Gale Warning 11, NWS Gaylord, MI

881 
WHUS73 KAPX 310949
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
549 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

LHZ347-311400-
/O.NEW.KAPX.MF.Y.0002.130331T0949Z-130331T1400Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130401T0300Z-130402T0300Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
549 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. A
GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-311400-
/O.NEW.KAPX.MF.Y.0002.130331T0949Z-130331T1400Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130331T2100Z-130402T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
549 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. A
GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-311400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130401T0300Z-130402T0300Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
549 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ322-311400-
/O.NEW.KAPX.MF.Y.0002.130331T0949Z-130331T1400Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0036.130331T2100Z-130402T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
549 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-LMZ323-344>346-311400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0036.130331T2100Z-130402T0300Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
549 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

078 
WHUS73 KAPX 311351
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
951 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

LHZ347-312200-
/O.CAN.KAPX.MF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130331T1400Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130401T0300Z-130402T0300Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
951 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM EDT MONDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE
FOG ADVISORY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-312200-
/O.EXT.KAPX.MF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130331T1700Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130331T2100Z-130402T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
951 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* VISIBILITY: 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-312200-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130401T0300Z-130402T0300Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
951 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ322-312200-
/O.EXT.KAPX.MF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130331T1700Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0036.130331T2100Z-130402T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
951 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM
THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* VISIBILITY: 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-LMZ323-344>346-312200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0036.130331T2100Z-130402T0300Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
951 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

317 
WHUS73 KAPX 311948
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
348 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

LHZ347-348-010400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130401T0300Z-130402T0300Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
348 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-010400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130331T2100Z-130402T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
348 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ322-010400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0036.130331T2100Z-130402T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
348 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

109 
WHUS73 KAPX 010258
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1058 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ322-011100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-130402T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130402T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1058 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-011100-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0011.130401T0258Z-130402T0300Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1058 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-011100-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130402T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1058 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

538 
WHUS73 KAPX 010727
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
327 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-011530-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130402T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
327 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

855 
WHUS73 KAPX 011016
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
616 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ322-011830-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130402T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0037.130401T1016Z-130402T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
616 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-011830-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130402T0300Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
616 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

282 
WHUS73 KAPX 012200
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
600 PM EDT MON APR 1 2013

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-020600-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130402T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-130402T0900Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
600 PM EDT MON APR 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ322-020600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-130402T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
600 PM EDT MON APR 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
126 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 343 PM EDT SAT MAR 30 2013

A NORTHERN PLAINS STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT... AND SWEEP OVER THE STATE SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL EXIT
NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC MONDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THIS
SYSTEM...WILL GENERATE MILD TEMPERATURES AND RAIN SHOWERS OVER
NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

HOWEVER...COLDER AIR AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FILTER INTO THE
REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON...ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE EXITING SYSTEM.
THE COLDER AIR WILL GENERATE ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE INDUCED SNOW
SHOWERS...OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1235 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

CHANGES THIS HOUR: HAVE MADE ADDITIONAL TWEAKS TO PRECIPITATION
TIMING AND ALSO TO HOURLY TEMPS BASED ON WET BULB COOLING. OTHER
CHANGE IS TO ADD FOG FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...SPREADING EAST WITH
TIME AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE PEELS OUT AND ALLOWS VERY MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER TO COOL. THIS HAS PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT VSBY
RESTRICTIONS OVER EASTERN WISCONSIN WITH NEAR TERM LOCAL WRF/SREF
GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THESE LOWER VSBYS WILL MAKE THE LEAP OVER LAKE
MICHIGAN IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COULD EVEN SEE SOME LOCALLY DENSE
FOG...BUT WILL MONITOR TRENDS BEFORE ADDING DENSE FOG WORDING TO
THE FORECAST.

WITH PRECIPITATION EXITING TO THE EAST...REMAINING SNOW CONCERNS
ARE QUICKLY ENDING. WEBCAMS NEAR THE SOO SHOW WET ROADS...IN
AGREEMENT WITH RWIS ROAD SURFACE TEMPS IN THE UPPER 30S.
SO...EXPECT NO IMPACT FROM SNOW WITH ALL SNOW OVER IN THE NEXT
1-2 HOURS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 1018 PM EDT SAT MAR 30 2013

EASTWARD PROGRESS OF RAIN SHIELD HAS BEEN SLOWER THAN EXPECTED. ERN
EDGE CONTINUES TO ERODE AS IT RUNS INTO THE VERY DRY LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS LWR MICHIGAN. HAVE DELAYED ARRIVAL OF
CATEGORICAL POPS BY A COUPLE OF HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS DELAY.
ALSO...EXTENDED MIXED RAIN/SNOW ACROSS ERN UPR MICHIGAN FOR A FEW
HOURS AS THE CHANGE OVER TO PLAIN RAIN HAS ALSO BEEN DELAYED.
TEMPS ARE GENERALLY IN THE MID 30S ACROSS THIS AREA WITH MIXED
RAIN AND SNOW...THUS EXPECT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION BEFORE PRECIP CHANGES OVER TO ALL RAIN BEFORE ENDING
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TEMPS ARE HOLDING IN THE LOW TO MID 40S
ACROSS ALL OF NRN LWR MICHIGAN...THUS PRECIP IS ALL LIQUID...AND
WILL REMAIN ALL LIQUID THRU THE NIGHT AS TEMPS FALL MAINLY INTO
THE UPPER 30S FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 718 PM EDT SAT MAR 30 2013

ARRIVAL OF WIDESPREAD PRECIP...MAINLY RAIN...IS GENERALLY ON TIME
THIS EVENING...WITH SURFACE OBS NOW REPORTING RAIN ACROSS MOST OF
ERN UPR MICHIGAN SOUTHWARD THRU THE STRAITS AND INTO FAR NW LWR
MICHIGAN. SWATH OF RAIN EXTENDS BACK INTO ERN WISCONSIN AND WILL
GRADUALLY MAKE ITS WAY NE INTO THE REMAINDER OF OUR CWA THRU THE
EVENING. SURFACE TEMPS ARE WELL ABOVE FREEZING THANKS TO STRONG
WAA TODAY...AND REMAINS WELL ABOVE FREEZING EVEN OVER AREAS WHERE
RAIN HAS BEGAN AND TEMPS HAVE FALLEN A BIT. WILL CERTAINLY KEEP A
CLOSE EYE ON HOW LOW LEVEL TEMPS...AND THUS PRECIP TYPE...EVOLVE
THRU THE NIGHT. BUT AT THIS POINT...STILL EXPECT PRECIP TYPE TO
REMAIN MOSTLY LIQUID...EVEN ACROSS ERN UPR MICHIGAN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 343 PM EDT SAT MAR 30 2013

SURFACE COLD FRONT IS SLOWLY ADVANCING ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY. A
REASONABLY LARGE AREA OF PRECIP IS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH THE
LEADING EDGE PUSHING INTO EASTERN UPPER MI. MOST OF THE UPSTREAM
PRECIP IN WI HAS BEEN RAIN. BUT ALONG THE UPPER MI BORDER AND
INTO THE U.P...SNOW HAS BEEN SUBSTANTIAL IN SPOTS...WITH 1-3 INCH
ACCUMS IN PARTS OF WESTERN/CENTRAL UPPER MI. PRECIP TRENDS ARE THE
MAIN CONCERN.

TONIGHT...DO NOT NEED TO BELABOR THE IDEA THAT PRECIP WILL OCCUR
TONIGHT IN MOST OF THE AREA...GIVEN UPSTREAM RADAR/SURFACE OB
TRENDS. MODEL PORTRAYALS OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT OVERCOMING THE DRY
AIR NOW IN PLACE HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT. SOME TIMING ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE...MAINLY TO SLIGHTLY ACCELERATE THE EXIT OF PRECIP
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

THE REAL ISSUE IS P-TYPE IN EASTERN UPPER. UPSTREAM REPORTS SHOW A
SURPRISINGLY IMPRESSIVE SNOW EVENT...ESPECIALLY GIVEN IT HAPPENED
DURING THE DAY WITH A HIGH SUN ANGLE. HOWEVER...THAT SAME SUN
ANGLE HAS SUBSTANTIALLY WARMED THE LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS IN EASTERN
UPPER...WHERE TEMPS ARE WELL INTO THE 40S PENDING THE ARRIVAL OF
PRECIP. PLENTY OF EVAP COOLING EXISTS...WITH DEW POINTS NEAR 20F.
THAT PUTS CURRENT WET BULB TEMPS AT 36F AT KINROSS...THE
SAULT...AND DRUMMOND. GIVEN LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL
CONTINUE AS PRECIP ARRIVES...THAT FAVORS RAIN OR A VERY SLOPPY
SNOW WITH LIMITED ACCUMS. HOWEVER...THE CHILLY MARINE LAYER FROM
LAKE MI HAS A COOLER WET BULB...33-34 PER MACK ISL/BEAVER ISL.
SIMILARLY...PRECIP HAS ARRIVED AT ISQ AS SNOW. THUS...HAVE
FLIPPED EARLIER FORECAST EXPECTATIONS...FAVORING A BIT MORE SNOW
NEAR LAKE MI THAN ELSEWHERE. WILL ALLOW FOR A SLOPPY INCH OF
ACCUMS NEAR LAKE MI...WHICH WILL BE PRIMARILY ON NON-PAVED
SURFACES.

MIN TEMPS IN THE 30S.

SUNDAY...MORE WIDESPREAD -RA WILL BE EXITING NE LOWER MI FAIRLY
QUICKLY IN THE MORNING. PLENTY OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
REMAINS IN THE POST-FRONTAL COLD ADVECTION ZONE...SO PLENTY OF
CLOUDS. INSTABILITY NEEDED TO GENERATE LAKE EFFECT IS
LACKING...UNTIL MID-LATE AFTERNOON...AND MAINLY ON SUPERIOR. 850MB
TEMPS DO NOT REACH -10C UNTIL JUST ABOUT 00Z. NOT IMPOSSIBLE WE
COULD SEE PERIODS OF DZ FOR PART OF THE DAY...THOUGH WILL NOT
COMPLICATE THE FORECAST WITH THAT JUST YET. NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. MAX TEMPS 40 TO 50F...WARMEST
NEAR SAGINAW BAY. TEMPS WILL FALL IN NORTHERN/WESTERN SECTIONS
LATE IN THE DAY...AND W TO NW WINDS WILL BECOME BRISK.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 343 PM EDT SAT MAR 30 2013

ALL EYES STILL DIRECTED AT ANOTHER SHOT OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR AND
A POTENTIAL LATE SEASON LAKE INDUCED SNOW EVENT TO KICK OFF NEXT
WEEK. PERUSAL OF NOAM WATER VAPOR AND SURFACE OBS CONFIRM
SUCH...WITH STRONG SHORTWAVE DIVING THROUGH MANITOBA (WIDESPREAD SUB
ZERO READINGS JUST BEHIND IT OVER THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES)....ALL
THE WHILE HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG WESTERN COAST. SAID
SHORTWAVE AND ATTENDANT COLD POOL SIMPLY HAVE NO OTHER PLACE TO GO
THAN ACROSS THE NORTHERN LAKES GIVEN BACKSIDE HEIGHT RISES AND
FRONTSIDE CANADIAN MARITIME BLOCKING. NO DOUBT AIRMASS MODIFICATION
WILL TAME THIS ARCTIC ONSLAUGHT SOMEWHAT...BUT NEVERTHELESS...
IMPRESSIVE SURGE OF COLD AIR WILL KICK OFF THE NEW MONTH AND HELP
REV UP THE LAKE GUNS ONCE AGAIN. ABOVE PATTERN LOOKS TO RELAX RATHER
QUICKLY...WITH EVEN SOME HINTS THROUGH LARGE SCALE PATTERN INDICES
OF A BONAFIDE WARM-UP TAKING HOLD THE SECOND WEEK OF APRIL. OF
COURSE...STILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH NEAR TERM REALITY...OF WHICH
DOWNWARD TEMPERATURE TRENDS AND ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOW POTENTIAL
TAKE CENTER STAGE IN THE FORECAST CONCERNS DEPARTMENT.

NORTHERN MICHIGAN FIRMLY IN THE GRASP OF INTENSE CAA SURGE TO KICK
OFF SUNDAY NIGHT AS CENTER OF FIRST PARAGRAPH SYSTEM DIGS INTO
SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND ATTENDANT DEEP TROUGH SPREADS THROUGH THE
REGION. OFF THE DECK THERMAL REGIME ESSENTIALLY STAYS STEADY-STATE
RIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...WITH H8 TEMPERATURES AROUND
-15C...GIVE OR TAKE A DEGREE OR TWO....AS TROUGH AXIS SLOWLY PUSHES
EAST. BEST UPWARD QG SUPPORT/CONVERGENT MOISTURE AXIS WELL TO OUR
EAST BY SUNDAY EVENING ...LEAVING LAKE RESPONSE AND POSSIBLE LOWER
AMPLITUDE MID LEVEL WAVES ROTATING AROUND DEPARTING PARENT SYSTEM AS
SNOW GENERATORS. REALLY NOT A WHOLE LOT OF SUPPORT FOR ANYTHING OF
SIGNIFICANCE REGARDING THE LATTER...WITH DYNAMIC ASCENT/SUPPORT
LIMITED AT BEST WITH ANY PASSING WAVES..ESPECIALLY AFTER SUNDAY
NIGHT. THUS...FOCUS BECOMES A LAKE RESPONSE ONE WITH SAID THERMAL
PROGS MORE THAN SUPPORTIVE IN ENTICING SUCH THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
QUICK CHECK OF MODEL PROJECTED SOUNDINGS SOMEWHAT DISCONCERTING AS
WE HEAD INTO MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...WITH RAPID UPTICK TO H7
INVERSION LEVELS TIED TO OVERHEAD COLD POOL. OTHERWISE...DEFINITELY
NOT A SLAM DUNK REGARDING JUST HOW SIGNIFICANT OF AN EVENT THIS WILL
BE. SAME SOUNDINGS OFFER SOME SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVES...WITH RAPID
FLUCTUATIONS OF DEEP MOISTURE THROUGH THE CBL...AND EVEN SOME
SEMBLANCE OF LOW LEVEL INVERTED-V SIGNATURE OVER NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN. FAILURE FOR LOW LEVELS TO SATURATE SOUTH OF THE BRIDGE HAS
MERIT...WITH NEVER A GOOD LAKE SUPERIOR CONNECTION REALIZED...AND
MODEL PLAIN VIEWS SUPPORTING AOA 10C DEWPOINT DEPRESSION UPSTREAM OF
LAKE MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION...GOOD SUPPORT TERRESTRIAL CAPE WILL
OVERCOME MODEST SHEAR PROFILES...EVEN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THIS SUGGEST MORE CELLULAR SNOW SHOWERS...WITH COMPLETE LOSS OF ANY
DISORGANIZED BANDING BY LATER MONDAY MORNING. GIVING NEGATIVES AND
LOW CONFIDENCE...WILL CONTINUE TO TEMPER SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS
NORTHERN LOWER...ON THE ORDER OF AN INCH OR SO IN THE TRADITIONAL
SNOW BELTS EACH PERIOD SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS
A TOUCH MORE FAVORABLE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS EASTERN
UPPER...WITH DEEPER MOISTURE PROFILES AND GOOD SUPPORT FOR ENHANCED
CONVERGENCE AXIS ALONG PARTIALLY LAKE DRIVEN SURFACE TROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. WILL TREND HIGHER WITH SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THIS AREA...AND
COULD SEE 6 TO 8 INCHES THROUGH THE 36 HR PERIOD ENDING EARLY
TUESDAY.

OTHER STORY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE UNSEASONABLY COLD CONDITIONS...
MADE EVEN MORE SO BY GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS. UNSTABLE LOW
LEVELS AND LOW LEVEL JET CORE SUPPORT WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...ADDING CONSIDERABLY MORE CHILL TO TEMPERATURES
STUCK IN THE UPPER 20S AND 30S.

AS FOR ANY HEADLINES...NONE FORTHCOMING ON THIS SHIFT. SIMPLY TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY JUST YET TO HOIST ANY TYPE OF WATCH. COULD SEE THE NEED
FOR AN ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT FOR CHIPPEWA COUNTY
WITH HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS AND GUSTY WINDS LEADING TO BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...BUT WILL DEFER THAT DECISION TO FUTURE SHIFTS. MUCH
LESS CERTAIN FOR THE NEED FOR ANY HEADLINE ACROSS THE SNOW BELTS OF
NORTHERN LOWER.

AFTER SOME LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND COLD CONDITIONS
TUESDAY...MODERATING TEMPERATURES PRETTY MUCH THE NAME OF THE GAME
HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. MOISTURE STARVED WAVE/COLD FRONT MAY
PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR NORTH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW LOOKS TO
BECOME MUCH MORE ZONAL THROUGH THIS PERIOD...WITH A DECENTLY WELL
AGREED UPON FAST MOVING WAVE IMPACTING OUR WEATHER TO START THE
WEEKEND WITH ANOTHER PERIOD OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGH TEMPERATURES
RANGING FROM THE 30S NORTH...TO LOWER AND MIDDLE 40S
SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 124 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

SUMMARY: A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE TAF SITES EARLY THIS
MORNING...BRINGING AN END TO THE CURRENT RAINFALL...BUT USHERING LOW
CLOUDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG.  GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED
DURING THE DAY TODAY BEFORE STRONG WEST NORTHWEST WINDS USHER IN
COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING TO
END THE PERIOD TONIGHT.

RESTRICTIONS: GENERALLY MVFR ATTM UNDER RAIN AND LIGHT FOG/STRATUS
BUT UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE
DEPARTS WITH COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...FOG DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY.
WILL BE SOMEWHAT CAUTIOUS IN THIS TAF PACKAGE...BRINGING A PERIOD
OF IFR VSBYS /AND POSSIBLY CIGS/ THROUGH DAYBREAK...BUT WILL HOLD
OFF FROM GOING LIFR UNTIL WE CAN MONITOR TRENDS A LITTLE LONGER.
CERTAINLY NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT SOME LOCALLY DENSE FOG MAY
IMPACT MBL-TVC-PLN. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE THIS MORNING
WITH VFR CONDITIONS TAKING OVER BY AFTERNOON. A RETURN TO MVFR
CIGS /AND POTENTIALLY VSBYS/ LOOKS LIKELY AT PLN THIS EVENING AS
LAKE EFFECT SHSN GET GOING WITH LESS CONFIDENCE THAT THESE WILL
BRING RESTRICTIONS TO TVC/MBL.

WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10KTS WILL SHIFT WEST AND STRENGTHEN TO
14G22KTS FOR THE DAY TODAY BEFORE VEERING NORTHWEST AND CONTINUING
14G22KTS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

LLWS: WILL CONTINUE AT MBL-TVC-APN FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH
1.5KFT WINDS NEAR 30KTS BEFORE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE BRINGS AN END TO
THE SHEAR.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 343 PM EDT SAT MAR 30 2013

SOMEWHAT BLUSTERY SW WINDS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WILL MAINTAIN
CHOPPY CONDITIONS AND MARGINAL SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ON WHITEFISH
BAY AND LAKE MI TONIGHT. WINDS WILL VEER WEST BUT BE ON THE LIGHT
SIDE SUNDAY MORNING...BUT START TO INCREASE WHILE FURTHER VEERING
TO THE NW SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL NEARSHORE WATERS
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AS AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS AND LOW
LEVEL JET CORE SPREAD THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS FAVOR EXCELLENT
NORTHEAST LOWER COASTLINE COASTAL CONVERGENCE...LIKELY BRINGING GALE
FORCE CONDITIONS TO THAT AREA LATER SUNDAY EVENING...LASTING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING. WILL ISSUE A GALE WATCH TO COVER THIS POTENTIAL.
SCA/S LIKELY NEEDED ELSEWHERE...BUT WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW. STILL HAVE
SOME CONCERN FOR POTENTIAL GALE GUSTS OVER NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN
FOR A PERIOD SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR LHZ347-
     348.
LM...NONE.
LS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...ARNOTT
SYNOPSIS...SR
SHORT TERM...JZ
LONG TERM...MB
AVIATION...ARNOTT
MARINE...JZ/MB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1252 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
010800-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1252 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN
OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG WINDS AND MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL LIKELY
BRING A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE SNOWBELTS OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
MICHIGAN NEARSHORE WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. SEE
LATEST MARINE HEADLINES FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

ARNOTT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1251 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

MIZ008-015>023-025>028-031>033-310800-
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE...
PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...
MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
1251 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...PATCHY DENSE FOG DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

AS RAINFALL DEPARTS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...AMPLE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY DENSE FOG TO MUCH OF
NORTHERN MICHIGAN. FOG WILL HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED ALONG THE COAST
OF NORTHWEST LOWER...AND OVER CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES IN
EASTERN UPPER...AND WILL SPREAD TO AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF A
CADILLAC TO GAYLORD TO ROGERS CITY LINE THROUGH 4 AM. THIS WILL
RESULT IN RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES ON AREA ROADWAYS...SO USE
EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

VISIBILITIES WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE AFTER DAYBREAK.

ARNOTT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
355 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

MIZ008-015>023-025>028-031>033-311300-
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE...
PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...
MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
355 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013

...PATCHY DENSE FOG TO CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK...

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS DEVELOPING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA
EARLY THIS MORNING AS MOISTURE FROM OVERNIGHT RAINFALL INTERACTS
WITH COOLING TEMPERATURES.

THE FOG WILL CAUSE RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES ON AREA
ROADWAYS...SO PLEASE USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING THIS MORNING
AS VISIBILITIES MAY DROP TO NEAR ZERO IN SOME SPOTS.

VISIBILITIES WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE AFTER DAYBREAK.

ARNOTT