Alert archive / North Dakota / Special Weather Statements in 2013
Special Weather Statement, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this special weather statement at Oct 11, 2013, 2:39 PM CDT for 9 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 11, 2013, 2:39 PM CDT (19:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 11, 2013, 3:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 51 min
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
Counties Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Stutsman County, ND
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 106 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -372 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1205 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 95 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 34 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 10, 3:18 PM CDT, 23 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 3:18 PM CDT, 23 hours 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 318 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUES ARE STRONG WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...POTENTIAL FOR OVERLAND FLOODING SOUTH CENTRAL...AND ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS IN THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY. 10/12 UTC MODELS AND BUFR SOUNDINGS IN AGREEMENT FORECASTING 50-60+ KT OF UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW AT THE TOP OF A RELATIVELY SHALLOW MIXED LAYER...TRANSITIONING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. WILL REPLACE HIGH WIND WATCH WITH A HIGH WIND WARNING SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL...AND A WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER AREAS ALREADY HARD HIT BY THE RECENT HEAVY SNOWFALL. BASED ON THE WINDS ALOFT...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW GUSTS AROUND 65 MPH. THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FAR SOUTH CENTRAL LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SEE HYDRO DISCUSSION BELOW FOR DETAILS. THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY IS OUTLOOKED IN SLIGHT RISK FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS WILL BE THE MAIN ISSUE...ESPECIALLY IN THE 2 PM-7 PM CDT TIME FRAME. ALL TYPES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...INCLUDING AN ISOLATED TORNADO. LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 259 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 THE MAIN HIGHLIGHT IN THE EXTENDED IS LINGERING GUSTY WINDS ON SATURDAY...WITH FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM TO AFFECT MAINLY SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ON SATURDAY THE STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT THE STATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE EXITING THE AREA ON SATURDAY. BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY MORNING THIS STACKED LOW PRESSURE STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR WINNIPEG...WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM REACHING 20 TO 35 MPH FROM WILLISTON TO JAMESTOWN AND NORTH...AND 115 TO 20 MPH SOUTHWEST. LINGERING SHOWERS MAY OCCUR SATURDAY MORNING IN THE BOTTINEAU AND TURTLE MOUNTAIN AREA...BUT MAINLY DECREASING CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. SATURDAY NIGHT...CONTINUED DECREASING CLOUDS AND WIND WITH COOLER AIR IN PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SOME LOCALES MAY SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S. SHOULD LATER MODEL RUNS CONSISTENTLY INDICATE THESE TEMPERATURES LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO ISSUE A FREEZE WARNING. BY SUNDAY...AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DIVE INTO SOUTHERN IDAHO/NEVADA. THE SHARP JET WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THIS LOW/TROUGH AND SEND UPPER LEVEL ENERGY AND MOISTURE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD GENERATE A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS SOUTH OF I-94 SUNDAY. AS THIS LOW APPROACHES THE NORTHERN PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE NOW A BIT COOLER WITH TEMPERATURES ALOFT. THIS WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE FOR A WINTRY MIX SOUTHWEST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIGHT. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...A WINTRY MIX WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN 2/3 OF THE STATE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE EXITING THE REGION BY TUESDAY NIGHT. AGAIN...ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS ARE THEN FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY AS SHORTWAVE RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE THURSDAY WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. REGARDING TEMPERATURES SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 30S. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE EARLY THIS EVENING. A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO AVIATION IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS A MAJOR STORM IS FORECAST TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BECOME MVFR AND IFR AT KDIK/KBIS AROUND 06Z WITH RAIN AND FOG...SPREADING TO KISN AFT 09Z AND TO KMOT BY 12Z. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE KJMS/KBIS AS WELL AFT 12Z. && .HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 SOILS REMAIN SATURATED ACROSS SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...WHERE HEAVY SNOW FELL THIS PAST WEEKEND AND HAS BEEN MELTING THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREA...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MID-MORNING SATURDAY. 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THIS AREA...LOCALLY HIGHER...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERLAND FLOODING WHEN COMBINED WITH THE SATURATED GROUND. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ FRIDAY TO 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ SATURDAY FOR NDZ001-002-009-010-017>021-031-032-035-046. HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY FOR NDZ033-034-040>045. FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR NDZ041-042-044-045. WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR NDZ003>005-011>013-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051. && SHORT TERM...RP KINNEY LONG TERM...JV AVIATION...JV HYDROLOGY...JV
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 10, 3:28 PM CDT, 23 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 328 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 NDZ041-042-044-045-112030- HETTINGER-GRANT-ADAMS-SIOUX- 328 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 /228 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR DETAILS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING...HIGH WINDS...AND IMPACTS TO THE BISMARCK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. NDZ033-034-040-043-112030- STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-BOWMAN- 328 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 /228 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR DETAILS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WINDS AND IMPACTS TO THE BISMARCK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. NDZ001-002-009-010-017>021-031-032-035-046-112030- DIVIDE-BURKE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER- MCLEAN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-BURLEIGH-EMMONS- 328 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 /228 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR DETAILS. WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY FROM WILLISTON TO JAMESTOWN AND POINTS NORTH OF THIS LINE. THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NDZ003>005-011>013-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-112030- RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- 328 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR DETAILS. WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY FROM WILLISTON TO JAMESTOWN AND POINTS NORTH OF THIS LINE. THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY. RP KINNEY/JV
The office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2:58 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | BIS | Adams, Grant, Hettinger, Sioux | 24 hr |
| Oct 11, 4:59 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Pierce, Rolette | 31 min |
| Oct 11, 2:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Dickey, LaMoure | 55 min |
| Oct 11, 3:07 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | BIS | Burleigh, Morton | 4 hr |
| Oct 11, 3:32 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | LaMoure | 28 min |
| Oct 11, 3:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Foster, Stutsman | 51 min |
| Oct 11, 4:01 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Kidder, LaMoure, Logan and 8 more | 119 min |
| Oct 11, 6:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | McLean, Oliver | 87 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in North Dakota, 2013Every special weather statement in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.