Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2013

Wind Advisory 2, NWS Binghamton, NY

January 30, 201311 counties in New York; 7 counties in Pennsylvania

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this wind advisory at Jan 30, 2013, 12:18 PM EST for 11 counties in New York; 7 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Jan 30, 2013, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 23 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2013, 12:18 PM EST (17:18 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 30, 2013, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 31, 2013, 6:02 PM EST
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY

Counties Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 299 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
487 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
370 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

158 
WWUS71 KBGM 301718
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1218 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NYZ009-017-018-036-037-046-057-311730-
/O.UPG.KBGM.HW.A.0001.130131T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBGM.HW.W.0001.130131T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
OTSEGO-DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...AUBURN...SYRACUSE...
ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME...ONEONTA...COOPERSTOWN...WALTON...DELHI
1218 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN FINGER LAKES, MOHAWK VALLEY AND CATSKILLS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG, DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH.

* TIMING...BEGINNING THIS EVENING, SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST AHEAD
  OF THE COLD FRONT ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WEST WINDS
  WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY MORNING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND
  CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES AND
  POWER LINES, ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND MEDICINE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ015-016-022>025-044-045-055-056-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-
072-311730-
/O.UPG.KBGM.HW.A.0001.130131T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.130131T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
YATES-SENECA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-
TIOGA-BROOME-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...CORNING...
HORNELL...WATKINS GLEN...ELMIRA...ITHACA...CORTLAND...NORWICH...
OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...MONTICELLO...TOWANDA...SAYRE...MONTROSE...
TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON...MILFORD...
HONESDALE
1218 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...SUSQUEHANNA REGION, TWIN TIERS, AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG, GUSTY WINDS

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...BEGINNING THIS EVENING, SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST AHEAD
  OF THE COLD FRONT. WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY MORNING
  BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TREES ALONG WITH SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT
GREATER THAN 30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER
LINES AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD
SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE
ADVISORY AREA KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

PN
6 follow-up statements
332 
WWUS71 KBGM 302007
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
307 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NYZ009-017-018-036-037-046-057-312015-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.130131T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
OTSEGO-DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...AUBURN...SYRACUSE...
ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME...ONEONTA...COOPERSTOWN...WALTON...DELHI
307 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN FINGER LAKES...MOHAWK VALLEY AND CATSKILLS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...BEGINNING THIS EVENING...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST
  AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WEST
  WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY MORNING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND
  CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

* IMPACTS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES AND
  POWER LINES...ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND MEDICINE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ015-016-022>025-044-045-055-056-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-
072-312015-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.130131T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
YATES-SENECA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-
TIOGA-BROOME-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...CORNING...
HORNELL...WATKINS GLEN...ELMIRA...ITHACA...CORTLAND...NORWICH...
OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...MONTICELLO...TOWANDA...SAYRE...MONTROSE...
TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON...MILFORD...
HONESDALE
307 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SUSQUEHANNA REGION...TWIN TIERS...AND NORTHEAST
  PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...GUSTY WINDS

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...BEGINNING THIS EVENING...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST
  AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY
  MORNING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON
  HOURS.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TREES ALONG WITH SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT
GREATER THAN 30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER
LINES AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD
SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE
ADVISORY AREA KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

PN
666 
WWUS71 KBGM 310307
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1007 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NYZ009-017-018-036-037-046-057-010000-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
OTSEGO-DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...AUBURN...SYRACUSE...
ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME...ONEONTA...COOPERSTOWN...WALTON...DELHI
1007 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN FINGER LAKES...MOHAWK VALLEY AND CATSKILLS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST AHEAD OF A COLD
  FRONT ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND CONTINUE INTO
  THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

* IMPACTS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES AND 
  POWER LINES...ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND MEDICINE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ015-016-022>025-044-045-055-056-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-
072-010000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
YATES-SENECA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-
TIOGA-BROOME-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...CORNING...
HORNELL...WATKINS GLEN...ELMIRA...ITHACA...CORTLAND...NORWICH...
OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...MONTICELLO...TOWANDA...SAYRE...MONTROSE...
TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON...MILFORD...
HONESDALE
1007 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SUSQUEHANNA REGION...TWIN TIERS...AND NORTHEAST 
  PENNSYLVANIA. 

* HAZARDS...STRONG...GUSTY WINDS

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST AHEAD OF A COLD
  FRONT. WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEHIND THE
  COLD FRONT AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TREES ALONG WITH SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT
GREATER THAN 30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER
LINES AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD
SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE
ADVISORY AREA KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$
660 
WWUS71 KBGM 310749
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
249 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

NYZ015-016-022-311600-
/O.UPG.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
YATES-SENECA-STEUBEN-
249 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS... PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...GUSTY WINDS

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS
  MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TREES ALONG WITH SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND MEDICINE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ009-017-018-036-037-046-057-311600-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
OTSEGO-DELAWARE-
249 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN FINGER LAKES...MOHAWK VALLEY AND CATSKILLS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS
  MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

* IMPACTS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES AND
  POWER LINES...ALONG WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND MEDICINE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044-045-055-056-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
311600-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-TIOGA-BROOME-SULLIVAN-
BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
249 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SUSQUEHANNA REGION...TWIN TIERS...AND NORTHEAST 
  PENNSYLVANIA. 

* HAZARDS...STRONG...GUSTY WINDS

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING AND
  CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DAMAGE TO TREES ALONG WITH SPORADIC POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT
GREATER THAN 30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER
LINES AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD
SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE
ADVISORY AREA KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$
446 
WWUS71 KBGM 311542
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1042 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-046-057-010000-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-OTSEGO-DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...
AUBURN...SYRACUSE...CORNING...HORNELL...ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME...
ONEONTA...COOPERSTOWN...WALTON...DELHI
1042 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE FINGER LAKES REGION...THE WESTERN MOHAWK
  VALLEY...AND THE WESTERN CATSKILLS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60
  MPH...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH EARLY TO MID
  AFTERNOON...WITH A GRADUAL DIMINISHING TREND LATE IN THE DAY. 

* IMPACTS...DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES LIKELY...ALONG WITH SCATTERED
  POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND MEDICINE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044-045-055-056-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
010000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-TIOGA-BROOME-SULLIVAN-
BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATKINS GLEN...ELMIRA...ITHACA...
CORTLAND...NORWICH...OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...MONTICELLO...TOWANDA...
SAYRE...MONTROSE...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE...
HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE
1042 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE TWIN TIERS...INCLUDING THE SUSQUEHANNA
  REGION...AND ALSO NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...GUSTY WINDS

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH EARLY TO MID
  AFTERNOON...WITH A GRADUAL DIMINISHING TREND LATE IN THE DAY.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DAMAGE TO TREES...ALONG WITH SPORADIC POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT
GREATER THAN 30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER
LINES AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD
SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE
ADVISORY AREA KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

MJ
689 
WWUS71 KBGM 312011
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
311 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-046-057-010000-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-OTSEGO-DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...
AUBURN...SYRACUSE...CORNING...HORNELL...ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME...
ONEONTA...COOPERSTOWN...WALTON...DELHI
311 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE FINGER LAKES REGION...THE WESTERN MOHAWK 
  VALLEY...AND THE WESTERN CATSKILLS. 

* HAZARDS...STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH...
  PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EARLY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES LIKELY...ALONG WITH 
  SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND MEDICINE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044-045-055-056-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
010000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-TIOGA-BROOME-SULLIVAN-
BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATKINS GLEN...ELMIRA...ITHACA...
CORTLAND...NORWICH...OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...MONTICELLO...TOWANDA...
SAYRE...MONTROSE...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE...
HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE
311 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE TWIN TIERS...INCLUDING THE SUSQUEHANNA 
  REGION...AND ALSO NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. 

* HAZARDS...STRONG...GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EARLY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DAMAGE TO TREES...ALONG WITH SPORADIC 
  POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT
GREATER THAN 30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER
LINES AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD
SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE
ADVISORY AREA KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

MJ
557 
WWUS71 KBGM 312302
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
602 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013


NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-046-057-010015-
/O.CAN.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-OTSEGO-DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...
AUBURN...SYRACUSE...CORNING...HORNELL...ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME...
ONEONTA...COOPERSTOWN...WALTON...DELHI
602 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH MAY OCCUR EARLY THIS EVENING BUT THE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

$$

NYZ023>025-044-045-055-056-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
010015-
/O.CAN.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-TIOGA-BROOME-SULLIVAN-
BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATKINS GLEN...ELMIRA...ITHACA...
CORTLAND...NORWICH...OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...MONTICELLO...TOWANDA...
SAYRE...MONTROSE...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE...
HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE
602 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH MAY OCCUR EARLY THIS EVENING BUT THE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH. 

$$

RRM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 30, 10:28 AM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 10:28 AM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1028 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TODAY IN ADVANCE
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN THIS MOIST AIR MASS...AND THE RAIN WILL
BE HEAVY AT TIMES. COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TRIGGER LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9 AM UPDATE...
YET ANOTHER UPDATE TO BUMP TEMPS DOWN AT KAVP WITH SENSOR READING
AROUND 4 DEGREES TOO WARM. NO OTHER CHGS NEEDED AT THIS TIME AS A
MAJOR WX EVENT IS IMPENDING FOR TONIGHT.

730 AM UPDATE...
QUICK UPDATE TO BUMP CURRENT TEMPS UP IN WYOMING/LACKAWANNA VLYS
AS KAVP IS NOW UP TO 62F. MESONET SITES IN THAT AREA ARE CURRENTLY
IN THE MID-50S THUS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT SCRANTON WILKES-
BARRE AIRPORT IS IN THE LOW 60S AS IT SITS AROUND 1000 FEET UP AND
WITH STRONG INVERSION IN PLACE PER KALY/KOKX 12Z RAOBS.

630 AM UPDATE...MINOR T/TD TWEEKS IN THE NEAR TERM...RAISING MAXES
BY A FEW DEG MAINLY FINGER LAKES AND CNTRL SRN TIER.  ALSO ADDED
PC SKIES FOR PARTS OF THE RGN THIS MRNG. CRUDE XTRAPOLATION OF
LEADING PCPN SHIELD INDICATES ARRIVAL TIME ARND 1730Z INTO WRN STEUBEN.
WE'LL SEE IF THIS HOLDS. NO OTHER CHGS. PREV BLO...

510 AM UPDATE...BUMPED UP START TIME OF THE FLOOD WATCH TO 21Z.
PREV BLO..

LOTS TO LOOK AT THIS FCST PCKG. MAIN FOCUS IS ON THE APRCHNG
CDFNT AND DIGGING UPR TROF...WHICH WILL BRING A ROUND OF +RA AND
WIND TO THE RGN STARTING THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE OVRNGT HRS.

THERE IS TREMENDOUS BUST POTNL WITH THIS FCST...STARTING OFF WITH
MAX TEMPS TDA. WE ARE FCSTNG MAXES INTO THE LOWER 60S MAINLY W OF
I-81...BUT IF WE GET SOME BREAKS OF SUN LATER THIS MRNG THIS FCST
WILL BE ON THE COOL SIDE. WE ALSO NOTE THAT TEMPS ARE CRNTLY (AS
OF 330 AM) A60 OVER MOST OF OH. ATTM WE PLAYED IT CLOSE TO THE
VEST...WITH EXPECTATION THAT ANY SUNSHINE WILL BE LIMITED. BUT IT
IS SOMETHING TO WATCH.

MDLS HAVE BEEN LEANING SLOWER WITH THIS DYNAMIC SYSTEM...AND OUR
FCST REFLECTS THIS. DO NOT XPCT MUCH PCPN BEFORE 18Z...WITH THE
HEAVIEST RAIN LIKELY TO FALL VERY LATE AFTN/EVNG. WE EXPANDED THE
FFA TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE FCST AREA...MAIN THREAT BEING +RA AND
FLASH FLOODING...AS MDLS ARE SHIFTING THE HEAVY PCPN AXIS FURTHER
TO THE WEST. WE STARTED THE FLOOD WATCH AT 00Z EXPECTING THAT ANY
HYDRO ISSUES WILL BE AFTER THIS TIME...BUT DAY SHIFT MAY HAVE TO
MOVE UP THE START TIME IF PCPN WORKS IN EARLIER THAN XPCTD.

ATTM WE XPCT RAINFALL TO AVG SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES....LCLY
HIER AMTS IN THE SRLY UPSLOPE FAVORED AREAS...LOWEST AMTS PRBLY IN
THE LAKE PLAIN. ADDED TSRA TO THE MIX THIS AFTN/EVNG GIVEN WHAT'S
BEEN OCCURRING UPSTREAM AND FCST SI'S FROM 0 TO -2. STRONG DYNAMICS
IN ALMOST ANY FIELD YOU LOOK AT...INCLUDING IMPRSV UPR LVL DVRGNC
ASSCD WITH THE RR QUAD OF AN UPR LVL JET COUPLED WITH STRONG LOW
LVL FNTL CONVERGENCE SO CAT POPS CONTINUE TO LOOK GOOD. STEADIER
RAINS WILL END LATER TNGT FROM W TO E...PSBLY MIXING WITH -SHSN
TWDS DAYBREAK.

POTNL FOR SOME VERY GUSTY WINDS WITH ANY CONVECTION THAT DVLPS
NEAR/ALONG THE FNT. GIVEN THIS AND THE STRONG WINDS XPCTD BEHIND
THE CDFNT ON THU...WE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE
RGN.

RECORD TEMPS FOR TDA INCLUDE 54F AT SYR (2006/1914), 52 AT BGM
(1974), AND 66 AT AVP (1947). SYR AND BGM RECORDS ARE GONERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
XPCT STRONG WINDS ON THU. NAM/GFS MOS GDNC SHOWING SUSTAINED 25
TO 30 WHICH IS ONE OF THE BETTER INDICATORS SUGGESTING WARNING
CRITERIA WINDS ALONG THE LAKE PLAIN. ISALLOBARIC FIELDS ALSO MORE
IMPRSV THAN PREV WARNING/ADVISORY EVENT. POTNL FOR WARNING CRITERIA
SPCLY ACRS THE LAKE PLAIN AND PSBLY ADJACENT COUNTIES...WITH AN
ADVISORY APPEARING LIKELY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA.

AS COLDER AIR WORKS IN ON THU...LES WILL DVLP EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO. PROFILES AND TRAJECTORIES LOOK FVRBL THU AFTN INTO THU
NGT FOR SIG ACCUMS AS 850 TEMPS FALL TO -18C...SO AN LES WATCH WAS
ISSUED. THIS ACTIVITY IS XPCTD TO DROP SWD LATE THU NGT ON 290-300
FLOW INTO ONON/MAD/SRN ONEIDA. THIS BAND MAY LIFT BACK NWD ON FRI
NGT AS LOW LVL FLOW BCMS SWLY AHEAD OF THE NXT CLIPPER.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LK EFFECT SNOW STARTING OFF PD ACRS FAR NRN NY WL TRANSITION NORTH
OF THE REGION BY 06Z SATURDAY AS SFC RIDGE NOSES INTO AREA. WK UL
TROF WL MV THRU SAT AFTN WITH EC BEING STRONGEST WITH VORT MAX AND
GFS WEAKER. THEREFORE HV GONE WITH ONLY CHC POPS AT THIS TIME PER HPC
GUIDANCE. POPS WL INCREASE SAT NGT AND SUN AS ANOTHER WV AND ASSOC
SFC LOW DROPS THRU THE CWA THO ONLY TO BTWN 40-50%.

12Z GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH WV DROPPING INTO
NERN U.S. AND DVLPNG SFC LOPRES SUN AFTN/EVNG SOMEWHERE IN THE GULF
OF MAINE. ENERGY WL LKLY NOT TRANSFER OFF THE COAST QUICKLY ENUF TO
GIVE US A THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SNOW FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

TEMPS DRG THE EXTNDD PORTION WL SETTLE OUT CLOSE TO SEASONAL VALUES.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
12Z WED UPDATE... ONE OF THE MAIN AVIATION IMPACTS THE NEXT 12-18
HRS WILL BE LLWS...AS A VERY STG LOW-LVL JET DVLPS OVER THE
RGN...WITH AN INVERSION ALSO IN PLACE IN THE LWST 2K FT...TO KEEP
THE STGST WINDS JUST OFF THE SFC. THIS HAZARD WAS CARRIED AT ALL
SITES. THERE IS SOME PSBLTY THAT WARMING SFC TEMPS THIS AFTN WILL
BE ENOUGH TO ERODE THE INVERSION...AND BRING STG GUSTY WINDS
(35-40 KT) ALL THE WAY TO THE SFC. ALTHOUGH WE FEEL THIS IS A LOW
PROB OCCURRENCE...KSYR AND KBGM MAY BE THE MOST PROBABLE SITES FOR
THIS (DOWNSLOPING SRLY FLOW AT KSYR AND ADDED ELEVATION AT KBGM).
SUCH TRENDS WILL OBVIOUSLY BE WATCHED CLOSELY THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

EARLY THIS MRNG...SOME LWR CLDS AND LGT FOG COULD OCNLY FLOAT
THROUGH AT KBGM/KAVP. OTHERWISE...MAINLY VFR SHOULD PREVAIL INTO
EARLY AFTN.

FROM 19-22Z ONWARD THROUGH THE EVE HRS...AS THE MAIN COLD FRNTL BNDRY
SLOWLY APPROACHES...RAIN SHOULD BECOME STEADIER IN NATURE...WITH
PREVAILING MVFR CONDS. EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ARE CERTAINLY
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...AND
THE UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IN PLACE. HOWEVER...WE DON'T FEEL
CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO INSERT THUNDER OR EXCESSIVE WIND GUSTS (40+
KT) ATTM. ONCE AGN...RADAR TRENDS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

FROPA SHOULD OCCUR FM 06-09Z THU...WITH AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT TO
WRLY...AND QUITE AN INCREASE IN THE WINDS AS WELL (GUSTS OF 35-45 KT).

.OUTLOOK...

THU/FRI/SAT/SUN...OCNL MVFR TO IFR RESTRICTIONS...IN SHSN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
CONSENSUS OF MODEL AND MAN MADE GUID PROGS PUTS 1 TO UP TO 2.5
INCHES WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN AXIS FURTHER WEST ACROSS THE FINGER
LAKES AND CHEMUNG BASINS OF NY. WILL HAVE TWO BATCHES WITH THE
INITIAL BATCH ALREADY IN WRN PA AND WRN NY NOW. THIS FIRST BATCH
MOVES QUICKLY THROUGH THIS AFTN. RAINFALL THIS AFTN UP TO HALF AN
INCH. QUICK RESPONSE ON STREAMS BUT NO FLOODING INITIALLY. THE
COLD FRONT WILL COME THROUGH LATE EVE AND EARLY MORNING WITH MORE
HEAVY RAIN. ANOTHER QUICK INCH IN LESS THAN 6 HOURS WHICH WILL BE
MOSTLY RUNOFF. STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL RESPOND QUICKLY. FLASH
FLOODING POSSIBLE...FOLLOWED BY MINOR RIVER FLOODING.

FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ENTIRE CWA STARTING AT 4 PM INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS JUST ISSUED FOR
WEST BRANCH DELAWARE RIVER AT WALTON
TIOUGHNIOGA RIVER AT CORTLAND
CHENANGO RIVER AT SHERBURNE
SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT VESTAL
SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT WAVERLY/SAYRE
SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT TOWANDA
SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MESHOPPEN
SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR WILKES-BARRE

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072.
NY...FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-
     055>057-062.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-
     055>057-062.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ009.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...PVN
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...PVN
AVIATION...MLJ
HYDROLOGY...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 4:02 AM EST, 8 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
402 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NYZ015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-
047-048-072-310915-
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-
TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-
BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
402 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ009-310915-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-
402 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WATCH.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 2:31 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchBGMOneida13 hr
Jan 30, 3:13 AM ESTHigh Wind WatchBGMBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware and 11 more9 hr
Jan 30, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMBroome, Tioga26 hr
Jan 30, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMTioga29 hr
Jan 30, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMChenango26 hr
Jan 30, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMCortland29 hr
Jan 30, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMDelaware24 hr
Jan 30, 12:18 PM ESTHigh Wind WarningBGMCayuga, Delaware, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga, Otsego and 3 more30 hr
Jan 30, 2:43 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningBGMOneida6 hr
Jan 30, 3:01 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMMadison, Oneida20 hr
Jan 30, 3:12 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBGMOneida40 hr
Jan 30, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMBradford29 hr
Jan 30, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMWyoming29 hr
Jan 30, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBGMLuzerne29 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2013Wind Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.