Gale Warning 19, NWS Gaylord, MI

879 
WHUS73 KAPX 201445
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1045 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-344>346-202200-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0019.131021T0900Z-131022T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1045 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-202200-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0018.131021T1200Z-131022T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1045 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

846 
WHUS73 KAPX 202016
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
416 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-344>346-210400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0019.131021T0900Z-131022T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
416 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-210400-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.131021T0600Z-131022T1500Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
416 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-210400-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.131021T0600Z-131022T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
416 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-210400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0018.131021T1200Z-131022T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
416 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

053 
WHUS73 KAPX 210317
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1117 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-344>346-211130-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0019.131021T0900Z-131022T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1117 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-211130-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.131021T0600Z-131022T1500Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1117 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-211130-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.131021T0600Z-131022T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1117 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-211130-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0018.131021T1200Z-131022T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1117 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

354 
WHUS73 KAPX 210735
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
335 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-344>346-211545-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0019.131021T0900Z-131022T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
335 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-211545-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.131021T0900Z-131022T1500Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0018.131021T1200Z-131022T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
335 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-211545-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
335 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-211545-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
335 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

021 
WHUS73 KAPX 211408
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1008 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-344>346-212215-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1008 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-212215-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1008 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-212215-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1008 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-212215-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1008 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

589 
WHUS73 KAPX 211938
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
338 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-344>346-220345-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
338 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-220345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
338 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-220345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
338 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-220345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
338 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

738 
WHUS73 KAPX 220304
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1104 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-344>346-221115-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1104 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-221115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1104 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-221115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1104 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-221115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1104 PM EDT MON OCT 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

041 
WHUS73 KAPX 220821
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
421 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-344>346-221500-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
421 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-221630-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131023T0300Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
421 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-221630-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131023T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
421 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-221630-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131023T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
421 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

681 
WHUS73 KAPX 221515
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1115 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

LHZ345-222315-
/O.EXP.KAPX.GL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131023T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
1115 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-344>346-222315-
/O.EXP.KAPX.GL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-131022T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131023T0300Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1115 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-222315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131023T0300Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1115 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-222315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131023T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1115 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-222315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0178.000000T0000Z-131023T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1115 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1100 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 316 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

COOL WEATHER WITH PERIODS OF LAKE ENHANCED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
INTO NEXT WEEK...AS A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE
GREAT LAKES. EVEN COLDER AIR WILL ENGULF THE GREAT LAKES AND UPPER
MIDWEST BY MONDAY...AS ANOTHER WEAK STORM SYSTEM EXITS NORTHEAST
INTO QUEBEC EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK. TEMPERATURES MAY GET COLD ENOUGH
TO BRING THE FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON...ESPECIALLY TO THE
INTERIOR HIGHLANDS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

LAKE ENHANCED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS CONSOLIDATED FROM THE STRAITS
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE AS EXPECTED NOW THAT
DIURNAL DISRUPTION HAS ENDED AND LAKE PROCESSES AGAIN DOMINATE
DRIVEN BY W/SW FLOW. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVING INTO LAKE MICHIGAN
IS CERTAINLY PROVIDING ADDITIONAL CONVERGENCE TO ENHANCE LAKE
CONVECTION. THIS SURFACE FEATURE WILL BE SLOW TO PUSH EAST
OVERNIGHT...TENDING TO HOLD POSITION WITH THE LAKE AGGREGATE
TROUGHING. THUS...PERSISTENT W/SW FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO TARGET
THESE SAME AREAS OVERNIGHT FOR HIGHEST POPS. LATEST NAM BUFR
SOUNDINGS STILL SHOWS A SUFFICIENTLY THICK SURFACE BASED WARM
LAYER TO KEEP PRECIP ALL LIQUID OVERNIGHT...THUS WILL KEEP ANY
MENTION OF FROZEN PRECIP OUT OF THE FORECAST. A FEW LOCATIONS
INLAND WILL DIP TO OR CLOSE TO FREEZING...ESPECIALLY DURING
PERIODIC BOUTS OF CLEARING SKIES. BUT TEMPS SHOULD REBOUND ENOUGH
(A COUPLE OF DEGREES) WHEN/IF PRECIP MOVES IN...WHICH SHOULD KEEP
PRECIP ALL LIQUID.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 700 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

SCT/NMRS LAKE ENHANCED RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. OVERALL AREAL COVERAGE IS TENDING TO
DIMINISH AS DIURNAL INSTABILITY WANES...BUT A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
HAS LENDING SOME ORGANIZATION TO A LINE OF SHOWERS NOW MOVING THRU
NRN LAKE MICHIGAN. HIGHEST (LIKELY) POPS WILL REMAIN FOCUSED FROM
THE STRAITS AND THE TIP OF THE MITT THRU NW LWR MICHIGAN FOR THE
REST OF THE NIGHT DIRECTED BY W/SW LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF OF LAKE
MICHIGAN. EXPECT LAKE BANDING WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES WITH LOSS OF THE TYPICAL DAYTIME DISRUPTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 316 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

SUBTLE LOW-MID LEVEL RIDGING NOW WORKING THROUGH THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH A PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL DRY SLOT ALSO MOVING
THROUGH. THIS HAS LEAD TO QUITE A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER
OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR/STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ALOFT (1000-500 MB LAPSE RATES GREATER THAN 7C/KM) HAS
LEAD TO SCT-NMRS RAIN SHOWERS POPPING UP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE
REGION. ONE CG LIGHTNING STRIKE IN EASTERN MUSKEGON COUNTY A
LITTLE WHILE AGO...BUT NONE UP THIS WAY SO FAR. THUNDER ACTIVITY
MAY BE A BIT MORE SUPPRESSED TODAY WITH A COOLER ENVIRONMENT/LESS
CAPE. BUT THE POTENTIAL IS STILL THERE WITH OVER 100 J/KG OF
MUCAPE ACROSS A GOOD PART OF THE CWA (ESPECIALLY NW LOWER) PER SPC
MESOANALYSIS PAGE. UPSTREAM...ANOTHER LOW LEVEL TROUGH AXIS NOTED
WORKING THROUGH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...ALONG WITH ANOTHER ELONGATED
MID LEVEL VORTICITY CENTER ALONG THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER
TROUGH....ALL OF WHICH IS HEADING OUR WAY FOR LATER TONIGHT.

TONIGHT...INLAND DIURNALLY INDUCED SHOWERS MAY FIZZLE A BIT
HEADING INTO THE EVENING HOURS ALTHOUGH LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY
MAY CONTINUE TO GENERATE SOME SHOWERS...LARGELY IMPACTING NW LOWER
MICHIGAN. THEN...UPSTREAM SFC TROUGH AND MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS WILL
SWING INTO THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS CORE OF
COLDEST AIR ALOFT SLIPS THROUGH NRN MICHIGAN. PERIODIC SHOWER
THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS A RESULT...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NW LOWER MICHIGAN INTO THE STRAITS GIVEN OVERALL
WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF LAKE MICHIGAN. THUNDER THREAT AS
WELL...MAINLY THIS EVENING OVER AND NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN.

SUNDAY...W/SW LOW LEVEL FLOW LINGERS THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AS LOW
LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SWINGS UP THROUGH THE REGION. WILL KEEP SCT
SHOWER THREAT GOING OFF LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WHICH
SHOULD LARGELY END BY AFTERNOON AS WINDS BACK MORE SOUTHERLY.
THEN...STRONG SFC CYCLOGENESIS LOOKING TO RAMP UP IN EARNEST ACROSS
WISCONSIN LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...IN RESPONSE
TO NEXT STRONG SHORT WAVE (AND POCKET OF COLDEST AIR) BEGINS TO
SLIDE INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. STRONG WARM ADVECTION FORCING RAMPS
UP AHEAD OF THE LOW ACROSS WISCONSIN PARTS OF NRN MICHIGAN BY
SUNDAY EVENING AND HAVE ADDED A WEDGE OF CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE
S/SW COUNTIES FOR LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACCORDINGLY.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 316 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

(10/20)SUNDAY NIGHT...AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE C UPPER DURING THE
EVENING, THE WE GET INTO SOME STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT. THIS WILL
BRING RAIN TO THE MOST IF NOT ALL OF N LOWER AND E UPPER THROUGH THE
NIGHT. BY 12Z THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO WRAP UP AS THE 500 MB LOW
ROTATES INTO W LAKE SUPERIOR. THIS WILL ALLOW THE FIRST OF THE COLD
AIR TO BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THE 850 MB TEMPERATURES
ONLY DROP TO -2C IN N LAKE MICHIGAN SO RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
REGION.

(10/21)MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT...OF COURSE THEN WE SHIFT MODES FROM
ISENTROPIC LIFT TO THE COOL AIR AND THE LAKE ENHANCED CONVECTIVE
RAIN THAT WE GET DURING THE FALL/EARLY WINTER SEASON. THE DELTA TS
WILL BE CLOSE TO 20C AS THE LAKE TEMPERATURES ARE STILL AROUND +15C
AND THE 850 MB TEMPERATURES FALL TO AROUND -5 OR -6C. WE MAY BEGIN
TO MIX WITH SNOW IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE LATE AFTERNOON, BUT IT
BECOMES MORE LIKELY AS WE GET INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE
SFC LAYER COOLS AWAY FROM THE LAKE AND WE BEGIN TO GET SNOW FLAKES.
LOOKED AT RAIN OR SNOW IN THE EVENING IN THE AREAS ABOVE 1000 FT,
HOWEVER, OVERNIGHT WILL MORE LIKELY BE A MIX WITH SOME AREAS
POSSIBLY GOING TO ALL SNOW. IT MAY ACCUMULATE, AS THE SOIL
TEMPERATURES WILL PROBABLY BE IN THE 40-50F RANGE BY MONDAY NIGHT,
WE WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW INTENSE THE SNOW FALL TO DETERMINE IF IT
WILL ACCUMULATE.

(10/22)TUESDAY...WITH THE WRAPPED UP SFC AND 500 MB LOW, THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY RISE ABOVE -5C ALLOWING THE DAY TO BY MAINLY
RAIN. DON'T THINK THAT SNOW WILL MIX FOR THE AFTERNOON, AND IT WON'T
BE UNTIL LATER IN THE EVENING, WHEN THE -5C ISOTHERM AND THEN THE
-6C ISOTHERM BEGIN TO PUSH INTO N LOWER (-7C IN E UPPER). SO HAVE
THINGS BECOMING MIXED AGAIN TUESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE GFS
AND ECMWF DISAGREE ON WHETHER BY 12Z THE NEXT MORNING THE -7C
ISOTHERM DROPS INTO N LOWER. SO WILL CONTINUE THE MIX OVERNIGHT, BUT
IF THIS IS THE CASE, THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAY SEE ALL SNOW. OF
COURSE, THERE WILL BE SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS AS THE DELTA TS
WILL STILL BE AROUND 20C. THE 850-700 MB LAYER RH REMAINS ABOVE 60%
THROUGH THE NIGHT, SO NW TO NNW FLOW LAKE EFFECT.

EXTENDED (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...(10/23)WEDNESDAY AND
(10/24)THURSDAY...LOOK PRETTY MUCH IDENTICAL AS THE DAYS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE RAIN SHOWERS ONLY, AND THE NIGHTS WILL FEATURE A MIX
OF RAIN AND SNOW. THIS IS ALL FACILITATED BY THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS
THAT ARE EXPECTED OUT OF THE NW. (10/25)FRIDAY...THE UNCERTAINTY IS
THAT THE GFS SAYS THE LAKE EFFECT DROPS OFF DURING THE DAY, AND THE
ECMWF (00Z AND 12Z) SAYS THAT THE LAKE EFFECT CONTINUES. NOT ONLY
THAT BY THE ECMWF HAS THE 850 MB TEMPERATURES DOWN TO -8C. THIS
COULD BE A DECENT LITTLE LES EVENT. (10/26)SATURDAY...THERE IS STILL
A MAJOR DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MODELS, BUT THE RESULT IS THAT THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AS THE LAKE EFFECT RAIN EITHER
COMES TO AN END(ECMWF), OR WE ARE ON THE BEGINNING OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM (GFS). SO THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL REMAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

SCT/NMRS LAKE ENHANCED RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NRN
LWR MICHIGAN TAF SITES THRU SUNDAY NIGHT THANKS TO DEEP CYCLONIC
FLOW...COLD AIR ACTIVATING THE LAKES AND AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
OVERALL...CIGS WILL REMAIN LOW VFR...BUT MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO HIGH
MVFR WITHIN SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWER ACTIVITY. WESTERLY WINDS
UNDER 10 KTS TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO THE S/SW ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SLIDING INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 316 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

OVERALL WESTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SOME GUSTINESS IS EXPECTED...BUT GUSTS AND
WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS. WINDS BACK MORE S/SE ON SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF A STORM
SYSTEM THAT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION EARLY MONDAY. COLD FRONT
SLIPS THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY GUSTY SW-W
WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT. SOME GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY MONDAY ON THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE
AREAS INTO THE STRAITS...AND GALE WATCH HEADLINES WILL BE HOISTED
THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     LHZ345.
LM...GALE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     LMZ341-342-344>346.
LS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...MR
SYNOPSIS...NS
SHORT TERM...BA
LONG TERM...JL
AVIATION...MR
MARINE...BA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1100 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
201000-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1100 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...
MAINLY FROM THE STRAITS THROUGH NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. THE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE...ALTHOUGH SMALL HAIL TO
PEA SIZE IS LIKELY TO OCCUR WITHING HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

THERE IS A THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS ON LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN INTO THE
STRAITS...LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

THE FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOW OF THE SEASON IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
INTERIOR HIGHLANDS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NEXT WEEK. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SNOW TO ACCUMULATE WILL BE DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS TUESDAY...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/APX.

ADAM