Alert archive / North Dakota / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Bismarck, ND

April 4, 2013Ward County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this river flood warning at Apr 4, 2013, 1:46 PM CDT for Ward County, North Dakota. It took effect at Apr 5, 2013, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 4, 2013, 1:46 PM CDT (18:46 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 5, 2013, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 9, 2013, 1:25 PM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND
Flood severity
Minor

County Ward County, ND

The river

Written for the forecast point Souris River at Minot 4NW (MINN8). The gauge peaked at 13.76 ft at Apr 5, 2013, 2:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate5001000150004/0404/0504/0604/0704/0804/0904/10
Action stage
1561 ft
Minor stage
1562 ft
Moderate stage
1565 ft
Major stage
1570 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05117500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KBIS 041846
FLWBIS
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
146 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH DAKOTA... 

  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...MINOR FLOODING IS 
FORECAST. 

.FOR THE SOURIS RIVER UPSTREAM OF MINOT...AT THE RIVER GAGE NAMED MINOT 
4 NORTHWEST...NEAR THE BOY SCOUT CAMP...A STEADY RISE IN WATER LEVEL 
IS UNDERWAY. AT NOON THURSDAY THE OBSERVED STAGE OF THE SOURIS RIVER 
AT MINOT 4 NORTHWEST WAS 11.9 FEET. THIS RISE IS IN RESPONSE TO 
INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. RELEASES FROM LAKE DARLING 
ARE AT 2300 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN 
RESPONSE TO INCREASED FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN 
CANADA. 

DURING NORMAL OPEN WATER SEASON ON THE SOURIS RIVER THIS AMOUNT OF 
WATER WOULD NOT BE ENOUGH TO CREATE FLOODING IN THIS AREA. HOWEVER... 
ICE ON THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN 
WOULD BE REALIZED DURING NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON. THIS RISE 
IN THE RIVER LEVEL POSES AN INCREASED RISK OF ICE RELATED FLOODING. THE 
ICE AFFECTED FLOW COULD CAUSE THE RIVER TO REACH FLOOD STAGE ON FRIDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

RIVER OBSERVERS WHO SPOT PROBLEMATIC HIGH WATER ARE ENCOURAGED TO 
REPORT THEIR OBSERVATIONS TO LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR RELAY 
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 

NDC101-051846-
/O.NEW.KBIS.FL.W.0002.130405T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/MINN8.1.ER.130405T1400Z.130406T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
146 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT NOON THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...11.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE TO FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
TO NEAR 14.9 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL AREAS NEAR EASTSIDE ESTATES, 
THE STATE FAIR GROUNDS, AND THE KOA CAMPGROUND NEAR MINOT. 

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 11.9 THU 11 AM  13.9   14.8   14.9   14.9   14.9

$$
12 follow-up statements
109 
WGUS83 KBIS 042108
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
408 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA... 
  SOURIS RIVER AT MINOT 4 NORTHWEST AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4 NORTHWEST...MINOR 
FLOODING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

.FOR THE SOURIS RIVER UPSTREAM OF MINOT...AT THE RIVER GAGE NAMED 
MINOT 4 NORTHWEST...NEAR THE BOY SCOUT CAMP...A STEADY RISE IN WATER 
LEVEL IS UNDERWAY. AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE OBSERVED STAGE OF THE SOURIS 
AT MINOT 4 NORTHWEST WAS 12.0 FEET. THIS RISE IS IN RESPONSE TO 
INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. RELEASES FROM LAKE DARLING 
ARE AT 2300 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT THAT 
LEVEL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS 
IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA 
RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

DURING NORMAL OPEN WATER SEASON ON THE SOURIS RIVER THIS AMOUNT OF 
WATER WOULD NOT BE ENOUGH TO CREATE FLOODING IN THIS AREA. HOWEVER... 
ICE ON THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN 
WOULD BE REALIZED DURING NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON. THIS RISE 
IN THE RIVER LEVEL POSES AN INCREASED RISK OF ICE RELATED FLOODING. THE 
ICE AFFECTED FLOW COULD CAUSE THE RIVER TO REACH FLOOD STAGE ON FRIDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND BECOMING UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 

&&

NDC101-060308-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.130405T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/MINN8.1.ER.130405T1400Z.130406T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
408 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW. 
* FROM FRIDAY NOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
NEAR 14.9 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
THEREAFTER. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 12.0 THU 3 PM   13.9   14.9   14.9   14.9   14.9

$$
431 
WGUS83 KBIS 050455
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1155 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...MODERATE 
FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. 
 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...MINOR FLOODING IS 
FORECAST TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 
 
.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 
 
AS OF LATE THURSDAY EVENING...THE SOURIS RIVER IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM 
OF LAKE DARLING DAM WAS AT A STAGE OF 13.4 FEET AND STEADY. MODERATE 
FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET. THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM WILL REMAIN 
NEAR 13.4 FEET THROUGH SUNDAY AS NO HIGHER RELEASES ARE EXPECTED 
BEFORE NEXT WEEK. 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER UPSTREAM OF MINOT...AT THE RIVER GAGE NAMED 
MINOT 4 NORTHWEST...NEAR THE BOY SCOUT CAMP...A STEADY RISE IN WATER 
LEVEL IS UNDERWAY. LATE THURSDAY EVENING THE OBSERVED STAGE OF THE 
SOURIS AT MINOT 4 NORTHWEST WAS 12.9 FEET. FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. 
THE ICE AFFECTED FLOW COULD CAUSE THE RIVER TO REACH FLOOD STAGE ON 
FRIDAY. 

THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2300 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING... 
WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE RELEASES ARE 
RECONSIDERED. THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE 
TO INCREASED FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN 
CANADA. 

DURING NORMAL OPEN WATER SEASON ON THE SOURIS RIVER THIS AMOUNT OF 
WATER WOULD NOT BE ENOUGH TO CREATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. 
HOWEVER...ICE ON THE RIVER IS CAUSING HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN 
WOULD BE REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 

&&

NDC101-060455-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130405T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1155 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN STEADY NEAR 13.4 FEET THROUGH 
  SUNDAY.  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WEST BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 13.4 THU 11 PM  13.4   13.4   13.4   13.4   13.4

$$

NDC101-060454-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0002.130405T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MINN8.1.ER.130405T1800Z.130407T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1155 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* FROM NOON FRIDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY NOON FRIDAY AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO 14.8 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 12.9 THU 11 PM  14.3   14.8   14.8   14.8   14.8

$$

SCHECK
246 
WGUS83 KBIS 051757
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1257 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN NORTH 
DAKOTA... 

  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...MODERATE 
FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. 
 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...MINOR FLOODING IS 
FORECAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 
 
.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 
 
AS OF FRIDAY MORNING...THE SOURIS RIVER IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM 
OF LAKE DARLING DAM WAS AT A STAGE OF 13.5 FEET. MODERATE 
FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET. THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM WILL REMAIN 
NEAR 13.7 FEET THROUGH SUNDAY. 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER UPSTREAM OF MINOT...AT THE RIVER GAGE NAMED 
MINOT 4 NORTHWEST...NEAR THE BOY SCOUT CAMP...A STEADY RISE IN WATER 
LEVEL IS UNDERWAY. LATE THURSDAY EVENING THE OBSERVED STAGE OF THE 
SOURIS AT MINOT 4 NORTHWEST WAS 13.7 FEET. FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. 
THE ICE AFFECTED FLOW SHOULD CAUSE THE RIVER TO REACH FLOOD STAGE ON 
FRIDAY. 
 
THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2300 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING... 
WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE RELEASES ARE 
RECONSIDERED. THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE 
TO INCREASED FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN 
CANADA. 

DURING NORMAL OPEN WATER SEASON ON THE SOURIS RIVER THIS AMOUNT OF 
WATER WOULD NOT BE ENOUGH TO CREATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. 
HOWEVER...ICE ON THE RIVER IS CAUSING HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN 
WOULD BE REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 


&&

NDC101-062357-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130406T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1257 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...THE ROAD LEADING TO THE GAGE AND BAKER 
  BRIDGE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE HOUSE WILL FLOOD. THE VALLEY FLOOR 
  BECOMES COVERED WITH WATER.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 13.5 FRI 12 PM  13.7   13.7   13.7   13.7   13.7

$$

NDC101-062357-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.130405T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130405T1800Z.130407T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1257 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 14.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE 
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 13.7 FRI 12 PM  14.6   14.8   14.8   14.8   14.8

$$
LTH/AJS
949 
WGUS83 KBIS 052118
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
418 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IN 
NORTH DAKOTA...

  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...MODERATE 
FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...LOGAN...SAWYER 
AND VELVA...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 

THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2300 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING. 
THE DISCHARGE WILL BE INCREASED TO 2800 CFS LATER TODAY. THE 
INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED FLOW 
OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

ICE ON THE RIVER IS CAUSING HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN WOULD BE 
REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 

&&

NDC101-062118-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130407T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.1 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...THE ROAD LEADING TO THE GAGE AND BAKER 
  BRIDGE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE HOUSE WILL FLOOD. THE VALLEY FLOOR 
  BECOMES COVERED WITH WATER.

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 13.5 FRI 3 PM   13.5   13.9   14.1   14.1   14.1

$$

NDC101-062118-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130405T2300Z.130408T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 13.7 FRI 3 PM   14.1   14.7   15.7   16.0   16.0

$$

NDC101-062118-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.130407T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LGNN8.1.ER.130407T0200Z.130408T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  2:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY LATE EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 35.5 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 LOGAN        34 31.9 FRI 3 PM   32.3   33.9   35.1   35.5   35.5

$$

NDC101-062118-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0004.130407T0936Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN8.1.ER.130407T0936Z.130409T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO EXCEED 23 FEET TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...COULEES AND FARMLAND WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  SEVERAL HOMES IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN 
  AFFECTED ABOVE 22 FEET. 

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SAWYER       22   M    17.9   21.1   22.7   23.4   23.5

$$

NDC049-062118-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0005.130408T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/VLVN8.1.ER.130408T1200Z.130410T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1505 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 VELVA        1505   M   1497.8  1500.8  1504.1  1505.4  1505.9

$$

LTH/AJS
972 
WGUS83 KBIS 060254
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
954 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IN 
NORTH DAKOTA...

  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...MINOR FLOODING 
IS FORECAST.

.THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2800 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING. 
THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED 
FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

ICE ON THE RIVER IS CAUSING HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN WOULD BE 
REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 

&&

NDC101-070254-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130407T1600Z.130409T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 PM CDT FRI APR 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 13.2 FRI 9 PM   13.2   14.3   14.9   15.0   15.0

$$
569 
WGUS83 KBIS 061704
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1204 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...
MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...LOGAN...SAWYER...
AND VELVA...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 

THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2800 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING. 
THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED 
FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

ICE ON THE RIVER IS CAUSING HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN WOULD BE 
REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON.

THE RIVER GAGE NORTHWEST OF MINOT...NEAR WHAT IS CALLED THE 
BOY SCOUT CAMP...HAS BEEN REPORTED TO BE ICE FREE SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS HAS RESULTED IN A TEMPORARY FALL IN THE RIVER LEVEL THERE. THE 
RIVER LEVEL IS NOW FORECAST TO RESUME ITS RISE AT THAT 
LOCATION BASED ON RELEASES FROM LAKE DARLING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 

&&

NDC101-072304-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130406T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1204 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 14.1 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...THE ROAD LEADING TO THE GAGE AND BAKER 
  BRIDGE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE HOUSE WILL FLOOD. THE VALLEY FLOOR 
  BECOMES COVERED WITH WATER.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 14.1 SAT 11 AM  14.1   14.1   14.1   14.1   14.1

$$

NDC101-072304-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130408T1800Z.130408T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1204 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL 
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 11.8 SAT 11 AM  12.6   13.8   14.0   14.0   14.0

$$

NDC101-072304-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.130407T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LGNN8.1.ER.130407T0200Z.130408T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1204 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 35.5 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 LOGAN        34 33.2 SAT 11 AM  34.5   35.4   35.5   35.5   35.5

$$

NDC101-072304-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.130407T0936Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN8.1.ER.130407T0936Z.130409T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1204 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO EXCEED 23 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...COULEES AND FARMLAND WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  SEVERAL HOMES IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN 
  AFFECTED ABOVE 22 FEET. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU 

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SAWYER       22   M             22.2   23.1   23.5   23.5   23.5

$$

NDC049-072304-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0005.130408T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/VLVN8.1.ER.130408T1200Z.130412T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1204 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1505 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN     MON     TUE     WED     THU 

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 VELVA        1505   M          1502.7  1505.0  1505.6  1506.1  1506.2

$$
251 
WGUS83 KBIS 070203
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
903 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...
MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...LOGAN...SAWYER...
AND VELVA...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 

THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2800 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING. 
THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED 
FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

ICE ON THE RIVER IS CAUSING HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN WOULD BE 
REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON.

THE RIVER GAGE NORTHWEST OF MINOT...NEAR WHAT IS CALLED THE 
BOY SCOUT CAMP...HAS BEEN REPORTED TO BE ICE FREE SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS HAS RESULTED IN A TEMPORARY FALL IN THE RIVER LEVEL THERE. THE 
RIVER LEVEL IS NOW FORECAST TO RESUME ITS RISE AT THAT 
LOCATION BASED ON RELEASES FROM LAKE DARLING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 

&&

NDC101-080203-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130407T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.2 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...THE ROAD LEADING TO THE GAGE AND BAKER 
  BRIDGE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE HOUSE WILL FLOOD. THE VALLEY FLOOR 
  BECOMES COVERED WITH WATER.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 14.2 SAT 8 PM   14.2   14.2   14.2   14.2   14.0

$$

NDC101-080203-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130412T1200Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130408T1800Z.130408T1800Z.130412T0000Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE MONDAY
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 11.7 SAT 8 PM   13.5   14.0   14.0   14.0   14.0

$$

NDC101-080203-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0003.130407T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/LGNN8.1.ER.130407T0600Z.130409T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 35.5 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 LOGAN        34 33.7 SAT 8 PM   34.8   35.5   35.5   35.5   35.5

$$

NDC101-080203-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.130407T0936Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN8.1.ER.130407T0936Z.130409T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO EXCEED 23 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...COULEES AND FARMLAND WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  SEVERAL HOMES IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN 
  AFFECTED ABOVE 22 FEET. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SAWYER       22   M    22.7   23.4   23.5   23.5   23.5

$$

NDC049-080203-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0005.130408T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/VLVN8.1.ER.130408T1200Z.130412T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1505 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 VELVA        1505   M       1504.1  1505.4  1505.9  1506.2  1506.3

$$
327 
WGUS83 KBIS 071531
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1031 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...

  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...MODERATE FLOODING 
IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING LOGAN AND SAWYER... 
MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...MINOR FLOODING 
IS FORECAST.

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING VELVA...MINOR FLOODING IS 
FORECAST.

.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 

THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2800 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING. 
THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED 
FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

ICE ON THE RIVER IS CAUSING HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN WOULD BE 
REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 

&&

NDC101-082131-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130407T1415Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1031 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE STEADY AROUND 14.1 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...THE ROAD LEADING TO THE GAGE AND BAKER 
  BRIDGE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE HOUSE WILL FLOOD. THE VALLEY FLOOR 
  BECOMES COVERED WITH WATER.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 14.2 SUN 9 AM   14.1   14.1   14.1   14.1   13.5

$$

NDC101-082131-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130413T1200Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130410T0000Z.130410T0000Z.130413T0000Z.NO/
1031 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL 
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 12.0 SUN 9 AM   12.5   13.5   14.0   14.0   14.0

$$

NDC101-082131-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LGNN8.1.ER.130407T1322Z.130409T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1031 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.4 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 LOGAN        34 34.1 SUN 10 AM  34.7   35.4   35.4   35.4   35.4

$$

NDC101-082131-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN8.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130410T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1031 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH 23.5 
  FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...COULEES AND FARMLAND WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  SEVERAL HOMES IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN 
  AFFECTED ABOVE 22 FEET. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SAWYER       22   M    22.7   23.1   23.5   23.5   23.5

$$

NDC049-082131-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0005.130409T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VLVN8.1.ER.130409T0000Z.130412T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1031 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1505 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH 1506 
  FEET TUESDAY EVENING.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON     TUE     WED     THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 VELVA        1505   M        1504.4  1505.4  1506.1  1506.2  1506.3

$$
941 
WGUS83 KBIS 080349
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1049 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR SHERWOOD AFFECTING RENVILLE COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...MODERATE FLOODING 
IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING SHERWOOD...LOGAN AND SAWYER... 
MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW...MINOR FLOODING 
IS FORECAST.

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING VELVA...MINOR FLOODING IS 
FORECAST.

.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 

THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2800 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING. 
THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED 
FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

ICE ON THE RIVER IS CAUSING HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN WOULD BE 
REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 


&&

NDC075-090349-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0006.130408T0448Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHWN8.1.ER.130408T0448Z.130411T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR SHERWOOD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FARMS FROM SHERWOOD 15W TO THE NORTHERN EDGE
  OF THE UPPER SOURIS WILDLIFE REFUGE WILL FLOOD.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SHERWOOD     18 18.5 SUN 10 PM  19.1   19.3   19.5   19.5   19.5

$$

NDC101-090349-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130408T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...THE ROAD LEADING TO THE GAGE AND BAKER 
  BRIDGE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE HOUSE WILL FLOOD. THE VALLEY FLOOR 
  BECOMES COVERED WITH WATER.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 14.2 SUN 10 PM  14.3   14.3   14.3   14.1   13.6

$$

NDC101-090349-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130413T1200Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130410T0600Z.130410T0600Z.130413T0000Z.NO/
1049 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 12.3 SUN 10 PM  12.9   13.9   14.0   14.0   14.0

$$

NDC101-090349-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LGNN8.1.ER.130407T1322Z.130410T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.4 FEET BY 
  EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 LOGAN        34 34.3 SUN 10 PM  34.8   35.3   35.4   35.4   35.4

$$

NDC101-090348-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN8.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130410T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH 23.5 FEET EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...COULEES AND FARMLAND WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  SEVERAL HOMES IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN 
  AFFECTED ABOVE 22 FEET. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SAWYER       22   M             22.9   23.3   23.5   23.5   23.5

$$

NDC049-090348-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0005.130409T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VLVN8.1.ER.130409T0000Z.130412T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1505 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH 1506 
  FEET THURSDAY EVENING.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 VELVA        1505   M         1505.0  1505.9  1506.2  1506.3  1506.3

$$
948 
WGUS83 KBIS 081716
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1216 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...MINOT 4NW...LOGAN...
SAWYER...VELVA...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. 

.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 

THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2800 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING. 
THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED 
FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

AT THE UPSTREAM LOCATIONS OF FOXHOLM AND MINOT 4 NW...THE ICE IS NOW 
OFF THE RIVER AND WATER LEVELS ARE MORE INDICATIVE OF OPEN WATER. IN 
THE AREAS STILL COVERED IN ICE...SUCH AS LOGAN...SAWYER...AND VELVA... 
ICE ON THE RIVER CONTINUES TO CAUSE HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN WOULD BE 
REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 

&&

NDC101-092316-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130408T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1216 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...THE ROAD LEADING TO THE GAGE AND BAKER 
  BRIDGE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE HOUSE WILL FLOOD. THE VALLEY FLOOR 
  BECOMES COVERED WITH WATER.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 14.3 MON 11 AM  14.3   14.3   14.2   13.8   13.8

$$

NDC101-092316-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130413T0600Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130411T0600Z.130411T0600Z.130412T1800Z.NO/
1216 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL 
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 12.5 MON 11 AM  13.0   13.7   14.0   14.0   13.7

$$

NDC101-092316-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LGNN8.1.ER.130407T1322Z.130411T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1216 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.7 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...FLOOD DAMAGE BEGINS.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 LOGAN        34 34.6 MON 11 AM  35.1   35.6   35.6   35.6   35.6

$$

NDC101-092315-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN8.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130411T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1216 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 23.8 
  FEET THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...COULEES AND FARMLAND WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  SEVERAL HOMES IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN 
  AFFECTED ABOVE 22 FEET. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SAWYER       22   M            23.0   23.5   23.8   23.8   23.7

$$

NDC049-092315-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0005.130409T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/VLVN8.1.ER.130409T1200Z.130413T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1216 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA.
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1505 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 1506 
  FEET EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU      FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 VELVA        1505   M        1505.0  1505.4  1505.8  1506.1  1506.3

$$
JV/AJS
222 
WGUS83 KBIS 090325
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR BANTRY AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR SHERWOOD AFFECTING RENVILLE COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR TOWNER AFFECTING MCHENRY COUNTY 

.NOTE THAT THE CITY OF FOXHOLM IS NOT IN ANY FLOOD DANGER. FOXHOLM 
IS ON THE DES LACS RIVER...NOT THE SOURIS RIVER. 

THE RIVER RISES ARE DUE TO INCREASED RELEASES OUT OF LAKE DARLING DAM. 
THE UPDATED RELEASE SCHEDULE FROM THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REFLECTS 
A CURRENT DISCHARGE OF 2800 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND FROM LAKE DARLING. 
THE INCREASED RELEASE FROM LAKE DARLING IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED 
FLOW OUT OF THE RAFFERTY AND ALAMEDA RESERVOIRS IN CANADA. 

AT THE UPSTREAM LOCATIONS OF FOXHOLM AND MINOT 4 NW...THE ICE IS NOW 
OFF THE RIVER AND WATER LEVELS ARE MORE INDICATIVE OF OPEN WATER. IN 
THE AREAS STILL COVERED IN ICE...SUCH AS LOGAN...SAWYER...AND VELVA... 
ICE ON THE RIVER CONTINUES TO CAUSE HIGHER WATER LEVELS THAN WOULD BE 
REALIZED DURING THE NORMAL...OPEN WATER SEASON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE ICE ON THE SOURIS RIVER IS THINNING AND UNSTABLE. STAY OFF 
THE ICE. 


&&

NDC075-100325-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHWN8.2.DR.130408T0854Z.130412T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR SHERWOOD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FARMS FROM SHERWOOD 15W TO THE NORTHERN EDGE
  OF THE UPPER SOURIS WILDLIFE REFUGE WILL FLOOD.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SHERWOOD     18 19.2 MON 10 PM  19.6   20.0   20.3   20.5   20.0

$$

NDC101-100324-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.2.DR.130325T2010Z.130409T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.  
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...THE ROAD LEADING TO THE GAGE AND BAKER 
  BRIDGE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE HOUSE WILL FLOOD. THE VALLEY FLOOR 
  BECOMES COVERED WITH WATER.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10 14.3 MON 9 PM   14.3   14.3   13.9   13.8   13.8

$$

NDC101-100324-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130413T0600Z/
/MINN8.1.DR.130412T0600Z.130412T0600Z.130412T1800Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...AT THIS STAGE WATER BEGINS TO THREATEN RURAL
  AREAS ON THE EDGE OF MINOT, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT 
  LOCAL RUNOFF.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 12.6 MON 9 PM   13.0   13.5   13.9   13.9   13.3

$$

NDC101-100324-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LGNN8.1.ER.130407T1322Z.130411T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT LOGAN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.7 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...FLOOD DAMAGE BEGINS.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 LOGAN        34 34.9 MON 10 PM  35.4   35.6   35.7   35.6   35.6

$$

NDC101-100324-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN8.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130411T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT SAWYER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 23.8 
  FEET THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...COULEES AND FARMLAND WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  SEVERAL HOMES IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN 
  AFFECTED ABOVE 22 FEET. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 SAWYER       22   M    23.3   23.7   23.8   23.8   23.7

$$

NDC049-100324-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0005.130409T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/VLVN8.1.ER.130409T1200Z.130413T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER AT VELVA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  4:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 1503 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1505 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 1506 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 VELVA        1505 1502.7 SUN 4 PM  1505.2  1505.6  1505.9  1506.2  
1506.3

$$

NDC049-100324-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TOWN8.2.DR.000000T0000Z.130412T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR TOWNER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 52.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 54.9 
  FEET FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 55.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS BECOME COVERED WITH WATER. 
  FARMERS ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE RIVER, LOOKING DOWNSTREAM WILL BE 
  AFFECTED, BUT LITTLE DAMAGE. WATER BYPASSES GAGE AT THIS HEIGHT.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 TOWNER       52   M    54.3   54.7   54.8   54.9   54.9

$$

NDC049-100324-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0008.130410T1630Z-000000T0000Z/
/BANN8.2.DR.130410T1630Z.130415T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR BANTRY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS CROSSING THE ROAD SEVERAL 
  HUNDRED FEET TO THE LEFT OF THE BRIDGE. NO TOWNS OR MAJOR ROADS ARE
  FLOODED.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 BANTRY       11  9.6 MON 10 PM  10.2   11.4   12.2   12.5   12.7

$$
687 
WGUS83 KBIS 091825
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
125 PM CDT TUE APR 9 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATION IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW AFFECTING WARD COUNTY
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING MINOT 4NW.

. THE FLOOD WARNING FOR MINOT 4NW NEAR THE BOY SCOUT CAMPGROUND 
IS CANCELLED. THE RELEASE SCHEDULE AT LAKE DARLING DOES NOT SUGGEST 
A NEAR TERM INCREASE THAT WOULD AGAIN CREATE FLOOD LEVELS AT THIS 
GAGE. HOWEVER...THIS DOES NOT REPRESENT THE END OF THE SPRING FLOOD 
SEASON FOR THIS AREA...OR THE SOURIS RIVER. THE SPRING SNOWMELT HAS 
YET TO OCCUR AND FLOODING IS STILL A VERY DISTINCT POSSIBILITY IN 
THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AREA RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST RIVER 
FORECAST AFFECTING THE SOURIS RIVER AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS. FOR 
INFORMATION ON RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND 
LAKES TAB NEAR THE TOP OF THE MAIN PAGE. 

&&

NDC101-091855-
/O.CAN.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130413T0600Z/
/MINN8.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
125 PM CDT TUE APR 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER ABOVE MINOT 4NW.
* AT 12:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND A STAGE OF 13 FEET AND 
REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (1PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 MINOT 4NW    14 12.6 TUE 12 PM  12.4   12.6   12.8   12.9   13.0

$$

MM/AJS/CK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 4, 1:00 PM CDT, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 4, 1:00 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
100 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

ADJUSTED AFTERNOON HIGHS DOWN A FEW DEGREES ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
NORTH DAKOTA DUE TO PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER AND FRESH SNOWFALL.
ALSO ADJUSTED FIRST PERIOD SKY COVER DOWN TO MOSTLY SUNNY
NORTHEAST BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE OBS/TRENDS. THE REMAINING
WEATHER ELEMENTS ARE IN GOOD SHAPE. THE UPDATED GRIDDED AND TEXT
PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 1012 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013

THE BOWMAN RADAR CONTINUES TO DETECT LIGHT SNOW MOVING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. WEB CAM IMAGERY SHOWS LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE GRASSY AREAS.

SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE PROGS THIS ACTIVITY TO BE OUT OF THE
AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. UPDATED THE HOURLY POPS BASED ON CURRENT
RADAR RETURNS AND ITS EXPECTED EVOLUTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THE REMAINING SENSIBLE WEATHER ELEMENTS ARE ON TRACK. THE UPDATED
GRIDDED AND TEXT PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013

LIGHT SNOW INDICATED AT BAKER MONTANA AND SNOW FROM MARMARTH DOT
CAMERA AND BOWMAN RADAR EARLY THIS MORNING OVER SOUTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA. WILL BUMP UP POPS TO LIKELY OVER THE FAR SOUTHWEST THROUGH
MID MORNING. OTHERWISE ONLY CHANGES WERE TO INCREASE CLOUD OVER
THE SOUTH CENTRAL WITH MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK QUICKLY PROGRESSING
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AT THIS TIME. WEAK RETURNS ON KBIS
RADAR WITH THIS DECK BUT DRY BELOW SO WILL HOLD OFF ANY MENTION OF
PRECIP FOR NOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 411 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013

THE HIGHLIGHT OF THE SHORT TERM WILL BE LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING...WITH THE BEGINNING OF A STORM SYSTEM
THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST THAT CONTINUES INTO THE EXTENDED.

A BAND OF LIGHT SNOW TO MODERATE SNOW CURRENTLY DEVELOPING BETWEEN
GLASGOW AND MILES CITY AS OF 830 UTC IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
INCREASE EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE OF THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA. THE GREATEST IMPACTS OF THIS BAND SHOULD BE BETWEEN 11-16
UTC FOR BEACH...DICKINSON...MOTT AND POINTS SOUTHWEST. THIS BAND IS
EXPECTED TO QUICKLY DISSIPATE NEAR 18 UTC WITH THE LOSS OF
FRONTOGENESIS. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF INCH OR LESS ARE EXPECTED.
A SECONDARY BAND OF LIGHT SNOW AS ALSO DEVELOPING NORTH OF
GLASGOW...WHICH THE 00 UTC MODELS HAVE HAD A DIFFICULT TIME
RESOLVING. THUS...DID EXPAND SLIGHT CHANCE POPS INTO THE
NORTHWEST...AND THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS AS THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH SNOW WILL BE ABLE
TO REACH THE GROUND WITH DRY LOW LEVELS.

OTHERWISE FOR TODAY...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS...TRENDED ON THE WARMER EDGE OF THE 00 UTC FORECAST ENVELOPE
FOR TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL WITH BARE
GROUND...YIELDING HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. FOR THE SNOW PACK
AREAS...GOING NEAR TO JUST ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE CONSENSUS HAS
WORKED WELL WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO THE LOWER 30S.

FOR THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...RETURN FLOW INCREASES AS LOW PRESSURE
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA DEEPENS. WITH SURFACE WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND
INCREASING MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER...LOWS SHOULD ONLY FALL
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S SOUTHWEST TO THE 10 TO 15 RANGE FOR THE
TURTLE MOUNTAINS AND UPPER JAMES RIVER VALLEY WITH A LATER
COMMENCEMENT OF RETURN FLOW. THIS LOW TEMPERATURE PATTERN IS CLOSE
TO THE 00 UTC DETERMINISTIC CONSENSUS WHICH SHOULD PERFORM BETTER
THAN THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE IN A WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. ACROSS
THE FAR NORTHWEST POST 09 UTC TONIGHT...FRONTOGENESIS INCREASES AND
COUPLES WITH UPPER LEVEL FORCING WITH THE BEGINNING OF THE STORM
SYSTEM THAT CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY SNOW...WITH FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET
POTENTIALLY MIXING IN CLOSER TO 12 UTC AS A WARM LAYER ALOFT IS
ESTABLISHED.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 411 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013

THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND TYPES WITH A COUPLE OF WAVES MOVING
THROUGH A PROGRESSIVE UPPER FLOW. THE FIRST ON FRIDAY AND THEN AGAIN
ON SUNDAY.

DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE FIRST
SYSTEM AND ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS MINIMAL. THE GFS DOES LIE ON THE FAST
SIDE OF GUIDANCE SO LEANED MORE TO THE EC/GEM WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES. A LITTLE MORE SPREAD WITH THE SECOND WAVE ON SUNDAY SO WENT
WITH A EVEN MODEL BLEND WITH PERSISTENCE. EARLY NEXT WEEK THERE IS A
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND THE EC/GEM SOLUTIONS WITH
YET ANOTHER WAVE. THE GFS BRING THE WAVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS
AND RESULTS IN ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND SNOW MONDAY INTO MONDAY
EVENING. THE EC/GEM DROP THIS WAVE SOUTH BEFORE REACHING THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. BEING THAT THE GFS IS ON THE FAST SIDE OF
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE...THINK THAT SUBSEQUENT RUNS MAY SHOW THIS
WAVE SLOWING AND DROPPING FARTHER SOUTH BEFORE REACHING NORTH
DAKOTA. HOWEVER...FOR THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...A MODEL BLEND WILL
RESULT IN CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON MONDAY...TAPERING TO
SLIGHT CHANCE MONDAY NIGHT. WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE HOW THIS
EVOLVES IN SUBSEQUENT RUNS. IT DOES APPEAR THAT AS THE MAIN UPPER
LOW EJECTS INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK...COLD HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW SEASONABLE NORMALS.

FRIDAY SYSTEM...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO PRECIPITATION PLACEMENT OR
COVERAGE WITH THIS UPDATE. TEMPERATURE PROFILES STILL INDICATE AN
AREA OF SNOW SPREADING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES...WITH A
TRANSITION ZONE OF MIXED PRECIPITATION ON THE SOUTH EDGE. SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE STILL IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM BOWBELLS TO MINOT...HARVEY AND CARRINGTON. WITH A BAND OF MIXED
PRECIPITATION AND LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS
LINE. FARTHER SOUTH PRECIPITATION CHANCES TAPER QUICKLY AND QPF
AMOUNTS WILL BE MINIMAL WITH TEMPERATURES SUPPORTING MAINLY LIQUID
QPF.

SUNDAY SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE NOT AS CONSISTENT...ALL
DETERMINISTIC MODELS BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE EC/GEM ARE COLDER AND WOULD
RESULT IN MAINLY SNOW...WHILE THE GFS IS WARMER WITH SNOW NORTH AND
RAIN SOUTH.

WILL ISSUE ANOTHER SPS HIGHLIGHTING THE SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION
ON FRIDAY AND ANOTHER POTENTIAL FOR NOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION ON
SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT THU APR 4 2013

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN LIGHT
SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND 10Z NORTHWEST (KISN)...AND
PUSH EAST INTO NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA (KMOT) AFTER SUNRISE.
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP AND INCREASE THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 411 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS NEAR SHERWOOD AND AT MINOT 4
NW...WITH A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM
IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF LAKE DARLING. CURRENT LAKE DARLING
RELEASES ARE 2400 CFS. WHILE THE SOURIS RIVER IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM
OF LAKE DARLING IS ICE FREE...RIVER ICE INCREASES TO A SOLID SHEET
CLOSER TO MINOT AND POINTS DOWNSTREAM. SIGNIFICANT RIVER ICE ALSO
REMAINS ON THE SOURIS RIVER THROUGH RENVILLE COUNTY. AS THE RIVER
ICE IS LIFTED WITH INCREASED FLOWS...IT MAY POTENTIALLY
BREAK...WHICH COULD LEAD TO AN ICE JAM AND RAPIDLY FLUCTUATING RIVER
LEVELS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE ICE IS CONSTRICTING FLOW WITHIN
THE CHANNEL. THUS...THE CURRENT AND FORECAST STAGES ARE HIGHER THAN
WOULD BE EXPECTED FOR ANY GIVEN FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH AN OPEN ICE
FREE CHANNEL.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

UPDATE...TM
SHORT TERM...AYD
LONG TERM...TWH
AVIATION...TM
HYDROLOGY...AYD
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 4, 10:05 AM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1005 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013

NDZ003-011-051515-
RENVILLE-WARD-
1005 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE SOURIS RIVER
AT VARIOUS POINTS UPSTREAM OF MINOT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. FOR
DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND
SNOW FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY DAYTIME...AND AGAIN SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ001-002-004-005-009-010-012-013-017>023-025-034>037-042-
045>048-050-051-051515-
DIVIDE-BURKE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-MCHENRY-PIERCE-
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-
BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-GRANT-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-
MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
1005 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013 /905 AM MDT THU APR 4 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING
RAIN OR SLEET IN THE NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND
SNOW FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY DAYTIME...AND AGAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ031>033-040-041-043-044-051515-
GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-ADAMS-
905 AM MDT THU APR 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LIGHT SNOW IS LIKELY THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. NEW SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND ONE HALF INCH OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND
SNOW FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY DAYTIME...AND AGAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

TM

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Dakota, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.