Severe Thunderstorm Warning 61, NWS La Crosse, WI

498 
WWUS53 KARX 010237
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
937 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-157-169-WIC011-010330-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130601T0330Z/
OLMSTED MN-WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
937 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
BUFFALO...NORTHWESTERN WINONA...SOUTHEASTERN WABASHA AND EAST CENTRAL
OLMSTED COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 934 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF PLAINVIEW...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BUFFALO AROUND 955 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE RATTLESNAKE 
RIDGE...WEAVER...MINNEISKA...COCHRANE...WHITMAN...LOCK AND DAM 
5...WEST NEWTON...AND CZECHVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4454 9153 4425 9153 4423 9154 4421 9160
      4419 9160 4393 9218 4408 9238
TIME...MOT...LOC 0237Z 237DEG 30KT 4413 9203

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HALBACH

529 
WWUS53 KARX 010248
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
948 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-157-169-WIC011-010330-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130601T0330Z/
OLMSTED MN-WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
948 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
BUFFALO...NORTHWESTERN WINONA...SOUTHEASTERN WABASHA AND EAST CENTRAL
OLMSTED COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 946 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BUFFALO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BUFFALO AROUND 955 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE WHITMAN...LOCK AND DAM 
5...WEST NEWTON...COCHRANE...CZECHVILLE...HEROLD...AND CREAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4454 9153 4423 9154 4421 9160 4419 9160
      4393 9218 4408 9238
TIME...MOT...LOC 0248Z 237DEG 30KT 4418 9192

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HALBACH

144 
WWUS53 KARX 010304
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1004 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-157-169-WIC011-010330-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130601T0330Z/
OLMSTED MN-WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
1004 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
BUFFALO...NORTHWESTERN WINONA...SOUTHEASTERN WABASHA AND EAST CENTRAL
OLMSTED COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 958 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BUFFALO...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 50 MPH WIND WAS REPORTED SOUTHEAST OF      
         MINNIESKA. A SECOND STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH ABOUT A HALF    
         HOUR AFTER THE FIRST STORM MOVES THROUGH.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS 
ELBA...ALTURA...BUFFALO...CREAM...WAUMANDEE AND MONTANA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4454 9153 4423 9154 4421 9160 4419 9160
      4393 9218 4408 9238
TIME...MOT...LOC 0301Z 237DEG 30KT 4424 9179

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HALBACH

292 
WWUS53 KARX 010313
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1013 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-157-169-WIC011-010330-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130601T0330Z/
OLMSTED MN-WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
1013 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
BUFFALO...NORTHWESTERN WINONA...SOUTHEASTERN WABASHA AND EAST CENTRAL
OLMSTED COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 1010 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST
OF BUFFALO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. A SECOND STORM WILL FOLLOW THE FIRST STORM 
         WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF HAIL AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTANA...HIGHWAY 95 AND COUNTY C AND LOOKOUT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4454 9153 4423 9154 4421 9160 4419 9160
      4393 9218 4408 9238
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 237DEG 30KT 4429 9167

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HALBACH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
651 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
ISSUED AT 637 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

A LINE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAS FIRED UP FROM WEST OF EAU
CLAIRIE WI TO EAST OF ROCHESTER MN AND CHARLES CITY IA. THESE
STORMS ARE ALONG A DRY LINE. THEY TOOK A LITTLE BIT TO REALLY GET
GOING...APPEARING TO WAIT FOR A 300MB JET STREAK COMING UP THROUGH
CENTRAL IA TO AID IN UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. NCAPE VALUES ARE
QUITE HIGH...AROUND 0.25 PER RAP ANALYSIS...WHICH WOULD FAVOR
RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT GIVEN THE FORCING. THIS MAY BE A
REASON WHY THE STORMS IN WABASHA...WINONA AND BUFFALO
COUNTIES...AS WELL AS FLOYD...MITCHELL AND HOWARD COUNTIES IN
IOWA. THE STORM IN NORTHEAST IOWA HAS HAD A HISTORY OF FUNNELS.
0-1KM SHEAR HAS INCREASED...TOWARDS 15-20 KT...SO WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/RAP ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON SHOWING A CLOSED LOW
OVER THE DAKOTAS WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING
NORTHEAST ACROSS IA. THIS WAS KICKING OFF CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST MN/NORTHEAST IA WHERE LAPS WAS PRODUCING AN AXIS OF
1000-1500J/KG 0-1KM MLCAPE. 0-6KM BULK SHEAR WAS RUNNING AROUND
65KT. CONVECTION...SOME SEVERE WITH INCREASING CAPE AND HIGHER-END
BULK SHEAR...WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO THIS EVENING AS THE TROUGH ROTATES NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS LOOK TO BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH AN
ISOLATED TORNADO ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE BULK OF THE
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.

LOOK FOR THE CLOSED LOW TO FILL AS IT ROTATES INTO THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
COOL/CYCLONIC FLOW WILL BE THE IMPETUS FOR MORE SHOWER AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY GOING INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. NAM INDICATING 0-1KM MLCAPE IN THE 150-300J/KG RANGE WITH ANY
DECENT BULK SHEAR SHIFTING ACROSS EASTERN WI. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS BY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE
65-70 DEGREE ACROSS NORTHEAST IA/SOUTHEAST MN...TO THE 70-75 DEGREE
RANGE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE
MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS ROTATES EAST THROUGH THE AREA WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS DROPPING INTO THE 40S AND LOWER 50S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY FOR A
MUCH DESERVED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
A BIT ON THE COOLER THAN NORMAL SIDE THOUGH WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE
60S. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE LOWER 40S ALONG
AND NORTHEAST OF I-94...TO THE MID/UPPER 40S ELSEWHERE.

FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ANOTHER CLOSED LOW IS SLATED TO MOVE
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
REGION. THIS WILL GIVE THE AREA ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH OVERALL COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
MODELS ARE INDICATING THE LOW LIFTING OUT OF THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT/FRIDAY TIME FRAME. LEFT A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN FOR NOW
AND WILL PASS ALONG TO LATER SHIFTS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF DRYING
THINGS OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 650 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
SOME AHEAD OF A DRY LINE AND OTHERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. RIGHT
NOW BOTH TAF SITES ARE NOT BEING AFFECTED... HOWEVER...AM
ANTICIPATING THAT BOTH COULD SEE SHOWERS AND/OR STORMS WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. HAVE COVERED THAT WITH VCTS FOR NOW GIVEN THE
SCATTERED NATURE. IF THE STORMS ORGANIZE INTO A MORE CONGEALED
LINE...WILL AMEND THE TAFS TO PUT THE TSRA. THESE STORMS COULD
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THE COLD FRONT ITSELF IS BACK
JUST WEST OF I-35. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES LATE THIS
EVENING...EXPECT MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION CONCERN TO END. MVFR
STRATUS BECOMES THE NEXT ISSUE...ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE IN
THE DAKOTAS MOVING TO THE EAST. IT APPEARS THIS STRATUS WILL GET
INTO RST AROUND 13Z. THE VALLEY LOCATION OF LSE SHOULD KEEP THE
CEILINGS VFR. A SECONDARY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LOOKS TO MOVE
THROUGH THE TAF SITES LATE IN THE DAY. IN ITS WAKE...SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD MOVE INTO THE TAF SITES.
HAVE ONLY INCLUDED THE -SHRA AT THIS TIME...SINCE THUNDERSTORM
UNCERTAINTY IS QUITE HIGH.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

WITH THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMING PROGRESSIVELY DRIER TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...LOOK FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO BE SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER
WITH ANY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP. THEREFORE...RUNOFF IS
EXPECTED TO BE LESS OF AN ISSUE GOING INTO THIS WEEKEND. AS OF THIS
AFTERNOON...SEVERAL RIVERWAYS INCLUDING THE TURKEY...UPPER
IOWA...AND TREMPEALEAU STILL HAVE ONGOING FLOODING. FOR FURTHER
DETAILS...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE...AJ
SHORT TERM...DAS
LONG TERM...DAS
AVIATION...AJ
HYDROLOGY...DAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
729 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-011200-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-
FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-
MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-
WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
729 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...SOME OF WHICH
MAY BE SEVERE. THE STORMS HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE POTENTIAL FOR THESE
SEVERE HAZARDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 10 PM WHEN THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE UPPER IOWA AND TURKEY RIVERS IN
NORTHEAST IOWA...AND THE BLACK AND TREMPEALEAU RIVERS IN WESTERN
WISCONSIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ON SATURDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
ENTIRE AREA. NONE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
SEVERE.

MANY RIVERS WILL BE IN FLOOD OR RUNNING HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. IT IS TOO EARLY DISCERN WHETHER ANY OF THEM WILL
BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

AJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
816 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

WIZ017-029-010215-
CLARK-TAYLOR-
816 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

AT 813 PM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM
WESTBORO TO NEAR OWEN AND ROCK DAM LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS.

LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
MEDFORD...RIB LAKE...GREENWOOD...DORCHESTER...LOYAL AND ABBOTSFORD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN IOWA AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND WESTERN
WISCONSIN.

DAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
817 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0817 PM     HAIL             PIGEON FALLS            44.42N 91.21W
05/31/2013  E1.00 INCH       TREMPEALEAU        WI   PUBLIC

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
845 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 NW MERRILLAN          44.47N 90.87W
05/31/2013                   JACKSON            WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            DISSIPATED NOW BACK TO WALL CLOUD

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
859 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HAIL             4 S ROCHESTER           43.96N 92.48W
05/31/2013  E1.00 INCH       OLMSTED            MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 S ROCHESTER           43.96N 92.48W
05/31/2013  M57 MPH          OLMSTED            MN   911 CALL CENTER

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
912 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HAIL             1 N STEWARTVILLE        43.87N 92.49W
05/31/2013  E0.50 INCH       OLMSTED            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
913 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0903 PM     HAIL             AUSTIN                  43.67N 92.97W
05/31/2013  E0.50 INCH       MOWER              MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORTED AT KAAL TELEVISION

&&

SHEA