Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 13, NWS Wakefield, VA

May 8, 2013Henrico County, City of Richmond, Virginia

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this river flood warning at May 8, 2013, 10:53 AM EDT for Henrico County, City of Richmond, Virginia. It took effect at May 9, 2013, 6:28 AM EDT. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2013, 10:53 AM EDT (14:53 UTC)
In effect from
May 9, 2013, 6:28 AM EDT
Expired
May 10, 2013, 9:39 PM EDT
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA
Flood severity
Minor

Counties City of Richmond, VA, Henrico County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point James River (VA) at Richmond Locks (RICV2).

Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02037705, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

832 
WGUS41 KAKQ 081453
FLWAKQ
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1053 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD VA HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA...

  JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS AFFECTING HENRICO AND RICHMOND (CITY)
  COUNTIES
FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...MINOR
FLOODING IS FORECAST.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-090253-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.130509T0641Z-130510T2058Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0641Z.130509T2100Z.130510T1458Z.NO/
1053 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD VA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 09:54 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 0.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.9 FEET ON 
MAR 26 1993.  

$$
11 follow-up statements
712 
WGUS81 KAKQ 081908
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
308 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...MINOR 
FLOODING IS FORECAST.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-090708-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.130509T1028Z-130510T2054Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T1028Z.130509T2100Z.130510T1454Z.NO/
308 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 02:54 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.0 FEET ON 
DEC 9 2011.  

$$
455 
WGUS81 KAKQ 090209
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1009 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING CARTERSVILLE...RICHMOND 
LOCKS...RICHMOND WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING... WITH 
MODERATE FLOODING FORECAST.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC049-075-145-091409-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130510T0034Z/
/CARV2.1.ER.130509T0500Z.130509T1200Z.130509T1834Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT CARTERSVILLE
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 09:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 21.0 FEET...APPROACH TO OLD HIGHWAY BRIDGE IS FLOODED.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.7 FEET ON 
APR 18 2011.  

$$

VAC087-760-091409-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.130509T1028Z-000000T0000Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T1028Z.130509T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 09:54 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.0 FEET ON 
DEC 9 2011.  

$$

VAC041-087-760-091409-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1251Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130510T0000Z.130511T0651Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 09:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...BEGIN MODERATE FLOODING. RESIDENCES NEAR GAGE 
  THREATENED WITH SOME DRIVEWAYS UNDER ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET OF 
  WATER.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.9 FEET ON 
FEB 2 2013.  

$$
849 
WGUS81 KAKQ 090629
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
229 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING CARTERSVILLE...RICHMOND 
LOCKS...RICHMOND WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING... WITH 
MODERATE FLOODING FORECAST.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC049-075-145-091800-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130509T1800Z/
/CARV2.1.ER.130509T0700Z.130509T0700Z.130509T1200Z.NO/
229 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT CARTERSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 01:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THIS MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...APPROACH TO OLD HIGHWAY BRIDGE IS FLOODED.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.7 FEET ON 
APR 18 2011.  

$$

VAC087-760-091829-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.130509T1028Z-000000T0000Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T1028Z.130509T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
229 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 01:54 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.0 FEET ON 
DEC 9 2011.  

$$

VAC041-087-760-091829-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T0400Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130510T0000Z.130510T2200Z.NO/
229 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 01:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.2 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...BEGIN MODERATE FLOODING. RESIDENCES NEAR GAGE 
  THREATENED WITH SOME DRIVEWAYS UNDER ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET OF 
  WATER.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.9 FEET ON 
FEB 2 2013.  

$$
226 
WGUS81 KAKQ 091458
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1058 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING CARTERSVILLE...RICHMOND 
LOCKS...RICHMOND WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING... WITH 
MODERATE FLOODING FORECAST.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC049-075-145-091528-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130509T1800Z/
/CARV2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT CARTERSVILLE
* AT 09:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 19.6 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 15.3 FEET BY .
* AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. OVERFLOW ONTO FLOOD PLAIN 
  ALONG LEFT BANK.

$$

VAC087-760-100258-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0624Z.130509T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 09:54 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.

$$

VAC041-087-760-100258-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1048Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130509T1700Z.130511T0448Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...BEGIN MODERATE FLOODING. RESIDENCES NEAR GAGE 
  THREATENED WITH SOME DRIVEWAYS UNDER ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET OF 
  WATER.

$$
465 
WGUS81 KAKQ 091523
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1123 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...RICHMOND 
WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING... WITH MODERATE FLOODING 
FORECAST.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-100323-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0624Z.130509T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:54 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.3 FEET BY LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.0 FEET ON 
DEC 9 2011.  

$$

VAC041-087-760-100323-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1048Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130509T1700Z.130511T0448Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...BEGIN MODERATE FLOODING. RESIDENCES NEAR GAGE 
  THREATENED WITH SOME DRIVEWAYS UNDER ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET OF 
  WATER.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.9 FEET ON 
FEB 2 2013.  

$$
303 
WGUS81 KAKQ 091707
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
107 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...RICHMOND 
WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING... WITH MODERATE FLOODING 
FORECAST.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-100507-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0624Z.130509T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
107 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:54 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.9 FEET BY LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.

$$

VAC041-087-760-100507-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1048Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130510T0000Z.130511T0448Z.NO/
107 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...BEGIN MODERATE FLOODING. RESIDENCES NEAR GAGE 
  THREATENED WITH SOME DRIVEWAYS UNDER ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET OF 
  WATER.

$$
386 
WGUS81 KAKQ 100109
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
909 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...RICHMOND 
WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING... WITH MODERATE FLOODING 
FORECAST AT RICHMOND WESTHAM.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-101309-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130510T1907Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0624Z.130509T2330Z.130510T1307Z.NO/
909 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 07:54 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.9 FEET ON FEB
2 2013.  

$$

VAC041-087-760-101309-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1200Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130510T0400Z.130511T0600Z.NO/
909 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 07:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...BEGIN MODERATE FLOODING. RESIDENCES NEAR GAGE 
  THREATENED WITH SOME DRIVEWAYS UNDER ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET OF 
  WATER.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.9 FEET ON 
FEB 2 2013.  

$$
135 
WGUS81 KAKQ 100637
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
237 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...RICHMOND 
WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-101837-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130511T0105Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0624Z.130510T0900Z.130510T1905Z.NO/
237 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 01:54 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.6 FEET BY 
  EARLY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.9 FEET ON FEB
2 2013.  

$$

VAC041-087-760-101837-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1500Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130510T0515Z.130511T0900Z.NO/
237 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 01:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS REACHED IT CREST AND WILL BEGIN TO FALL
  THIS MORNING...DROPPING  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* AT 15.0 FEET...BEGIN MODERATE FLOODING. RESIDENCES NEAR GAGE 
  THREATENED WITH SOME DRIVEWAYS UNDER ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET OF 
  WATER.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.9 FEET ON 
FEB 2 2013.  

$$
588 
WGUS81 KAKQ 101333
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
933 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...RICHMOND 
WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-110133-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130511T0140Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0624Z.130510T1042Z.130510T1940Z.NO/
933 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 08:54 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER IS ENTERING DOCK STREET.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.9 FEET ON FEB
2 2013.  

$$

VAC041-087-760-110132-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1600Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130510T0515Z.130511T1000Z.NO/
933 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 08:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...BEGIN MODERATE FLOODING. RESIDENCES NEAR GAGE 
  THREATENED WITH SOME DRIVEWAYS UNDER ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET OF 
  WATER.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.9 FEET ON 
FEB 2 2013.  

$$
973 
WGUS81 KAKQ 101908
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...RICHMOND 
WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-110212-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130511T0212Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0624Z.130510T1042Z.130510T2012Z.NO/
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 02:54 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 9.0 FEET...THE ANCARROW'S BOAT LANDING IS CLOSED AT THIS LEVEL.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.9 FEET ON FEB
2 2013.  

$$

VAC041-087-760-110708-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1600Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130510T0515Z.130511T1000Z.NO/
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 02:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...APPROXIMATELY 20 ACRES OF LOWLAND FLOODED IN 
  VICINITY OF GAGE.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.9 FEET ON 
FEB 2 2013.  

$$
461 
WGUS81 KAKQ 110139
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
939 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FOR THE LOWER JAMES BASIN...INCLUDING RICHMOND LOCKS...RICHMOND 
WESTHAM...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AKQ.  CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK ON THE 
LEFT HAND SIDE MENU. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...


&&

VAC087-760-110209-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130511T0212Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.130509T0624Z.130510T1042Z.130510T2324Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND LOCKS
* AT 08:54 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* AT 8.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.9 FEET ON FEB
2 2013.  

$$

VAC041-087-760-111338-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130511T1600Z/
/RMDV2.2.ER.130508T2233Z.130510T0515Z.130511T1000Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND WESTHAM
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 08:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...APPROXIMATELY 20 ACRES OF LOWLAND FLOODED IN 
  VICINITY OF GAGE.
THIS RIVER LEVEL IS COMPARABLE TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.6 FEET ON 
JAN 18 2013.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 8, 10:32 AM EDT, 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 8, 10:32 AM EDT, 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1032 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE
SYSTEM FOR LATER THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL
AFFECT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE AS OF 10 AM...
HAVE PLACED PARTS OF THE RICHMOND METRO AND POINTS NW IN A FLOOD
WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING. STORM TOTAL PRECIP OUTPUT FROM KAKQ
AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS INDICATE MANY
LOCATIONS WITHIN THIS REGION RECEIVED 2-5 INCHES OF RAIN...AND
AREA RIVERS ARE ON THE RISE DUE TO LOCAL/UPSTREAM HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. LATEST FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE INDICATES
THESE AREAS ONLY NEED 1-2" OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO EXACERBATE
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING...AND THAT IS CERTAINLY A GOOD POSSIBILITY
GIVEN THE THREAT FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN LATER
TODAY. OTW...THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS IN TRACK WITH LIKELY
POPS MOST AREAS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LATEST WX ANALYSIS SHOWS VERTICALLY STACKED CLOSED LOW OVER SW VA
EARLY THIS MORNING. AT THE SFC, A RATHER SUBTLE LEE TROUGH WAS
NOTED ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. THE BROAD, WEAK SFC LOW PRESSURE CENTER
WAS NOTED JUST WEST OF ROANOKE.

THE WEAKENING UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY MEANDER N-NE ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH TODAY, REACHING A
POSITION ROUGHLY OVER DC METRO/DELMARVA BY 00Z THU/8PM TNGT.
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN PLACING LKLY POPS INLAND, WITH
CHC POP FARTHER EAST AND THIS SEEMS TO CORRELATE WELL WITH SPC NMM
WHICH PERFORMED RATHER WELL YDA.

AS WITH TUESDAY, AREAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL BE LOW TO BEGIN
THE DAY. CURRENTLY WATCHING SOME SCT SHRAS IN ASSN WITH WEAK
CONVERGENCE TO THE SOUTH SLOWLY PUSHING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NC,
AND WL KEEP ISO SHRA POP IN PLACE EARLY THIS MORNING AS A RESULT.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT SCT SHRAS TO FIRE UP ALONG THE LEE TROUGH BY MID
TO LT MORNING TO THE WEST ACROSS SW VA/WESTERN NC AS SHORTWAVE
ENERGY ROTATES FROM SW TO NE ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW. GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT IN INCREASING POPS ACROSS
INLAND SECTIONS BY NOON AND SHORTLY THEREAFTER, SO LKLY (60-70%)
POPS REMAIN LARGELY UNCHANGED OVER THESE AREAS, WITH SCT SHRAS/ISO
T PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE LOCAL AREA DURING MID-
LT AFTN HOURS. INCREASING 0-6KM BULK SHEAR VALUES TO ~30-40KT
DURING THIS MID-LT AFTN PERIOD WOULD ARGUE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW MORE ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, RELATIVELY WEAK LAPSE RATES AND EXPECTED CONSIDERABLE
CLOUD COVER THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SHOULD PRECLUDE MUCH OF A
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. THAT SAID, EVEN WITH A FEW BREAKS OF SUN,
ATM SHOULD DESTABILIZE ENOUGH FOR A FEW STORMS TO BE CAPABLE OF
SMALL HAIL AND SOME GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTN, AND WL REFLECT THAT
POTENTIAL IN THE HWO. LOOK FOR HIGHS TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
THOSE OF TUESDAY FOR MOST...GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S OUT WEST IN
THE PIEDMONT, TO LOWER 70S OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA
(EXCEPT COOLER AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST).

TONIGHT...
INSTABILITY QUICKLY WANES AFTER SUNSET, A RESULT OF TYPICAL
NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION AS WELL AS THE SHORTWAVE ACTIVITY
TRANSITIONING OFFSHORE AS THE UPPER LOW SLIDES NE. RAIN CHANCES
ACCORDINGLY DROP OFF QUICKLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. EARLY MORNING LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPPER LOW SHOULD FINALLY EXIT OUR FA TO THE NE BY 12Z THURSDAY,
WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGING TAKING ITS PLACE, BUILDING INTO THE REGION
FROM THE OH/TN VLYS. LINGERING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE THURSDAY IN THE
WAKE OF THE UPPER LOW AND PERHAPS ONE LAST SPOKE OF ENERGY
WRAPPING AROUND ITS SW SIDE MAY PRODUCE FEW LINGERING SHRAS SO
WILL MAINTAINED SOME SLIGHT CHC POPS. OTHERWISE, SUBSIDENCE BEHIND
THE DEPARTING SYSTEM AND INCREASING DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT SHOULD
PORTEND TO DRY WX FOR MOST AND QUICK CLEARING THURSDAY
AFTN/EVENING. HIGHS THURSDAY IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80...EXCEPT
COOLER MID/UPR 60S AT THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE.

DRY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BRIEFLY RETURNS. A LEE TROUGH LOOKS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY AFTERNOON, WHICH MAY TOUCH OFF A FEW AFTN SHRAS/TSTMS. HV
HELD ON TO 20-30% POPS FOR NOW. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE 50S.
WARMER FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S...EXCEPT COOLER 70S AT THE
IMMEDIATE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
GENERAL AGREEMENT WRT SYSTEMS AND THEIR TIMING ONCE AGN THROUGH THE
LONG TERM FCST PD. INITIAL WK CDFNT ENTERS THE RGN ON FRI NGT INTO
SAT....DYNAMICS/FORCING GENLY WK SO WILL KP CHC POPS FOR NOW ALG W/
VRB CLDS OR MCLDY CONDS. W/ AMPLIFICATION OF TROUGH ALOFT THROUGH
THE LAKES RGN INTO THE ERN CONUS BY LATE IN THE WKND...A
SECOND...STRONGER CDFNT WILL FOLLOW THE FIRST ON SUN...WHICH PUSHES
S AND E OF THE RGN SUN NGT. MDLS HAVE TRENDED DRIER W/ THE SECOND
FNT CROSSING THE RGN...THOUGH WILL KP CHC POPS FOR ERN PORTION (INTO
SUN NGT). POLAR SFC HI PRES AND MUCH DRIER AMS RETURNS FOR MON AND
TUE.

TEMPS AVGG AOA NRML THROUGH SAT. LO TEMPS FRI NGT IN THE 50S TO
L60S. HI TEMPS FM THE M/U70S TO L80S. HI TEMPS SUN MNLY IN THE
M/U70S...THEN FM THE M60S TO ARND 70F MON AND TUE. LO TEMPS SAT NGT
IN THE U50S TO M60F...FM THE M40S TO TO M50S SUN NGT...THEN FM THE
L40S TO ARND 50F MON NGT.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPDATE...LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED AT KRIC AND KSBY THIS
MORNING WHERE DECENT RAIN AMOUNTS FELL YESTERDAY. KPHF IS
FLUCTUATING BTWN LIFR AND MVFR CIGS/VIS...AND KORF/KECG WILL
REMAIN FOG-FREE WITH SOME HAZE (P6SM) THIS MORNING. LIFR CIGS/VIS
WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THEN IMPROVE AFTER 08/1400Z.
ELSEWHERE...LOWERED CIGS/VIS DUE TO FOG WILL STAY GENERALLY BTWN
2-5SM BEFORE IMPROVING (AGAIN...AFTER 08/1400Z).

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
OTHERWISE...THE CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RESIDE OVER THE
MID ATLANTIC REGION TODAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
UNSETTLED/SHOWERY WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTN.
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD BE SUB-SEVERE WITH PERIODS OF
LOWERED CIGS/VIS UNDER STRONGER STORM CORES. THE FOLLOWING ARE
ANTICIPATED IMPACTS TO AIRFIELD OPERATIONS TODAY IN HIGHEST TO
LOWEST ORDER: LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN... GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL.
STORMS/SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE
AFTER 09/0100Z WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND AS THE BEST
DYNAMICS/SHORTWAVE ENERGY LIFTS NE OUT OF THE REGION WITH THE
UPPER LOW. ONCE AGAIN...THE COMBINATION OF AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND CALM CONDITIONS WED NIGHT WILL MAKE FOG DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. VERY LOW CIGS AND VISIBILITIES OF 3-5SM (POSSIBLY
1-2SM) SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED
THE MOST RAINFALL. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD LIFT/DISSIPATE BY
MID MORNING ON THU.

THE LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK NE AND INTO NEW ENGLAND ON THU...BUT
CONDITIONS SHOULD STAY JUST UNSETTLED ENOUGH FOR BKN CIGS AND A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST OF THE AREA IN THE AFTN...WITH
BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY AT/NEAR KSBY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGING MOVES INTO THE REGION LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. A
WEAK COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO CROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
EITHER FRI NIGHT OR SAT (THERE ARE SLIGHT MODEL DIFFERENCES)...
FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER COLD FRONT ON SUN.

&&

.MARINE...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WILL
SLOWLY TRACK NE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND INTO NEW ENGLAND ON THU AND
FRI. SE WINDS AOB 15 KT TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE SSW OVERNIGHT ONCE
THE LOW MOVES N OF THE WATERS. SEAS AVERAGING 4-6 FT WILL START TO
SUBSIDE TODAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. SCA FLAGS FOR COASTAL WATERS
SOUTH OF CAPE CHARLES ARE ON TRACK TO EXPIRE THIS MORNING AT 10
AM... SINCE SEAS NEAR DUCK AND THE MOUTH OF CHES BAY HAVE DROPPED TO
4 FT. BUOY 44100 (ABOUT 10 NM FROM DUCK) IS FLUCTUATING BTWN 5.0-5.6
FT AS OF 430 AM...BUT STILL EXPECT SEAS TO DROP BELOW 5 FT BY 10 AM
(WILL MONITOR). SCAS FOR NRN COASTAL WATERS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO
END THU MORNING. A TRANSITION ZONE FROM CAPE CHARLES TO PARRAMORE
ISLAND IS ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR SOMETIME THIS AFTN AND SCA FLAGS FOR
THIS MARINE ZONE MAY BE CANCELLED SOONER THAN THU MORNING.
MEANWHILE...
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTN WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THE PRIMARY
IMPACTS WILL BE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS...WITH SMALL
HAIL POSSIBLE. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AFTER 9 PM TONIGHT. ONCE PRECIPITATION
ENDS...FOG MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WITH VISIBILITIES AROUND 1-5 NM
INTO THU MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING.

OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS BECOME RELATIVELY QUIET OVER ALL WATERS WITH
SW WINDS AOB 15 KT PREVAILING THU INTO THE WEEKEND AND SEAS/WAVES
BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE S AND
E OF THE WATERS LATE SUN INTO MON...RESULTING IN N WINDS INCREASING
TO LOW-END SCA SPEEDS DURING THIS TIME.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
VIRGINIA AND MARYLAND HAVE CAUSED RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS LAST EVENING REACHED UPWARDS OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES
OVER CENTRAL VA...ESPECIALLY OVER THE JAMES RIVER BASIN. MINOR
FLOODING IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT
CARTERSVILLE...AND MODERATE FLOODING FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT RICHMOND
WESTHAM. RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDES CONTG TO RUN ~1 FOOT ABV NRML TDA...W/ LEVELS XPCD TO RMN
BLO MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THRESHOLDS. ANOMALIES AVGG LESS THAN 1 FT
XPCD THU AND FRI.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR VAZ048-049-062>064-071.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ650-652-
     654.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JDM
NEAR TERM...JDM/MAM
SHORT TERM...JDM/MAM
LONG TERM...ALB
AVIATION...BMD
MARINE...BMD
HYDROLOGY...AKQ
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...AKQ
Hazardous weather outlook, May 8, 9:58 AM EDT, 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
958 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ060-061-065>070-072>074-079>100-091400-
NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-PRINCE EDWARD-
CUMBERLAND-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-
CHESTERFIELD-KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-
PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-
GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-
NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-
VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
958 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER
BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE EASTERN SHORE OF
VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ048-049-062>064-071-091400-
FLUVANNA-LOUISA-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-HENRICO-
958 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND THE
PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ021>025-VAZ075>078-091400-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
958 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND AND THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL PRODUCE
GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ650-652-654-091400-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO
20 NM-
958 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ630>638-656-658-091400-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA-
CURRITUCK SOUND-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL-
RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER FROM URBANNA TO WINDMILL POINT-YORK RIVER-
JAMES RIVER FROM JAMESTOWN TO THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE-
JAMES RIVER FROM THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE TO THE HAMPTON ROADS BRIDGE-
TUNNEL-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO
20 NM-
958 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CHESAPEAKE
BAY...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...CURRITUCK SOUND...THE EASTERN JAMES RIVER...THE EASTERN
RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER AND THE EASTERN YORK RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 8, 5:59 AM EDT, 4 hours 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
559 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

VAZ048-049-060>064-067>072-080-081200-
FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-
CAROLINE-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-
KING WILLIAM-DINWIDDIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...FARMVILLE...GOOCHLAND...
ASHLAND...CREWE...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND
559 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING...

AREAS OF FOG...LOCALLY DENSE...WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
EASTERN VIRGINIA PIEDMONT AND RICHMOND METRO AREAS EARLY THIS
MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL GENERALLY BE REDUCED TO BETWEEN ONE
AND THREE MILES ACROSS THE AREA...BUT WILL BECOME REDUCED TO ONE
HALF MILE OR LESS IN LOW LYING AREAS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY DUE TO
THE AREAS OF FOG. DRIVE AT REDUCED SPEEDS AND USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS.

VAZ073>078-084>086-081200-
KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-
LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TAPPAHANNOCK
559 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING...

AREAS OF FOG...LOCALLY DENSE...WILL PERSIST EARLY THIS MORNING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN NECK OF EASTERN VIRGINIA.
VISIBILITIES WILL GENERALLY BE REDUCED TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE
MILES...BUT WILL BECOME REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS IN LOW
LYING AREAS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY DUE TO
THE AREAS OF FOG. DRIVE AT REDUCED SPEEDS AND USE LOW BEAM
HEADLIGHTS.

MDZ021>025-081200-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...
PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY
559 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

...PATCHY DENSE FOG EARLY THIS MORNING...

AREAS OF FOG...LOCALLY DENSE...WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
LOWER EASTERN SHORE EARLY THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL
GENERALLY BE REDUCED TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE MILES ACROSS THE
AREA...BUT WILL BECOME REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS IN LOW
LYING AREAS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY DUE TO
THE AREAS OF FOG. DRIVE AT REDUCED SPEEDS AND USE LOW BEAM
HEADLIGHTS.

05

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 8:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCaroline, Hanover, King William45 min
May 8, 9:44 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQCumberland, Goochland, Powhatan25 hr
May 8, 9:44 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQChesterfield, Henrico, City of Richmond65 hr
May 8, 9:45 AM EDTFlood WatchAKQCaroline, Fluvanna, Goochland6 hr
May 8, 2:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCharles City, Essex, King and Queen, King William, New Kent, Richmond and 1 more54 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.