Small Craft Advisory 430, NWS Juneau, AK

676 
FZAK51 PAJK 310552 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-311600-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK WEATHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL SLOWLY
MOVE NW TO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE BY FRI NIGHT. A LOW OVER
CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH INTO THE
YUKON FRI NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-311600-
GLACIER BAY-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG LATE.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-311600-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING 
TO 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 7 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT
LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-311600-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG
LATE. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-311600-
ICY STRAIT-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-311600-
CROSS SOUND-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-311600-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG
LATE. SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE
MORNING. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-311600-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-311600-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013


.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-311600-
FREDERICK SOUND-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG LATE.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-311600-
SUMNER STRAIT-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-311600-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
952 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

008 
FZAK51 PAJK 310652 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-311500-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK WEATHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL SLOWLY
MOVE NW TO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE BY FRI NIGHT. A LOW OVER
CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH INTO THE
YUKON FRI NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-311500-
GLACIER BAY-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-311500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7
FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-311500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-311500-
ICY STRAIT-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-311500-
CROSS SOUND-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-311500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE
MORNING. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-311500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-311500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-311500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-311500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-311500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1052 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

789 
FZAK51 PAJK 311150
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-010100-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AS A
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF. A LOW OVER THE YUKON WILL
DEEPEN THROUGH SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-010100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-010100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-010100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-010100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-010100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-010100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-010100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-010100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-010100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-010100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-010100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 31 2013 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
613 AM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.SHORT TERM...EASTERLY WAVE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST PERIOD TODAY AND TONIGHT. A BAND
OF SHOWERS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE LATE YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON PRODUCED SOME HEAVY SHOWERS, BUT HAS WEAKENED STEADILY
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH MOST ACTIVITY ENDING SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WHAT IS LEFT OF THE BAND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST FROM THE
SKAGWAY AREA ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF GLACIER BAY AND
CROSSES THE COAST NEAR CAPE FAIRWEATHER. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED LATER TODAY IN YAKUTAT AS THE BAND CONTINUES TO LIFT TO
THE NORTHWEST. MEANWHILE, ANOTHER EASTERLY WAVE CAN BE SEEN
MOVING ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THIS WILL
BE THE SOURCE OF SHOWER ACTIVITY TONIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE AND THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE NEAR THE COAST MOUNTAINS. SIX
HOURLY QPF TOTALS IN EXCESS OF A THIRD OF AN INCH ARE IN THE
FORECAST WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS BETWEEN KETCHIKAN AND HYDER IN
THE EVENING AND THEN OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF ZONE 26 AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

 A MARINE LAYER OVER THE EASTERN GULF HAS PRODUCED VERY LOW
CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE OUTER COAST THROUGH THE NIGHT.
VISIBILITY IN KLAWOCK AND YAKUTAT HAS BEEN DOWN TO LESS THAN
2 MILES MOST OF THE NIGHT AND DOWN TO ONE QUARTER MILE AS OF
EARLY THIS MORNING. LOW CONDITIONS EXIST ON THE INSIDE AS WELL
WITH CEILINGS OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE WELL
BELOW 1000 FEET. THE THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT CONDITIONS IN
THE AFFECTED AREAS WILL IMPROVE BY MID MORNING WHERE THE SUN IS
ABLE TO PENETRATE DOWN TO THE SURFACE AMID BREAKS IN THE MID TO
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS BETWEEN BANDS OF SHOWERS. OVERALL, HOWEVER,
MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ALASKA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

 THE DAY BEGINS WITH VERY LITTLE WIND ANYWHERE, BUT A STIFF
SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER THE FAR
NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS. HAVE UP TO 20 KTS IN THE FORECAST FOR
GLACIER BAY AND SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL LATER TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY OUT FOR NORTHERN LYNN CANAL FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING. FARTHER SOUTH, A SMALL SURFACE TROUGH
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT EASTERLY WAVE WILL INDUCE STRONGER WINDS
OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS LATER TODAY BUT AM NOT EXPECTING
ANYTHING MORE THAN 20 KTS AT THIS TIME.

 TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL NOT BE GETTING AS HIGH AS IN THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS AS A RESULT OF THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER.
CONSEQUENTLY, SNOW MELT WILL SLOW DOWN AND THOSE CREEKS AND
STREAMS AT OR NEAR BANKFULL WILL SEE THEIR STAGES LEVEL OFF OR
FALL SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MANY OF THE LOCAL AREA
HYDROGRAPHS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO SHOW THIS.

 USED NAM FOR PRESSURE AND WIND. BLENDED NAM, HIGH RESOLUTION
NAM, AND GFS FOR POP AND QPF. ADJUSTED TEMPS WITH BOTH NAM AND
GFS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY
BUT FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK THERE IS POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY
AND LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE. DID NOT CHANGE MUCH AFTER TUESDAY AS
WPC WAS IN THERE AND USED A MIX OF EC ENSEMBLE MEAN AND GEFS. IN
THE MID RANGE USED A BLEND OF THE EC/NAM AS THEY INITIALIZED BETTER
THIS MORNING AND HAD A BETTER PRESSURE FIELD WITH THE LOW
DEVELOPING OVER CANADA ON FRIDAY.

AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN SHOWS
TWO UPPER LOWS OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC ONE IN THE WESTERN SIDE AND
ANOTHER IN THE EASTERN SIDE. THE ONE EAST WILL WEAKEN SOME AS IT
LIFTS NORTH OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS FRIDAY MORNING BUT WILL
DEVELOP INTO A CLOSED LOW BY THAT NIGHT. A SURFACE LOW WILL DRIFT
NORTH THROUGH BC AND STRENGTHEN THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING/NIGHT AND
THEN DEEPEN MORE THROUGH SATURDAY. THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO
TRACK BACK TO THE ESE THROUGH SUNDAY AS UPPER HIGH FORMS FROM THE
LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF DRIFTING TO THE EAST.

WHAT DOES ALL THIS MEAN...MOISTURE WILL STREAM IN FROM THE EAST
AND WITH STRONG VERTICAL MOTION ALONG WITH COLD AIR ALOFT SHOWERS
WILL DEVELOP AND DRIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY. THESE SHOWERS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT
WILL FORMS OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP SHOWER CAT TO LIKELY. THE WINDS
WILL BE VERY INTERESTING ON FRIDAY AS THERE WILL BE A SOUTHERLY
PUSH OVER THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS BY THE AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE
LOW OVER CANADA DEEPENS IN YUKON. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND BY THE AFTERNOON THERE WILL BE A GALE IN
NORTHERN LYNN WITH SMALL CRAFT OVER SOUTHERN LYNN. THE RES OF THE
NORTHERN HALF MARINE WATERS IN N/S CHANNELS WILL SEE SOUTH WINDS
15 TO 20 KT. OVER LAND THERE WILL BE SOME GUSTY WINDS NEAR JUNEAU
BUT SKAGWAY WILL SEE GUSTS TO 35 MPH WITH POSSIBLE HIGHER VALUES.
ALL OF THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING AS THE LOW IN THE YUKON DRIFTS NORTH AND WEAKENS.

THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH
INCREASE OFFSHORE FLOW FROM THE UPPER HIGH BUILDING IN FROM THE
WEST AS THE UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF DRIFTS EAST ACROSS THE
GULF. THE UPPER LOW WILL SEND A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN
GULF MONDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN OVER THE PANHANDLE THAT NIGHT.
WINDS WILL NOT BE TOO BAD BUT THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP AS
THERE WILL BE DEEP ONSHORE FLOW AND DEEP FETCH ACROSS THE PACIFIC.
THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT ON THIS SYSTEM BUT THE ISSUES WITH
THE TIMING OF THE PRECIP.

FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK THERE AVERAGE TO LOW FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE DUE TO POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY BUT THERE IS LOW
ENSEMBLE MEAN SPREADS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012.

&&

FRITSCH/ABJ