Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2013

Wind Advisory 7, NWS Albany, NY

November 17, 20134 states

NWS Albany, NY issued this wind advisory at Nov 17, 2013, 12:23 PM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Nov 17, 2013, 10:32 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2013, 12:23 PM EST (17:23 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 17, 2013, 10:32 PM EST
Expired
Nov 18, 2013, 8:15 AM EST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 195 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
584 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
205 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

980 
WWUS71 KALY 171723
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1223 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013


NYZ032-033-038-181000-
/O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0007.131118T0500Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
1223 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
  TONIGHT...SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST TOMORROW MORNING.

* TIMING...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AROUND
  MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE UNTIL DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
  WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH AROUND
  DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH THROUGH ABOUT 4 PM.

* IMPACTS...WINDS MAY BRING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE
  SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
519 
WWUS71 KALY 172129
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
429 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

NYZ032-033-038-181000-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0007.131118T0500Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
429 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH 
  TONIGHT...SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST TOMORROW MORNING.

* TIMING...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AROUND 
  MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE UNTIL DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. 
  WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH AROUND 
  DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH THROUGH ABOUT 4 PM.

* IMPACTS...WINDS MAY BRING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE 
  SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
156 
WWUS71 KALY 180332
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1032 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084-
VTZ013>015-181200-
/O.EXB.KALY.WI.Y.0007.131118T0332Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...
MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1032 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...BERKSHIRES...LITCHFIELD COUNTY
  CONNECTICUT...MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...LAKE
  GEORGE NORTHERN SARATOGA REGION...TACONICS...EASTERN
  CATSKILLS...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...AND THE MID HUDSON VALLEY OF EAST
  CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
  TONIGHT...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE TOMORROW
  MORNING.

* TIMING...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH EARLY THIS
  MORNING...AND CONTINUE UNTIL DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
  WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH AROUND
  DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 4 PM.

* IMPACTS...WINDS MAY BRING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE ISOLATED POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NYZ032-033-038-181200-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0007.131118T0500Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
1032 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
  TONIGHT...SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE TOMORROW MORNING.

* TIMING...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH EARLY THIS
  MORNING AND CONTINUE UNTIL DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. WINDS WILL
  SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH AROUND DAYBREAK WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH THROUGH ABOUT 4 PM.

* IMPACTS...WINDS MAY BRING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE ISOLATED POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
680 
WWUS71 KALY 180507
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1207 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-181300-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1207 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...BERKSHIRES...LITCHFIELD COUNTY
  CONNECTICUT...SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER
  CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE NORTHERN SARATOGA
  REGION...TACONICS... EASTERN CATSKILLS... SCHOHARIE VALLEY...AND
  THE MID HUDSON VALLEY OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH EARLY
  THIS MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE THIS
  MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH EARLY THIS 
  MORNING...AND CONTINUE UNTIL DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. 
  WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH AROUND 
  DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 4 PM.

* IMPACTS...WINDS MAY BRING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
048 
WWUS71 KALY 180831
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
331 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-182100-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
331 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH EARLY
  THIS MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE THIS
  MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH EARLY THIS
  MORNING...AND CONTINUE UNTIL DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
  WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH AROUND
  DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 4 PM.

* IMPACTS...WINDS MAY BRING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
709 
WWUS71 KALY 180940
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
440 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-182100-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
440 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH EARLY 
  THIS MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE THIS 
  MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
  MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST
  AND WEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH AROUND DAYBREAK WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH
  UNTIL ABOUT 4 PM.

* IMPACTS...WINDS MAY BRING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46-57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
605 
WWUS71 KALY 181315
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
815 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-181415-
/O.CAN.KALY.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
815 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND.

THE THREAT FOR WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH HAS DIMINISHED.
SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY TODAY WITH GUSTS OF 30 
TO 40 MPH EXPECTED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 17, 10:02 AM EST, 2 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 10:02 AM EST, 2 hours 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1002 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL SLIDE OUT TO SEA
TODAY.  A POWERFUL STORM WILL MOVE FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
TOWARD JAMES BAY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. IT WILL BRING WINDY
CONDITIONS TO THE REGION...AND DRIVE A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY MORNING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL POUR INTO THE REGION
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH SOME CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM ONTARIO TO THE GULF COAST TUESDAY...THEN
SETTLE OVER OUR REGION MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
...SLIGHT RISK FROM SPC HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE
REGION THROUGH TONIGHT...

AS OF 930 AM EST...LOW STRATUS AND DRIZZLE HAVE QUICKLY EVOLVED
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR COUNTY WARNING AREA AND HAVE
EXPANDED THE POPS AND MENTION OF DRIZZLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. TEMPERATURE ANALYSIS REVEALS THE COLDER AIR HAS
REMAINED LOCKED IN ACROSS THE EASTERN GREENS OF SOUTHERN VERMONT
WHERE MID-UPR 30S RESIDE WITH THE WESTERN GREENS WELL INTO THE
50S. SO WE HAVE MODIFIED HOURLY TEMPS A BIT TO MATCH UP BETTER
WITH OBSERVATIONS. PER THE 12Z SOUNDING HERE...AMPLE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE BELOW THE STRENGTHENING INVERSION AROUND H850 AND
INCREASING LOW LEVEL SHEAR HAS BEEN THE RESULT OF THE DRIZZLE
EXPANDING. THIS IS ALSO CONFIRMED WITH THE LATEST VWP REVEALING
AMPLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND NO ECHOES IN THE MID LEVELS /TOO DRY/
BETWEEN 8K-11K FEET.

REGIONAL RADAR SHOWS SHOWERS/PERIODS OF RAIN ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NY WITH EXPECTATIONS OF THIS REACHING THE WESTERN MOHAWK
VALLEY AND DACKS LATER THIS MORNING. THIS SHOULD EXPAND ACROSS
MOST OF EASTERN NY AND INTO THE UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENTS OF WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND LATER THIS AFTERNOON PER THE LATEST HRRR REFLECTIVITY.
BROAD INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT AND WARM MOIST ADVECTION WILL BE
SURE TO KEEP CLOUDS AND THAT EXPANDING AREA OF SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST WITH LITTLE CHANGES TO THE POPS/WX FOR THE LATER
AFTERNOON HOURS.

A VERY POWERFUL NEGATIVELY TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
BE PLOWING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY LATER TODAY. THIS FRONT COULD
MAKE WEATHER HISTORY IN THAT IT COULD SPAWN AN UNUSUAL PLETHORA OF
SEVERE WEATHER IN THOSE AREAS...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING IT IS MID
NOVEMBER. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST OUTLOOKS FROM THE STORM
PREDICATION CENTER.

FOR THE AFTERNOON...IT WILL BECOME NOTICEABLY BREEZIER IN MANY
SPOTS...OVERCAST WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES. PWAT VALUES LOOK TO RAMP UP TO AN INCH BY THE END OF THE
DAY...WHICH WOULD MAKE IT ABOUT 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL.
FORCING WILL REMAIN WEAK TODAY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY/S...GENERALLY
IN THE 55 TO 60 RANGE...WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

THE COLD WILL APPROACH WESTERN NEW YORK THIS EVENING. IT WILL HAVE
RUN OUT OF DAYLIGHT AND REALLY ANY GOOD SURFACE INSTABILITY.
HOWEVER...A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF OVER 50 MPH AS LOW AS 2000 FEET
OFF THE DECK WILL BE AHEAD OF IT...AND UP TO 75 MPH ABOUT 5,000 FEET
UP! WHILE SURFACE INSTABILITY NEVER REALLY IS THERE...IT DOES
APPEARS THAT THE SHOWALTER INDEX (INSTABILITY FROM THE 850 MB LEVEL)
WILL GO TO ZERO OR EVEN -1 TO -2 ACROSS PORTIONS OF OUR
REGION...JUST AHEAD OF IT OVERNIGHT.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS NOW PLACED A SLIGHT RISK OVER OUR
ENTIRE REGION...NAMELY FOR TONIGHT. AT THIS POINT WE FEEL ANY
CONVECTION WOULD BE LOW TOPPED...SCATTERED AT BEST AND CONFINED TO
NEAR THE ACTUAL PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...IT COULD EASILY
TAP INTO THE VERY POWERFUL WIND FIELD WHICH COULD TRANSLATE TO WIND
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH!

IT IS A GOOD BET THAT A CONVECTIVE LINE (PERHAPS WITHOUT ANY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES) WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT
AND MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH OUR REGION OVERNIGHT. AGAIN THIS LINE COULD
BRING GUSTY WINDS TO ABOUT 50 MPH OR MORE.

WE HAVE INCLUDED THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE FRONT...SOME
OF WHICH MIGHT CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS. WITH THE HIGH PWATS AND STRONG
CONVERGENCE WITH THE FRONT...RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH THE
LINE.

WE DID NOT PUT ANY AREA IN A HIGH WIND WATCH. IT LOOKS TO US AS
MUCH OF THE TIME THE GRADIENT OVERNIGHT WILL BE BELOW WIND
ADVISORY THRESHOLDS DUE TO AN INVERSION OVERHEAD (UNTIL THE COLD
FRONT ARRIVES). ONE EXCEPTION COULD THE ADIRONDACKS WHICH COULD
SEE WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 MPH. HOWEVER...WE WERE NOT CONFIDENT
JUST YET IN PLACING THEM INTO A HIGH WIND WATCH. LATER CREWS MIGHT
BE ISSUING ONE LATER ON TODAY.

THE BETTER CHANCE FOR ANY DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE ALONG THE SQUALL
LINE SHOULD IT FORM.

OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN EXCEPTIONALLY MILD FOR THE TIME OF
YEAR...FALLING LITTLE IF ANY...REMAINING IN THE 50S IN MOST AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MODEL SUITE DURING THIS PERIOD IS VERY MUCH IN AGREEMENT.

INTENSE STORM IS VERTICAL AND LIFTING QUICKLY NE ACROSS
ONTARIO/QB BORDER REGIONS MONDAY MORNING AS ITS CDFNT HAS CLEARED
THE FCA.  CLEARING SHOULD BE RAPID ACROSS FCA AS DRY SLOT
OVERSPREADS REGION. SFC WIND GRADIENT SHIFTS TO WEST AND REMAINS
ABOUT 12MB MON ACROSS NYS. SO BRISK WEST WINDS WITH SOME DOWN
SLOPING AND COMPRESSION WILL FOLLOW FROPA WITH A MILD BUT BRISK
DAY. TEMPS WILL REMAIN IN THE 50S AND LOW TO MID 60S S&E OF ALB.
2NDRY CDFNT AND A STRONG 500 HPA SHORT WV WILL APPROACH TWRD
EVENING WITH CLOUDS INCR FM NW TO SE.

MON NT FLOW WILL SHIFT TO NW BEHIND SECONDARY CDFNT...THEN N AS TROF
AXIS MOVES ACROSS RGN AND CAA INCR WITH SFC HIGH BUILDING FM OH
VLY TO GRTLKS. MODEST LK EFFECT RESPONSE AND UPSLOPE N FLOW OVER
HIR TRRN WILL INCR CLOUDS AND RESULT IN -SHSN N AND W MON NT INTO
TUE MRNG. THIS ACTIVITY WILL END QUICKLY TUESDAY MORNING AS TROF
SHIFTS EAST...UVM FM TROF BCMS DVM...AND SFC FLOW IS MOSTLY
N..BUT WINDS WILL STILL BE VERY BRISK TUES.

THE PERIOD ENDS WITH TRANQUILITY AS SFC HIGH CENTER SHIFTS OVER
RGN WED MORNING...AND RIDGING BUILDS OVER NE USA MIDWEEK. WITH
IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING...CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...14 HOURS
OF NIGHT...TEMPS WILL DROP TO SINGLE DIGITS N TO LOW 20S SE. MOS
MDL MINS HAVE BEEN TRENDING COLDER FOR THIS PERIOD SINCE LATE LAST
WEEK.

WED WILL START COLD AND REMAIN CHILLY WITH MAX TEMPS 5-10 DEG
BLOW NORMAL. BUT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LOTS OF SUN WILL BE
RELATIVELY PLEASANT FOR MID NOV.

WED NT WILL BE ANOTHER COLD ONE UNDER THE SFC HIGH CENTER WITH
LOWS 10 TO LOW 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE PERIOD FEATURES A FAST ZONAL 500HPA FLOW OVER N TIER OF
USA...ENDING WITH A BREAKING WAVE AND DEEPENING TROF OVER THE EAST.
AS SUCH ITS NOT A HIGH CONFIDENCE EFP AFTER FRIDAY MORNING.

MODEL SUITE BEGINS IN AGREEMENT AT FIRST...BUT SPREADS WIDELY BY END
OF PERIOD WITH MAINLY TIMING ISSUES BETWEEN ECMWF/GEM AND GFS. THUR
500HPA RIDGE FLATTENS INTO ZONAL FLOW. HVWR SFC HIGH REMAINS ALONG E
SEABOARD WITH LT S-SW SFC FLOW. RESULT IS FAIR DAY WITH A SLIGHT
MODERATION IN TEMPS TO NR NORMALS.  THU NT A WEAK BACKDOOR CDNFT
DROPS S ACROSS RGN WITH REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR. HWVR CDFNTS
MAGNITUDE AND WIND GRADIENT BEHIND IT OVR RGN FRI VARIES GREATLY FM
BTWN THE ECMWF/GEM/GFS AND HPC. ALL THE GUIDS HAS A GENERALLY FAIR
BUT COOLER DAY. THE EFP PERIOD ENDS WITH A SERIES OF SHORT WVS
DIGGING OUT A TROF AND 500HPA CUT OFF OVER THE EAST. THE GFS PUSHES
THIS STRONG CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM THROUGH REGION FRI NT INTO SAT
MORNING...WITH STRONG CAA FOR THE WEEKEND. THE ECMWF/GEM AS FAR AS
IT GOES KEEP THE FLOW ZONAL AT 500HPA ...WITH SFC HIGH OVER RGN
FRIDAY AND FRI NT. THESE MODELS HAVE THIS STRONG FROPA AND CAA
COMING THROUGH A DAY LATER ON SAT NT AND SUN. HPC GUIDANCE IS MORE
IN LINE WITH THIS LATER SOLUTION...AND GIVEN LOW CONFIDENCE AT END
OF EFP...SEE NO REASON WHY NOT TO GO WITH IT. SO WILL POPULATE WITH
HPC ON THIS UPDATE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WITH A LIKELY LINE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE WILL
IMPACT THE TERMINAL OVERNIGHT.

LOW END MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED AS WE DID AMMEND
THE TAFS ACCORDINGLY. THESE CIGS WILL LIKELY BOUNCE BETWEEN
CATEGORIES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN
THE LOW LEVEL JET THAT WILL BE ADDRESSED IN FUTURE UPDATES.

CIGS LOOK TO LIFT BACK TO THE HIGH END OF MVFR LATER IN THE MORNING
AFTER THE MORNING PEAK WITH OVERALL DECENT SURFACE VISIBILITY AS ANY
MIST DISSIPATES. HOWEVER...PATCHES OF DRIZZLE COULD DEVELOP DURING
THE AFTERNOON (NOT REFLECTED IN THE TAFS) BUT USED VCSH AT THAT TIME.

A LIGHT WIND WILL BECOME SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST AROUND 10KTS LATER ON
SUNDAY...WITH GUSTS UP TO 20KTS MAINLY AT KALB AND KPSF.

AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES TO NIGHT...THE SOUTH SURFACE
WIND WILL CONTINUE AT 10-15 KTS. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT PROMPTED US TO
INCLUDE WIND SHEAR AT THE KGFL TAF AFTER 00Z. AT THIS POINT...IT
WILL BE A CLOSE CALL AT THE OTHER TAF SITES BUT DID NOT INCLUDE IT
IN JUST YET AS THE DIFFERENTIAL BETWEEN THE SURFACE WIND AND 2000
FEET DID NOT QUITE MEET THE OFFICIAL THRESHOLD...BUT AGAIN IT IS
VERY CLOSE AND PILOTS SHOULD LOOK FOR ANY UPDATES.

SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT COULD REDUCE CONDITIONS TO IFR AT
TIMES...ALTHOUGH MVFR LOOKS TO PREDOMINATE. THERE LOOKS TO BE A LINE
OF GUSTY SHOWERS (AND POSSIBLY EVEN THUNDERSTORMS) WITH THE COLD
FRONT AS IT LOOKS TO CROSS THE TAFS BETWEEN ABOUT 08Z-12Z OVERNIGHT.
THE BIGGEST CONCERN COULD BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND JUST
BEHIND THIS FEATURE. WE REFLECTED THIS TREND IN THE TAFS. THE EXACT
TIMING WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED A LITTLE AS THIS LINE APPROACHES AND
THE WINDS COULD CERTAINLY BE BRIEFLY STRONGER THAN THE 30KT GUSTS WE
ARE CURRENTLY ADVERTISING.

OUTLOOK...

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT.BREEZY
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TODAY WILL BE THE LAST DAY WE ISSUE THE NFDRS FORECASTS AT 300 PM
THIS AFTERNOON. TOMORROW MORNING WILL BE LAST ISSUANCE OF THE FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCT AND FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THIS YEAR.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO POPULATE FIRE WEATHER GRIDS TWO TIMES A DAY FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE YEAR.

FOR TODAY...HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL PERSIST ALONG WITH PLENTY OF
CLOUDS...SOME PATCHY MORNING DRIZZLE AND THE CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON
SHOWERS. A SOUTHERLY WIND WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY
AFTERNOON.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT LIKELY
BRINGING A SQUALL LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS. MOST PLACES SHOULD RECEIVE A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN OR
MORE. WIND GUSTS COULD BRIEFLY REACH 40 MPH OR MORE WITH THIS LINE.

MOST PLACES WILL DRY OUT QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT...ALTHOUGH SOME
SHOWERS COULD LINGER ACROSS MAINLY THE ADIRONDACKS. IT WILL BE
SOMEWHAT WINDY WITH SOUTHWEST WIND BECOMING WESTERLY 10 TO 20 MPH
WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.

DRY AND COLDER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
WORKWEEK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO FLOODING OF RIVERS OR STREAMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FIVE
DAYS.

HOWEVER...RAIN COULD FALL HEAVILY ENOUGH OVERNIGHT TO PRODUCE AREAS
OF PONDING WHERE FALLEN LEAVES MIGHT CLOG DRAINS.

TODAY WILL FEATURE SOME PATCHES OF LIGHT DRIZZLE OR RAIN SHOWERS
WITH MOST AREAS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL
OR LESS.

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL WORK
ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...BRINGING MORE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL.
RIGHT NOW WE BELIEVE MOST AREAS WILL HAVE AROUND A HALF INCH OF
RAINFALL. THIS WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME MINOR RISES ON MANY
RIVERS AND STREAMS SINCE VEGETATION IS NOW COMPLETELY DORMANT.
HOWEVER...RIVERS AND STREAMS WERE RUNNING A BIT BELOW NORMAL...SO IS
VERY UNLIKELY ANY OF THEM WOULD REACH NEAR BANKFULL SINCE IT LOOKS
AS IF THE RAIN IS OUT OF HERE FOR THE MOST PART COME MONDAY.

A FEW ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS COULD FALL ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL UNDER A
QUARTER OF AN INCH. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL RESPONSES ARE EXPECTED
ON ANY OF THE WATERSHEDS IN OUR REGION. OTHERWISE...WE ARE DRY AGAIN
THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BGM/SNYDER
NEAR TERM...HWJIV/BGM
SHORT TERM...SNYDER
LONG TERM...SNYDER
AVIATION...HWJIV/BGM
FIRE WEATHER...HWJIV
HYDROLOGY...HWJIV

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 17, 9:19 AM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
919 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-181200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
919 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INCREASE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT ACROSS ALL OF
EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS
AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...MAINLY
FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT IN OUR EXTREME WESTERN AREAS...EXITING
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND AROUND 600 AM. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FROM
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

WHILE NO RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED...RAIN COULD FALL HEAVILY FOR
A TIME OVERNIGHT TO PRODUCE AREAS OF PONDING WHERE FALLEN LEAVES
HAVE CLOGGED DRAINS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ON THIS DEVELOPING HAZARDOUS WEATHER POTENTIAL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

IT WILL REMAIN WINDY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY. IF THE
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO GUST OVER 40 MPH...THEN WIND ADVISORIES
WOULD BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TONIGHT.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2013Wind Advisories in Vermont, 2013Wind Advisories in Connecticut, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.