Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 521, NWS Juneau, AK

August 24, 2013

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Aug 24, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 24, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Aug 26, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

982 
FZAK52 PAJK 241149
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-250100-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE
FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING. A LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH GULF
WILL DRIFT SE SAT.   

$$

PKZ041-250100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-250100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-250100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ051-250100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN
IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-250100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$
6 follow-up statements
878 
FZAK52 PAJK 241941 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1141 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-251345-
1141 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE
FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING. A LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH GULF
WILL DEEPEN TO 998 MB AS IT DRIFTS SE SAT. THE LOW WILL SLOWLY
FILL OVER THE SE GULF THROUGH SUN.  

$$

PKZ041-251345-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1141 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-251345-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1141 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-251345-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1141 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.



$$

PKZ051-251345-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1141 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN
IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-251345-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1141 AM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.



$$
531 
FZAK52 PAJK 242332
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-251400-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 998 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHERN AK GULF WILL TRACK TO THE
SOUTHEAST GULF THROUGH SUN. THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO FILL AS IT
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH SUN NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT
OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL ROTATE OVER THE COAST AND SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. 

$$

PKZ041-251400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-251400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-251400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-251400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-251400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$
581 
FZAK52 PAJK 250526 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
926 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-252330-
926 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 998 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHERN AK GULF WILL TRACK TO THE
SOUTHEAST GULF THROUGH SUN. THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO FILL AS IT
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH SUN NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT
OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL ROTATE OVER THE COAST AND SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. 

$$

PKZ041-252330-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
926 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-252330-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
926 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  



$$

PKZ043-252330-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
926 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-252330-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
926 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  



$$

PKZ052-252330-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
926 PM AKDT SAT AUG 24 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$
184 
FZAK52 PAJK 251147
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-260100-
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SE GULF WILL
SLOWLY FILL AS IT SLIDES SE THROUGH MON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL
REMAIN OVER THE COASTAL AREAS EARLY MON. 

$$

PKZ041-260100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-260100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-260100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-260100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NEAR SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT. OFFSHORE...E WIND 25
KT...STRONGEST WINDS OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NEAR SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT. OFFSHORE...E WIND
20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE EVENING.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ052-260100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

.TODAY...NEAR SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT. OFFSHORE...E WIND 20
KT...STRONGEST WINDS OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NEAR SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT. OFFSHORE...NE WIND
15 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. SE SWELL IN THE EVENING.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SE SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$
229 
FZAK52 PAJK 252334
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST       
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-261400-
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SE GULF WILL SLOWLY
FILL AS IT SLIDES SE THROUGH MON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL REMAIN
OVER THE COASTAL AREAS BEFORE GRADUALLY SHIFTING OFFSHORE ON
MON. 

$$

PKZ041-261400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-261400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-261400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-261400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR
SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. SE SWELL.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SE SWELL IN
THE EVENING. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-261400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. NEAR
SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
800 
FZAK52 PAJK 260732 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1132 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-261200-
1132 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SE GULF WILL SLOWLY
FILL AS IT SLIDES SE THROUGH MON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL REMAIN
OVER THE COASTAL AREAS BEFORE GRADUALLY SHIFTING OFFSHORE ON
MON. 

$$

PKZ041-261200-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1132 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-261200-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1132 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-261200-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1132 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-261200-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1132 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR
SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. S SWELL.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL IN
THE EVENING. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-261200-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1132 PM AKDT SUN AUG 25 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. NEAR
SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR SHORE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Aug 23, 3:28 PM AKDT, 12 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 23, 3:28 PM AKDT, 12 hours 32 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
328 PM AKDT FRI AUG 23 2013

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWING A
DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AK INTERIOR AND EXTENDING
DOWN INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS LOW IS LOCATED ALONG A FRONTAL
BAND EXTENDING FROM THE AK INTERIOR DOWN INTO THE EASTERN AK GULF.
THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE ITS EASTERLY TRACK ALONG THE WESTERLY MID
LEVEL STEERING FLOW MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. THE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND ELONGATE OVER
THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE AK
PANHANDLE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT
RESULTING IN A REDUCED SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT. SOUTH OF HAIDA
GWAII A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA BY
SATURDAY.

 THE WEATHER FRONT HAS ALREADY BROUGHT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLE WITH WINDS IN TO 10 TO 20 MPH
RANGE OVER LAND WITH 20 TO 30 KT WINDS OVER THE OUTSIDE WATERS
AND YAKUTAT BAY. AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES EASTWARD RAIN WILL
DEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF FREDERICK
SOUND. WINDS WILL INCREASE ALONG THE FRONT AND FOR NOW EXPECTING
OVERLAND WINDS TO ONLY BE AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH. NORTHERN INNER
CHANNEL WINDS CURRENTLY INFLUENCED MORE BY THE SOUTHERLY PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE PANHANDLE RIDGE AND INTERIOR LOW WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE EVENING. TROPICAL MOISTURE CONNECTION
ALONG THE FRONT IS REFLECTED ON PRECIPITABLE WATER SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND WITH PRECIP WATER VALUES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IN MODEL
SOUNDINGS. EXPECTING 6 HOUR QPF VALUES UPWARDS OF 0.4 INCHES
THROUGH SAT.

 POINTS SOUTH OF FREDERICK SOUND WILL STILL BE UNDER WEAK
CONVECTION WITH A DRYING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. AS THE WINDS SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY THERE WILL BE
INCREASE CHANCE FOR PRECIP FROM THE BRITISH COLUMBIA LOW AND THE
EASTERN AK GULF FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD. WHILE THERE WAS SOME
CLEARING OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS THE AIR MASS HAD LIMITED DRYING
SO EXPECTING FOG TO REFORM TONIGHT.

 MODELS REMAINED IN AGREEMENT WITH GENERAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND
TIMING OF PRECIP THIS EVENING. MODELS HAD MORE SPREAD WITH THE
TIMING OF INCREASING WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN GULF SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE GFS THE MOST PROGRESSIVE AND THE ECMWF
BEING THE SLOWEST. THE NAM/ECMWF HAD FAIR INITIALIZATION FOR THE
CURRENT SYSTEM AND WERE USED TO UPDATE SHORT TERM GRIDS. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

 .HYDROLOGY...MODERATE RAINFALL OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PANHANDLE FOR TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY FROM THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
RAISE LOCAL RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SATURDAY EVENING. WHILE THERE MAY BE SHARP RISES IN WATER
LEVELS NOT EXPECTING ANY RIVERS TO REACH BANK FULL AS MOST RIVERS
ARE CURRENTLY AT LOW STAGES. HOWEVER HIGH RAINFALL RATES OR
AMOUNTS DUE TO A CHANGE IN THE MOVEMENT OF THE WEATHER FRONT MAY
RESULT IN HIGHER WATER LEVELS.

 &&

.LONG TERM...LARGE SCALE WEATHER PATTERN AFFECTING SE AK IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT EXTENDS DOWN THE WEST COAST OF AK AND
CANADA IS HELD IN PLACE BY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES OVER THE US
MIDWEST AND ALONG THE DATELINE. WEATHER ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
DURING THE EXTENDED RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY CLOUDY WITH
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS A SIGNIFICANT RAIN
EVENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND (ABOVE AVE CONFIDENCE IN THAT) AND
AGAIN AFTER MID WEEK NEXT WEEK (ONLY AVE CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS
WITH THE LATTER EVENT).

THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND FRONTAL SYSTEM DESCRIBED IN
THE SHORT TERM SECTION ABOVE WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND JUST
OFFSHORE. THE LOW CENTER WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD SAT NIGHT AND
SUN AND FINALLY STALL AND WEAKEN OFF THE BC COAST. THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE FRONT WILL REMAIN PARALLEL WITH THE COAST INTO SUN
MORNING. THE EFFECT WILL BE A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM AND A FAIRLY LONG
DURATION RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND DROPPING 1.00 TO 3.00 INCHES NORTH
OF FREDERICK SOUND BY MID DAY SUN. THE LATER START TIME OF PRECIP
FARTHER SOUTH WILL RESULT IN LIGHTER RAIN TOTALS...PROBABLY ON
THE ORDER OF ONE INCH. PRESSURE GRADIENTS AROUND THE LOW REMAIN
REASONABLY LIGHT SO AM EXPECTING A LIMITED AREA OF 25 KT WINDS
VERY CLOSE TO THE LOW CENTER OFFSHORE.

THE PROXIMITY OF THE LOW CENTER SUN COMBINED WITH A BIT COOLER
AIR ALOFT LATER SUNDAY WILL LIKELY TRIGGER NOTEWORTHY SHOWERS SUN
AFTERNOON AND EVE. LEFT THE WORDING AS RAIN IN THE FORECAST
BECAUSE THE RAIN RATES MAY INCREASE RIGHT WITH THE TAIL END OF THE
FRONTAL RAINS. AREAS RIVERS ARE FORECAST TO RISE WITH THE WET
WEEKEND WEATHER.

BY MON THE EFFECTS OF THE SLOW MOVING LOW AND SFC FRONT WILL BEGIN
TO DIMINISH...PARTICULARLY OVER THE NORTHERN PANAHNDLE. PERIODS OF
RAIN MAY LINGER INTO TUES OVER THE SOUTH PART. BY THUR OR FRI
MODELS ARE DEPICTING ANOTHER STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING OVER THE
CENTRAL PAC RIDGE AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THIS SYSTEM IS COMING
FROM A REGION OF ABUNDANT DEEP MOISTURE ACCORDING TO PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY FROM SATELLITE. REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL SYSTEM
(VISIBLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY TODAY NEAR 25N AND 170E) MAY GET
ENTRAINED IN THIS FLOW MID- LATE NEXT WEEK WHICH WIOULD INCREASE
THE THREAT OF A POSSIBLE WET AND WINDY EARLY FALL STORM ABOUT FRI
NEXT WEEK. FOR NOW HOWEVER...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIFFER SO ONLY MEDIUM
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IN THE GENERAL EXTENDED FORECAST BEYOND MON AND
LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANY DETAILS. RELIED ON EMSEMBLE SOLTIONS TODAY
WHICH RESULTED IN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EXISTING FORECAST.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-053.

&&

PRB/TA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 24, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK52 hr
Aug 24, 9:55 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK18 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.