River Flood Warning 5, NWS La Crosse, WI

890 
WGUS83 KARX 020206
FLSARX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
906 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

.THE COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RECENT RAINFALL HAS CAUSED
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER IN AND AROUND THE
DODGE AREAS. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID-WEEK. 

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST 
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC011-121-021706-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130404T0200Z/
/DDGW3.1.SM.130401T1948Z.130402T1200Z.130403T0800Z.NO/
906 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND MARSH LAND IS FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

ZT

580 
WGUS83 KARX 020812
FLSARX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
312 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

.THE COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RECENT RAINFALL HAS CAUSED
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER IN AND AROUND THE
DODGE AREA. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TODAY. 

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST 
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC011-121-022312-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130404T0200Z/
/DDGW3.1.SM.130401T1948Z.130402T1800Z.130403T0800Z.NO/
312 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY 
  TODAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND MARSH LAND IS FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

741 
WGUS83 KARX 021426
FLSARX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
925 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

.THE COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RECENT RAINFALL HAS CAUSED
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER IN AND AROUND THE
DODGE AREA. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TODAY. 

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST 
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC011-121-030525-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130403T1200Z/
/DDGW3.1.SM.130401T1948Z.130402T0700Z.130402T1800Z.NO/
925 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...DROPPING BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND MARSH LAND IS FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

709 
WGUS83 KARX 030106
FLSARX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
806 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

.THE WATER LEVEL ON THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE HAS FALLEN BELOW
FLOOD STAGE...THUS THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED. HOWEVER...THE
RIVER WILL REMAIN ELEVATED FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO...AS THE RECENT
SNOW MELT WORKS DOWN THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC011-121-030136-
/O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130403T1200Z/
/DDGW3.1.SM.130401T1948Z.130402T0700Z.130402T1548Z.NO/
806 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.
* AT  7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10:48 AM TUESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.7 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND MARSH LAND IS FLOODED. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
601 AM CDT MON APR 1 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 311 AM CDT MON APR 1 2013

A BROAD/DEEP MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS SET UP ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA WHILE AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE
WESTERN US. AT THE SURFACE...CYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE DAKOTAS. SKIES
HAVE MAINLY CLEARED OUT THOUGH A FEW CU STREAKS HAVE STUCK AROUND
NORTHERN WISCONSIN. SHOULD NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHANGES IN
THE PATTERN FOR TODAY AS THE RIDGE UNDERCUTS THE REGION TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND STRONGLY SUBSIDENT AIR SHOULD KEEP SKIES MAINLY
CLEAR.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 311 AM CDT MON APR 1 2013

WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES STAYING BETWEEN -10C TO -15C INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING...TEMPERATURES WILL STAY WELL BELOW NORMAL OVER
THIS PERIOD. THE COLDEST MORNING WILL LIKELY BE ON WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS THE CORE OF THE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD AND ALLOWS FOR
IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. THINK
THAT SOME OF THE MODELS ARE LEANING TOWARD CLIMO AND HAVE SOME
HIGHER VALUES IN THERE...SO HAVE UNDERCUT LOWS THERE A BIT FOR
WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE RIDGE AXIS MOVES IN FROM THE WEST AND 850MB
TEMPERATURES IMPROVE TO AROUND -2C TO 0C. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
STILL BE BELOW NORMAL BUT AT LEAST WILL BE TRENDING IN THE RIGHT
DIRECTION.

A MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND IN TURN BRING A SURFACE LOW
ALONG WITH IT. A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND SOUTH OF THIS LOW AND WILL
APPROACH CENTRAL MINNESOTA/NORTHERN WISCONSIN EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. THE BETTER LIFT/MOISTURE CONVERGENCE STILL APPEARS TO BE
OFF TO THE NORTHEAST CLOSER TO THE MID LEVEL/SURFACE LOW...SO IT
DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THERE SHOULD BE MUCH PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS
ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THERMAL PROFILES OFF OF THE 01.00Z
GFS SUGGEST THAT THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD MAINLY FALL AS LIGHT
RAIN...BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT THAT THERE COULD BE SOME SNOW THAT
MIXES IN AS THE PROFILE SATURATES DOWN TO THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE.

THE FOCUS THEN GOES TO A MORE POTENT SYSTEM THAT WILL BE
DEVELOPING IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON FRIDAY WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
COLD FRONT TRANSITIONING TO A WARM FRONT. THE INITIAL QUESTION
REMAINS WITH HOW FAR NORTH THAT FRONT MAKES IT NEXT WEEKEND AS
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE IN THE 60S TO THE SOUTH OF IT AND IN
THE 30S WITH SNOW TO THE NORTH OF IT. THE ECMWF HAS FLIP FLOPPED
AROUND A BIT THE PAST FEW DAYS WITH THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW
THAT EVENTUALLY COMES THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY WHILE THE GFS
HAS BEEN FAIRLY STEADY WITH ITS TRACK. A FEW OF THE ECMWF RUNS
HAVE TAKEN A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK THROUGH SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA/CENTRAL WISCONSIN WHILE THE GFS HAS BEEN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT WITH TAKING THE LOW THROUGH IOWA. PRECIPITATION WILL
INITIALLY START OUT WELL AHEAD OF THIS LOW AS WARM AIR
ADVECTION/FRONTOGENESIS STRENGTHENS ALONG THE THERMAL GRADIENT. A
LOT OF DETAILS TO BE WORKED OUT AND HAVE BASICALLY DONE A BLEND
BETWEEN THE 01.00Z GFS/ECMWF WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT SOME DRASTIC
CHANGES COULD BE IN STORE DEPENDING ON WHETHER WE END UP IN THE
WARM OR COLD SECTOR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 601 AM CDT MON APR 1 2013

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 12 TO 15 KTS WILL OCCUR AT THE TAF SITES TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE EDGES EAST OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SCATTERED CUMULUS
WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING WITH CLOUD BASES IN THE 3000-3500
FT RANGE. THE CUMULUS WILL DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING AS SURFACE
HEATING DIMINISHES WITH CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. ALSO...WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING INTO THE 5 TO 8 KT
RANGE. WINDS MAY ACTUALLY GO CALM AT KLSE LATE IN THE NIGHT. PLAN
ON QUIET WEATHER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HALBACH
LONG TERM...HALBACH
AVIATION...WETENKAMP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
451 AM CDT MON APR 1 2013

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-011200-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-
FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-
MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-
WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
451 AM CDT MON APR 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HIGH WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE ON SOME AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS AS
RUNOFF CONTINUES FROM SNOWMELT AND RECENT RAINFALL. IF YOU LIVE NEAR
A RIVER OR STREAM BE ALERT TO RISING WATER AND POTENTIAL FLOODING.
ALSO...LOW SPOTS ALONG SECONDARY ROADS COULD EXPERIENCE HIGH WATER
LEVELS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND BRINGING A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW TO THE AREA. AT THIS TIME THERE IS CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM AND
PRECIPITATION TYPES. DETAILS WILL BECOME CLEARER WITHIN THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ANY REPORTS OF CLOSED ROADS DUE TO FLOODING ARE APPRECIATED.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

WETENKAMP