Gale Warning 30, NWS Gaylord, MI

017 
WHUS73 KAPX 042022
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
322 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

LMZ341-342-344>346-050430-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0030.131205T0600Z-131205T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
322 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-050430-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
322 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-050430-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
322 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-050430-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
322 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

555 
WHUS73 KAPX 050420
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1120 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

LMZ341-342-344>346-051230-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0030.131205T0600Z-131205T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1120 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-051230-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1120 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-051230-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1120 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-051230-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1120 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

573 
WHUS73 KAPX 050834
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
334 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

LHZ345-LMZ323-051645-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
334 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-344>346-051645-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
334 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-051645-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
334 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-051645-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
334 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

640 
WHUS73 KAPX 051553
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1053 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-052200-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1053 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-052200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1053 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-052200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1053 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

740 
WHUS73 KAPX 052103
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

LHZ345-060515-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131207T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
403 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SATURDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-060515-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131207T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
403 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SATURDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ322-052215-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131205T2200Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
403 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LSZ321-060515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131207T2200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
403 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-060515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0197.000000T0000Z-131207T2200Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
403 PM EST THU DEC 5 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1246 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 423 AM EST WED DEC 4 2013

LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING ACROSS THE WESTERN LAKES WILL BRING A SURGE
OF WARMER AIR NORTH ALONG WITH IT...CHANGING LINGERING MIXED
PRECIPITATION TO RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TODAY. ANY LINGERING
SHOWERS WILL CHANGE BACK OVER TO SNOW THURSDAY...AS A COLD FRONT
BLASTS THROUGH THE REGION. ARCTIC AIR WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA BY
FRIDAY AND INTO THIS WEEKEND...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS FOR
EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. MORE COLD AIR AND
ADDITIONAL SNOW CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT INTO NEXT
WORK WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1244 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

WARM AIR SLOW TO LIFT NORTH OF THE STRAITS WITH COLD EAST FLOW
HELPING TO LINGER MIXED PCPN ACROSS ERN UPPER. HAVE SLOWED WARMING
OVER ERN UPPER AND INCREASED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS A TAD BASED ON LATEST
RADAR AND SFC OBS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 1015 AM EST WED DEC 4 2013

TRANSITION PERIOD IS IN FULL SWING ACROSS THE NORTHERN LAKES THIS
MORNING...TRENDING FROM THE WINTRY TYPE PCPN FROM EARLY THIS MORNING
TOWARD WARMING SURFACE DEW PTS AND TEMPERATURES. CURRENT OBS ACROSS
THE CWA SHOW MOST LOCATIONS WITH TEMPS AND SFC DEW PTS ALREADY ABOVE
FREEZING SOUTH OF THE STRAITS...WHILE EAST FLOW IS KEEPING THINGS
COOLER AND BELOW FREEZING OVR ERN UPPER. THE LATEST DUAL-POL CC IMAGES
SHOW A BULK OF PCPN AND WINTRY MIX FROM EARLIER HAS LIFTED
NORTHEAST INTO LAKE HURON WITH MORE UNIFORM RETURNS MOVING ACRS LAKE
MICHIGAN. OVERALL MODEL SOUNDINGS AND SURFACE OBS SHOWING WARMING
TREND TO CONT ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...IN RESPONSE TO THE PLAINS
SYSTEM LIFTING INTO THE WRN LAKES. WILL KEEP SOME MENTION OF MIXED
PCPN OVER ERN UPPER THIS MORNING BEFORE PCPN BECOMES MAINLY LIQUID
THIS AFTN AS 925MB TEMPS WARM TO BETWEEN 2C AND 8C ACRS THE CWA.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 633 AM EST WED DEC 4 2013

CHANGES THIS HOUR: MODIFIED GOING POPS/WEATHER JUST SLIGHTLY TO
DELINEATE AREA OF BEST RADAR RETURNS /EXTENDING FROM CVX TO GLR TO
JUST WEST OF APN/...WHICH IS PRODUCING EVERYTHING FROM DRIZZLE TO
FREEZING DRIZZLE TO SNOW. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND
EAST WITH VERY LITTLE IN IT/S WAKE. WILL ALSO UPDATE TO ADD FOG
THROUGHOUT NORTHERN LOWER...WHICH MAY BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN AS
THE DAY GOES ON WITH DEWPOINTS CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING OVER A NEW
SNOWPACK.

REPORTS SO FAR THIS MORNING ARE OF 2-5 OF SNOW OVER MOST OF
NORTHERN LOWER. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING THIS MORNING

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 423 AM EST WED DEC 4 2013

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: CONTINUED SLICK TRAVEL THROUGH TODAY
ESPECIALLY OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE
SOME PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY PERSIST THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL
FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL RETURNS THIS EVENING OVER EASTERN UPPER
FOR A 3-6 HOUR PERIOD.

PATTERN SUMMARY: PATTERN AMPLIFICATION UNDERWAY ACROSS THE CONUS AS
OF THIS WRITING AS EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS
IMPRESSIVE TROUGH CARVING OUT ALONG THE WEST COAST AS CHILLY AIR
SPILLS DOWN THE NORTHWESTERN QUARTER OF THE CONUS. SUBSEQUENT
DOWNSTREAM RIDGE DEVELOPMENT ALSO UNDERWAY WITH HEIGHTS BUILDING
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. LOOKING DOWN TO THE SURFACE REVEALS
LOW PRESSURE TAKING SHAPE NEAR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE WITH
INVERTED TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED QUASI- STATIONARY BOUNDARY
STRETCHING NORTH AND EAST TOWARDS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN...BEFORE
IT MEANDERS EAST AND SOUTH ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE LAKES.
THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE THE FOCUS OF THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND STRENGTHENS...PROMISING A
BRIEF WARMUP ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN WITH A TRACK
JUST WEST OF THE AREA.

MODEL TRENDS: MODELS HAVE CONVERGED TOWARDS THE ECWMF/GGEM/UKMET
IDEA OF THE PAST FEW DAYS AS EXPECTED...WITH A MODEL CONSENSUS
SERVING AS A GOOD STARTING POINT FOR THIS FORECAST.

THROUGH DAYBREAK: TRACKING AN EXPANDING AREA OF LIGHT RADAR RETURNS
THAT PUSHED EAST FROM WISCONSIN INTO NORTHWEST LOWER OVER THE PAST
HOUR.  THIS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK MID LEVEL VORTICITY LOBE
INTERACTING WITH ONGOING WARM ADVECTION. WITH AN EVOLUTION TOWARDS
BUILDING HEIGHTS OVER THE GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING...NOT EXPECTING
THIS FEATURE TO PACK MUCH OF A PUNCH...BUT IT WILL LIKELY RENEW
SOME LIGHT SNOW/MIX FOR AREAS M-32 TO M-72 THROUGH DAYBREAK.

WITH BONA-FIDE PRECIPITATION COMPLETE AND ANY VERY LIGHT ICING
FALLING ON SNOW-COVERED ROADS...SEE NO REASON TO CONTINUE ADVISORY
THROUGH 6AM AND WILL CANCEL WITH THIS ISSUANCE. THIS IS ALSO
SUPPORTED BY TEMPERATURES QUICKLY REACHING THE FREEZING MARK
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER. STILL...THERE WILL BE SOME REMAINING SLICK
TRAVEL THIS MORNING FROM THE OVERNIGHT SNOWS...AND WILL CONTINUE
MENTION IN THE HWO AND MORNING HAZARDOUS WEATHER BRIEFING.

TODAY: NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL BE IN SOMEWHAT OF A NO MAN/S LAND
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY AS HEIGHTS BUILD AND THE FLOW ALOFT
BACKS AHEAD OF OUR MORE SUBSTANTIAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.  SURFACE
WARM FRONT WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE MUCH PROGRESS NORTH TODAY WITH LOW
PRESSURE STILL WELL TO OUR SOUTH AND WEST UNABLE TO GIVE A
SUBSTANTIAL-ENOUGH PUSH.  MOISTURE ALOFT ALSO THINS FOR A TIME
BEFORE RAPIDLY FILLING IN TOWARDS EVENING.  GIVEN MODEL PROFILES
SUGGESTING VERY LIMITED DEPTH TO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AFTER
AFOREMENTIONED WAVE PASSES OVERHEAD EARLY...DON/T SEE MUCH TO FORCE
PRECIPITATION DURING THE DAY...WITH CHANCES REALLY RESTRICTED TO THE
H8 WARM FRONT /OVER EASTERN UPPER/ AND THE DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL
JET-INDUCED PRECIPITATION TOWARDS EVENING. THUS...FOR THE BALANCE
OF THE DAY WILL CARRY LOW CHANCE POPS FOR A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
SHOWER.

PTYPE:  FROM M-68 SOUTH...WILL TAILOR WEATHER BASED ON SURFACE
TEMPERATURES...WITH LIGHT RAIN NEAR THE COASTS...AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN INLAND. WHILE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION DWINDLE DURING THE
DAY...ANY DAYTIME PRECIPITATION SOUTH OF THE BRIDGE SHOULD FALL AS
PLAIN RAIN.  AS PRECIPITATION REDEVELOPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OVER EASTERN UPPER
WHERE SURFACE TEMPS WILL LIKELY STILL BE BELOW FREEZING AS WARM
ADVECTION ABOVE THIS LEVEL QUICKLY ALLOWS A SNOWFLAKE-MELTING WARM
NOSE /+3-4C/ TO DEVELOP ALOFT.  DEPENDING ON TIMING AND PRECIPITATION
INTENSITY...MAY HAVE TO WATCH FOR A SNEAKY ADVISORY SCENARIO.  WILL
MENTION THIS POTENTIAL IN THE MORNING HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

TEMPERATURES: WILL STEADILY RISE TODAY UNDER WARM ADVECTION...BUT
GIVEN SLOW MOVEMENT OF SURFACE WARM FRONT...THIS RISE WILL NOT BE
SPECTACULAR. CONSENSUS BRINGS NORTHERN LOWER TOWARDS 40 BY
EVENING...WITH EASTERN UPPER STUCK NEAR THE FREEZING MARK.

TONIGHT: NOW WELL-AGREED UPON CONSENSUS LOW TRACK BRINGS SURFACE LOW
FROM CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS EVENING TO NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR BY
DAYBREAK THURSDAY.  THIS WILL HELP DRIVE A FINAL BAND OF THETAE
ADVECTION AS SURFACE WARM FRONT RIDES NORTH TOWARDS THE STRAITS
OVERNIGHT IN THE PRESENCE OF AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AIRMASS /PWATS
NEARING 1/  THIS SHOULD BRING A ROUND OF PRIMARILY LIQUID
PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN /WITH ANY FREEZING RAIN
TRANSITIONING TO RAIN OVER EASTERN UPPER/. PROGRESSIVE NATURE TO
SYSTEM AND OUR POSITION ON IT/S WARM SIDE SUGGEST QPF WILL NOT GET
TOO OUT OF CONTROL WITH VALUES REMAINING AT OR BELOW 0.5 CWA-
WIDE. SURFACE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT
WITH AN IMPRESSIVE SURGE OF DRY AIR...WHICH SHOULD BRING A QUICK
END TO RAINFALL.

TEMPERATURES: INITIALLY WILL BE WARMING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...BUT
WHAT COULD BE A RATHER WARM OVERNIGHT LOW WILL BE SOMEWHAT HINDERED
BY FRONTAL PASSAGE BEFORE 12Z...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES
TO RAPIDLY FALL BACK TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK /PARTICULARLY WEST
OF INTERSTATE 75/ BY DAYBREAK.  MID/UPPER 30S OVER THE COAST OF
NORTHEAST LOWER.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 423 AM EST WED DEC 4 2013

LONG RANGE PERIOD NO DOUBT DOMINATED BY COLD WEATHER...WITH TRENDS
CLEARLY SUPPORTING TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES
(AND THATS SAYING ALOT IN DECEMBER) BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH
PERHAPS AN EVEN COLDER SHOT OF AIR BY TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. LONG
WAVE PATTERN CLEARLY SUPPORTIVE OF SUCH PLEASANTRIES...WITH
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING NORTH ACROSS THE
EASTERN PACIFIC AND UP THROUGH ALASKA (AND EVENTUALLY BEYOND).
DOWNSTREAM RESPONSE ALREADY WELL UNDERWAY...WITH DIGGING TROUGH
CARVING ITS WAY THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. ABOVE ABOUT A
TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE OF HOW TO UNLEASH UNSEASONABLY COLD ARCTIC AIR INTO
THE LOWER 48...A FACT ALREADY MADE WELL EVIDENT BY SINGLE DIGIT
TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONTANA AND NORTH DAKOTA. NO SHORTAGE OF EVEN
COLDER AIR ACROSS NORTHWEST CANADA...WHERE LATE EVENING TEMPERATURES
ARE IN THE DOUBLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO. THIS AIRMASS WILL BE FORCED
SOUTH OVER THE COMING DAYS...SETTING ITS SIGHTS ON THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND EVENTUALLY OUR NECK OF THE WOODS. REALLY COLD ANOMALIES
LOOK TO REMAIN UPSTREAM THROUGH THIS WEEKEND... HOWEVER...WITH LACK
OF DOWNSTREAM NORTH ATLANTIC BLOCKING ALLOWING TEMPERED SOUTHEAST
RIDGING TO CONTINUE...GIVING US A MORE GLANCING BLOW FROM THE TRUE
ARCTIC AIR. SAME CANNOT BE SAID HEADING INTO THE MID WEEK PORTIONS
OF NEXT WEEK...WITH GOOD GUIDANCE SUPPORT FOR UPSTREAM BLOCKING TO
BREAK DOWN...ALL THE WHILE STRONG ENERGY DIVES SOUTH THROUGH
INCREASING TRANSIENT CENTRAL NOAM TROUGHING. THIS COULD OPEN THE
DOOR FOR THE TRUE ARCTIC BLAST...WITH SOME OF THE MID RANGE GUIDANCE
SHOWING HIGHS JUST ACROSS THE BIG POND REMAINING SEVERAL DEGREES
BELOW ZERO (YUP...THAT IS HIGH TEMPERATURES) AND ONLY THROUGH THE
GOOD GRACE OF LAKE MICHIGAN DO WE LOOK TO REMAIN ON THE POSITIVE
SIDE OF ZERO. THAT ARCTIC BLAST MAY BE KICKED OFF BY A DESCENT
LITTLE SNOW EVENT TO END THIS WEEKEND ON INTO MONDAY. COMBINE ALL
THE ABOVE WITH MULTI-PERIOD LAKE EFFECT SNOW POTENTIAL...AND ONE CAN
SEE FORECAST CHALLENGES ARE MANY HEADING THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

STEP-DOWN PROCESS TO THIS COLDER WEATHER WILL BE UNDERWAY TO START
THE EXTENDED...WITH PASSAGE OF SECONDARY COLD FRONT BEHIND DEPARTING
ONTARIO LOW PRESSURE THURSDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO FALL
THROUGH THE DAY...REACHING LOWER AND MIDDLE 20 VALUES BY LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. DRY SLOT ACCOMPANIES THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE...AND ESSENTIALLY LOOKS TO REMAIN STEADFAST RIGHT THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES DEFINITELY TREND COLD ENOUGH TO
ENTICE A GOOD LAKE RESPONSE...WITH H8 TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY IN THE NEGATIVE MID AND UPPER TEENS. WHILE DELTA T/S
WILL BE GREAT...OTHER THERMODYNAMIC PROPERTIES NOT SO MUCH SO...WITH
PERUSAL OF CROSS SECTIONS AND MODEL DERIVED SOUNDINGS SHOWING RAPID
LOSS OF ANY MOISTURE ABOVE PALTRY H8 INVERSION LEVEL. KINEMATICS NOT
SPECTACULAR EITHER...WITH PRIMARILY WEST WINDS KEEPING MOST LAKE
SUPERIOR ACTIVITY OFFSHORE OF EASTERN UPPER...WHILE ALSO ALLOWING
LOW LEVEL DRY AIR TO CONTINUOUSLY FILTER ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN. SO...DESPITE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS FRIDAY
LIKELY STUCK IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S...JUST NOT EXPECTING THIS TO
BE A BIG LAKE EFFECT EVENT. LITTLE DOUBT SOME SNOW SHOWERS WILL
OCCUR...AND SIMPLE PERSISTENCE MIGHT ALLOW WEST FLOW AREAS TO PICK
UP A FEW INCHES THROUGH THIS PERIOD. UPTICK IN MOISTURE/INVERSION
HEIGHTS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY...AND THINKING
THIS IS WHEN THINGS COULD GET A LITTLE BIT MORE INTERESTING. H8
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AT ABOUT THE UPPER (COLDER) LIMITS OF THE
DGZ...SUPPORTING AT LEAST DECENT SNOW/LIQUID RATIOS. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE AN ADVISORY TYPE SNOW EVENT FOR YOUR TRADITIONAL
LAKE SNOW BELTS OF CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM... AND OTSEGO COUNTIES. WINDS
MAY VEER JUST ENOUGH TO IMPACT THE FAR NORTHWEST REACHES OF CHIPPEWA
COUNTY BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS COULD POTENTIALLY BRING A BAND OF
SNOW INTO AREAS AROUND PARADISE. SOMETHING TO WATCH...AS SNOWFALL
RATES WITH THIS BAND MAY BE RATHER IMPRESSIVE GIVEN EXCELLENT FETCH
LENGTH AND MUCH BETTER SYNOPTIC MOISTURE SUPPORT. LAKE PROCESSES
EXPECTED TO WIND DOWN LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE DRIFTS OVERHEAD. GONNA BE COLD REGARDLESS...BUT IF SOME
CLEARING IS REALIZED SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH ARCTIC HIGH DIRECTLY
OVERHEAD...FORECAST READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS MAY BE A GOOD 5 OR
MORE DEGREES TOO WARM FOR SOME LOCATIONS.

MID-RANGE GUIDANCE TRENDS WELL ONBOARD FOR ENERGY PINWHEELING OUT OF
WESTERN TROUGH TO DRUM UP AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS LATER SUNDAY...ROCKETING IT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE START OF MONDAY. ACTUAL TREND HAS BEEN FOR A
FURTHER WEST SOLUTION...PERHAPS EVEN CUTTING OVER OR JUST TO OUR
WEST. NOW...NORMALLY...THIS WOULD RAISE ALL KINDA PRECIP TYPE
CONCERNS. DONT SEE THAT HAPPENING THIS TIME...HOWEVER...WITH
WEEKEND ARCTIC AIRMASS SIMPLY REFUSING TO COMPLETELY DISLODGE. SNOW
SHOULD BE IT...AND LOW ORIGIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS USUALLY MEANS
ALOT OF IT. DONT SEE THAT HAPPENING EITHER...WITH DEEPEST GULF OF
MEXICO MOISTURE LOCKED WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW ALONG
STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH. DISCONNECT LOOKS TO BE LARGE ENOUGH TO
KEEP SNOW AMOUNTS FROM GETTING TOO OUT OF HAND...WITH JUST A COUPLE
INCHES EXPECTED PER EARLY PROGS. BIGGER STORY WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY
BE WHAT COMES BEHIND IT...WITH TRENDS SUPPORTING H8 TEMPERATURES
FALLING INTO THE LOWER (MIDDLE?) NEGATIVE 20S CELSIUS. LONG WAY OUT
TO GET TOO EXCITED...BUT INTERESTING TO SEE CLIMO-INFLUENCED (AT
THIS RANGE) GFS MEX AND EXPERIMENTAL ECMWF MOS GUIDANCE SHOWING
HIGHS TUESDAY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS. CONDITIONS LOOK
IDEAL FOR AN EXCELLENT LAKE RESPONSE...ALTHOUGH SUCH COLD
TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO RESULT IN PIXIE DUST TYPE SNOWS...EXCELLENT
AT REDUCING VISIBILITIES...BUT NO SO MUCH AT ACCUMULATING. PLENTY OF
TIME FOR CHANGES...BUT DEFINITELY SOME INTERESTING WEATHER TO
MONITOR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

WARM AIR AND ABOVE FREEZING SFC DEW PTS WILL CONT TO PUSH INTO
NRN MI THROUGH TONIGHT...IN ADVANCE OF A PLAINS SYSTEM LIFTING
INTO THE WRN GREAT LAKES. WARM/MOIST AIR LIFTING OVER THE NRN
MICHIGAN SNOWPACK WILL CONTINUE IFR CIGS AND VSBY ACRS NRN MI TAF
SITES THIS AFTN. EXPECT SOME IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR AT KPLN AND KTVC
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY AS PCPN MOVES BACK INTO THE REGION.
DRIER DAY THURSDAY WITH IMPROVING CIGS AND VSBYS AS THE PLAINS SYSTEM
EXITS NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 423 AM EST WED DEC 4 2013

SUMMARY: LOW PRESSURE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
LIFT THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT WITH AN ASSOCIATED
STRONG COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING QUIETER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION BY THIS WEEKEND.

HEADLINES: MARGINAL SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNDER
EASTERLY FLOW THROUGH TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD SMALL CRAFTS CERTAINLY
NEEDED LATER TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY FRIDAY AS WINDS SHIFT
SOUTHWESTERLY AND STRENGTHEN TONIGHT/THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY
VEERING WESTERLY AND WEAKENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND THROUGH THE
STRAITS...AND THEREFORE WILL ISSUE A GALE WATCH FOR THIS AREA IN
COORDINATION WITH LOT.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     LHZ345>349.
LM...GALE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR LMZ342-
     344>346.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LMZ341-
     342.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LSZ321.

&&

UPDATE...SR
SYNOPSIS...MB
SHORT TERM...ARNOTT
LONG TERM...MB
AVIATION...SR
MARINE...ARNOTT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
319 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
051100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
319 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MAY IMPACT
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN TONIGHT.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE FOUND ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
TONIGHT.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN
OVERNIGHT. PLEASE SEE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED OVER NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN
LATER THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

ADAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
935 AM EST WED DEC 04 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     SNOW             4 SSE SOUTH BOARDMAN    44.58N 85.22W
12/04/2013  M4.0 INCH        KALKASKA           MI   SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

0800 AM     SNOW             8 SW GAYLORD            44.95N 84.79W
12/04/2013  E4.0 INCH        OTSEGO             MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

0800 AM     SNOW             MIO                     44.66N 84.13W
12/04/2013  E4.2 INCH        OSCODA             MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

&&

BERGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1015 AM EST WED DEC 04 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             GLADWIN                 43.98N 84.49W
12/04/2013  E4.0 INCH        GLADWIN            MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.

0600 AM     SNOW             5 S GRAYLING            44.58N 84.71W
12/04/2013  E3.0 INCH        CRAWFORD           MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.

0600 AM     SNOW             MIKADO                  44.57N 83.42W
12/04/2013  E3.5 INCH        ALCONA             MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM

0608 AM     SNOW             CHEBOYGAN               45.64N 84.47W
12/04/2013  E4.0 INCH        CHEBOYGAN          MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.

0608 AM     SNOW             ATLANTA                 45.00N 84.15W
12/04/2013  E5.0 INCH        MONTMORENCY        MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.

0608 AM     SNOW             TAWAS CITY              44.27N 83.52W
12/04/2013  E3.0 INCH        IOSCO              MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM.

0608 AM     SNOW             LOVELLS                 44.81N 84.47W
12/04/2013  E4.0 INCH        CRAWFORD           MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM.

0638 AM     SNOW             GRAWN                   44.67N 85.68W
12/04/2013  E3.0 INCH        GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.

0700 AM     SNOW             OSCODA                  44.42N 83.33W
12/04/2013  M4.0 INCH        IOSCO              MI   SPOTTER

            24 HR TOTAL THROUGH 7 AM.

0700 AM     SNOW             11 N LAKE CITY          44.49N 85.21W
12/04/2013  M3.8 INCH        MISSAUKEE          MI   SPOTTER

            24 HR TOTAL THROUGH 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 8 INCHES.

0800 AM     SNOW             8 SW GAYLORD            44.95N 84.79W
12/04/2013  E4.0 INCH        OTSEGO             MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

0800 AM     SNOW             4 SSE SOUTH BOARDMAN    44.58N 85.22W
12/04/2013  M4.0 INCH        KALKASKA           MI   SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

0800 AM     SNOW             MIO                     44.66N 84.13W
12/04/2013  E4.2 INCH        OSCODA             MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

0826 AM     SNOW             ST. HELEN               44.36N 84.42W
12/04/2013  M3.3 INCH        ROSCOMMON          MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

0826 AM     SNOW             LUPTON                  44.43N 84.02W
12/04/2013  M3.5 INCH        OGEMAW             MI   SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

&&

BERGER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1156 AM EST WED DEC 4 2013

MIZ008-015>019-041900-
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE...
PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX
1156 AM EST WED DEC 4 2013

...WINTRY PRECIPITATION CONTINUES IN THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC AND
EASTERN UPPER...

A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS EAST UPPER AND STRAITS OF
MACKINAC. THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT MIXED PRECIPITATION
WILL AFFECT ST IGANCE...PICKFORD...RUDYARD...HESSEL AND DETOUR
THROUGH 1 PM.

DRIVERS SHOULD BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES AND
ROAD CONDITIONS INTO THE AFTERNOON.