON 
  ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$

TXZ251-254>257-251800-
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.130225T1500Z-130226T0200Z/
KENEDY-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARITA...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...
HARLINGEN...PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
342 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
CST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 
  MPH ARE EXPECTED MONDAY. 

* TIMING...THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM 
  MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST 
  WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO DRIVE ON
AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WILL BE
EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. ANYONE
WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL
HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$
758 
WWUS74 KBRO 251740
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1140 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
TODAY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TODAY HAS 
BROUGHT A STRONG BUT DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
THIS MORNING. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THESE VERY STRONG 
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING.

TXZ248>250-252-260000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA
1140 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 TO 55 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

* TIMING...THESE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE
  THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS
  WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

* IMPACT...HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO
  DRIVE ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS
  WILL BE EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS.
  ANYONE WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR
  LADDERS...WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
40 MPH OR GREATER...OR ANY GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

TXZ251-253>257-260000-
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-130226T0200Z/
KENEDY-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARITA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
1140 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

* TIMING...THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM THIS
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
  LIKELY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON.

HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO DRIVE ON
AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WILL BE
EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. ANYONE
WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL
HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$
332 
WWUS74 KBRO 252340
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
540 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
TODAY...

VERY STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AND WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

TXZ248>250-252-260200-
/O.CON.KBRO.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA
540 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 TO 55 
  MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY. 

* TIMING...THESE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM 
  LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST 
  WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. 

* IMPACT...HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO 
  DRIVE ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT 
  OBJECTS WILL BE EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE 
  STRONG WINDS. ANYONE WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON 
  ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
40 MPH OR GREATER...OR ANY GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

TXZ251-253>257-260200-
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-130226T0200Z/
KENEDY-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARITA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
540 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 
  MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY. 

* TIMING...THE VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM THIS 
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL 
  LIKELY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PROFILE AND OTHER VEHICLES WILL DE DIFFICULT TO DRIVE ON
AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. LOOSE AND LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WILL BE
EASILY MOVED AND POSSIBLY DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. ANYONE
WORKING ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...SUCH AS ON ROOFS OR LADDERS...WILL
HAVE DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

&&

$$
743 
WWUS74 KBRO 260157
NPWBRO

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
757 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...WINDS DECREASING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...

.WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS INTO THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. THIS TREND
WILL CONTINUE WITH WINDS DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH RANGE BY EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...THE HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

TXZ248>250-252-260300-
/O.EXP.KBRO.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130226T0200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA
757 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...

WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS INTO THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DECREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

TXZ251-253>257-260300-
/O.EXP.KBRO.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-130226T0200Z/
KENEDY-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARITA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
757 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...

WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS INTO THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DECREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 23, 11:48 PM CST, 3 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 11:48 PM CST, 3 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1148 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...ONSHORE FLOW WILL FILTER GULF MOISTURE ACROSS THE LOWER
VALLEY DEVELOPING OVC SKIES THROUGH THE NIGHT. LATEST KPIL 04Z
OBSERVATION SHOWS LOWERING CIGS DEVELOPING WITH AN EASTERLY FLOW
IN PLACE. MAIN AREA OF IMPACT WILL BE FROM KMFE TO KBRO FIRST AND
EXPAND TOWARDS THE WESTERN COUNTIES BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
EXPECT A SOUTHEAST FLOW THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH LIGHT TO BREEZE
CONDITIONS FOR THE AFTERNOON. NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH VFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 826 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013/

DISCUSSION...CONCERNS THIS EVENING ARE FOR MONDAY WITH A SHARP
SHORTWAVE DRIVING VERY STRONG WINDS AND VERY LOW DEW POINTS
SPREADING ACROSS THE CWA. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
SOME DETAILS IN STRENGTH TO WORK OUT BEFORE THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. DEEP LAYER NORTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 60
KNOTS BETWEEN 2500-6000 FEET ARE INDICATED ROTATE AROUND THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHWEST TEXAS. A COLD FRONT SURGES QUICKLY ACROSS THE CWA MONDAY
MORNING WITH THE STRONG WINDS WORKING THEIR WAY TO THE SURFACE.
SOME MODEL GUIDANCE IS SHOWING SUSTAINED WINDS EXCEEDING 40 MPH
AND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ACROSS A LARGE EXPANSE OF RANCHLAND AND RIO
GRANDE VALLEY REAL ESTATE. IF THESE WINDS CONTINUE TO BE FORECAST
BY LATER MODEL RUNS A HIGH WIND WATCH MAY HAVE TO ISSUED. AS FOR
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS...SURFACE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO CRASH RAPIDLY
AS DEEP LAYER MEAN RH VALUES ARE INDICATED TO BE BELOW 10 PERCENT.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY AND THE DISCUSSION
BELOW GIVES MORE DETAILS. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO LOWER
BEHIND THIS FRONT BUT COULD ACTUALLY INCREASE AS THE DRY AIR
BECOMES COMPRESSED. HAVE NOT CHANGES MAX TEMPS AT THIS TIME
THOUGH.

AS FOR TONIGHT TEMPERATURES COOLING QUICKLY ALONG THE COAST WITH
SOME TEMPS NEARING EARLIER FORECAST LOWS. ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
SHOW TEMPS BECOMING STEADY OR EVENING WARMING SLIGHTLY TOWARDS
SUNRISE AS A WARM FRONT MOVES INLAND FROM THE GULF. CLOUDS TO
LOWER AND SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE OR FOG IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ENJOY TOMORROW BEFORE THE WIND
MACHINE CRANKS MONDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...RH VALUES WILL QUICKLY CRASH IN THE WAKE OF THE
FROPA ON MONDAY AS THE NW LOW LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO ACCELERATE.
EXPECT RH VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS OUT WEST BY MON
AFTERNOON WITH 20 FT WINDS PUSH INTO THE 20 TO 35 KNOT RANGE. RH
VALUES NEAR THE COAST WILL ONLY BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WITH TEENS TO
LOWER 20S LIKELY THERE. THE RH VALUES WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER MON
NIGHT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL AREAS OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS INCLUDING THE COAST MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE ADDITIONAL PUSHES OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR
EXPECTED ON WED AND AGAIN TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND VERY LOW RH VALUES
WILL LIKELY PLAGUE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
THE LOW RH VALUES WILL COMBINE WITH PERIODS OF STRONGER 20 FT
WINDS TO LIKELY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER
WATCHES/RED FLAG WARNINGS THIS UPCOMING WEEK. EMERGENCY MANAGERS
AND FIRE MANAGEMENT AGENCIES SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE
LATEST FIRE WEATHER FORECAST...FIRE WEATHER WATCHES AND/OR RED
FLAG WARNINGS OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 539 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...GULF MOISTURE TO CREEP BACK INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
LATE THIS EVENING WITH A WARM FRONT ENCROACHING ON THE REGION
SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT FLYING CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE FIRST
ALONG THE COAST A FEW HOURS BEFORE MIDNIGHT THEN SPREAD WEST AND
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MVFR TO IFR CIGS TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS MONDAY. SOME MVFR RESTRICTIONS
IN VSBY IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN PATCHES OF DRIZZLE NEAR THE
WARM FRONT SUNDAY MORNING. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT
TO GRADUALLY VEER EAST TO SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013/

SHORT TERM /NOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...LATE MORNING WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY DEPICTS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WITH ANOTHER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. SHORTWAVE RIDGING
WAS SANDWICHED BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WITH
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER OUR AREA. AT THE SURFACE...SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT WAS LOCATED IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SOME 200 MILES
EAST OF BROWNSVILLE. FRONT BEGINS TO CREEP A LITTLE FURTHER EASTWARD
BEFORE TURNING BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY BEING DRAWN
UP INTO THE NEXT SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS MONDAY.

CLOUDS WILL THIN A BIT THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL THICKEN BACK UP
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES AND THE WARM FRONT MAKES A
RUN THROUGH THE AREA. LOOKS TO BE JUST ENOUGH LIFT/CONVERGENCE TO
GET A FEW SHOWERS GOING ON SUNDAY WITH THE FRONT BUT WILL REMAIN OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS. PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
MAINLY EAST OF HWY 281.

CLOUDS WILL DECREASE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE WARM FRONT PULLS NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW
MAXES TO APPROACH THE MIDDLE 80S IN THE UPPER VALLEY WITH COOLER
MAXES TOWARDS THE COAST. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
SUNDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...A STRONG 500 MB TROUGH AXIS
WILL DIG ACROSS TX ON MONDAY PULLING THROUGH A PRETTY STRONG FROPA
MON MORNING WITH STRONG N-NW SURFACE FLOW SPREADING ACROSS THE
REGION. MOISTURE LEVELS AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE REMAIN CONCENTRATED
WELL NORTH OF THE REGION WITH VERY LIMITED VALUES OVER DEEP SOUTH
TX. THIS 500 MB TROUGH AXIS CLEARS OUT TO THE NE PRETTY QUICKLY BY
EARLY TUES. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE FOLLOWS QUICKLY PUSHING ACROSS THE
MID PORTION OF THE COUNTRY ON WED WHICH PULLS ANOTHER FAIRLY DRY
FROPA AROUND MIDWEEK. YET ANOTHER LARGE MID LEVEL TROUGH DIGS
ACROSS THE GULF COAST WHICH ALLOWS ANOTHER SHOT OF COOLER AND
DRIER AIR FOR NEXT WEEKEND. NONE OF THESE LATER TROUGH AND FRONTAL
PASSAGE HAVE REAL SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE LEVELS SO WILL NOT BE
INCLUDING ANY SERIOUS MENTION OF POPS THROUGH DAY 7.

THE STEADY PROGRESSION OF RESURGENT COOL AIR MASSES IN THE LONGER
RANGE PERIOD WILL KEEP OVERALL TEMPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. BOTH THE
GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT IN THE OVERALL
STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE SYNOPTIC LEVEL PATTERNS THROUGH DAY 7.
RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY WITH GFS MEX MOS TEMPS IS FAIRLY STABLE
WITH SIMILAR STABILITY SHOWING UP IN THE ECMWF TEMP GUIDANCE. THE
BIGGEST DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE TWO LONGER RANGE MODELS CONCERNS
THE DEGREE OF CAA FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THE ECMWF SHOWS A COOLER BIAS
GOING INTO THE WEEKEND VERSUS THE GFS. HAVE GONE WITH A BLEND OF
THE TWO FOR MAXES AND MINS THROUGH DAY 7 LEANING A LITTLE MORE
TOWARDS THE MEX MOS GUIDANCE.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THE LONGER RANGE FORECAST WORDING IS ABOVE
AVERAGE.

MARINE...NOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SEAS WERE NEAR 6 FEET WITH NORTH
WINDS NEAR 14 KNOTS AT BUOY020 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. WINDS
WILL TURN FROM THE NORTH CURRENTLY TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AND TO
THE SOUTH BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CONUS. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE LONGER RANGE MARINE FORECAST DOES
NOT LOOK GOOD FOR BENIGN BAY AND GULF CONDITIONS AS THE STEADY
PROGRESSION OF REINFORCING SHOTS OF COOLER AIR FROM THE NORTH WILL
MAINTAIN PRETTY HAZARDOUS BAY AND GULF CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE
PERIOD. THE STRONG PUSH OF COOLER AIR ON MON WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
SCA/GALE CONDITIONS ALONG THE LOWER TX COASTLINE. A BRIEF BREAK IN
THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL THEN OCCUR ON TUES AND EARLY WED AS
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS. STRONG NORTH SURFACE
WINDS WILL THEN RETURN LATE WED AND WILL PERSIST INTO THURS LIKELY
REQUIRING MORE SCAS.

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ248>257.

GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

67/61
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 8:59 PM CST, 6 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
859 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-250300-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
859 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE
LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS EARLY MONDAY WITH POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED
WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

TXZ248>257-250300-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
859 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF SOUTH
PADRE ISLAND AND AT BOCA CHICA BEACH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FROM
MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VALUES.

STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY. WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED ON
MONDAY.

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED AT THE LOCAL BEACHES
MONDAY...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AND AGAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Brownsville, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 23, 7:50 PM CSTFire Weather WatchBROBrooks, Cameron, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Starr and 2 more8 hr
Feb 24, 2:49 AM CSTGale WatchBRO11 hr
Feb 24, 4:18 AM CSTRed Flag WarningBROBrooks, Cameron, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Starr and 2 more40 hr
Feb 24, 4:56 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryBROBrooks, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Zapata4 hr
Feb 24, 1:37 PM CSTGale WarningBRO39 hr
Feb 24, 1:50 PM CSTHigh Wind WatchBROBrooks, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Starr, Zapata14 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Texas, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.