Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2013

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI

February 18, 20139 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 18, 2013, 4:09 PM EST for 9 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 18, 2013, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 38 hr. 34 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2013, 4:09 PM EST (21:09 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 18, 2013, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 20, 2013, 11:45 AM EST
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 19, 6:00 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 0.74 E Honor, MI1HR TOTAL THRU 7AM.
Feb 19, 3:00 PM ESTSNOW 4Buckley, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 3 PM. RELAYED BY 9 AND 10 NEWS.
Feb 19, 3:00 PM ESTSNOW 5.5Honor, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 3 PM. RELAYED BY 9 AND 10 NEWS.
Feb 19, 4:00 PM ESTSNOW 5Vanderbilt, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM. ESTIMATED DUE TO THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
Feb 19, 4:30 PM ESTSNOW 5Lake Ann, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 430 PM. ESTIMATED DUE TO THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING.
Feb 19, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 3.53 E Grawn, MISNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
Feb 19, 6:25 PM ESTSNOW 2.53 Ese Elmira, MISNOW DURATION 2 HOURS
Feb 19, 6:25 PM ESTSNOW 73 Ese Elmira, MISNOW DEPTH 18 INCHES. SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
Feb 19, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 3.11 N Wellston, MI7 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM.
Feb 19, 7:00 PM ESTHEAVY SNOW 4.19 Ssw Gaylord, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 18 IN.
Feb 19, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 5.21 N Wellston, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 15 IN.
Feb 19, 8:00 PM ESTSNOW 5.41 Wnw Gaylord, MISNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
Feb 19, 8:00 PM ESTSNOW 92 N Interlochen, MISNOW DURATION 14 HOURS
Feb 19, 8:05 PM ESTSNOW 6.52 Ene Maple City, MIREPORTED AT COOP OBSERVER STATION MAPM4 SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 3.51 N Wellston, MISNOWDEPTH 15 INCHES. SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
Feb 20, 5:10 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 84 Sse South Boardman, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 5 AM.
Feb 20, 6:00 AM ESTSNOW 3.73 W Omena, MIREPORTED AT COCORAHS STATION 7983O SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 6:10 AM ESTSNOW 6Grawn, MISNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 6:51 AM ESTSNOW 7.59 Ssw Gaylord, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 20 IN. WATER EQUIVALENT 0.46 IN.
Feb 20, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 3.62 Ne Central Lake, MIREPORTED AT COCORAHS STATION 6834B SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 7:00 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 10.21 Se Grawn, MIREPORTED AT COCORAHS STATION 1453O HEAVY SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 7:30 AM ESTSNOW 7.22 Wnw Traverse City, MIREPORTED AT COOP STATION TCMM4 SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 7:33 AM ESTSNOW 4Suttons Bay, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.
Feb 20, 7:33 AM ESTSNOW 6Manistee, MI24 HR TOTLA THRU 6 AM.
Feb 20, 7:33 AM ESTSNOW 8Vanderbilt, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.
Feb 20, 7:33 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 8.34 E Honor, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 24 IN. WATER EQUIVALENT 0.31 IN.
Feb 20, 7:33 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 10.5Lake Ann, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.
Feb 20, 7:33 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 11Interlochen, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. SNOW DRIFTS TO 19 IN.
Feb 20, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 51 Ne Bingham, MIREPORTED AT COOP STATION NWFM4 SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 53 N Wellston, MIREPORTED AT COOP STATION WELM4 SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 8.32 W Gaylord, MIREPORTED AT COCORAHS STATION 7585O SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
Feb 20, 9:04 AM ESTSNOW 7Alba, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOW DEPTH 28 IN.
Feb 20, 9:04 AM ESTSNOW 103 Ese Elmira, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOW DEPTH 22 IN.
Feb 20, 10:12 AM ESTSNOW 63 S Suttons Bay, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 244 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2013-02-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2013-02-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 349 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1238 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
349 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
405 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

808 
WWUS43 KAPX 182109
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
409 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...MIXED PRECIPITATION TONIGHT TRANSITIONING TO ACCUMULATING SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW FOR TUESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY
TONIGHT WHILE TRACKING THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN. WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LOW AND OVERSPREAD THE
REGION TONIGHT. A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL FALL
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...WHILE MAINLY SNOW
WILL FALL IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...COLDER AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN SPREAD
BACK INTO THE REGION TURNING PRECIPITATION BACK TO ALL SNOW BY
MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN IMPACT THE SNOW BELTS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

MIZ008-015-190500-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.130219T1200Z-130221T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0003.130219T0300Z-130220T0500Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
409 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM
THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. 


HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES FROM LATE TONIGHT
   THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS OVER WESTERN
   CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND
   DRIFTING SNOW EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

 * SNOW DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND PERSISTS THROUGH TUESDAY.

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN SLICK 
   AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY...AND 
   OVERALL VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... 
   SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE 
   ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-024-030-035-036-190500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0011.130219T0300Z-130219T1100Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...
WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY
409 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST TUESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.

 * MIXED PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND PERSISTS THROUGH
   EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 

IMPACTS...

 * SLICK ROAD CONDITIONS BY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SLEET OR ICE
   IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ019>022-026>028-190500-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.130219T1200Z-130221T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.130219T0300Z-130220T0500Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
409 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM
THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
   THE REGION THIS EVENING AND PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

 * PRECIPITATION CHANGES BACK TO SNOW LATE OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY
   MORNING FOLLOWED BY HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
   SNOW BELTS BY AFTERNOON.

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY
   EVENING...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND
   DRIFTING SNOW ON TUESDAY.

IMPACTS...

 * LIGHT ICING TONIGHT. FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
   ON TUESDAY RESULTING IN SLICK AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND PERIODS
   OF POOR VISIBILITY.

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW...
   SLEET...OR ICE IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL
   CONDITIONS.

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-023-025-029-031>034-190500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.130219T0300Z-130220T0500Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA...
FRANKFORT...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
409 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
   THE REGION THIS EVENING AND PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

 * PRECIPITATION CHANGES BACK TO SNOW LATE OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY
   MORNING FOLLOWED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY
   EVENING...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND
   DRIFTING SNOW ON TUESDAY.

IMPACTS...

 * LIGHT ICING TONIGHT. FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
   ON TUESDAY RESULTING IN SLICK AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
   PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY.

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW...
   SLEET...OR ICE IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL
   CONDITIONS.

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$
10 follow-up statements
487 
WWUS43 KAPX 182110
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
410 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...MIXED PRECIPITATION TONIGHT TRANSITIONING TO ACCUMULATING SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW FOR TUESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY
TONIGHT WHILE TRACKING THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN. WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LOW AND OVERSPREAD THE
REGION TONIGHT. A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL FALL
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...WHILE MAINLY SNOW
WILL FALL IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...COLDER AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN SPREAD
BACK INTO THE REGION TURNING PRECIPITATION BACK TO ALL SNOW BY
MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN IMPACT THE SNOW BELTS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

MIZ008-015-190515-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.130219T0300Z-130220T0500Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
410 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES FROM LATE TONIGHT 
   THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS OVER WESTERN 
   CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND 
   DRIFTING SNOW EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. 

 * SNOW DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND PERSISTS THROUGH TUESDAY.

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN SLICK 
   AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY...AND 
   OVERALL VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... 
   SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE 
   ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-024-030-035-036-190515-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0011.130219T0300Z-130219T1100Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...
WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY
410 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.

 * MIXED PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND PERSISTS 
   THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 

IMPACTS...

 * SLICK ROAD CONDITIONS BY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SLEET OR ICE 
   IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-019>023-025>029-031>034-190515-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.130219T0300Z-130220T0500Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...
TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
410 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS 
   THE REGION THIS EVENING AND PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

 * PRECIPITATION CHANGES BACK TO SNOW LATE OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY 
   MORNING FOLLOWED BY HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE 
   SNOW BELTS BY AFTERNOON. 

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY 
   EVENING...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND 
   DRIFTING SNOW ON TUESDAY. 

IMPACTS...

 * LIGHT ICING TONIGHT. FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING 
   SNOW ON TUESDAY RESULTING IN SLICK AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
   PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... 
   SLEET...OR ICE IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$
926 
WWUS43 KAPX 190016
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
716 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...MIXED PRECIPITATION TONIGHT TRANSITIONING TO ACCUMULATING SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW FOR TUESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY
TONIGHT WHILE TRACKING THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN. WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LOW AND OVERSPREAD THE
REGION TONIGHT. A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL FALL
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...WHILE MAINLY SNOW
WILL FALL IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...COLDER AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN SPREAD
BACK INTO THE REGION TURNING PRECIPITATION BACK TO ALL SNOW BY
MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN IMPACT THE SNOW BELTS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

MIZ008-015-191000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.130219T0300Z-130220T0500Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
716 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES FROM LATE TONIGHT 
   THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS OVER WESTERN 
   CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND 
   DRIFTING SNOW EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. 

 * SNOW DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND PERSISTS THROUGH TUESDAY.

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN SLICK 
   AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY...AND 
   OVERALL VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... 
   SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE 
   ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ041-042-191000-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0011.130219T0300Z-130219T1100Z/
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLADWIN...STANDISH
716 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.

 * MIXED PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND PERSISTS 
   THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 

IMPACTS...

 * SLICK ROAD CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SLEET OR ICE 
   IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-024-030-035-036-191000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0011.130219T0300Z-130219T1100Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...
WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY
716 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.

 * MIXED PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND PERSISTS 
   THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 

IMPACTS...

 * SLICK ROAD CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SLEET OR ICE 
   IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-019>023-025>029-031>034-191000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.130219T0300Z-130220T0500Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...
TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
716 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS 
   THE REGION THIS EVENING AND PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

 * PRECIPITATION CHANGES BACK TO SNOW LATE OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY 
   MORNING FOLLOWED BY HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE 
   SNOW BELTS BY AFTERNOON. 

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY 
   EVENING...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND 
   DRIFTING SNOW ON TUESDAY. 

IMPACTS...

 * LIGHT ICING TONIGHT. FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING 
   SNOW ON TUESDAY RESULTING IN SLICK AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
   PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... 
   SLEET...OR ICE IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

LAWRENCE
079 
WWUS43 KAPX 190930
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
430 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...PRECIPITATION TURNING TO ACCUMULATING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...

.COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD BACK INTO THE REGION TODAY AND TURN ANY
MIXED PRECIPITATION AND LIGHT RAINS BACK OVER TO SNOW...WITH LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE DAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...FOCUSED IN THE
TRADITIONAL SNOW BELTS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

MIZ008-015-191730-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
430 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES THROUGH
   TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 75. SIGNIFICANT
   BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

 * AREAS OF ICE COVERED ROADS THIS MORNING RESULTING IN
   TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...MAINLY IN EASTERN PARTS OF THE
   COUNTY. 

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN SLICK 
   AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY...AND 
   OVERALL VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
   DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
   SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...POSSIBLY OCCURRING
   WITH STRONG WINDS FOR SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING. THIS
   WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-024-030-035-036-041-042-191500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-130219T1500Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...
WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
430 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * LIGHT RAIN FREEZING ON AREA ROADS ENDING THIS MORNING.

IMPACTS...

 * VERY SLICK AND TREACHEROUS ROADS THROUGH DAYBREAK...MAINLY
   SECONDARY ROADS. AREAS OF ICE DIFFICULT TO ANTICIPATE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SLEET OR ICE 
   IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-019>023-025>029-031>034-191730-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...
TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
430 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * AREAS OF ICE ON MANY ROADS THROUGH DAYBREAK. 

 * SNOW DEVELOPING AND BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW
   ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT
   BLOWING AND DRIFTING AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY.

IMPACTS...

 * THE LIGHT ICING IS DIFFICULT TO ANTICIPATE AND MANY ROADS WILL
   BE UNEXPECTEDLY TREACHEROUS THROUGH DAYBREAK. 

 * FALLING SNOW...AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN SNOW
   COVERED...AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF POOR
   VISIBILITY.

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... 
   SLEET...OR ICE IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$


SMD
335 
WWUS43 KAPX 191557
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1057 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...

MIZ019>021-025>027-031-032-200000-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1057 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON
EST WEDNESDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 9
   INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
   REDUCING VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN SNOW
   COVERED AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF VERY POOR
   VISIBILITY. EXPECT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

 * ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT
   1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER.


&&

$$

MIZ022-028-200000-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...GRAYLING
1057 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7
   INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
   SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN SNOW
   COVERED AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF VERY POOR
   VISIBILITY. EXPECT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT
   1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER.

&&

$$

MIZ008-015-200000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1057 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW
   ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT... MAINLY ALONG
   AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 75. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
   SNOW.

 * AREAS OF ICE COVERED ROADS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON RESULTING IN
   TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...MAINLY IN EASTERN PARTS OF THE
   COUNTY.

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN SLICK 
   AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...PERIODS OF VERY POOR VISIBILITY...AND 
   OVERALL VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
   EXPECTED...ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS FOR SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND
   DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-023-029-033-034-200000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA...MIO...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
1057 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
   INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND
   PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY.

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW...AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN
   SNOW COVERED...AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF POOR
   VISIBILITY.

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND
   BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL
   CONDITIONS.

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$
013 
WWUS43 KAPX 192105
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
405 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...MORE SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...

MIZ008-015-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
405 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW
   ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT... MAINLY ALONG
   AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 75. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
   SNOW.

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN SLICK 
   AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...PERIODS OF VERY POOR VISIBILITY...
   AND OVERALL VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED...ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS FOR SIGNIFICANT BLOWING 
   AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ019>021-025>027-031-032-200515-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC
405 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
WEDNESDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
   INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
   REDUCING VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN 
   SNOW COVERED AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF VERY 
   POOR VISIBILITY. EXPECT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

 * ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800- 647-
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ022-028-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...GRAYLING
405 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8
   INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
   REDUCING VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN 
   SNOW COVERED AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF VERY 
   POOR VISIBILITY. EXPECT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800- 647-
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-023-029-033-034-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA...MIO...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
405 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 
   INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING 
   SNOW AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY. 

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW...AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN 
   SNOW COVERED...AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF POOR 
   VISIBILITY. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND 
   BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$
836 
WWUS43 KAPX 192243
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
543 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...MORE SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...

MIZ008-015-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
543 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT. STORM
   TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY
   HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IMPACTS...

 * FALLING SNOW...COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
   RESULTING IN SLICK AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...PERIODS OF VERY
   POOR VISIBILITY...AND OVERALL VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED...ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS FOR SIGNIFICANT BLOWING 
   AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ019>021-025>027-031-032-200645-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC
543 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
WEDNESDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
   INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
   REDUCING VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN 
   SNOW COVERED AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF VERY 
   POOR VISIBILITY. EXPECT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

 * ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER.

&&

$$

MIZ022-028-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...GRAYLING
543 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8
   INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
   REDUCING VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN 
   SNOW COVERED AND CONTINUED SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF VERY 
   POOR VISIBILITY. EXPECT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER.

&&

$$

MIZ018-024-200500-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA
543 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS...WITH PERIODS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY.
   ACCUMULATIONS THIS EVENING LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES.

 * GUSTY WINDS WITH SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IMPACTS...

 * SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND 
   BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-023-029-033-034-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA...MIO...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
543 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3
   TO 6 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
   SNOW AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY.

IMPACTS...

 * SLICK ROADS AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY.

 * EAST TO WEST ROADS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE 
   VEHICLES DUE TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND 
   BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$
348 
WWUS43 KAPX 200300
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1000 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...MORE SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...

MIZ008-015-201000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1000 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THIS ADVISORY REPLACES THE WINTER STORM
WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OVERNIGHT.
   THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO AROUND A FOOT.

 * GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
   SNOW...AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
   OVERNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... 
   SLEET...OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-024-200400-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T0500Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA
1000 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

$$

MIZ022-028-201000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1000Z/
OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...GRAYLING
1000 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. STORM TOTAL
   ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER.

 * GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
   SNOW...REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS
   TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ019>021-025>027-031-032-201100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1000 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
WEDNESDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH
   WEDNESDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6
   TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER.

 * GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
   SNOW...REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS
   TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

 * ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-023-029-033-034-201000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA...MIO...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
1000 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. 

 * FALLING SNOW...TOGETHER WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW FROM
   GUSTY WINDS...WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY.

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND 
   BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$
001 
WWUS43 KAPX 200922
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
422 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW DIMINISHING TODAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY START TO BUILD INTO THE
GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE DAY. HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST IN PARTS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...MAINLY 
AROUND THE GRAND TRAVERSE BAY REGION...ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
TO NORTH WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW.

MIZ031-201700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MANISTEE
422 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.


HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING
   HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO PERHAPS 3 INCHES TODAY.  

 * FALLING SNOW...TOGETHER WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW FROM 
   GUSTY WINDS...WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY. 

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND 
   BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ022-028-201030-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1000Z/
OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...GRAYLING
422 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

$$

MIZ019-201030-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHARLEVOIX
422 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

$$

MIZ008-015>017-023-029-034-201030-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE...
PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA...MIO...HOUGHTON LAKE
422 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

$$

MIZ020-021-025>027-032-201700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT...
TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...CADILLAC
422 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING
   BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES
   OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH STORM
   TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS SINCE TUESDAY RANGING FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES.

 * GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING 
   SNOW...REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. 

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS 
   TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ033-201700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE CITY
422 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING
   HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO PERHAPS 3 INCHES OF NEW ACCUMULATION
   TODAY.

 * FALLING SNOW...TOGETHER WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW FROM 
   GUSTY WINDS...WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY. 

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND 
   BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$
952 
WWUS43 KAPX 200939
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
439 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW DIMINISHING TODAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY START TO BUILD INTO THE
GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE DAY. HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL PERSIST IN PARTS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...
MAINLY AROUND THE GRAND TRAVERSE BAY REGION...ALONG WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW.

MIZ020-021-025>027-032-201700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT...
TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...CADILLAC
439 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING 
   BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 
   INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY 
   WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS SINCE TUESDAY RANGING FROM 5 
   TO 10 INCHES. 

 * GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING 
   SNOW...REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. 

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS 
   TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
   VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$

MIZ031-033-201700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
MANISTEE-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANISTEE...LAKE CITY
439 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 
   MORNING HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO PERHAPS 3 INCHES OF NEW 
   ACCUMULATION TODAY. 

 * FALLING SNOW...TOGETHER WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW FROM 
   GUSTY WINDS...WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY. 

IMPACTS...

 * SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND 
   BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL 
   CONDITIONS. 

 * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 
   8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK AND TWITTER. 

&&

$$
307 
WWUS43 KAPX 201645
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1145 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

MIZ020-021-025>027-032-201745-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT...
TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...CADILLAC
1145 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. HOWEVER...LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

$$

MIZ031-033-201745-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
MANISTEE-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANISTEE...LAKE CITY
1145 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. HOWEVER...LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 18, 1:26 PM EST, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 1:26 PM EST, 2 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
126 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 417 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL WORK INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY
BEFORE LIFTING THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT...AT WHICH TIME...A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE. A CHANCE OF FREEZING DRIZZLE
AND LIGHT SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN MOST AREAS TONIGHT. THIS WINTRY
MIX WILL SWITCH OVER TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...WITH
ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

DRIER AIR AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL CUT OFF LAKE EFFECT LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH DRY AIR FIRMLY IN PLACE THURSDAY. A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT
SNOWS ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1129 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW DEEPENING OVER THE PLAINS/UPPER
MIDWEST THIS MORNING WITH ON VORTICITY CENTER OVER NRN MINNESOTA
AND SECOND VORTICITY CENTER ADVANCING THROUGH OKLAHOMA. ASSOCIATED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER MINNESOTA WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT
STRETCHING TO SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND A SFC
WARM FRONT STRETCHING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. INITIAL BAND OF WARM
ADVECTION LIGHT SNOWFALL NOW PUSHING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
CWA. NOW JUST WAITING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE NEXT MAIN BATCH
OF PRECIP.

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...SHORT WAVE TROUGH/ASSOCIATED SFC
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT
LAKES...MAINLY TONIGHT...WITH THE SFC LOW/OCCLUDED FRONT TRACKING
UP THROUGH THE STRAITS REGION OVERNIGHT. WILL ULTIMATELY SEE
A ROUND OF WIDESPREAD PRECIP DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LOW AND ADVANCE
THROUGH THE CWA. BUT THAT IS STILL A NUMBER OF HOURS OFF. LOOKING
UPSTREAM...NO SIGNS OF ANY LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER ALL THE WAY
BACK INTO IOWA/ARKANSAS. I DO EXPECT TO SEE RAPID LOW LEVEL
MOISTENING THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW RAMPS UP AND TAPS
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF. BUT IT WILL TAKE UNTIL AT LEAST VERY LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING BEFORE SEE ANYTHING. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE
AFTERNOON.

NEXT PROBLEM...PRECIP TYPE TONIGHT. WARM FRONT/WARM NOSE ALOFT
SURGES UP THROUGH NRN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FORECAST
0-3KM LAYER MAX TEMP OF +1C TO +3C ACROSS NRN LOWER MICHIGAN AS
THE PRECIP MOVES IN...ENOUGH TO PARTIALLY OR COMPLETELY MELT
PRECIP ALOFT. SFC TEMPS TODAY ARE WARMING THROUGH THE 20S AND ON
THEIR WAY TO THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS. BUT
SIMILAR TO LAST SUNDAY...SFC DEWPOINTS ARE ONLY IN THE TEENS IN
THE WARM FRONT SECTOR ALL THE WAY INTO OHIO AND WILL LIKELY STILL
BE IN THE 20S AS THE PRECIP MOVES IN. PLENTY OF ROOM FOR EVAP
COOLING TO KEEP TEMPS HOVERING AROUND THE FREEZING MARK TONIGHT.
SO...LOOKING LIKELY WE END UP WITH ANOTHER FREEZING RAIN/SLEET EVENT
OVER NRN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE SNOW
COVERED AND/OR COLD ROADS. WILL UPDATE FORECASTS ACCORDINGLY. MAY
ULTIMATELY END UP STARTING HEADLINES EARLY TO CAPTURE THE MIXED
PRECIP PART OF THIS EVENING.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 647 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

BAND OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELEVATED WARM FRONT IS
LIFTING ACROSS NRN MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING...ALONG WITH SOME
HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS. OUTSIDE OF SOME SKY FORECAST TWEAKS...NO OTHER
CHANGES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 417 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

CURRENTLY, TWO SFC LOWS ARE MOVING TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
AHEAD OF THE 500 MB SHORTWAVE IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS. WHILE THERE IS
AN AREA OF DIFFERENTIAL ADVECTION OVER N LAKE MICHIGAN, THE SFC
DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS ARE ANYWHERE BETWEEN 5 AND 10F. NOT TO MENTION
THAT THE AIR IS ORIGINATING WHERE THE DD IS 10 TO 20F.

TODAY...THE MORE THAT I HAVE LOOKED AT THIS FORECAST, I BASICALLY
HAVE DISCOUNTED THE NAM AND GFS WITH THE SATURATED LOWER END OF THE
SOUNDINGS. THE ECMWF HAS DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS ON THE SOUNDINGS THAT
LOOK SIMILAR TO WHAT IS GOING ON CURRENTLY, AND ADVECT THOSE INTO
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. SO ANYTHING THAT FALLS EARLY WILL PROBABLY
NOT REACH THE GROUND. THE AREA ON RADAR THIS MORNING IS MAINLY
CLOUDS AS THE RADAR ECHOES FROM APX AND GRB ARE THE SAME ALTITUDE AS
THE CIGS AT MBL FKS, AND SITES IN WISCONSIN. THE NORTHERN END OF
THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION IN W UPPER IS WHAT THE ECMWF AND GFS HAVE
BEEN ADVERTISING THE LAST FEW RUNS, BUT THAT IS STILL ONLY A CHANCE
FOR THE SNOW. SO USED THE ECMWF AS THE BASE FOR THE MORNING SNOW.
AFTER 18Z, THE WARMER AIR BEGINS TO BOOST THE SFC TEMPERATURES TO
OVER FREEZING, SO THAT WHERE PRECIPITATION STARTS, IT WILL PROBABLY
BE RAIN. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THAT WILL BE IN NC LOWER AND NE LOWER
AS THE SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES AREN'T EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE
FREEZING UNTIL ABOUT 20Z. SO THERE'S A CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN OR
RAIN BETWEEN 18Z AND 20Z. THEN THE WARM AIR JUST CONTINUES TO WARM
THINGS INTO THE EVENING. E UPPER WILL REMAIN IN THE COOL AIR PER THE
ECMWF AND THE 4KM LOCAL WRF SO SNOW IS EXPECTED NORTH OF THE
STRAITS.

TONIGHT...AFTER 00Z, THE SFC LOW TRACKS THROUGH N LOWER FROM NEAR
MKE TO TVC TO NEAR DRM. THIS TRACK ON THE ECWMF AND LOCAL WRF KEEPS
THE RAIN MAINLY SOUTH OF THE STRAITS AND ALLOWS THE SNOW START
WORKING ITS WAY INTO NW LOWER BY 06Z AND BEGIN TO CHANGE THE RAIN TO
SNOW IN NE LOWER BY 12Z. THE BEST SNOW FALL WILL BE NORTH OF THE
WARM FRONT, AND ALONG AND NORTH OF THE SFC LOW TRACK, THIS PUTS THE
BEST SNOW FALL THROUGH C UPPER AND INTO E UPPER. THIS AREA SHOWS UP
WITH THE BEST UPWARD MOTION AS WELL WITH THE 700-500 MB LAYER DIV Q.
SO WILL BE EXPECTING SOLID MODERATE AMOUNTS OF SNOW IN E UPPER. THIS
MAY HAVE TO BE ROLLED INTO THE HEADLINES FOR THE AREA WITH THE SNOW
EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 417 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

HERE COMES THE WEATHER...A SHARP UPPER TROUGH AND INFLUX OF COLD
AIR WITH ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION
TO A MILDER SCENARIO THURSDAY RIGHT ON INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK.

FORECAST CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND NEEDED WINTER AND MARINE
HEADLINES LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...FOR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER RIGHT
ON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL HAVE CROSSED
THE CWA TUESDAY MORNING...WITH ANOTHER BLAST OF COLDER AIR
RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS AND
BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW. THIS IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP LOW PRESSURE
THAT WILL BE CROSSING THE STRAITS REGION...WITHIN CLOSING OFF
UPPER LOW OVERHEAD. WHILE PARTS OF NE LOWER/EASTERN CHIP COUNTY
WILL BE HANGING ONTO LIGHT SNOWS AND FREEZING DRIZZLE
EARLY...THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA WILL ALREADY HAVE TRANSITIONED
OVER TO ALL SNOW. BY MID DAY...ALL OF NRN MICHIGAN WILL BE
SNOW...WHILE ALSO SEEING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WORKING IN OVER
THE AREA. THE COLD AIR GETS DEEPER WITH TIME THROUGH THE
DAY...WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS REACHING 4-6KFT BY TUESDAY
EVENING. THIS IS NOT OVERLY DEEP INSTABILITY OVER THE LAKES...BUT
WITH DEEP MOISTURE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...DEPARTING
WEDNESDAY...AND STRONG CYCLONIC CONVERGENCE TAPPING MORE OF LAKE
SUPERIOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...ACCUMULATING SNOWS ARE A
DEFINITE. LOW LEVEL WINDS DO NOT REALLY WAVER TOO MUCH WHEN
CONSIDERING THE ENTIRE TIME FRAME (36 HRS). THROW IN A PERIOD OF
LIGHT TO MODEST DEEP LAYER -DIVQ TUESDAY...WITH THE APPROXIMATE
BEST LIFT OCCURRING IN A DEEPENING "SWEET ZONE" (DGZ) OF -12C TO
-18C TUESDAY NIGHT...THIS WILL BE A START TO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS. FOR WEDNESDAY...DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BE DEPARTING
WITH SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING FROM ALOFT INCREASING INTO WEDNESDAY
EVENING. HOWEVER...A CONTINUED LAKE SUPERIOR TAP AND PURE LES
MOMENTUM...WILL CARRY ACCUMULATION CONCERNS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THROW IN VERY GUSTY WINDS 30-40MPH DEVELOPING FROM THE WEST
TUESDAY...MAXING OUT TUESDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND
OF THE LAKES (AND HIGHER EXPOSED TERRAIN)...WINTER STORM
CONDITIONS FOR SNOW/HEAVY AND BLOWING SNOW APPEARS A PRETTY GOOD
LOCK AT THIS POINT. GUIDANCE DATA...HAS BEEN PRETTY STEADY WITH
WINDS AND AT LEAST MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS.

WEDNESDAY ONWARD...DRIER AIR AND A SQUASHING INVERSION WILL
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY...WITH NOTHING MORE EXPECTED THAN LEFTOVER
SHALLOW STRATO CU WHICH IS BOUND TO HANG ON...AS IT ALWAYS DOES.
DATA IS INSISTENT UPON THE STRATO CU BEING TAKEN OVER BY DAYBREAK
THURSDAY (STILL WOULDN'T BET ENTIRELY ON THAT). HOWEVER...WINDS
WILL BE ANTICYCLONIC BY THIS TIME AND THE HIGHER SUN ANGLE WILL
HELP THE DAY TURN SUNNIER. THERE IS ALSO EVIDENCE THOUGH THAT
SHALLOW CLOUDS MAY REAPPEAR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING
WITH STILL VERY LOW LEVEL OVERLAKE INSTABILITY. IT WON'T BE UNTIL
LATE FRIDAY/NIGHT SATURDAY WHEN THIS CLOUD...FROM A LAKE
PERSPECTIVE...BECOMES A NON ISSUE. THAT SAID...WE WILL ALREADY BE
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT AND LIGHT WAA
SNOWS. THUS...FEELING IS THAT CLOUDS WILL STILL BE MORE COMMON
THAN NOT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S AT DAYBREAK
TUESDAY...WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...REACHING THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO. ANOTHER CHILLY
DAY WEDNESDAY UNTIL LOW LEVEL COLD POOL EXITS...WITH HIGHS IN THE
TEENS/LOW 20S. THE GRADUAL MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES THEN
BEGINS...WITH WARMING CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...REACHING
THE 30S ALL AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 124 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

MAIN CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR. STRONG WINDS OF
30 TO 40 KTS JUST ABOVE A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN ABOVE
THE SURFACE...UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES LATE TONIGHT INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...BRINGING STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE
SURFACE. A PERIOD OF WINTRY MIX CONSISTING OF FREEZING
DRIZZLE/RAIN...RAIN AND SNOW WILL BEGIN AT PLN AND APN WITH
DRIZZLE/RAIN AT TVC AND MBL AFTER 23Z AND WILL LAST UNTIL FRONTAL
PASSAGE CHANGES IT OVER TO ALL SNOW BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
THE GUSTY WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL GENERATE BLOWING SNOW AND ALONG
WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW FALLING WILL CAUSE LIFR CONDITIONS AT
ALL TAF SITES WITH VISIBILITY DROPPING BELOW A MILE.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 417 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

WINDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING AS THE SFC LOW PUSHES TOWARD
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA WINDS AT THE LEAST ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT AS THE SFC LOW MOVES
INTO THE REGION AND INTENSIFIES. BY TUESDAY MORNING, THE AS THE LOW
MOVES OUT OF THE E UPPER NORTH AND NORTHWEST GRADIENT WILL BE FAIRLY
TIGHT SO GALES WILL BE LIKELY IN N LAKE HURON AND MICHIGAN THROUGH
THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR MIZ016-017-023-025-029-031>034.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR MIZ008-015-019>022-026>028.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR
     LHZ345-346-349.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LHZ346>349.
     GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LHZ347-
     348.
LM...GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR
     LMZ341.
     GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LMZ323-
     342-344>346.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR LMZ323-341-
     342-344>346.
LS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...BA
SYNOPSIS...SD
SHORT TERM...JL
LONG TERM...SD
AVIATION...TL
MARINE...JL
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 10:37 AM EST, 5 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1037 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
191230-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1037 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FREEZING RAIN IS LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. ROADWAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SLICK. RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN
WILL THEN TRANSITION OVER TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE ACROSS
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND
ACCUMULATE THROUGH TONIGHT. SEE ONGOING WATCH AND ADVISORIES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. MODERATE...TO POSSIBLY HEAVY SNOWFALL IS
ANTICIPATED OVER THIS TIME FRAME IN THE TRADITIONAL SNOWBELTS OF
NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. SEE ONGOING WATCH AND
ADVISORIES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

GALES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKES MICHIGAN AND
HURON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/APX.

AJS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 4:20 AM ESTGale WatchAPX12 hr
Feb 18, 4:20 AM ESTGale WarningAPX58 hr
Feb 18, 4:41 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchAPXAntrim, Crawford, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau, Otsego11 hr
Feb 18, 4:41 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXAlpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford, Emmet and 11 more55 hr
Feb 18, 4:09 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXAlcona, Alpena, Arenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Ogemaw and 1 more18 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2013Every winter storm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.