Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Brownsville, TX

830 
WGUS74 KBRO 222359
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
559 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

TXC061-489-230100-
/O.CON.KBRO.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131123T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMERON TX-WILLACY TX-
559 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WILLACY
AND WESTERN CAMERON COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CST...

AT 540 PM CST...THE CAMERON COUNTY SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT REPORTED 5 TO 
6 INCHES OF WATER IN PRIMERA THAT WAS ALMOST IN RESIDENTIAL HOMES. 
AND AT 545 PM CST...THE CAMERON COUNTY SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT ALSO 
REPORTED WATER OVER A LOWER BRIDGE ON BREEDLOVE STREET IN NORTH 
HARLINGEN. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...HARLINGEN...VALLEY INTERNATIONAL 
AIRPORT...SAN BENITO...PRIMERA...RIO HONDO...RANGERVILLE...LASANA...
PORFIRIO...SANTA MONICA...AND LOS COYOTES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
BROWNSVILLE.

DON'T BECOME A STATISTIC. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

&&

LAT...LON 2596 9759 2596 9761 2601 9765 2602 9770
      2602 9776 2603 9779 2605 9780 2604 9781
      2605 9785 2627 9780 2643 9770 2650 9745
      2593 9755 2593 9757

$$

TOMASELLI

051 
WGUS74 KBRO 230032
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
632 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

TXC061-489-230100-
/O.CON.KBRO.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131123T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMERON TX-WILLACY TX-
632 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WILLACY
AND WESTERN CAMERON COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CST...

AT 620 PM CST...THE HARLINGEN POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED FLOODING 
IMPACTING THE STREETS OF POLK AVENUE AND HIGHWAY 77/INTERSTATE 69E...
PASO REAL AND 3200 HAYNE...AND TOMAS LANE AND MARK CIRCLE.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...HARLINGEN...VALLEY INTERNATIONAL 
AIRPORT...SAN BENITO...PRIMERA...RIO HONDO...RANGERVILLE...LASANA...
PORFIRIO...SANTA MONICA...AND LOS COYOTES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS TO RISE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

DON'T BECOME A STATISTIC. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

&&

LAT...LON 2596 9759 2596 9761 2601 9765 2602 9770
      2602 9776 2603 9779 2605 9780 2604 9781
      2605 9785 2627 9780 2643 9770 2650 9745
      2593 9755 2593 9757

$$

TOMASELLI

249 
WGUS74 KBRO 230056
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
656 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

TXC061-489-230111-
/O.EXP.KBRO.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131123T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMERON TX-WILLACY TX-
656 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
WILLACY AND WESTERN CAMERON COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 700
PM CST...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED. WATER LEVELS HAVE RECEDED OR
WERE BEGINNING TO RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS
BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DON'T BECOME A STATISTIC. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

&&

LAT...LON 2596 9759 2596 9761 2601 9765 2602 9770
      2602 9776 2603 9779 2605 9780 2604 9781
      2605 9785 2627 9780 2643 9770 2650 9745
      2593 9755 2593 9757

$$

TOMASELLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
535 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...IFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH AND DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA AND
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTORMS CONTINUE BEHIND THE FRONT. A LARGE
SHIELD OF STRATUS LIES BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF
TEXAS. SHOWERS WILL WIND DOWN OVERNIGHT CHANGING OVER TO A LIGHT RAIN
EVENT ON SATURDAY AS COLD AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013/

SHORT TERM.../NOW THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/THE STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE CWA AS OF 20Z WITH NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE FRONT. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE LOWER VALLEY AROUND 2 TO 3 HRS
FROM NOW WITH CLOUD COVER BECOMING MORE OVERCAST ACROSS THE AREA.
THE TEMPERATURES WILL DROP DRASTICALLY THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY
WITH ALREADY TEMPS IN THE 50S ACROSS HEBBRONVILLE AND FALFURRIAS
AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT THE CAA WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY AS THE
STRONG NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION HOLDING
THE TEMPS WELL BELOW CLIMO TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT 10 TO 15
DEGREE DROP IN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND STEADY REMAIN IN THE MID
40S INTO SATURDAY. ALSO THE ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER WITH LOW CEILINGS
WILL TRAP AND RETAIN THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA WITH
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE THROUGH SATURDAY. FURTHER NORTH INTO HBV
AREA...12Z NAM SOUNDING SHOWING A FEW HOURS OF BELOW FREEZE TEMPS
IN THE PROFILE WHICH COULD DEVELOP A SOME ISOLATED GRAUPEL THAT
CAN REACH THE GROUND. CONVECTION WILL BECOME MORE STRATIFORM TYPE
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY BECOMING LIGHT TO MODERATE AT TIMES. RAIN
ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE FROM AN INCH TO TWO INCHES WITH THE FRONT
PASSAGE AND INTO SATURDAY AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH POSSIBLE.

AFTER THE FRONT CLEARS THROUGH AREA LATER TODAY MSL FORECAST FIELDS
INDICATES THAT COASTAL SURFACE TROUGHING WILL FORM UP ALONG THE LOWER
TX COASTLINE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY WHICH WILL MAINTAIN GOOD
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ENHANCING THE RAIN CHANCES THROUGHOUT THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD.

MET TEMP GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE GOING COLDER THAN THE MAV AND ECMWF
GUIDANCE FOR THE POST FRONTAL TEMPS. LEAN TOWARDS THE MET GUIDANCE
ON TEMPERATURES AS IT IS ANALYZING BETTER SHALLOW COLD AIR MASS.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A LOT GOING ON IN THE SHORT TERM AS
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. FOR THE LONG TERM MODEL SOLUTIONS REMAIN
VERY CLOSE IN AGREEMENT AND FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH REHATCHED OF THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST. OVERRUNNING CONDITIONS TO PERSIST SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN OVERNIGHT AND DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES RUNNING ABOUT 30 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WILL BE
WATCHING A LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPING OVER THE
WESTERN/NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY. FORECAST FOR PERIODS
OF MOD-HVY RAIN WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE
LOW. WINDS OFFSHORE IN THE COASTAL WATERS MAY BE NEAR GALE FORCE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST AND THE UPPER LOW
MOVES SLOWLY EAST. RAIN COULD END AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING BUT
WITH THE UPPER LOW NOT DEPARTING UNTIL TUESDAY RAIN CHANCE TO
CONTINUE INDICATING A WEST TO EAST TAPERING OFF. VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH VERY SLOW WARM UP WITH WINDS
REMAIN NORTH UNTIL LATER THURSDAY.

MARINE...NOW THROUGH SATURDAY...THE STRENGTH OF THE COLD AIR MASS
PUSHING IN BEHIND THIS FRONT INDICATED BY THE TIGHT PACKING OF THE
POST FRONTAL MSL FIELDS POINTS TOWARDS VERY HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. MSL FIELDS
INDICATE A VERY STRONG PGF PERSISTING ON THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY ALLOWING WINDS AND SEAS TO INCREASE. THE STRONG PGF WILL
ALSO BE ENHANCED BY THE VERY COLD AIRMASS MOVING OVER VERY WARM
SURFACE WATER TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70. A GALE WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY THROUGH THE NIGHT. GALE
CONDITIONS OVER THE BAY WATERS WILL BE SOMEWHAT SHORT LIVED WITH SCA
CONDITIONS LIKELY CONTINUING OVER THE BAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE POSSIBLY LINGERING
ON THROUGH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY DUE TO THE STRONG AND PERSISTENT PGF
HOLDING IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.

SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...VERY ROUGH AND UNSETTLED MARINE
CONDITIONS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF THIS PERIOD. A GALE WARNING MAY BE REISSUED MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE AREA FORMS OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF
OF MEXICO. LOW COULD DEEPEN INTO A GALE CENTER MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY WITH NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS.

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
     GMZ130-132-135.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ130-132-135.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-175.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

55

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
620 AM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

TXZ248>257-231200-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
620 AM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON
PRODUCING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE
WAKE OF THIS FRONT STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION
RESULTING IN A DRASTIC DROP IN TEMPERATURES.

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.

COLD TEMPERATURES WITH VERY LOW WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED STARTING
FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. A PERSISTENT
DRIZZLE WITH OCCASIONAL MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED AT TIMES THROUGH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS COMBINATION OF COLD TEMPERATURES...STRONG
NORTH WINDS AND CLOUD COVER WILL MAKE THE TEMPERATURES FEEL LIKE THE
30S ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-231200-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
620 AM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL BUILD
OVER THE REGION. ACCORDINGLY...A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE LAGUNA
MADRE. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS
FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AND GALE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS
THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THIS UPCOMING
WEEKEND DUE TO STRONG NORTH WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS. STRONG NORTH
WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS LOW PRESSURE FORMS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...AND A STRONG REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE NEEDED BEYOND THE
INITIAL GALE CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY AND
ADDITIONAL GALE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
142 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

TXZ250>257-222145-
BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FALFURRIAS...SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...
ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...WESLACO...
RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...PORT MANSFIELD...
PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
140 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING
AHEAD AND BEHIND THE STRONG COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ALONG A PORT
MANSFIELD TO MCCOOK TO NORTH OF RIO GRANDE CITY LINE. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING
QUICKLY NORTH AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH ANY STORMS THAT PRODUCE HAIL
AMOUNTS AND DURATION WILL BE LOW. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO
EXPECTED AS THIS ACTIVITY EXPANDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES AND STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. OBSERVATIONS ARE INDICATING TEMPERATURES
ARE FALLING 20 DEGREES IN 20 MINUTES AND 30 DEGREES WITHIN 2 HOURS
IN WAKE OF THE FRONT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
228 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

TXZ253>255-222115-
HIDALGO-INLAND CAMERON-INLAND WILLACY-
228 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL... GUSTY
WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES PER HOUR...

  FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
  NORTHWESTERN CAMERON COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
  EASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
  CENTRAL WILLACY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

  UNTIL 315 PM CST...

  AT 227 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM...7 MILES NORTHEAST OF EDCOUCH...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM MAY APPROACH RAYMONDVILLE.

  MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA...OR WEATHER.GOV FOR
  UPDATES.

&&

59

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
255 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

TXZ255-257-222145-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL CAMERON-
255 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL... GUSTY
WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES PER HOUR...

  FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
  WESTERN CAMERON COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

  UNTIL 345 PM CST...

  AT 253 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM...NEAR VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...MOVING
  SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

  LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.
  SAN BENITO
  RANCHO VIEJO
  SAN PEDRO.

  MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA...OR WEATHER.GOV FOR
  UPDATES.

&&

59