Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 5, NWS Gaylord, MI

April 15, 2013Wexford County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this river flood warning at Apr 15, 2013, 9:05 PM EDT for Wexford County, Michigan. It took effect at Apr 16, 2013, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2013, 9:05 PM EDT (01:05 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 16, 2013, 10:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 22, 2013, 8:00 AM EDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Flood severity
Minor

County Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Manistee River near Sherman (SHRM4).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04124000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

066 
WGUS43 KAPX 160105
FLWAPX
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
905 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS ON THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN ARE EXPECTED TO AGAIN
RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON TUESDAY DUE TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TONIGHT. THE
RIVER IS EXPECTED TO STAY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE WEEK AS MORE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.


  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS ON THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING HAVE RISEN BACK TO JUST
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED IN THE BASIN TONIGHT
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO RISE THROUGH THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREAS SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT PROPERTY 
FROM RISING WATER LEVELS. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...MOVE QUICKLY TO 
HIGHER GROUND.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


&&

MIC011-161305-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130419T0508Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130417T1200Z.130418T2308Z.NO/
905 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.* AT  8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.3 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       TUE     WED     THU

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.3  MON 08 PM       8.8     8.1     5.4



$$

MIC165-161305-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FL.W.0005.130416T1400Z-130418T1800Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130416T1400Z.130417T0600Z.130418T1200Z.NR/
905 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON....
* AT  5:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.7 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO 
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVE SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       TUE     WED     THU

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.4  MON 05 PM      15.7    15.2    14.5



$$
16 follow-up statements
210 
WGUS83 KAPX 160924
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
524 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.A VERY MOIST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SEND PERIODS OF RAINFALL
INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME OF
THIS RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY. WATER LEVELS ON MANY AREA RIVERS AND
STREAMS ARE ALREADY RUNNING ON THE HIGH SIDE DUE TO THE RECENT
RAIN AND YESTERDAY'S SNOWMELT. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE VERY LIKELY
INTO THE WEEKEND...AND WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAINFALL...COUPLED WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWMELT...SIGNIFICANT RISES
ARE POSSIBLE.

THE EXACT LOCATION OF WHERE THE HEAVY RAIN WOULD FALL REMAINS
SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE MAIN AREA OF
CONCERN WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A MANISTEE TO ALPENA LINE. 
THIS INCLUDES THE RIFLE AND MANISTEE RIVER BASINS. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS MAY VERY WELL NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN
TIME...AS THE TOTAL POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS NOT YET INCLUDED IN
THE RIVER STAGE EXPECTATIONS.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


&&

MIC011-162124-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130419T0508Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130417T1200Z.130418T2308Z.NO/
524 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.3 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.1  TUE 04 AM       8.8     8.1     5.4



$$

MIC165-162124-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0005.130416T1400Z-130418T1800Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130416T1400Z.130417T0600Z.130418T1200Z.NR/
524 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO 
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVE SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.4  TUE 02 AM      15.7    15.2    14.5



$$
846 
WGUS83 KAPX 161457
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1057 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS WILL BE EXACERBATED BY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED DURING THE LATTER PORTION OF THIS WEEK.  TWO TO FOUR INCHES
OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN FROM 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...WHICH WILL BRING ADDITONAL RISES
TO RIVERS ALREADY NEAR OR EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION LATER THIS EVENING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-170257-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130419T0100Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130417T1200Z.130418T1900Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.8 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER MAY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON...BUT CREST MAY BE EXTENDED DEPENDING ON EVOLUTION
  OF EXPECTED RAINFALL.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.6  TUE 10 AM       8.7     7.4     5.1

$$

MIC165-170257-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130418T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130416T2200Z.130417T0600Z.130417T1800Z.NR/
1057 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 15.2 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER MAY 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...BUT CREST MAY BE
  EXTENDED DEPENDING ON EVOLUTION OF EXPECTED RAINFALL.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.4  TUE 08 AM      15.2    14.8    14.3

$$

JPB
119 
WGUS83 KAPX 170212
FLSAPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1012 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS WILL BE EXACERBATED BY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED DURING THE LATTER PORTION OF THIS WEEK.  TWO TO FOUR INCHES
OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN FROM 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...WHICH WILL BRING ADDITONAL RISES
TO RIVERS ALREADY NEAR OR EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION LATER THIS EVENING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-171500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130419T0100Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130417T1200Z.130418T1900Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 9:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER MAY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON...BUT CREST MAY BE EXTENDED DEPENDING ON EVOLUTION
  OF EXPECTED RAINFALL.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    8.1  TUE 09 PM       7.3     5.2     4.4

$$

MIC165-171500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130418T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130416T2200Z.130417T0600Z.130417T1800Z.NR/
1012 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE TO NEAR 15.0 FEET AS ADDITIONAL RAIN FALLS OVER 
THE MANISTEE RIVER BASIN BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING 
THROUGH THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS 
CANOE LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.5  TUE 07 PM      14.4    14.3    14.1

$$
070 
WGUS83 KAPX 171422
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1022 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN IS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
STARTING LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...AND COMBINED WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION SO FAR THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN FLOODING ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE MANISTEE AND RIFLE RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION LATER THIS EVENING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-180222-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130420T2230Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130417T0400Z.130420T1630Z.NO/
1022 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH EARLY
  AFTERNOON SATURDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.9  WED 09 AM       6.9     5.9     6.6

$$

MIC165-180222-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130421T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0200Z.130419T1200Z.130420T1800Z.NR/
1022 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.5 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO 
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVE SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.4  WED 08 AM      14.3    15.2    15.3

$$

JPB
426 
WGUS83 KAPX 180124
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
924 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN IS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COMBINED WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION SO FAR THIS MONTH AND CONTINUED SNOWMELT WILL RESULT IN FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MANISTEE AND RIFLE RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION...INSERT TIME HERE!!...AS NEW 
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


&&

MIC165-181324-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130422T2000Z/
/SHRM4.3.ER.130418T2100Z.130420T0600Z.130422T1400Z.NR/
924 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  5:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.6 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO 
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVE SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.4  WED 05 PM      15.8    16.6    16.3



$$

MIC011-181324-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130423T0300Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130420T1800Z.130422T2100Z.NO/
924 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...HIGH WATER IMPACTS PROPERTY SOUTH OF 
  TOWNLINE ROAD DOWNSTREAM OF MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.3  WED 08 PM       7.6    10.4    10.4



$$
978 
WGUS83 KAPX 180125
FLSAPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
925 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN IS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COMBINED WITH 
WELL ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION SO FAR THIS MONTH AND CONTINUED 
SNOWMELT WILL RESULT IN FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MANISTEE AND 
RIFLE RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION...INSERT TIME HERE!!...AS NEW 
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


&&

MIC165-181324-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130422T2000Z/
/SHRM4.3.ER.130418T2100Z.130420T0600Z.130422T1400Z.NR/
925 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  5:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.6 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO 
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVE SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.4  WED 05 PM      15.8    16.6    16.3



$$

MIC011-181324-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130423T0300Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130420T1800Z.130422T2100Z.NO/
925 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...HIGH WATER IMPACTS PROPERTY SOUTH OF 
  TOWNLINE ROAD DOWNSTREAM OF MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.3  WED 08 PM       7.6    10.4    10.4



$$
192 
WGUS83 KAPX 181445
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1045 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

OVERNIGHT RAINFALL FROM 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH ACROSS UPPER PORTIONS
OF THE MANISTEE RIVER BASIN...COMBINED WITH AN ADDITIONAL 0.50
TO 1.50 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...IS EXPECTED
TO RESULT IN FLOODING ALONG THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN
STARTING LATER TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION LATER THIS EVENING AS NEW 
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC165-190245-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130422T2000Z/
/SHRM4.3.ER.130418T2100Z.130420T0600Z.130422T1400Z.NR/
1045 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO 
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVE SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       FRI     SAT     SUN

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.6  THU 08 AM      15.6    16.8    16.3

$$

JPB
037 
WGUS83 KAPX 182024
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
424 PM EDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE MANISTEE AND RIFLE RIVERS
THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH AN EXPECTED CREST LATE FRIDAY BEFORE BEGINNING
TO DROP THIS WEEKEND.  SOME ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...
WITH AROUND ONE-HALF INCH ADDITION RAINFALL ON AVERAGE ACROSS THE
RIFLE RIVER BASIN...AND AROUND ONE-QUARTER TO ONE-HALF INCH ACROSS
THE MANISTEE BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION EITHER LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-190824-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130422T1200Z/
/STRM4.2.ER.130410T1150Z.130420T0600Z.130422T0600Z.NO/
424 PM EDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.

* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...HIGH WATER IMPACTS PROPERTY SOUTH OF 
  TOWNLINE ROAD DOWNSTREAM OF MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       FRI     SAT     SUN

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.9  THU 03 PM       8.2    11.1     9.2

$$

MIC165-190824-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130421T0600Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0600Z.130419T1800Z.130421T0000Z.NR/
424 PM EDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.

* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO 
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVE SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       FRI     SAT     SUN

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.8  THU 02 PM      15.0    15.4    14.8

$$

JPB
878 
WGUS83 KAPX 190049
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
849 PM EDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE MANISTEE AND RIFLE RIVERS
THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH AN EXPECTED CREST LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY
BEFORE BEGINNING TO DROP THIS WEEKEND.  SOME ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT...AVERAGING AROUND ONE-HALF INCH ACROSS THE RIFLE RIVER
BASIN...TO LESS THAN ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH ACROSS THE MANISTEE BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-191249-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130422T1300Z/
/STRM4.2.ER.130410T1150Z.130420T0600Z.130422T0700Z.NO/
849 PM EDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.

* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...HIGH WATER IMPACTS PROPERTY SOUTH OF 
  TOWNLINE ROAD DOWNSTREAM OF MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED           FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    8.1  THU 08 PM      11.0     9.3

$$

MIC165-191249-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130421T0600Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0600Z.130419T1800Z.130421T0000Z.NR/
849 PM EDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.

* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  3:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO 
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVE SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   14.8  THU 03 PM      15.4    14.8

$$
137 
WGUS83 KAPX 191518
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1118 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ON THE MANISTEE AND RIFLE RIVERS
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...WITH A CREST EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AND A
GRADUAL DROP IN LEVELS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION LATER THIS EVENING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-200318-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130422T2100Z/
/STRM4.2.ER.130410T1150Z.130420T0600Z.130422T1500Z.NO/
1118 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.

* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...HIGH WATER IMPACTS PROPERTY SOUTH OF 
  TOWNLINE ROAD DOWNSTREAM OF MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    9.5  FRI 10 AM      11.0     9.3     6.8

$$

MIC165-200318-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130421T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0251Z.130419T1800Z.130420T1800Z.NR/
1118 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.

* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.2  FRI 08 AM      15.3    14.7    14.1

$$
918 
WGUS83 KAPX 200159
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
959 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY FALL THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION SATURDAY MORNING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-201359-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130422T0130Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130419T2115Z.130421T1930Z.NO/
959 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    9.9  FRI 09 PM       7.2     5.3     4.6

$$

MIC165-201359-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130421T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0251Z.130419T2330Z.130420T1800Z.NR/
959 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.4  FRI 07 PM      14.6    14.0    13.6

$$
708 
WGUS83 KAPX 201006
FLSAPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
606 AM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY FALL THROUGH EARLY NEXT 
WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION SATURDAY MORNING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-201500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130422T0130Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130419T2115Z.130421T1930Z.NO/
606 AM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  5:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    9.4  SAT 05 AM       7.2     5.3     4.6

$$

MIC165-201500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130421T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0251Z.130419T2330Z.130420T1800Z.NR/
606 AM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER
  MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.4  SAT 04 AM      15.0    14.4    14.0

$$
500 
WGUS83 KAPX 201654
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1254 PM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY FALL THROUGH EARLY NEXT 
WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION...AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-210454-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130422T0300Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130419T2115Z.130421T2100Z.NO/
1254 PM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 12:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SUN     MON     TUE

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    8.7  SAT 12 PM       7.3     5.4     4.7



$$

MIC165-210454-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130421T1200Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0251Z.130420T0745Z.130421T0600Z.NR/
1254 PM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SUN     MON     TUE

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.4  SAT 10 AM      15.0    14.4    14.0



$$
876 
WGUS83 KAPX 210031
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
831 PM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS SITUATION AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


&&

MIC011-211231-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130422T0130Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130419T2115Z.130421T1930Z.NO/
831 PM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CAMPGROUND AT 
  WHITE'S CANOE LIVERY AT MELITA ROAD BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SUN     MON     TUE

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    8.0  SAT 07 PM       5.3     4.7     4.3



$$

MIC165-211231-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130421T1500Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0251Z.130420T0745Z.130421T0900Z.NR/
831 PM EDT SAT APR 20 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  5:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SUN     MON     TUE

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.3  SAT 05 PM      14.5    13.9    13.6



$$
830 
WGUS83 KAPX 211453
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1053 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY
  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RECEDE ON THE RIFLE AND MANISTEE RIVERS
THIS MORNING...WITH A CONTINUED DROP EXPECTED INTO MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION LATER THIS EVENING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-220000-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130422T0000Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.130410T1150Z.130419T2115Z.130421T1800Z.NO/
1053 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.

* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 10:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CANOE LIVERY AT 
  RIVER VIEW CAMPGROUND.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       MON     TUE     WED

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.4  SUN 10 AM       5.3     4.7     4.3

$$

MIC165-220253-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130422T1200Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0251Z.130420T0745Z.130422T0600Z.NR/
1053 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.

* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       MON     TUE     WED

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.3  SUN 08 AM      15.0    14.6    14.3

$$

JPB
976 
WGUS83 KAPX 220117
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
917 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL
THROUGH MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS SITUATION AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


&&

MIC165-221200-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130422T1200Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.130419T0251Z.130420T0745Z.130422T0600Z.NR/
917 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON
  MONDAY
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       MON     TUE     WED

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.3  SUN 12 PM      14.6    14.3    14.0



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 15, 7:25 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 7:25 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
725 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

A SYSTEM LIFTING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...WILL MOVE ACROSS LAKE
SUPERIOR TONIGHT BEFORE EXITING INTO QUEBEC. THIS SYSTEM WILL
GENERATE RAIN SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT.

A SYSTEM CURRENTLY ORGANIZING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WILL MOVE
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY MIDWEEK. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERATE MILD TEMPERATURES AND RAIN SHOWERS...OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN
THROUGH THURSDAY. COLDER AIR AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL FILTER INTO GREAT
LAKES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AS THE OHIO VALLEY SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 725 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS HAVE MOVED BACK INTO MUCH OF OUR CWA THIS
EVENING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. LFQ OF A
130 KT 300 MB JET MAX IS PROVIDING ADDITIONAL SUPPORT FOR PRECIP
DEVELOPMENT AS THE FRONT NEARS. A BATCH OF HIGHER REFLECTIVITIES
MADE A BRIEF APPEARANCE AROUND AND JUST SW OF TVC WITHIN THE LAST
HOUR...BUT HAVE QUICKLY DIMINISHED WITH NO LIGHTNING DETECTED. SEE
NO REASON TO STRAY FROM CATEGORICAL POPS ACROSS MOST OF OUR CWA
THRU THE EVENING...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ERN UPR MICHIGAN WHERE
POPS QUICKLY TAPER OFF TO THE NW. CHANCES OF THUNDER QUICKLY
DECREASE AFTER 8 PM AS THE WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY AXIS DIES...AND
WILL NOT EXTEND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER FOR NE LWR MICHIGAN
INTO LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

AFTERNOON SFC ANALYSIS REVEALING LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN
MINNESOTA WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCHING EASTWARD TO A TRIPLE
POINT OVER WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR...WARM FRONT CURVING DOWN THROUGH
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND COLD FRONT EXTENDING DOWN ACROSS FAR
EASTERN WISCONSIN. BROAD AREA OF GUNGE (-DZ/FG/-RA) CONTINUES TO
IMPACT PARTS OF NRN LOWER MICHIGAN. BUT MORE IMPORTANTLY...
WIDESPREAD PRECIP NOW IN THE PROCESS EXPANDING ALONG/BEHIND THE
APPROACHING SFC FRONT FROM CENTRAL LAKE MICHIGAN BACK THROUGH SRN
LOWER MICHIGAN...IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING FRONTOGENETIC FORCING
ALONG THE FRONT AS THE STAKED LOW PASSES BY TO THE NW AND LOW-MID
LEVEL THERMAL GRADIENT GETS SQUEEZED. ADDITIONAL PRECIP ALSO
STARTING TO PRESS INTO FAR SW LOWER MICHIGAN. SO APPEARS THAT
GUIDANCE IDEA OF WIDESPREAD PRECIP SPREADING UP THROUGH NRN LOWER
MICHIGAN TONIGHT IS ON TRACK...AND WILL CARRY CATEGORICAL POPS
ACCORDINGLY WITH A SHARP GRADIENT OF POPS ACROSS EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN. SOME DECENT RAINS EXPECTED WITH BETWEEN ONE HALF TO ONE
INCH OF RAIN OVER PARTS OF NRN LOWER MICHIGAN A GOOD BET.

THUNDER...STILL A NARROW WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ELEVATED
CONVECTION OVER NE LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS NARROW
AXIS OF REDUCED STABILITY ALOFT MOVES THROUGH...THE SAME AXIS THAT
LEAD TO A FEW ELEVATED STORMS EARLIER TODAY.

TUESDAY...FRONT PRESSES ON WELL TO THE EAST OF THE REGION TAKING
AXIS OF PRECIP WITH IT. CURRENT TIMING SUGGESTS ALL PRECIP WILL HAVE
CLEARED THE CWA BY 12Z. WILL CONTINUE TO PLAY THE FORECAST THAT WAY
ALTHOUGH I WOULDN/T BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME RAINFALL STILL LINGERING
OVER THE FAR E/SE COUNTIES TOMORROW MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO AVERAGE FOR THE SECOND HALF
OF APRIL. A QUICK SHOT OF COLD AIR IS THEN EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY FOLLOWED BY MODERATING TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THE MAIN LONG TERM FORECAST CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND THE
DETAILS AND TRACK OF A STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT THE REGION
DURING THE MID AND LATE WEEK PERIOD.

TUESDAY NIGHT...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA
WILL LEAD TO DRY BUT CHILLY CONDITIONS. LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
20S.

WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...MODELS HAVE COME INTO DECENT
AGREEMENT THAT WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVE UP ALONG A SLOW MOVING
FRONT. IN ADDITION...A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW COULD RESULT IN SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THERE IS EVEN A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER. HIGHS WEDNESDAY RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE 40S
TO LOWER 50S AND THE MIDDLE 40S TO MIDDLE 60S THURSDAY.

FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...COLDER AIR ARRIVES FROM THE NORTHWEST
RESULTING IN A MIX WITH AN EVENTUAL CHANGEOVER TO SNOW SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURES LIKELY FALLING THROUGH THE DAY AFTER EARLY HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S NORTHWEST TO THE LOWER 50S SOUTHEAST.
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 20S TO AROUND 30.

SATURDAY INTO MONDAY...REMAINING CHILLY WITH SURFACE RIDGING LEADING
TO CLEARING SKIES SATURDAY. THE RIDGE SLIPS OFF TO THE EAST SUNDAY
LEADING TO MODERATING TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS ON MONDAY. HIGHS SATURDAY RANGING FROM THE
MIDDLE 30S TO MIDDLE 40S THEN THE MIDDLE 40S TO MIDDLE 50S SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. LOWS IN THE 20S SATURDAY NIGHT AND THE 30S SUNDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 725 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS ALL NRN LWR MICHIGAN TAF
SITES THIS EVENING AS WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS FALL ACROSS THE AREA
ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST
OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AS FROPA OCCURS...WITH
GRADUALLY CLEARING SKIES AND A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS TUESDAY
MORNING. W/SW WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND
STRENGTHEN TO GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KTS TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER PARTS OF LAKE HURON THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL SUBSIDE A BIT TONIGHT BEFORE PICKING BACK
UP AGAIN ON TUESDAY. DONT THINK WINDS/WAVES WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY HOWEVER.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LHZ348-349.
LM...NONE.
LS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...MR
SYNOPSIS...NS
SHORT TERM...BA
LONG TERM...AS
AVIATION...MR
MARINE...BA
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 3:54 PM EDT, 5 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
354 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
161000-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
354 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY ACROSS
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
ARRIVE IN NORTHERN MICHIGAN. THIS SYSTEM MAY ALSO BRING SOME
HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE REGION. THIS WOULD RESULT IN ADDITIONAL
RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/APX.

ADAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 16, 3:49 PM EDTFlood WatchAPXAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Cheboygan and 16 more61 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.