Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2013

Wind Advisory 1, NWS Albany, NY

January 19, 20134 states

NWS Albany, NY issued this wind advisory at Jan 19, 2013, 3:52 PM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Jan 20, 2013, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 19, 2013, 3:52 PM EST (20:52 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 20, 2013, 6:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 20, 2013, 6:07 PM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-01-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-01-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 338 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1701 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
338 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
408 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

208 
WWUS71 KALY 192052
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
352 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-201000-
/O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0001.130120T1100Z-130120T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
352 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...6AM SUNDAY THROUGH 4PM SUNDAY

* WINDS...WEST NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH.
  THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL
  REGION AND THE BERKSHIRES.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES OR TREE
  LIMBS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE OBJECTS
  MAY BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
107 
WWUS71 KALY 200511
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1211 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ032-033-042-201315-
/O.UPG.KALY.WI.Y.0001.130120T1100Z-130120T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.HW.W.0001.130120T0900Z-130120T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG
1211 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO
4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN HERKIMER...HAMILTON...AND NORTHERN WARREN
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING EARLY THIS MORNING...PEAKING LATER
  THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TAPERING OFF LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 65
  MPH. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND TREE
  LIMBS...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE
  OBJECTS WILL ALSO BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-201315-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0001.130120T1100Z-130120T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1211 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN
  NEW ENGLAND.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING AROUND SUNRISE...PEAKING LATER THIS
  MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TAPERING OFF LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55
  MPH. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL
  REGION AND THE BERKSHIRES.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES OR TREE 
  LIMBS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS MAY BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
909 
WWUS71 KALY 201100
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
600 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ032-033-042-202100-
/O.CON.KALY.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG
600 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN HERKIMER...HAMILTON...AND NORTHERN WARREN 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THIS MORNING...PEAKING LATER THIS
  MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TAPERING OFF LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 
  MPH. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND TREE 
  LIMBS...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS WILL ALSO BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-202100-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
600 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN 
  NEW ENGLAND.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE...PEAKING LATER
  THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TAPERING OFF LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 
  55 MPH. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY... 
  CAPITAL REGION AND THE BERKSHIRES.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES OR TREE 
  LIMBS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS MAY BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
516 
WWUS71 KALY 201554
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

MAZ001-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-202100-
/O.UPG.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KALY.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...
MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...
ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...
ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...LAKE
  GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE
  VALLEY...HELDERBERGS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN TACONICS...SOUTHERN
  VERMONT...AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

* TIMING...WINDS PEAKING AROUND NOONTIME...THEN TAPERING OFF LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND TREE 
  LIMBS...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS WILL ALSO BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NYZ032-033-042-202100-
/O.CON.KALY.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN HERKIMER...HAMILTON...AND NORTHERN WARREN 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THIS MORNING...PEAKING LATER THIS 
  MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TAPERING OFF LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND TREE 
  LIMBS...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS WILL ALSO BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-202100-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN TACONICS...MID HUDSON
  VALLEY REGION...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE...PEAKING 
  LATER THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TAPERING OFF 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES OR TREE 
  LIMBS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS MAY BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
629 
WWUS71 KALY 202014
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
314 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-210000-
/O.EXT.KALY.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T0000Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
314 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...LAKE 
  GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE 
  VALLEY...HELDERBERGS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN TACONICS...
  SOUTHERN VERMONT...AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 60 TO 65 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND TREE 
  LIMBS...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS WILL ALSO BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-210000-
/O.EXT.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T0000Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
314 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN TACONICS...MID HUDSON 
  VALLEY REGION...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...AND THEN
  DIMINISHING.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES OR TREE 
  LIMBS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS MAY BE PROPELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
508 
WWUS71 KALY 202307
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
607 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-210015-
/O.CAN.KALY.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T0000Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
607 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...LAKE 
GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE
VALLEY...HELDERBERGS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN TACONICS... SOUTHERN
VERMONT...AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS HAS ENDED. SOME WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO
40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT...BEFORE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-210015-
/O.CAN.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T0000Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
607 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN TACONICS...MID
HUDSON VALLEY REGION...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND NORTHWEST
CONNECTICUT.

SOME GUSTY WEST OR NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. THE
THREAT FOR WIND ADVISORY WINDS HAS DIMINISHED.

$$

WASULA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 19, 12:39 PM EST, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 12:39 PM EST, 3 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1239 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA BY THIS
AFTERNOON...AS MILDER AIR BRIEFLY WORKS IN. THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED
HOWEVER...AS A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SUNDAY. IN ITS WAKE...GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
WITH BLUSTERY CONDITIONS AND DROPPING TEMPERATURES. AN ARCTIC AIR
MASS WITH FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL ENGULF THE ENTIRE REGION FOR MUCH
OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
VERY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. HAVE ADJUSTED HOURLY
TEMPERATURES...DEWPOINTS AND WIND. FORECAST MAX TEMPS LOOK TO BE
ON TRACK.

AS OF 1215 PM EST...THERE ARE SEVERAL BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES PERSIST TO THE N AND E OF THE CAPITAL
REGION. IT APPEARS THAT MID LEVEL CLOUDS KEEP SPILLING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION...FROM A SOURCE REGION UPSTREAM WHERE THERE IS
BETTER ISENTROPIC LIFT. HOWEVER...DOWNSLOPING MAY BE BREAKING SOME
OF THESE CLOUDS UP. WILL INDICATE SLIGHTLY MORE OPTIMISTIC SKY
CONDITIONS A BIT FURTHER NORTH INTO THE CAPITAL REGION FOR THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH THE EXPECTATION THAT THE MAIN LEADING EDGE OF
CLOUDS HANGS NEAR THE MOHAWK RIVER. HAVE ALSO BOOSTED MAX TEMPS A
FEW DEGREES FOR THIS AFTERNOON...ESP ACROSS NW AREAS WHERE MIXING
FROM ALOFT HAS ALLOWED FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT WARMING THAN IN SOME
VALLEY REGIONS. EXPECT AFTERNOON MAXES TO REACH THE UPPER 30S TO
NEAR 40 ACROSS THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...WITH SOME LOWER 40S
POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...WITH GENERALLY UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 40S ELSEWHERE. TOUGHER CALL ACROSS THE MID HUDSON
VALLEY...WHERE A SLIGHTLY DEEPER LOW LEVEL INVERSION MAY LINGER.
HAVE GENERALLY KEPT FORECAST MAX TEMPS IN THE MID 40S IN THIS
REGION...ALTHOUGH SHOULD MORE SUNSHINE PERSIST...SOME AREAS COULD
APPROACH 50.

ALSO...REMOVED ANY POPS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...AS BETTER FORCING
AND MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN WELL N AND W OF REGION THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING.
&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
EXPECTING GENERALLY QUIET CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING
ACROSS THE AREA WITH RELATIVELY MILD TEMPERATURES FOR MID JANUARY.
HOWEVER...AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS AND LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD INTO
SOUTHERN QUEBEC IT WILL DRAG AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES OVERNIGHT. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR INCREASED SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL REGION LATE
TONIGHT. LOCAL HIRESWRF DEPICTING A POSSIBLE NARROW BAND OF SNOW
SHOWERS OR SQUALLS ACCOMPANYING THE ARCTIC BOUNDARY. THE FRONT WILL
LIKELY BE MOVING THROUGH THE ADIRONDACKS AND WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY
BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY...THEN THROUGH THE CAPITAL REGION BY MID
MORNING AND THE SOUTHEAST AREAS LATE MORNING. BEST CHANCE FOR
MEASURABLE SNOWFALL WILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF ALBANY DUE TO
UPSLOPE/LAKE ENHANCEMENT...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW
SHOWERS/SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ALL AREAS.

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY FOR
MOST OF THE AREA...AS STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION COMMENCES IN WAKE OF
THE ARCTIC FRONT. THERE IS CONCERN FOR STRONG WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS
IN A DEVELOPING WELL-MIXED ENVIRONMENT BEHIND THE FRONT FOR LATE
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN
BUFKIT INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR 45+ KT WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY/CAPITAL REGION WHERE
CHANNELING WILL OCCUR AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WITH THE SURFACE
LOW TRACKING NORTH OF THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER...THIS IS NOT A
SYNOPTICALLY FAVORABLE TRACK FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS BUT DOES
LOOK LIKE MORE OF A WIND ADVISORY TYPE EVENT WITH GUSTS GENERALLY
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 45-55 MPH. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG WINDS IN THE HWO.

ONE LAST HAZARD TO MENTION FOR SUNDAY WILL BE LIKELY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW DEVELOPING FIRST OVER THE WESTERN/SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS DURING
THE MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY SAGGING SOUTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON
INTO THE MOHAWK VALLEY. LOCAL CSTAR RESEARCH INDICATES ORGANIZED
BANDS MAY SWEEP THROUGH THESE AREAS WITH ENOUGH INLAND EXTENT TO
MAKE IT THROUGH HERKIMER/HAMILTON COUNTIES INITIALLY...THEN THROUGH
THE WESTERN/CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE MIXED LAYER
FLOW BEING TRANSIENT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO GET
SNOW BANDS TO SET UP OVER ANY ONE AREA FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF
TIME. SO...AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO GET
WARNING LEVEL ACCUMULATIONS AND LOOKS MORE LIKE A BORDERLINE
ADVISORY SITUATION. WILL MENTION POTENTIAL IN HWO.

SUNDAY NIGHT THERE WILL STILL BE LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN MOHAWK VALLEY AND NORTHERN
CATSKILLS...AS THE FLOW BECOMES A BIT MORE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...LAKE
INDUCED INSTABILITY WILL BE GOING EXTREME WHICH TENDS TO KEEP MORE
INTENSE LAKE SNOWS WEST OF OUR REGION. ALSO...BANDS SHOULD BE NARROW
MULTI BANDS BY THIS TIME. OTHERWISE...FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL START
TO SETTLE IN. DEPENDING ON WIND SPEEDS...WIND CHILL VALUES COULD
DROP TO ADVISORY LEVELS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN/SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY...AND WITH POSSIBLY A BIT
MORE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE AREA AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH THE MEAN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. GENERALLY LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...BUT SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL BE IN
QUESTION SO WILL ONLY MENTION CHANCE POPS FOR NOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
QUICK UPPER IMPULSES TRACK THROUGH THE REGION WITH LITTLE
REINFORCEMENTS TO THE COLDER AIR. EACH QUICK MOVING SYSTEM SHOULD BE
MOSTLY MOISTURE STARVED BUT SOME LAKE MOISTURE COULD SUPPORT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS ALL AREAS MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND IN WESTERN AREAS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM COULD AFFECT OUR REGION SOME TIME BETWEEN
THURSDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.  THERE ARE TIMING DIFFERENCES SEEN IN
THE GUIDANCE AND ENSEMBLES AS WELL AS TRACK DIFFERENCES.  IT LOOKS
LIKE STRONG WARM ADVECTION COULD SUPPORT SOME MEASURABLE SNOW AT
SOME POINT DURING THE TIME WINDOW...BUT WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL
FALL AND WHEN WILL IT FALL ARE THE QUESTIONS THAT NEED TO BE
ANSWERED.  AT THIS POINT...GOING CHANCES FOR SNOW EVERYWHERE
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...AND THE TIME WINDOW WILL BE
REDUCED AND ADJUSTED AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE POTENTIAL EVENT.

BASED ON PREDICTED BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES...AND THE MEAN UPPER
TROUGHING OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA...TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE BELOW
NORMAL. TEMPERATURES MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 20 IN MANY AREAS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. WARM ADVECTION COULD HELP TEMPERATURES GET INTO
THE 20S WITH THE POTENTIAL SNOW ON FRIDAY...BUT AGAIN...THOSE
DETAILS SHOULD GET CLEARER AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...WITH GUSTY
WINDS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY.

THIS AFTERNOON...LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
PERSISTENT BROKEN/OVERCAST CLOUD DECK AROUND 7-8 KFT KEEPING
KGFL...KALB AND KPSF UNDER VFR CEILINGS. SOME DOWNSLOPE-ENHANCED
CLEARING WILL LIMIT CLOUD COVER EXTENT AT KPOU THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE BROKEN CEILINGS FILTER IN AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING POWERFUL
COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON GENERALLY OUT
OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 10-15 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25
KNOTS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS FAVORING
TERRAIN-CHANNELING.

TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
TAF PERIOD WILL BE STRONG WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING POWERFUL
COLD FRONT. HAVE MENTIONED LLWS AT ALL TAF SITES DURING THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS SURFACE WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LESS THAN 10
KNOTS...UNDERNEATH 40-50 KNOTS AROUND 2-3 KFT. THE COLD FRONT IS
CURRENTLY PROGGED TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE CURRENTLY FAVORS PIECES/WAVES
INSTEAD OF A CLEAN FRONTAL PASSAGE.

AS DAYTIME MIXING COMMENCES...COUPLED WITH NEARLY DRY ADIABATIC
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...COLD AIR ADVECTION AND A FAVORABLE STATIC
STABILITY PROFILE...A PERIOD OF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY
FROM 12-18Z AND EXTENDING BEYOND THE TAF PERIOD. CURRENT THINKING IS
THAT TERRAIN-CHANNELING WILL ENHANCE WIND POTENTIAL THE GREATEST AT
KALB AND KPSF...WHERE FREQUENT GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
ELSEWHERE...GUSTS WILL BE SLIGHTLY LESS TO 35 KNOTS. WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST GUIDANCE AND TWEAK THE WIND FORECASTS AS
NECESSARY.

HAVE ALSO MENTIONED VCSH AT KGFL AND KALB FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND DAY
SUNDAY AS SOME SCATTERED FLURRIES/SNOW SHOWERS MAY EXTEND FAR ENOUGH
EAST FROM THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT BANDS OFF LAKE ONTARIO.

OUTLOOK...
SUN NT...VFR. CHC MVFR/IFR -SHSN. WINDY.
MON-TUE...MAINLY VFR. CHC MVFR/IFR -SN.
WED-THU...VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ANY PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS IS EXPECTED TO
BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW AS AN ARCTIC AIR MASS SETTLES IN.
TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME FRIGID BY MONDAY...LASTING THROUGH AT LEAST
THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. THE PERSISTENT COLD TEMPERATURES WILL
CAUSE ICE TO FORM ON MOST BODIES OF WATER THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE
IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR FREEZE UP ICE JAMS TO OCCUR IN SOME AREAS.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON
OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WE ARE AT THE CLIMATOLOGICAL COLDEST TIME OF THE YEAR FOR OUR AREA.

NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR JANUARY 21ST THROUGH 24TH:

ALBANY: HIGHS AROUND 30. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS.
GLENS FALLS: HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
POUGHKEEPSIE: HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS.
BENNINGTON: HIGHS AROUND 30. LOWS NEAR 10.
PITTSFIELD: HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LOWS NEAR 10.

RECORD LOWS FOR ALBANY (DAILY RECORDS DATE BACK TO 1874)
JANUARY 21ST... -18 DEGREES 1994
JANUARY 22ND... -20 DEGREES 1984
JANUARY 23RD... -20 DEGREES 1970
JANUARY 24TH... -17 DEGREES 1948

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...VTK/KL
NEAR TERM...VTK/KL/JPV
SHORT TERM...JPV
LONG TERM...NAS
AVIATION...IRL
HYDROLOGY...JPV
CLIMATE...IAA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 4:39 AM EST, 11 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
439 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013

MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-041-042-047-058-063-082-083-VTZ013>015-201200-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN GREENE-
WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
439 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...
EASTERN CATSKILLS...BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
TO OCCUR ON SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG ARCTIC FRONT. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME MORE CERTAIN...THEN WIND ADVISORIES OR HIGH WIND
WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED. IN ADDITION...SNOW SQUALLS MAY ACCOMPANY
THE COLD FRONT WHICH COULD RESULT IN BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN
VISIBILITIES RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED
FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON THIS
DEVELOPING HAZARDOUS WEATHER POTENTIAL.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
WHILE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO OSCILLATE...
ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED 4 INCHES. IF CONDITIONS BECOME CERTAIN A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WOULD BE ISSUED.

THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WINDS MAY RESULT IN
DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES AT NIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS
BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE GREATER
LIKELIHOOD FOR THIS TO OCCUR WILL BE DURING MUCH OF THE REST OF
THE WORK WEEK WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ001-013-NYZ043-048>054-059>061-064>066-084-201200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
439 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GREATER CAPITAL
DISTRICT...WASHINGTON COUNTY...TACONICS...MID HUDSON VALLEY AND
NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
TO OCCUR ON SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG ARCTIC FRONT. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME MORE CERTAIN...THEN WIND ADVISORIES OR HIGH WIND
WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED. IN ADDITION...SNOW SQUALLS MAY ACCOMPANY
THE COLD FRONT WHICH COULD RESULT IN BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN
VISIBILITIES RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED
FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON THIS
DEVELOPING HAZARDOUS WEATHER POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ038>040-201200-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
439 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MOHAWK VALLEY OF EAST
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
TO OCCUR ON SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG ARCTIC FRONT. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME MORE CERTAIN...THEN WIND ADVISORIES OR HIGH WIND
WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED. IN ADDITION...SNOW SQUALLS MAY ACCOMPANY
THE COLD FRONT WHICH COULD RESULT IN BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN
VISIBILITIES RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED
FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON THIS
DEVELOPING HAZARDOUS WEATHER POTENTIAL.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE AREA FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. WHILE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE
EXPECTED TO OSCILLATE...ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED 4 INCHES. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME CERTAIN A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WOULD BE
ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2013Wind Advisories in Vermont, 2013Wind Advisories in Connecticut, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.