River Flood Warning 23, NWS La Crosse, WI

165 
WGUS43 KARX 190951 CCA
FLWARX
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
446 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK
RIVER FALLS...

FLOODING HAS BEGUN TO OCCUR ALONG THE BLACK RIVER NEAR BLACK
RIVER FALLS.  MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 
SATURDAY NIGHT.  THIS FLOODING IS DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL. 

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST 
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE IN A THREATENED AREA...BE ALERT FOR HIGH OR RISING 
WATER...AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF NECESSARY.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION...INCLUDING
NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC053-192146-
/O.COR.KARX.FL.W.0023.130419T0946Z-130421T1800Z/
/BRFW3.1.ER.130419T0645Z.130419T1800Z.130421T0000Z.NO/
446 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE WI HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK RIVER FALLS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  4:00 AM THIS MORNING THE STAGE WAS 47.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 47.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 48.5 FEET BY 
  TODAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 47.0 FEET...SOME RURAL ROADS MAY BEGIN TO FLOOD 
  INCLUDING COUNTY HIGHWAY VV DOWNSTREAM NEAR THE LA CROSSE COUNTY 
  LINE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4437 9080 4413 9100 4411 9097 4417 9088 4435 9075

$$

623 
WGUS83 KARX 191425
FLSARX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
925 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...FLOODING CONTINUES ON AREA RIVERS...

.RECENT RAINFALL AND SNOWFALL HAS LED TO ANOTHER RISE ON THE BLACK
AND TREMPEALEAU RIVERS. CURRENTLY THE BLACK RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
RISE TO WITHIN 1 FOOT OF MODERATE STAGE AT BLACK RIVER FALLS...AND
TO NEAR MODERATE STAGE AT GALESVILLE. RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC053-200525-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130421T1715Z/
/BRFW3.1.ER.130419T0645Z.130420T0000Z.130420T2315Z.NO/
925 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK RIVER FALLS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 48.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 47.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 50.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 47.0 FEET...SOME RURAL ROADS MAY BEGIN TO FLOOD 
  INCLUDING COUNTY HIGHWAY VV DOWNSTREAM NEAR THE LA CROSSE COUNTY 
  LINE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4437 9080 4413 9100 4411 9097 4417 9088 4435 9075

$$

WIC063-121-200525-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-130423T1800Z/
/GALW3.1.SM.130418T0524Z.130422T0000Z.130423T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER NEAR GALESVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR TO NEAR MODERATE FLOODING IS
  FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING MAINLY IMPACTS WILDLANDS AND 
  AGRICULTURAL PASTURE LAND. HOWEVER THE APPROACH TO THE SOUTH END OF
  THE COUNTY ROAD VV BRIDGE OVER THE BLACK RIVER MAY BE FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4413 9100 4407 9133 4395 9138 4393 9135 4411 9097

$$

WIC011-121-200525-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130423T1330Z/
/DDGW3.1.SM.130406T0143Z.130418T0400Z.130422T1930Z.NO/
925 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.6 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...THE ENTRANCE ROAD TO THE TREMPEALEAU NATIONAL
  WILDLIFE REFUGE IS FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

652 
WGUS83 KARX 200150
FLSARX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
850 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...FLOODING CONTINUES ON AREA RIVERS...

.RECENT RAINFALL AND SNOWFALL HAS LED TO FLOODING ON THE BLACK
AND TREMPEALEAU RIVERS. CURRENTLY THE BLACK RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE A SLOW FALL AT BLACK RIVER FALLS...AND TO NEAR MODERATE
STAGE AT GALESVILLE. RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED
AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC053-201650-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130421T1029Z/
/BRFW3.1.ER.130419T0645Z.130419T1700Z.130420T1629Z.NO/
850 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK RIVER FALLS.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 48.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 47.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...DROPPING BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 47.0 FEET...SOME RURAL ROADS MAY BEGIN TO FLOOD 
  INCLUDING COUNTY HIGHWAY VV DOWNSTREAM NEAR THE LA CROSSE COUNTY 
  LINE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4437 9080 4413 9100 4411 9097 4417 9088 4435 9075

$$

WIC063-121-201650-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-130423T1600Z/
/GALW3.1.SM.130418T0524Z.130421T1800Z.130422T2200Z.NO/
850 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER NEAR GALESVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 12.7 FEET BY SUNDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING MAINLY IMPACTS WILDLANDS AND 
  AGRICULTURAL PASTURE LAND. HOWEVER THE APPROACH TO THE SOUTH END OF
  THE COUNTY ROAD VV BRIDGE OVER THE BLACK RIVER MAY BE FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4413 9100 4407 9133 4395 9138 4393 9135 4411 9097

$$

WIC011-121-201650-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130423T1330Z/
/DDGW3.1.SM.130406T0143Z.130418T0400Z.130422T1930Z.NO/
850 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 9.6 FEET BY SUNDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...THE ENTRANCE ROAD TO THE TREMPEALEAU NATIONAL
  WILDLIFE REFUGE IS FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

697 
WGUS83 KARX 201003
FLSARX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
503 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

...FLOODING CONTINUES ON AREA RIVERS...

.RECENT RAINFALL AND SNOWFALL HAS LED TO FLOODING ON THE BLACK
AND TREMPEALEAU RIVERS. CURRENTLY THE BLACK RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE A SLOW FALL AT BLACK RIVER FALLS...AND TO RISE TO NEAR
MODERATE FLOOD STAGE AT GALESVILLE. THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE
IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RISE TO ABOVE MINOR FLOOD LATER TODAY.
RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST
PRECIPITATION.

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST 
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC053-210103-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130421T0819Z/
/BRFW3.1.ER.130419T0645Z.130419T1700Z.130420T1419Z.NO/
503 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK RIVER FALLS.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 47.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 47.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...DROPPING BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 47.0 FEET...SOME RURAL ROADS MAY BEGIN TO FLOOD 
  INCLUDING COUNTY HIGHWAY VV DOWNSTREAM NEAR THE LA CROSSE COUNTY 
  LINE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4437 9080 4413 9100 4411 9097 4417 9088 4435 9075

$$

WIC063-121-210103-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-130423T1600Z/
/GALW3.1.SM.130418T0524Z.130421T1800Z.130422T2200Z.NO/
503 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER NEAR GALESVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 12.7 FEET BY SUNDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING MAINLY IMPACTS WILDLANDS AND 
  AGRICULTURAL PASTURE LAND. HOWEVER THE APPROACH TO THE SOUTH END OF
  THE COUNTY ROAD VV BRIDGE OVER THE BLACK RIVER MAY BE FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4413 9100 4407 9133 4395 9138 4393 9135 4411 9097

$$

WIC011-121-210103-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130423T1330Z/
/DDGW3.1.SM.130406T0143Z.130418T0400Z.130422T1930Z.NO/
503 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TODAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 9.6 FEET BY SUNDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...THE ENTRANCE ROAD TO THE TREMPEALEAU NATIONAL
  WILDLIFE REFUGE IS FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

061 
WGUS83 KARX 201558
FLSARX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1058 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

...FLOODING CONTINUES ON SOME AREA RIVERS...

.HIGH WATER FROM RECENT EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CONTINUES ON PARTS OF THE
BLACK AND TREMPEALEAU RIVERS. THE STAGE AT BLACK RIVER FALLS HAS
FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND IS EXPECTED TO RECEDE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THUS THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED. FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE
NEAR GALESVILLE AND ON THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST 
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO 
FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY 
VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE .

&&

WIC053-201628-
/O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130421T0819Z/
/BRFW3.1.ER.130419T0645Z.130419T1700Z.130420T1047Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK RIVER FALLS.
* AT 10:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 46.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 47.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  5:47 AM SATURDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 45.7 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 47.0 FEET...SOME RURAL ROADS MAY BEGIN TO FLOOD 
  INCLUDING COUNTY HIGHWAY VV DOWNSTREAM NEAR THE LA CROSSE COUNTY 
  LINE.

$$

WIC063-121-210658-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-130423T1200Z/
/GALW3.1.SM.130418T0524Z.130421T1200Z.130422T1800Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER NEAR GALESVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING MAINLY IMPACTS WILDLANDS AND 
  AGRICULTURAL PASTURE LAND. HOWEVER THE APPROACH TO THE SOUTH END OF
  THE COUNTY ROAD VV BRIDGE OVER THE BLACK RIVER MAY BE FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4413 9100 4407 9133 4395 9138 4393 9135 4411 9097

$$

WIC011-121-210658-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130423T1330Z/
/DDGW3.1.SM.130406T0143Z.130418T0400Z.130422T1930Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY SUNDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...THE ENTRANCE ROAD TO THE TREMPEALEAU NATIONAL
  WILDLIFE REFUGE IS FLOODED. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
255 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY PLACED A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
THE REGION...WITH TRENDS DRIVING IT EAST/NORTHEAST. GOOD MID LEVEL
DRY PUNCH ALSO INDICATED...WHICH SHOWS UP IN THE RAP BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE LOSS OF ICE IN SOME OF THE
CLOUD...AND MOSTLY AREAS OF DRIZZLE AHEAD OF TROUGH/UPPER LEVEL LOW.
DEPENDING ON SFC TEMPS...THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FREEZING
DRIZZLE. WEST-EAST RUNNING X-SECTION AND BUFKIT SOUNDINGS DO POINT
TO A RETURN OF THE ICE QUICKLY EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THUS EITHER
SNOW OR RAIN. GIVEN THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM...THE BETTER CHANCES
FOR ACCUMULATING PCPN WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH...AND MOSTLY THIS
MORNING.

FOR THE AFTERNOON...RAP SOUNDINGS BUILD SOME SHALLOW NEAR SFC
INSTABILITY...UP TO AROUND 800 MB. 1000-850 MB LAPSE RATES ARE
AROUND 8.5 C/KM. ENOUGH LOW LEVEL SATURATION THAT THIS INSTABILITY
SHOULD RESULT IN SCT/WIDESPREAD SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

RELATIVELY STRONG 925-850 MB WARM AIR ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC
UPGLIDE ON THE 280-290 K SFCS SLATED TO MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA BETWEEN 06Z SUN - 00Z MON. THE LOW LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC FORCING
IS AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SLATED TO DROP SOUTHEAST OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS SUN AFTERNOON...AND BE A PLAYER IN PCPN CHANCES FOR
THE REGION FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. A FEW PIECES OF
UPPER LEVEL ENERGY AHEAD OF THE TROUGH...WHICH WOULD ADD TO THE
FORCING MIX FOR SUN. WEST-EAST RUNNING X-SECTION POINTS TO
INCREASING SATURATION BY 06Z SUN...DEEP ENOUGH AND COLD ENOUGH FOR
THERE TO BE ICE IN THE CLOUD. PRETTY GOOD CHANCE FOR SOME PCPN WITH
THE LOW LEVEL FORCING...WITH A SNOW/RAIN MIX INITIALLY CHANGING OVER
TO RAIN DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. A HINT OF INSTABILTY IN NAM BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS...BUT NOT MUCH/IF ANY IN THE GFS. WILL KEEP THUNDER
MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW.

THE TROUGH/S SFC LOW/COLD FRONT SWING IN SUN NIGHT. GFS AND NAM AT
ODDS WITH THE TIMING...WITH THE 19.00Z NAM BRINGING THE FRONT TO THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AROUND 03Z MON...WITH THE GFS HOLDING OFF UNTIL
CLOSER TO 12Z MON. THE EC AND GEM ARE CLOSER TO THE GFS. WILL LIKELY
LEAN THIS WAY FOR TIMING. WITH SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...IT WILL SERVE AS ANOTHER FOCUS FOR PCPN GENERATION.

THE GFS AND EC SWING BITS OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY ACROSS THE REGION
SUN NIGHT-TUE NIGHT...AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH MOVES
OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TUE NIGHT. THE UPPER LEVEL
FORCING WILL INTERACT WITH A SLOW MOVING NORTH-SOUTH RUNNING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO PRODUCE AREAS OF PCPN. MOST WOULD FALL AS RAIN...BUT
SOME MIX WITH AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AS THE TROUGH EXITS LATE
TUE NIGHT IS LIKELY.

A BRIEF BREAK ON WED AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN...BUT IT JUST AS
QUICKLY EXITS SOUTHEAST ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH TO DROP IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. GFS/EC BOTH IN AGREEMENT WITH
SPINNING THIS FEATURE ACROSS THE REGION WED NIGHT-THU...WITH MORE
LIGHT PCPN CHANCES RESULTING. MOSTLY RAIN...BUT THERE WOULD BE SOME
SNOW CHANCES TOO.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FOCUS AT THE TAF SITES IS WITH THE BAND OF SNOW CURRENTLY
MOVING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WHETHER IT WILL CLIP RST
OR LSE. CURRENT TRENDS FAVOR THAT IT WILL MISS THEM TO THE NORTH
WITH JUST LIGHT SNOW AND/OR DRIZZLE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
WITH THE SYSTEM STARTING TO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST...THERE APPEARS
TO BE SOME DRYING OF THE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS WITH CONDITIONS
IMPROVING TO MVFR THROUGH MUCH OF IOWA AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.
BASED ON THIS...HAVE PLAYED A GENERAL IMPROVING TREND THROUGH
TOMORROW EVENING WITH CEILINGS COMING UP. IT DOES APPEAR AS THOUGH
THERE MAY BE SOME RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP IN THE LATE
MORNING TO AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH AT THIS POINT TO PUT IN SOME TRENDS
FOR LOWER VISIBILITIES THAT WOULD LIKELY LAST FOR A HALF HOUR AT A
TIME. SEEMS LIKE A SCENARIO WHERE TEMPO GROUPS WOULD BE NECESSARY
FOR SOME POTENTIAL BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 255 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

FLOODING IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE BLACK AND
TREMPEALEAU RIVERS. RECENT RAINFALL WILL KEEP THOSE RIVERS ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE INTO THE EARLY WEEKEND.

WET CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE NEW WORK
WEEK...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RIECK
LONG TERM....RIECK
AVIATION.....HALBACH
HYDROLOGY....BOYNE/RIECK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
351 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

IAZ009>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ096-WIZ041>044-053>055-061-191100-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-CHICKASAW-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE-FLOYD-GRANT-
HOUSTON-HOWARD-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-MONROE-RICHLAND-VERNON-WINNESHIEK-
351 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RIVERS WILL REMAIN HIGHER THAN NORMAL.

THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW LATE TONIGHT...WITH LITTLE OR NO SNOW
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY. HOWEVER IT IS TOO EARLY
TO DISCERN THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

IAZ008-MNZ079-086>088-094-095-WIZ017-029-032>034-191100-
BUFFALO-CLARK-DODGE-FILLMORE-JACKSON-MITCHELL-MOWER-OLMSTED-TAYLOR-
TREMPEALEAU-WABASHA-WINONA-
351 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST
IOWA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...INTO NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGHER THAN NORMAL OR ABOVE
FLOOD LEVEL.

THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND THEN CHANGE TO ALL SNOW TONIGHT.
1 TO 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SNOW WILL FALL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE MIXING WITH RAIN BY
LATE MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY. HOWEVER IT IS TOO EARLY
TO DISCERN THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

RABERDING/BOYNE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1049 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ079-086>088-094-095-WIZ017-029-032>034-
190600-
MITCHELL-HOWARD-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-WINONA-
MOWER-FILLMORE-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLES CITY...NEW HAMPTON...
ROCHESTER...WINONA...AUSTIN...MEDFORD...NEILLSVILLE...
BLACK RIVER FALLS
1049 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

A FEW SLICK SPOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES START
TO COOL ACROSS THE REGION. DRIZZLE AND RAIN THAT FELL ACROSS THE
REGION EARLIER THIS EVENING HAS LEFT MANY ROADS AND OTHER SURFACES
COATED WITH WATER THAT COULD START TO FREEZE IF TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE TO DROP. SO FAR...LOCAL COUNTY SHERIFF DEPARTMENTS REPORT
THAT ROADS ARE ICE FREE...BUT THAT COULD CHANGE INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

HALBACH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
122 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ079-088-095-096-WIZ032>034-041-042-053>055-061-
190830-
ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE-FILLMORE-GRANT-HOUSTON-
JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-RICHLAND-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-WABASHA-
WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
122 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...A WINTRY MIX WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW...

THROUGH 330 AM...A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW
WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY
DEVELOP A GLAZE ON ELEVATED OBJECTS.

BOYNE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
258 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ079-088-095-096-WIZ032>034-041-042-053>055-061-
191000-
ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE-FILLMORE-GRANT-HOUSTON-
JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-RICHLAND-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-WABASHA-
WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
258 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...A WINTRY MIX WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW...

THROUGH 500 AM...A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW
WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY
DEVELOP A LIGHT GLAZE ON TREES AND OTHER ELEVATED OBJECTS.

BOYNE