Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2013

Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Brownsville, TX

March 22, 20137 counties in Texas

NWS Brownsville, TX issued this red flag warning at Mar 22, 2013, 1:52 PM CDT for 7 counties in Texas. It took effect at Mar 23, 2013, 11:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 22, 2013, 1:52 PM CDT (18:52 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 23, 2013, 11:00 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 23, 2013, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Brownsville, TX

Counties Brooks County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Starr County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Zapata County, TX

The radar

The Brownsville radar (KBRO), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brownsville Intl, TX (KBRO), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brownsville Intl, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-03-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 989 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brownsville Intl, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-03-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 87 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
989 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-514 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
518 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

535 
WWUS84 KBRO 221852
RFWBRO

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
152 PM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

...TWO DAYS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...

.STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING MUCH LOWER HUMIDITY
TO THE AREA ON SATURDAY IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON THROUGHOUT MUCH OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...WITH
THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED IN HIDALGO AND STARR
COUNTIES WITHIN ABOUT 20 MILES OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING WITH IT STRONG NORTH
WINDS AT 25 TO 30 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY REMAIN JUST
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WITH THIS FRONT...BUT IT IS POSSIBLE
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE REACHED.

TXZ250-231100-
/O.CAN.KBRO.FW.A.0007.130323T1600Z-130324T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
BROOKS-
152 PM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 250...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 250...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SATURDAY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 250.

* TIMING...LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS BETWEEN 11 AM AND 5 PM.

* WIND...INCREASING NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...LOWERING 25 TO 35 PERCENT

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY RANGING
FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW 45 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...AND CURED FUELS. 
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL TRIGGER FIRE DANGER
AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION TABLES ARE FOUND AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ248-249-252-253-231100-
/O.UPG.KBRO.FW.A.0007.130323T1600Z-130324T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.W.0009.130323T1600Z-130324T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-HIDALGO-
152 PM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 248...249...
252 AND 253...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 248...249...252 AND 253...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY. A NEW
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 


* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 248...249...252 AND 253. 

* TIMING...LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS BETWEEN 11 AM AND 7 PM.

* WIND...INCREASING NORTHWEST WIND AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
  25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...LOWERING TO 8 TO 20 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY
RANGING FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW
45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...
AND CURED FUELS.  HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL
TRIGGER FIRE DANGER AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION
TABLES ARE FOUND AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY RANGING
FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW 45 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...AND CURED FUELS. 
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL TRIGGER FIRE DANGER
AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION TABLES ARE FOUND AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ254-255-231100-
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.W.0009.130323T1600Z-130324T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
152 PM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 254 AND 255...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 254 AND 255...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 254 AND 255. 

* TIMING...INCREASING NORTHWEST WIND AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
  25 MPH.

* WIND...INCREASING NORTHWEST WIND AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
  25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...FALLING TO 10 TO 20 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY
RANGING FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW
45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...
AND CURED FUELS.  HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL
TRIGGER FIRE DANGER AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION
TABLES ARE FOUND AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY RANGING
FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW 45 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...AND CURED FUELS. 
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL TRIGGER FIRE DANGER
AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION TABLES ARE FOUND AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ251-231100-
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
KENEDY-
152 PM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 251...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 251.

* TIMING...FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND...NORTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 40 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY RANGING
FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW 45 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...AND CURED FUELS. 
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL TRIGGER FIRE DANGER
AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION TABLES ARE FOUND AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

JGG
3 follow-up statements
703 
WWUS84 KBRO 230951
RFWBRO

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
451 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...TWO DAYS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...

.DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS TO DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING SPREADING
EAST THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO MIX TO THE SURFACE
AND A SURFACE DRY LINE TO APPROACH THE GULF COAST LATE TODAY.
LOWEST HUMIDITY AND STRONGEST WINDS FAVOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF
HIGHWAY 281 AND ALONG THE RIO GRANDE RIVER. THE LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY TO SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF AS HUMIDITY LEVELS MIGHT TAKE
A LITTLE LONGER TO DEVELOP. THE ENTIRE REGION WILL SEE A REPEAT OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH IN THE MORNING. ALL AREAS TO SEE STRONG NORTH WINDS 
DEVELOPING WITH HUMIDITY TO PLUMMET QUICKLY. TEMPERATURES TO BE
AROUND 20 TO 25 DEGREE COOLER THEN SATURDAY KEEPING HUMIDITY
LEVELS SLIGHT HIGHER.



TXZ250-232000-
/O.EXA.KBRO.FW.W.0009.130323T1600Z-130324T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
BROOKS-
451 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 250...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 250...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 250.

* TIMING...LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS BETWEEN 11 AM AND 7 PM.

* WIND...INCREASING NORTHWEST 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...LOWERING 25 TO 35 PERCENT

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY RANGING
FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW 45 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...AND CURED FUELS.
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL TRIGGER FIRE DANGER
AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION TABLES ARE FOUND AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ248-249-252>255-232000-
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0009.130323T1600Z-130324T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
451 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 248...249...252...253...254 AND 255...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 248...249...252...253...254 AND 255...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 248...249...252...253... 
  254 AND 255. 

* TIMING...LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS BETWEEN 11 AM AND 7 PM.

* WIND...INCREASING NORTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30
  TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...LOWERING TO 8 TO 20 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY
RANGING FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW
45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...
AND CURED FUELS.  HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL
TRIGGER FIRE DANGER AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION
TABLES ARE FOUND AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY RANGING
FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW 45 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...AND CURED FUELS.
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL TRIGGER FIRE DANGER
AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION TABLES ARE FOUND AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ256-257-232000-
/O.EXA.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
451 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 256 AND 257...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 256 AND 257. 

* TIMING...LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS BETWEEN 11 AM AND 7 PM.

* WIND...INCREASING NORTH WIND AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
  30 AND 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...LOWERING TO 12 TO 30 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY
RANGING FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW
45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...
AND CURED FUELS.  HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL
TRIGGER FIRE DANGER AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION
TABLES ARE FOUND AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY RANGING
FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW 45 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...AND CURED FUELS.
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL TRIGGER FIRE DANGER
AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION TABLES ARE FOUND AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ251-232000-
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
KENEDY-
451 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 251...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 251.

* TIMING...FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND...NORTH WIND 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...18 TO 35 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY RANGING
FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW 45 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...AND CURED FUELS.
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL TRIGGER FIRE DANGER
AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION TABLES ARE FOUND AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
080 
WWUS84 KBRO 231836
RFWBRO

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
136 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...TWO DAYS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AS SURFACE HUMIDITY
FALLS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST MIX OF LOW HUMIDITY AND
GUSTY WINDS IS EXPECTED WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE RIVER. ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED SUNDAY AS A STRONG FRONT BRINGS GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND
DRIER AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER ON SUNDAY...KEEPING
HUMIDITY LEVELS A LITTLE HIGHER...BUT VALUES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO
REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

TXZ248>250-252>255-241200-
/O.UPG.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.W.0010.130324T1500Z-130324T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130324T0000Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-
136 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 248...
249...250...252...253...254 AND 255...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 248...249...
250...252...253...254 AND 255...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT SUNDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS BETWEEN THROUGH 7 PM
  TODAY. AND FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM ON SUNDAY.

* WIND...NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH ON SATURDAY. ON SUNDAY
  INCREASING NORTH WIND AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 20 PERCENT ON SATURDAY...AND 12 TO 25 PERCENT ON
  SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY
RANGING FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW
45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...
AND CURED FUELS.  HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL
TRIGGER FIRE DANGER AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION
TABLES ARE FOUND AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE.

&&

$$

TXZ251-256-257-241200-
/O.UPG.KBRO.FW.A.0008.130324T1600Z-130324T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.W.0010.130324T1500Z-130324T2300Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
136 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 251...256 AND
257...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT SUNDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND...NORTH WIND 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...18 TO 35 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY
RANGING FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW
45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...
AND CURED FUELS.  HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL
TRIGGER FIRE DANGER AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION
TABLES ARE FOUND AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE.

&&

$$

JGG
814 
WWUS84 KBRO 240012
RFWBRO

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
712 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY...

.ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED
SUNDAY AS A STRONG FRONT BRINGS GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND DRIER AIR.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER ON SUNDAY...KEEPING HUMIDITY LEVELS A
LITTLE HIGHER...BUT VALUES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO REACH CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS.

TXZ248>250-252>255-240815-
/O.EXP.KBRO.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130324T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0010.130324T1500Z-130324T2300Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-
712 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
248...249...250...252...253...254 AND 255...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 248...249...250...252...253...254 AND
255...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT SUNDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM ON
  SUNDAY.

* WIND...NORTH WIND BETWEEN 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...12 TO 25 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY
RANGING FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW
45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...
AND CURED FUELS.  HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL
TRIGGER FIRE DANGER AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION
TABLES ARE FOUND AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE.

&&

$$

TXZ251-256-257-240815-
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0010.130324T1500Z-130324T2300Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
712 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
251...256 AND 257...

* TIMING...FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND...NORTH WIND 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...18 TO 30 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  IN GENERAL...THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER...HUMIDITY
RANGING FROM BELOW 25 PERCENT IN ZAPATA COUNTY TO BELOW
45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST...EACH LASTING FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE...
AND CURED FUELS.  HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS WILL
TRIGGER FIRE DANGER AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  DETAILED DECISION
TABLES ARE FOUND AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV/?N=MAPCOLORS#FIRE.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 22, 12:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 22, 12:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1228 PM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR HOLDING ON AT MOST SITES THROUGH THE NOON HOUR.
MVFR COVERAGE SHOULD HOLD ON LONGEST NEAR THE COAST BUT IS
BEGINNING TO BREAK UP IN THE 281 CORRIDOR AND SHOULD BEGIN TO
NOSE ABOVE 3000 FT IN THE NEXT 3 HOURS OR SO AT MOST SITES. WINDS
WILL REMAIN A LITTLE LIGHTER THAN ORIGINALLY FORECAST TODAY AND
NOW FORECAST A STEADY SOUTHEAST WIND AT AROUND 10 KNOTS FOR THE
REST OF THE DAY.

TONIGHT CIGS SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL ONCE AGAIN WITH MVFR LIKELY
FALLING TO IFR IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. EXPECT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
AT LEAST SOME SEA FOG THROUGH THE NIGHT TONIGHT WITH IFR VISBY
FORECAST IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES...INCLUDING BRO/HRL AROUND
DAYBREAK. EXACT TIMING/INTENSITY DETAILS WITH THE ADVECTION FOG
ARE STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS POINT. A NORTHWESTERLY PUSH OF DRIER
AIR WILL ARRIVE IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WITH
IMPROVING CIG/VISBY BUT WIND GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 30KT RANGE.
/68-JGG/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013/

DISCUSSION...LOW CLOUDINESS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REST
OF THE MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP A BIT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
THIS SHOULD HOLD AFTERNOON MAXES IN CHECK DESPITE 850MB
TEMPERATURES AROUND 25C. EXPECT TEMPERATURES WILL JUMP QUITE A BIT
ONCE SUN COVERAGE INCREASES. DID UPDATE THE FORECAST A FEW MINUTES
AGO TO ADD PATCHY FOG INLAND TO ABOUT HIGHWAY 77 EASTWARD/AREAS OF FOG
COASTAL AND MARINE AREAS WITH LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER COOL
NEARSHORE WATERS. NO OTHER CHANGES ATTM. /68-JGG/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 611 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS BETWEEN 1200-2000 TO PERSIST THROUGH WILL
BE SLOW IN LIFTING THIS MORNING. A SLOW RISE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WITH A SMALL WINDOW BETWEEN 20Z AND 00Z/SAT WHEN CIGS MAY RISE TO
LOWER END VFR AROUND 3500. BETTER CHANCE FOR SCT-BKN WEST OF HIGHWAY
281. CIGS THEN FALL QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET APPROACHING IFR BY THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. LOW CONFIDENCE IF VSBY LOWER TO IFR TONIGHT
IF AND WHEN PATCHY FOG DEVELOPS BUT MORE LIKELY AFTER  MIDNIGHT AS
WINDS BECOME LIGHT. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS
EARLY THEN PRESSURE GRADIENT SLOWLY RELAXES TODAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 549 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013/

DISCUSSION...WANTED TO MENTION A LOW PROBABILITY OF A MINOR
COASTAL TIDAL EPISODE SOMETIME MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MODELS
SUGGEST AN APPROXIMATE 1030MB SURFACE RIDGE SETTLING OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF STATES EARLY IN THE WEEK. A BROAD NORTHEAST TO EAST
FETCH OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HIGHER WINDS COULD DEVELOP A
LONG PERIOD SWELL. THIS SWELL WILL BE DIRECTED TOWARDS PADRE
ISLAND AND WITH A FULL MOON EXPECTED BY MARCH 27TH HIGH TIDES
WILL BE RUNNING UP TO 1 AND ONE HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS
COULD RESULT IN MINOR TIDAL OVER WASH ALONG BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND AND BOCA CHICA AS EARLY AS MONDAY CONTINUING THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY. MORE ON THIS IF THIS SWELL DEVELOPS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 428 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013/

SHORT TERM /NOW THROUGH SATURDAY/...MAIN IMPACTS TODAY ARE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A STATIONARY FRONT OVER NORTH TEXAS TO
MAINTAIN A SOUTH WIND AND A MODEST INCREASE IN GULF MOISTURE. THE
BRISK SOUTHERLY FLOW WEAKENS AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY BEGINS A SLOW
SOUTH MOVEMENT AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING EAST
TROUGH THE MEAN 500MB LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE U.S.
TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. MCALLEN
RECORD HIGH OF 95 TO BE THREATENED IF SUFFICIENT SUNSHINE BREAKS
THROUGH THE CLOUDS. BROWNSVILLE AND HARLINGEN SHOULD STAY BELOW
THEIR DAILY RECORDS AS WINDS BACK EASTWARD AROUND MID AFTERNOON.

SATURDAY...IMPACTS CONTINUE TO BE RECORD HEAT AND CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SAG SOUTHWARD BUT
REMAINS NORTH OF THE VALLEY WITH 500MB SHORTWAVE HANGING BACK OVER
THE ROCKIES. A DRY LINE OR LOW PRESSURE TROUGH TO PUSH EAST INTO THE
VALLEY AND WILL LIKELY APPROACH HIGHWAY 77. MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWS
NORTHWEST WINDS REACHING THE LOWER VALLEY MID AFTERNOON. DOWNSLOPING
WINDS TO MIX OUT THE SHALLOW LAYER OF MOISTURE WITH COMPRESSIONAL
HEATING WORKING ON THE SURFACE LAYER. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE
TO SHOW SOARING AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AS STRONGER WINDS BEGIN TO
MIX TO THE SURFACE. FORECAST HIGHS ARE SLIGHTLY  LESS THEN ECWMF BUT
A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THEN MAV AND MET WITH THE MAV REMAINING THE
COOLEST. IN ANY CASE EXPECT RECORD HIGH HEAT ON SATURDAY. AS THE DRY
LINE MOVES ACROSS THE WEST DEEP MIXING TO ALLOW FOR GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND TO SIGNIFICANTLY DRY OUT THE ATMOSPHERE. FIRE WEATHER GRID
SCHEME HIGHLIGHTS WESTERN AND NORTHERN ZONES ALONG AND WEST OF
HIGHWAY 281 IN THE MOST CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE COUNTIES.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...IMPACTS FOR THE
LONG TERM PERIOD CONTINUE TO BE THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT
SUNDAY MORNING AND ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES ITS TREK ACROSS THE PLAINS ON SUNDAY WITH
ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE CWA SUNDAY MORNING WITH
IT PUSHING THROUGH BROWNSVILLE BEFORE NOON. USED A NAM/ECWMF
BLEND FOR TIMING OF FRONT...GFS REMAINED THE FASTEST AND ECWMF THE
SLOWEST. LIMITED MOISTURE AVAILABILITY POINTS TO A DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE. BEHIND THE FRONT COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN
BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS. WINDS INCREASE AND
SHIFT TO THE NORTH WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONGER 20 FT WINDS AND RH VALUES UNDER 15 PERCENT WILL RESULT IN
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

BY MIDWEEK BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN
SEABOARD WHILE WEAK RIDGING SHIFTS OVER THE WESTERN US. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS MONDAY WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. THIS RESULTS IN NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW DOMINATING
MONDAY AND TUESDAY BEFORE WINDS VEER TO THE EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST
WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE RETURNS WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW AS DOES INCREASED
CLOUD COVER. CLOUD COVER WILL MODERATE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEK...KEEPING THEM BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. CONTINUED
TRENDING TEMPERATURES DOWN SLIGHTLY SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE CLOUDS.

MARINE...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MARGINAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS THIS MORNING TO IMPROVE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY PUSHES SOUTH. WINDS AND SEAS PEAKING AROUND
SUNRISE WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTH TEXAS EXPECTED TO BE AT ITS
LOWEST PRESSURE. MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE  TROUGH TRACKS EAST WITH THE
SURFACE LOW WEAKENING SLIGHTLY AS IT TRACKS EAST. THE ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY WEAKENING THE GRADIENT FURTHER. A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND AND
LOWERING SEAS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MODERATE SOUTHEAST WINDS EARLY
SATURDAY NIGHT WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ON SUNDAY MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BECOME STRONG AND SEAS WILL BUILD. WINDS AND
SEAS REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH TUESDAY AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...MAIN FIRE WEATHER EMPHASIS POINTS TO SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONES ALONG AND
WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 SATURDAY AFTERNOON. DRYLINE MOVES EAST OF THE
REGION MID MORNING SATURDAY WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS DROPPING RAPIDLY
AND A WELL MIXED ATMOSPHERE ALLOWING FOR MARGINAL STRONGER WINDS TO
MIX TO THE SURFACE. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
IF 20 FOOT WINDS REACH CRITICAL LEVELS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. 850
TEMPERATURES ARE INDICATED TO BE BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH SO THIS WILL
LEAD TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.  ON SUNDAY ALL AREAS IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
WILL BE UNDER A CRITICAL THREAT AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH
THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY. HUMIDITY TO DROP BETWEEN 10 AND 30  PERCENT
AND NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS INCREASE NEAR 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SUNDAY HAS A HIGHER POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG WARNING THEN SATURDAY
WITH WINDS BEING THE UNSURE FACTOR ON SATURDAY.

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR TXZ248>250-252-253.

GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

68/54
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 22, 5:31 AM CDT, 8 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
531 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

TXZ248>250-252>255-231030-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-
531 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT 11 AM TO 7 PM SATURDAY FOR LOW
HUMIDITY AND BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS. CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING MORE
FAVORABLE FOR A RED FLAG WARNING ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT USHERS
IN BRISK NORTH WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

TXZ251-256-257-231030-
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
531 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS LIKELY SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS LOW
HUMIDITY AND BRISK NORTH WINDS SPREAD ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS.

MINOR TIDAL OVER WASH IS POSSIBLE ALONG PADRE ISLAND INCLUDING
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND BOCA CHICA BEACHES MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS POTENTIALLY LARGE NORTHEAST TO EAST SWELL DEVELOPS
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AND IS DIRECTED TOWARDS PADRE
ISLAND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-231030-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
531 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH THE REGION.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NECESSARY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS PERSIST AND A POSSIBLE LARGE LONG
PERIOD SWELL DEVELOPS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Brownsville, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 5:11 AM CDTFire Weather WatchBROBrooks, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Starr, Zapata9 hr
Mar 22, 1:52 PM CDTFire Weather WatchBROBrooks, Cameron, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Starr and 2 more24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2013Every red flag warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.