Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Binghamton, NY

July 5, 2013Oneida County, New York

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 5, 2013, 3:10 PM EDT for Oneida County, New York. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2013, 3:10 PM EDT (19:10 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2013, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
35 min
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Oneida County, NY

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 803 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 69 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
803 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
841 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 5, 3:10 PM EDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 3:10 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
310 PM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH
DAY WITH THE MOST WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OCCURRING DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AT 3 PM...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING FROM THE
NRN FINGER LAKES REGION EAST ACROSS THE SYR AREA TO THE WESTERN
MOHAWK VALLEY. THIS ACTIVITY IS BEING ENHANCED BY A MID LEVEL
SHORT WAVE THAT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON.
CAPE VALUES RANGING FROM 1500-2000 J/KG ALONG WITH MODERATE DEEP
LAYER SHEAR COULD SUPPORT A FEW SVR THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
PRIMARY THREAT DAMAGING WINDS. FURTHER SOUTH ACTIVITY REMAINS
ONLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO WITH LESS
FORCING. BY EARLY EVENING WITH LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING CONVECTION
WILL DIMINISH WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S UNDER
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SATURDAY...STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHEAST
WITH SFC HIGH PRES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BRINGING A
CONTINUATION OF WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS. MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE MAY TRACK OVER THE RIDGE DURING THE AFTERNOON PRIMARILY
NORTH OF THE FA. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE CAPE VALUES AROUND 1500
J/KG BUT WITH WEAKER FORCING AND LESS BULK SHEAR, CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO BE JUST ISOLATED TO SCATTERED WITH THE BEST COVERAGE
ACROSS CENTRAL NY. MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 80S TO LOWER
90S.

SATURDAY NIGHT...ONCE DAYTIME HEATING SUBSIDES CONVECTION WILL
QUICKLY WEAKEN AGAIN DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH MUCH OF
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD DRY. ANOTHER MUGGY/MILD NIGHT.

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL FLATTEN DURING THIS
PERIOD AS MID WEST TROF MOVES EAST WITH H5 LOW SOMEWHERE BETWEEN
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION TO CENTRAL PA BY MONDAY. THE NAM POSITIONS THIS
FEATURE FARTHER SOUTH WITH THE GFS/ECMWF NORTH. AS THIS OCCUR THE
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST BECOMES MORE ZONAL.

SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH
ISOLATED ACTIVITY CONTINUING THROUGH THE SUNDAY NIGHT PERIOD AS
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT MAY KEEP ACTIVITY GOING. PWATS WILL REMAIN
HIGH THROUGH THE PERIOD SO ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

MAX TEMPS BOTH SUNDAY/MONDAY WILL RANGE IN THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
PTRN WILL BE TRANSITIONING TO A MORE ZONAL REGIME IN THE MED RNG.
REMNANTS OF THE UPR LOW CRNTLY OVER THE CNTRL U.S. XPCTD TO BE
OVER PA ON MON...MOVG OFF THE CST TUE NGT. ZONAL FLOW FOLLOWING
THIS FEATURE WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED S/WV'S. POTNL FOR A FEW ROUNDS
OF CONVECTION IN THIS PTRN (PSBLY NON-DIURNAL) UNTIL FROPA ON
THU...WITH HI PRES XPCTD TO BUILD IN FROM THE GTLAKES LATE IN THE
WEEK. MAXES GNRLY L/M80S WITH 65-70 FOR LOWS...A BIT COOLER
(MAYBE) FOR FRI.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SCT SHRA/TSRA MAINLY CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES/LAKE
PLAIN AND WRN MOHAWK VLY WILL BRING TEMPO MVFR CONDITIONS TO
SYR/RME THIS AFTN. OTRW...MAINLY VFR TO PREVAIL ELSEWHERE WITH THE
OUTSIDE CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA. OVRNIGHT...MAINLY VFR WITH POTNL FOR
MVFR VSBY'S LATE IN BR/HZ. XPCT BKN MVFR CIGS TMRW MRNG IN DVLPNG CU
DECK BEFORE BASES LIFT TO LOW-END VFR BY 15Z. BETTER CHCS FOR SCT
SHRA/TSRA WILL BE AFTER 18Z SAT. WINDS SWLY ARND 10 KTS THIS AFTN
(GUSTY WINDS PSBL NEAR TSRA)...LIGHT SWLY TNGT...THEN WSW ON SAT
MRNG ARND 10 KTS.

.OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SCT SHRA/TSRA ARE ANTICIPATED EACH AFTN/EVE...WITH BRIEF
RESTRICTIONS PSBL. MVFR RESTRICTIONS ALSO PSBL IN EARLY MRNG
STRATUS/FOG. OTRW VFR PREVAILS.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RRM
NEAR TERM...RRM
SHORT TERM...RRM
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 6:51 AM EDT, 8 hours 19 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 5, 2:17 PM EDT, 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
217 PM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013

NYZ009-018-036-037-052000-
MADISON-NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
217 PM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013

...HEAVY RAINFALL, WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...AND SMALL HAIL WILL
ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA
COUNTIES WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER
HOUR, AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST
NUMEROUS NORTH OF THE THRUWAY. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE
DITCHES AND CULVERTS TO OVERFLOW, AND PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING
AREAS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 9:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMOtsego66 min
Jul 5, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida45 min
Jul 5, 4:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMOneida59 min
Jul 5, 5:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMMadison61 min
Jul 5, 5:19 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMMadison, Oneida26 min
Jul 5, 6:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMSeneca52 min
Jul 5, 7:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMSeneca29 min
Jul 5, 7:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMCayuga, Onondaga58 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New York, 2013Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.