Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2013, 6:48 PM CDT for Mountrail County, Ward County, North Dakota. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 19, 2013, 6:48 PM CDT (23:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 19, 2013, 7:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 42 min
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.25 in
- Wind
- 50.0 mph
Counties Mountrail County, ND, Ward County, ND
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 457 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1608 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -208 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -106 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 3:21 PM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 3:21 PM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 321 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2013 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 306 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2013 SHORT TERM CONCERNS INVOLVE THUNDERSTORMS NORTH CENTRAL ASSOCIATED WITH A CANADIAN COLD FRONT SLIDING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. CAPE VALUES SHOW POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BUT MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 5 TO 6 DEGREES SHOULD LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS EXISTS THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOME DIURNAL MINIMUM TONIGHT FOR THE STORMS...AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE SOUTH CENTRAL AND WEST SATURDAY. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 306 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2013 H5 PATTERN PER GFS/ECMWF CONTINUES WITH MOSTLY A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH THE PERIOD. PERIODIC UPPER DISTURBANCES IN COMBINATION WITH INSTABILITY AND DYNAMICAL PARAMETERS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS ALMOST EVERYDAY...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MONDAY...WHERE A DRY DAY IS FORECAST. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAIN HIGHLIGHT HERE IS A MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN SUNDAY MORNING AND INTO SOUTHERN MANITOBA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE ALOFT AS IT SLIDES FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BEST FORCING/OMEGA RESIDES IN THE NORTH CENTRAL SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN SHIFTS INTO EAST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY EVENING. VERTICAL MOTION IS ENHANCED BY THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 60KT H3 JET STREAK ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA. GFS SHOWS ENOUGH CAPE AND 0-6KM SHEAR OF 45KT TO 50KT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WHICH WILL FAVOR SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTH CENTRAL THROUGH EAST CENTRAL SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. SPC DAY 3 OUTLOOK HAS THE ABOVE AREA IN A SEE TEXT WITH HAIL AND WIND AS THE PRIMARY THREATS. H85 TEMPS RISE TO BETWEEN +26C TO +28C IN THE WARM SECTOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON WEST PER NAM/GFS...HIGHS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 90 OR LOWER 90S. HAVE INCREASED TEMPS TO REFLECT THIS...HOWEVER DID NOT GO AS WARM AS THE NAM MOS WANTED DUE TO SOME CLOUD COVER HOLDING TEMPS BACK IN THE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOULD BE A QUICK RISE THEREAFTER. MONDAY...BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...GFS SOUNDINGS SHOW LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH NEUTRAL ADVECTION ALOFT WILL YIELD A COOLER/DRIER DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S NORTH TO UPPER 80S SOUTH. FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL INTERACT WITH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING INSTABILITY AND SOME JET FORCING AT TIMES TO INITIATE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 306 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2013 AT 3 PM CDT...VFR CONDITIONS ARE OBSERVED AND ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. A WEAK COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA AFTER 21Z...AND ACROSS THE SOUTH AFTER 00Z. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE SCATTERED TO ISOLATED. PLAN TO CONTINUE TO EXPRESS THE THUNDERSTORM HAZARD VIA VCTS (VICINITY). && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...WAA LONG TERM...KS AVIATION...WAA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 4:13 PM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 19, 3:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 340 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2013 NDZ002-011-192145- BURKE-WARD- 340 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2013 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 336 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTH OF COLUMBUS...OR 25 MILES EAST OF CROSBY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE ACCOMPANY THIS STORM. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... NORTH PORTAL... PORTAL... LIGNITE... FLAXTON... COTEAU... BOWBELLS... NIOBE... GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. HEAVY RAINFALL CAN LEAD TO FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED. MATHEWS
Local storm report, Jul 19, 4:19 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burke, Ward | 44 min |
| Jul 19, 6:16 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | BIS | Foster, Stutsman, Wells | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2013Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.