Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Fairbanks, AK

674 
WWAK62 PAFG 302204
RFWWCZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
204 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN INTERIOR...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM AKDT FRIDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION OF THE
WESTERN INTERIOR...

AKZ216-311415-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.W.0010.130531T2000Z-130601T0500Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130531T0500Z/
LOWER KOYUKUK AND MIDDLE YUKON VALLEYS-
204 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM AKDT FRIDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM AKDT FRIDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* TIMING...HUMIDITY WILL RISE ABOVE 15 PERCENT BY 9 PM...BUT FALL
  AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ227-311415-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.W.0010.130531T2000Z-130601T0500Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
204 PM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM AKDT FRIDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM AKDT FRIDAY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* TIMING...HUMIDITY WILL RISE ABOVE 15 PERCENT BY 9 PM...BUT FALL
  AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
648 AM AKDT THU MAY 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WILL PERSIST
INTO THE WEEKEND AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE INTERIOR INTO THE WEEKEND.

SEVERAL SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE ARCTIC OCEAN
AND JUST GRAZING THE ARCTIC SLOPE TODAY THROUGH SAT. THIS WILL
CAUSE STRATUS AND FOG WITH FLURRIES DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE
TO CONTINUE ALONG THE ARCTIC SLOPE.

AN AREA OF INCREASED MOISTURE AND WEAK INSTABILITY NEAR NORTHWAY
WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR THROUGH SAT. THIS WILL
CAUSE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SE OF EAGLE TO
DELTA JUNCTION TO DENALI TODAY THAT WILL SPREAD SLOWLY NORTH
THROUGH FRI. A SHORT WAVE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERIOR
FRI NIGHT AND SAT MAY SERVE TO FOCUS THE CONVECTION AND INCREASE
THE LIGHTNING STRIKES FROM A FEW TO SEVERAL DOZEN FRI EVENING AND
SAT.

SURFACE...
A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM MCGRATH TO FAIRBANKS TO EAGLE
WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH TO ANVIK TO TANANA TO CIRCLE BY FRI PM AND
THEN DRIFT BACK SOUTH SAT.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA WILL BUILD OVER THE ARCTIC
COAST AND NORTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH FRI WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SAT. THIS WILL CAUSE STRATUS AND FOG ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST TO
PERSIST. ALONG THE WEST COAST NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO N15-25KT
TONIGHT AND AREAS EXPOSED TO NORTH WINDS WILL SEE STRATUS AND FOG.

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST JUST NORTH OF THE ARCTIC
COAST FRI AND FRI NIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE WEST WINDS TO DEVELOP
THERE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
CONDITIONS REMAIN HOT AND DRY OVER ALL THE INTERIOR THROUGH SAT.
MOISTURE INCREASING SLIGHTLY SE OF MCGRATH TO DENALI TO EAGLE
LINE TODAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HUGE ICE JAM ON YUKON NEAR BISHOP ROCK BROKE FREE WED EVENING AND
WATER IN GALENA IS NOW FALLING SLOWLY, AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO
FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS REMAINS OF THE 10 MI WIDE AND 40 MI LONG LAKE
DRAINS OUT OF THE FLATS AROUND GALENA.

THE JAM AND THE HIGH WATER WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH IT IS MOVING
DOWNRIVER AND SHOULD BE MOVING THROUGH KOYUKUK NOW ALTHOUGH WE
HAVE NO WORD FROM THERE. THE ICE AND HIGH WATER SHOULD HIT NULATO
LATE THIS MORNING AND THEN CONTINUE DOWNRIVER WITH THE WATER
FLATTENING OUT.

ICE JAM FLOOD REMAINS AT KOBUK.

FLOOD ADVISORY NEAR CHANDALAR SHELF AND ATIGUN PASS TODAY.

FLOOD ADVISORY FOR PORCUPINE RIVER THROUGH SAT.

FLOOD WATCH FOR SE BROOKS RANGE RIVERS THROUGH SAT.

FLOOD WATCH FOR INTERIOR RIVERS SHOULD END TODAY AS SNOW DECREASES.

FLOOD WATCHES FOR ALL ALASKA RANGE RIVERS SHOULD BE EXTENDED
THROUGH SAT DUE TO THE HIGH FREEZING LEVELS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FOR AKZ216-AKZ217-AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222-
AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ225-AKZ226-AKZ227.

FLOOD WATCH FOR AKZ218-AKZ220-AKZ222-AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ226.

FLOOD WARNINGS FOR AKZ216-AKZ217

FLOOD ADVISORY FOR AKZ218-AKZ220

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

JB MAY 13