Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Bismarck, ND

June 22, 20139 counties in North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 22, 2013, 8:25 PM MDT for 9 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 50 min. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 22, 2013, 8:25 PM MDT (02:25 UTC)
Expired: Jun 22, 2013, 9:15 PM MDT
In force: 50 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Adams County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Morton County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stark County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 22, 8:25 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Mott, ND	TORRENTIAL RAIN WAS ALSO REPORTED.
Jun 22, 8:25 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 62	8 Nne Selfridge, ND
Jun 22, 8:26 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 70	Bismarck, ND	VERY HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS ALSO REPORTED
Jun 22, 8:30 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 60	3 S Bismarck, ND
Jun 22, 9:00 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	2 Ne Bismarck, ND	WINDS ESTIMATED AT 75 MPH. WINDS TOOK ROOF OFF OF A BUILDING...AND THROWN INTO HOUSE AND CAR. CAR WAS TOTALED...HOUSE WAS DAMAGED.
Jun 22, 9:15 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	Bismarck, ND	TREES DAMAGED IN BISMARCK
Jun 22, 9:21 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	Bismarck, ND	40 TO 50 FEET TREES UPROOTED ALONG WASHINGTON STREET. REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 6 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 0 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 22, 2:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 544 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1621 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.0
Supercell composite: -0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

907 
WUUS53 KBIS 230225
SVRBIS
NDC001-015-029-037-041-059-065-085-089-230315-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0069.130623T0225Z-130623T0315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
925 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN BURLEIGH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA   
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BISMARCK AND MANDAN
  NORTHWESTERN EMMONS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
  GRANT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
  MORTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
  SOUTHERN OLIVER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
  SIOUX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
  EASTERN ADAMS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA
  EASTERN HETTINGER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA
  SOUTHEASTERN STARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT/915 PM MDT/

* AT 816 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE     
  EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOTT TO FORT YATES...AND 35    
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF BISMARCK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.  

  HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
           CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO
           MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BISMARCK...MANDAN...LARK...FORT YATES...MOTT...FLASHER...BREIEN...
  HEART BUTTE DAM...PRAIRIE KNIGHTS RESORT...ALMONT...SOLEN...CANNON
  BALL...LINTON...NEW SALEM...ST. ANTHONY...JUDSON...FORT RICE...
  SWEET BRIAR LAKE...TEMVIK AND HUFF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THESE STORMS 
HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WINDS OF 70 MPH. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD 
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4596 10247 4619 10250 4692 10210 4698 10177
      4700 10177 4713 10120 4711 10028 4663 10008
      4644 9995 4594 10048
TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 207DEG 33KT 4632 10238 4655 10162
          4599 10050

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

SIMOSKO/HEINERT

2 follow-up statements

556 
WWUS53 KBIS 230242
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
942 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

NDC001-015-029-037-041-059-065-085-089-230315-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-130623T0315Z/
ADAMS ND-BURLEIGH ND-EMMONS ND-GRANT ND-HETTINGER ND-OLIVER ND-
STARK ND-MORTON ND-SIOUX ND-
942 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SIOUX...
MORTON...SOUTHEASTERN STARK...SOUTHERN OLIVER...EASTERN HETTINGER...
GRANT...NORTHWESTERN EMMONS...SOUTHERN BURLEIGH AND EASTERN ADAMS 
COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM CDT...OR 915 PM MDT...

AT 835 PM MDT...OR 935 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MOTT...TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF ALMONT...TO 
10 MILES EAST OF FORT YATES...OR 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BISMARCK AND 
MANDAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 80 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE
         DANGEROUS TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND
         POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BISMARCK...MANDAN...PRAIRIE KNIGHTS RESORT...ALMONT...SOLEN...CANNON
BALL...LINTON...NEW SALEM...ST. ANTHONY...JUDSON...FORT RICE...SWEET
BRIAR LAKE...TEMVIK...HUFF...GLEN ULLIN...CROWN BUTTE LAKE...
HAZELTON...LINCOLN...DOUBLE DITCH INDIAN VILLAGE AND HEBRON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND A FLASH 
FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BISMARCK AND MANDAN. DO NOT 
DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4596 10247 4619 10250 4692 10210 4698 10177
      4700 10177 4713 10120 4711 10028 4663 10008
      4644 9995 4594 10048
TIME...MOT...LOC 0239Z 207DEG 33KT 4646 10228 4669 10152
          4613 10039

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...80MPH

$$

SIMOSKO/HEINERT

496 
WWUS53 KBIS 230252
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
952 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

NDC001-015-029-037-041-059-065-085-089-230315-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-130623T0315Z/
ADAMS ND-BURLEIGH ND-EMMONS ND-GRANT ND-HETTINGER ND-OLIVER ND-
STARK ND-MORTON ND-SIOUX ND-
952 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SIOUX...
MORTON...SOUTHEASTERN STARK...SOUTHERN OLIVER...EASTERN HETTINGER...
GRANT...NORTHWESTERN EMMONS...SOUTHERN BURLEIGH AND EASTERN ADAMS 
COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM CDT...OR 915 PM MDT...

AT 849 PM MDT...OR 949 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES NORTH OF BURT TO ALMONT TO 6 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 80 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE
         DANGEROUS TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND
         POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BISMARCK...MANDAN...CANNON BALL...LINTON...NEW SALEM...ST. ANTHONY...
JUDSON...FORT RICE...SWEET BRIAR LAKE...TEMVIK...HUFF...GLEN ULLIN...
CROWN BUTTE LAKE...HAZELTON...LINCOLN...DOUBLE DITCH INDIAN
VILLAGE...HEBRON...BRADDOCK...MOFFIT AND MENOKEN.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT BISMARCK AND MANDAN BETWEEN 1000 AND 1010 
PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND A FLASH 
FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL 
NORTH DAKOTA. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4596 10247 4619 10250 4692 10210 4698 10177
      4700 10177 4713 10120 4711 10028 4663 10008
      4644 9995 4594 10048
TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 207DEG 33KT 4656 10221 4679 10145
          4623 10032

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...80MPH

$$

SIMOSKO/HEINERT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 22, 5:52 PM MDT, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 22, 5:52 PM MDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
652 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 653 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

MAIN ISSUE WITH THE EARLY EVENING UPDATE IS DEALING WITH THE
ONGOING CONVECTION IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND CONVECTION
DEVELOPING OVER LOGAN AND MCINTOSH COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA. HAVE EXTENDED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #345 EAST TO
INCLUDE LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN COUNTIES. BISMARCK 00Z
SOUNDING IS SHOWING GOOD MID LEVEL BULK SHEAR BUT LITTLE SHEAR IN
THE LOW LEVELS. ALSO A POSSIBLE SMALL CAP STILL AROUND 600 MB.
HOWEVER THE CELL IN MCINSOSH AND LOGAN COUNTIES WAS ABLE TO AT
LEAST BRIEFLY BREAK THE CAP. WITH ABUNDANT MOISURE OVER THE AREA
ANY CELLS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
CELLS IN THE FAR WEST PRODUCED OVER AN INCH OF RAIN IN LESS THAN
AN HOUR. WILL NEED TO MONITOR FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WITH ANY
SUBSEQUENT CELLS THAT DEVELOP.

ONLY CHANGES WERE TO UPDATE SEVERE WORDING TO COUNTIES ADDED TO
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 405 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

FORECAST UPDATE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 345.

UPDATED PRODUCTS SENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)

ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD STILL STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS TODAY/TONIGHT ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH THE RISK
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOWER.

CURRENTLY...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT REMAINS OVER THE DAKOTAS AHEAD
OF A LONG WAVE TROUGH CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE ROCKIES. SMALL-
SCALE EMBEDDED S/WV IMPULSES CONTINUE TO EJECT OUT OF THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS REGIONS. SFC
TROUGH/FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

WILL SEE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS AS THE
DAY PROGRESSES AS CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS INCREASE ALONG THE SFC
TROUGH/FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN ND. MODELS STRUGGLING
WITH SMALL-SCALE EMBEDDED WAVES IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...BUT SEEM
TO BE AGREEING ON A STRONGER IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH SOUTH DAKOTA
TOWARDS CENTRAL/EASTERN ND LATER TODAY. AS PROJECTED EARLIER BY
MODELS...0-6KM SHEAR IS INCREASING/EXPANDING EAST FROM WESTERN
NORTH DAKOTA (WHERE IT IS CURRENTLY 40-45KTS) TOWARDS MORE
FAVORABLE INSTABILITY ACROSS THE CENTRAL NEAR THE SFC TROUGH. THIS
TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS WILL THUS BE POSSIBLE WHERE THE 0-6KM SHEAR AND
MUCAPE APPROACHING 3000 J/KG IS EXPECTED TO COINCIDE LATER TODAY
AND INTO THIS EVENING.

CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION CHANCES DECREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
LATER THIS EVENING...THEN START TO INCREASE WEST LATE TONIGHT AS
THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH/PARENT S/WV IMPULSE SWINGS NORTHEAST
INTO THE WESTERN DAKOTAS. THIS FEATURE CONTINUES NORTH AND EAST
SUNDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON CONTRIBUTING TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/SCT
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...WITH DECREASING CHANCES FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MINIMAL CHANCES FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AFTER TONIGHT WITH WEAKER INSTABILITY
ADVERTISED. STILL COULD SEE A FEW STRONGER STORMS EAST
LINGERING...BUT THE BETTER CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE SHOULD
REMAIN OFF TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)

ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE PERSISTENT MOIST/UNSTABLE SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVES THAT HAS RESULTED IN DAILY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LESSEN THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD...AS THE UPPER FLOW REGIME
TRANSITIONS TO A WESTERLY FLOW WEDNESDAY...AND EVENTUALLY A
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BY LATE NEXT WEEK. THAT SAID...A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT MOVES ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA. SOUTHERLY BOUNDARY LAYER TO H85 WINDS WILL ADVECT
HIGHER SFC TO H85 DEWPOINTS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.
SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL RISE TO THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70F...FEELING
VERY MUGGY AND HUMID. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IN EASTERN MONTANA MONDAY
WILL TRAVERSE THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY RESULTING IN A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER/MORE
STABLE AIR WILL FILTER IN BY LATE TUESDAY WEST...AND TUESDAY
NIGHT/WEDNESDAY CENTRAL AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY BEHIND
THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT.
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE DRY. RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
MAINTAINS PAST TRENDS IN THE LONG TERM MODELS TO BUILD OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS WITH AMPLIFICATION OF THE RIDGE AXIS INTO SOUTHERN CANADA. A
COMPENSATORY DOWNSTREAM NORTHWESTERLY FLOW RESULTS OVER NORTH DAKOTA
THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY. COUPLE OF RIDGE TOPPERS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW MAY ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS
ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT...ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
ZONES. WILL CONTINUE TO LOOK AT THOSE TRENDS IN FUTURE MODEL RUNS.

EXPECT WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH HIGHS WELL
INTO THE 80S...THEN LESS HUMID WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY BUT
REMAINING WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WARMEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD MID TO UPPER 60S...FOLLOWED
BY MID TO UPPER 60S FOR LOWS TUESDAY MORNING IN EAST CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA WITH THE WEST COOLING INTO THE UPPER 50S. OVERNIGHT LOWS
THEREAFTER WILL REMAIN AROUND 60F WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 653 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

VFR CONDITIONS TO START WITH AT ALL TAF SITES. ADDED A TEMPO FOR
THUNDER AT BOTH KDIK AND KISN TO START THE TAF PERIOD WITH CELLS
NEAR THESE SITES. CONTINUED MENTION OF THUNDER AT ALL SITES
THROUGH AROUND 06-08 UTC. BROUGHT A PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY
MORNING TO KJMS AS FLOW REMAINS EASTERLY HERE. WINDS TRY TO SHIFT
WEST AT REMAINING TAF SITES...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO MINIMIZE MVFR
CLOUDINESS. BROUGHT ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDER TO TAF SITES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

WILL MAINTAIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS IS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
ACROSS THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY WITH CONTINUED CHANCES FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NOW THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR THOSE LOCATIONS THAT HAVE SEEN SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THE PAST FEW DAYS. SOILS HAVE LITTLE TO NO
CAPACITY TO HOLD ADDITIONAL WATER...ENHANCING RUNOFF AND THE
POTENTIAL TO AGGRAVATE THE ONGOING OVERLAND FLOODING ACROSS THE
AREA.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR NDZ023-025-036-037-
046>048-050-051.

&&

UPDATE...TWH
SHORT TERM...NH
LONG TERM...KS
AVIATION...TWH
HYDROLOGY...NH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 22, 12:53 PM MDT, 7 hours 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
153 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

NDZ023-025-036-037-046>048-050-051-231900-
WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-
DICKEY-
153 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY. MULTIPLE PERIODS
OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND
EAST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK OR TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

NDZ004-011-012-231900-
BOTTINEAU-WARD-MCHENRY-
153 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA. FOR DETAILS GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS. CLICK ON THE
RIVERS AND LAKES TAB NEAR THE TOP OF THE MAIN PAGE.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND
EAST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK OR TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

NDZ001>003-005-009-010-013-017>022-031>035-040>045-231900-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-
DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-
MORTON-BURLEIGH-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
153 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013 /1253 PM MDT SAT JUN 22 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND
EAST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK OR TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

HEINERT/SIMOSKO

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 22, 7:52 PM MDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
852 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 NW STEELE             46.92N 100.01W
06/22/2013  E70 MPH          KIDDER             ND   PUBLIC

            70 MPH WINDS WERE ACCOMPANIED BY ONE INCH HAIL

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 22, 7:56 PM MDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
856 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     HAIL             4 S STEELE              46.80N  99.92W
06/22/2013  M1.00 INCH       KIDDER             ND   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WIND DAMAGE WITH ESTIMATED AT 70MPH... 0.90 INCHES OF
            RAINFALL

&&

KSIMOSKO

Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:06 PM MDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
906 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             14 SE BENTLEY           46.19N 101.86W
06/22/2013  M1.75 INCH       GRANT              ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL. HAIL LASTED APPROX 30
            MINUTES.

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:07 PM MDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
907 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HEAVY RAIN       14 SE BENTLEY           46.19N 101.86W
06/22/2013  M2.00 INCH       GRANT              ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 8 PM CDT.

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:08 PM MDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
908 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BEACH                   46.92N 104.00W
06/22/2013  M2.00 INCH       GOLDEN VALLEY      ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TWO INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 6 PM CDT.

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:25 PM MDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
925 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0924 PM     TSTM WND GST     LINCOLN                 46.76N 100.70W
06/22/2013  M70 MPH          BURLEIGH           ND   OTHER FEDERAL

            REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE.

0924 PM     HAIL             LINCOLN                 46.76N 100.70W
06/22/2013  M1.00 INCH       BURLEIGH           ND   OTHER FEDERAL

            REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE.

&&

LHUBER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 22, 6:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons, Kidder, Logan	61 min
Jun 22, 6:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Adams, Grant, Hettinger, Sioux	61 min
Jun 22, 7:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder	62 min
Jun 22, 7:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Grant, Sioux	60 min
Jun 22, 7:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Emmons, Morton, Sioux	60 min
Jun 22, 7:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Adams, Grant, Hettinger, Sioux	47 min
Jun 22, 8:14 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Burleigh, Emmons, Grant, Kidder, Morton, Oliver and 1 more	12 hr
Jun 22, 8:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Morton	45 min
Jun 22, 8:17 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder, Wells	58 min
Jun 22, 8:38 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Morton	6 hr
Jun 22, 8:53 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Adams, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux	6 hr
Jun 22, 9:03 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Sheridan, Wells	57 min
Jun 22, 9:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Emmons, Kidder, Logan, McLean, Mercer and 2 more	61 min
Jun 22, 9:19 PM MDT	High Wind Warning	BIS	Adams, Grant, Hettinger	101 min
Jun 22, 9:47 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McHenry, Pierce	58 min
Jun 22, 9:49 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Kidder, McLean, Sheridan, Stutsman, Wells	56 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.