Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 13, NWS Juneau, AK

January 4, 2013

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 4, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 4, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 5, 2013, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

921 
FZAK52 PAJK 050034
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-051400-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF TONIGHT
THEN WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING. THE WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS THEN SUBSIDE BY SAT AS THE
FRONT DISSIPATES. 

$$

PKZ041-051400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING
LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-051400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING
LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-051400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF
CROSS SOUND LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-051400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-051400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$
6 follow-up statements
512 
FZAK52 PAJK 050231 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
530 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-051400-
530 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF TONIGHT
THEN WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING. THE WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS THEN SUBSIDE BY SAT AS THE
FRONT DISSIPATES. 

$$

PKZ041-051400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
530 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING
LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-051400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
530 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING
LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-051400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
530 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF
CROSS SOUND LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-051400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
530 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-051400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
530 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$
972 
FZAK52 PAJK 050755 AAB
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1055 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-060200-
1055 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF TONIGHT
THEN WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING. THE WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS THEN SUBSIDE BY SAT AS THE
FRONT DISSIPATES. 

$$

PKZ041-060200-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1055 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-060200-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1055 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-060200-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1055 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS
SOUND. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-060200-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1055 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-060200-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1055 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$
180 
FZAK52 PAJK 050954 AAC
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1251 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-060400-
1251 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF TONIGHT
THEN WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING. THE WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS THEN SUBSIDE BY SAT AS THE
FRONT DISSIPATES. 

$$

PKZ041-060400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1251 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-060400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1251 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-060400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1251 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS
SOUND. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-060400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1251 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-060400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1251 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$
584 
FZAK52 PAJK 051025
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
124 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-060430-
124 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF TONIGHT
THEN WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING. THE WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS THEN SUBSIDE BY SAT AS THE
FRONT DISSIPATES. 

$$

PKZ041-060430-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
124 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

...TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-060430-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
124 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

...TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-060430-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
124 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

...TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS
SOUND. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-060430-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
124 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-060430-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
124 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$
334 
FZAK52 PAJK 051107 AAE
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
204 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-060515-
204 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF TONIGHT
THEN WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING. THE WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS THEN SUBSIDE BY SAT AS THE
FRONT DISSIPATES. 

$$

PKZ041-060515-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
204 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-060515-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
204 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-060515-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
204 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...TSUNAMI WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS
SOUND. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-060515-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
204 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-060515-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
204 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$
244 
FZAK52 PAJK 051246
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-060100-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT
PROGRESSES NORTH AND INTO THE PANHANDLE SAT MORNING. ANOTHER
WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF FROM THE
WEST SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. 

$$

PKZ041-060100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-060100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-060100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-060100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-060100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 5 2013 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 4, 3:53 PM AKST, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 4, 3:53 PM AKST, 7 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
353 PM AKST FRI JAN 4 2013

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWING A WEATHER
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A 992 MB LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC TRACKING
TO THE NORTH. THE FRONT WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THIS
EVENING THEN MOVE OVER THE ENTIRE PANHANDLE BY SATURDAY. THE LOW
WILL TRACK TO THE EAST NEARING HAIDA GWAII SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS
IT WEAKENS TO AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT AMONG
THE MODELS REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SHORTWAVE ALONG THE
FRONT IN THE SE GULF LATE TONIGHT. EARLIER RUNS OF THE UKMET AND
ECMWF SHOWED A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH WHILE THE GFS/NAM DID NOT.
NEW RUNS OF THE NAM NOW SHOW A MORE PRONOUNCED FEATURE IN TH SE
GULF WHILE THE ECMWF DOES NOT. WITH THIS KIND OF SPREAD THIS
EARLY IN THE FORECAST KEPT WITH AN ENSEMBLE BLEND NOTING THAT IF
THE TROUGH DOES DEVELOP THERE WILL BE MARKED CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS WILL INCREASE TO GALE
FORCE THIS EVENING WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT THEN DISSIPATE LATE
TONIGHT. THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE THROUGH
THE EVENING WITH SOUTHERLY SMALL CRAFT WINDS DEVELOPING. KEEPING
WIND GUSTS FOR THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BELOW STRONG WIND HEADLINE
LEVELS. WHILE 850 MB WINDS FOR THIS REGION PICK UP TO 50 KTS THE
MAIN LOW WILL STILL BE SOUTH OF THE AREA THEREFORE THINK THE FRONT
WILL DISSIPATE ENOUGH TO LIMIT WIND GUSTS. FOR THE NORTHERN
REGIONS AS THE LOW MOVES TO THE SOUTH WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
YUKON WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO
NEAR SMALL CRAFT TONIGHT. AS WITH THE SOUTHERN AREAS WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THE WEAKENING FRONT AND LOW.

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP IN THE EARLY EVENING OR REMAIN STEADY THEN
SLOWLY RISE OVERNIGHT INTO IN THE EARLY MORNING WITH THE PASSING
FRONT. FOR THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THE NORTHERLY WINDS MAY KEEP
TEMPS LOWER OVERNIGHT BEFORE INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY.

THE CLEAR BREAKS THAT DEVELOPED OVER THE PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON
WILL DIMINISH AS CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION MOVES INTO THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVES NORTHWARD AS THE
FRONT TRACKS OVER THE PANHANDLE. PRECIPITATION FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
FREDERICK SOUND AND ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST WILL START AS ALL
RAIN WITH THE WARM AIR MOVING IN. REGIONS BETWEEN FREDERICK SOUND
AND ICY STRAIT WILL BEGIN AS A SNOW RAIN MIX DUE TO THE COLDER AIR
CURRENTLY IN PLACE BUT TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN AS PRECIP INCREASES
WITH THE ADVANCING FRONT. EXPECTING SNOW AMOUNTS ONLY AROUND 1
INCH FOR THIS REGION. NORTH OF ICY STRATI TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THROUGH THE MORNING TO KEEP PRECIP MAINLY AS
SNOW...BEFORE MIXING IN WITH RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. AS PRECIP WILL
START LATER TONIGHT ONLY EXPECTING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES. IF THE FRONT WEAKENS DUE TO LIMITED SUPPORT FROM THE
PARENT LOW SNOW AMOUNTS COULD BE LESS...HOWEVER IF THE WAVE DOES
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN THE SE GULF LOOKING AT SOME HIGHER QPF
AMOUNTS.

KEPT WITH AN ENSEMBLE BLEND FOR PRESSURE AND WINDS WITH A BIT
MORE GFS BLENDED IN FOR THE COASTAL WATERS. FOR POP USED THE SREF
AS ECMWF WAS A BIT TOO FAST MOVING IN PRECIP AND NAM WAS BIT TOO
SLOW. AS CONFIDENCE IN LATEST MODELS IS LOW DID NOT MAKE MUCH
CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. WHILE GENERAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN
AGREEMENT IS GOOD THE DEVELOPING WAVE MAY CAUSE SOME ISSUES. OTHER
QUESTION IS ADVANCING WARM AIR AND RESULTING HIGHER SNOW LEVEL FOR
AREAS NORTH OF ICY STRATI. THE NORTHERLY WIND THERE MAY KEEP TEMPS
LOW ENOUGH RESULTING IN MORE SNOW.

.LONG TERM...THE WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN USUAL FOR OUR WINTER
FRONTAL SYSTEMS, AND FORECAST TEMPERATURES ARE TYPICALLY ABOVE
CLIMATE WITH RAIN OFTEN AT LEAST MIXED IN.

AFTER THE LAND FALLING GALE FORCE SYSTEM DISCUSSED IN THE SHORT
RANGE SECTION ABOVE, THERE ARE NO SUSTAINED WINDS GIVEN ABOVE 30
KT IN ANY OF THE MARINE FORECASTS. THE MODELS HAVE A WIDER VARIETY
OF SOLUTIONS FOR POLAR FRONT ZONE WAVES SO EARLY IN THE FORECASTS,
BUT THIS IS DUE TO THESE SYSTEMS BEING TOO CLOSE COUPLED WITH ONE
ANOTHER TO DEVELOP STRONGER WINDS THROUGH DAYTIME SUNDAY. ABOUT
06Z MON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE WHOLE GULF
COAST FROM YAKUTAT TO HYDABURG, YET WITHOUT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30
KT OR LESS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CLIMATE DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE LACK OF ANY ARCTIC AIR MASS TO BE OVER RUN.
ONE RESULT IS THAT SNOW AMOUNTS NEAR SEA LEVEL ARE TYPICALLY 2
INCHES OR LESS PER PERIOD.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-041-042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-021-031>036-043-051-052.

&&

PRB/JBT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 4, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Jan 4, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Jan 4, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Jan 5, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 5, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 5, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Jan 5, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.