Alert archive / Alaska / Red Flag Warnings in 2013

Red Flag Warning 22, NWS Fairbanks, AK

October 28, 2013

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this red flag warning at Oct 28, 2013, 11:04 AM AKDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 28, 2013, 11:04 AM AKDT (19:04 UTC)
Expired: Oct 28, 2013, 7:00 PM AKDT
In force: 8 hr
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

989 
WWAK63 PAFG 281904
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1104 AM AKDT MON OCT 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR DELTA JUNCTION AND VICINITY...

AKZ223-290300-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.W.0022.131028T1904Z-131029T0300Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
1104 AM AKDT MON OCT 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

* 20 FT WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS AS
  HIGHS AS 60 MPH. WIND SPEEDS MAY BE HIGHLY VARIABLE.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 30 PERCENT.

* TIMING...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE ALREADY REACHED AS LOW AS
  35 PERCENT. WINDS WILL DECREASE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE
  HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE AS RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
  DEVELOPING IN THE EVENING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

1 follow-up statement

161 
WWAK63 PAFG 290314
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
714 PM AKDT MON OCT 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR DELTA JUNCTION AND VICINITY...

AKZ223-290415-
/X.EXP.PAFG.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-131029T0300Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
714 PM AKDT MON OCT 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW
HUMIDITY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 28, 3:27 AM AKDT, 7 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 3:27 AM AKDT, 7 hours 37 minutes before

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
327 AM AKDT MON OCT 28 2013

.DISCUSSION...
988 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM AT 10Z PROGGED BY CURRENT
MODELS TO DEEPEN TO A 983 MB CENTER NEAR THE EASTERN SHORE OF
NORTON SOUND THIS AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN TO A TROUGH OVER THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR BY TUE AFTERNOON. A NEW 990 MB LOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON...THEN INTENSIFYING
SUBSTANTIALLY AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MACKENZIE RIVER
DELTA AREA BY TUE MORNING. PROGGED CENTRAL PRESSURE FOR 18Z TUE
IS ABOUT 977 MB...THERE ARE ONLY SMALL DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODEL
FORECAST POSITIONS FOR 18Z TUE.

WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL/WESTERN
INTERIOR AND PARTS OF THE WEST COAST TODAY. PRECIPITATION
CONTINUING OVER MOST OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT BUT BECOMING
LESS WIDESPREAD AS THE ORIGINAL SURFACE LOW WEAKENS AND EVENTUALLY
DISSIPATES. SNOW DEVELOPING OVER MOST OF THE ARCTIC REGION ZONES
TONIGHT...LIKELY CONTINUING TUESDAY BUT WITH LESSER AMOUNTS.

AREAS OF PRECIPITATION IN THE EASTERN INTERIOR TODAY MAY
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT AS THE UPPER RIDGE EXITS
EAST AND THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...
ALLOWING MORE MOISTURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE
HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIPITATION IN THE EASTERN INTERIOR
IS EXPECTED TO BE IN AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF DELTA JUNCTION.
IN THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR...THERE MAY BE SOME PRECIPITATION
SPILLING ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE...BUT DOWNSLOPE SHOULD LIMIT
THE AMOUNTS.

MULTIPLE PRECIPITATION TYPES POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE BROOKS
RANGE WITH 1000-850 MB TEMPERATURES WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO...PLUS
OR MINUS...OF ZERO CELSIUS.

AS THE NEW SURFACE LOW DEEPENS OVER THE MACKENZIE DELTA AREA
TUESDAY...WEST WINDS OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 25-35 MPH...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REDUCING
VISIBILITY.

IN AREAS OF ZONE 227 NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE...WIND ADVISORY
CONTINUING THROUGH NOON TODAY. NAM12 CROSS SECTIONS INDICATING
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS ALOFT AND NEAR MOUNTAINTOP LEVEL.

IN ZONES 223 AND 226...HIGH WIND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT
THROUGH TODAY. NAM12 CROSS SECTION INDICATES WINDS ALOFT
AS HIGH AS 95-105 KT ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE EARLY TODAY
AT SOME LEVELS BELOW 700 MB. WINDS ALOFT ARE EXPECTED
TO DIMINISH DURING THE DAY...BUT HIGH WIND WARNING GUSTS
LIKELY TO CONTINUE IN ZONE 226 THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
TEXAS RANGE AND TEXAS CONDO SITES IN ZONE 226 HAVE REPORTED
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 78-79 MPH DURING THE LAST HOUR OR TWO.
WIND GUSTS IN ZONE 223 SO FAR HAVE REMAINED BELOW WARNING
LEVEL...BUT A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
TODAY. SEVERAL SITES HAVE REPORTED MAXIMUM GUSTS TO NEAR
60 MPH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

IN ZONE 225...GUSTS AT THE WINDIEST REPORTING SITE HAVE
REMAINED BELOW 60 MPH. WITH WINDS ALOFT EXPECTED TO DECREASE
OVER THE RAILBELT AREA DURING THE DAY...GUSTS TO 70 MPH
APPEAR TO BE UNLIKELY. A FEW GUSTS TO 60 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE.
SURFACE ANALYSIS DOES NOT SHOW GOOD RIDGING SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA RANGE...SO THE LOW LEVEL GAP WIND CONTRIBUTION
IS PROBABLY NOT LARGE. HIGH WIND WARNING IS STILL IN EFFECT
FOR ZONE 225 BUT WE WILL CONSIDER A DOWNGRADE

WINDS ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE COULD BE
AS HIGH AS 95-105 KT AT SOME LEVELS BELOW 700 MB THROUGH
EARLY MORNING. LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR
IN AND NEAR CHANNELED AREAS IN THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE
TODAY. THERE ARE NO OBSERVATION SITES IN OR NEAR THESE AREAS.
WILL CONTINUE THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH
TODAY.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ224-AKZ225-AKZ227.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ230-PKZ235.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

RF OCT 13

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 28, 8:59 AM AKDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
859 AM AKDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST DELTA JUNCTION          64.06N 145.71W
10/28/2013  M52.00 MPH                          AK   ASOS

0650 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E HEALY               63.81N 148.96W
10/28/2013  M63.00 MPH                          AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0530 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 11 SSW FORT GREELY      63.82N 145.88W
10/28/2013  M84.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0530 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SSW FORT GREELY      63.84N 145.91W
10/28/2013  M85.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0524 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SSW FORT GREELY       63.87N 145.85W
10/28/2013  M56.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0455 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SW FORT GREELY        63.89N 145.87W
10/28/2013  M65.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0220 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE FORT GREELY       63.97N 145.70W
10/28/2013  M61.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0210 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SSW FORT GREELY       63.89N 145.85W
10/28/2013  M61.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0155 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW FORT GREELY       63.97N 145.76W
10/28/2013  M61.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0115 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE FORT GREELY       63.94N 145.75W
10/28/2013  M72.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0115 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 13 SSW FORT GREELY      63.79N 145.95W
10/28/2013  M65.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

0110 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 12 SSW FORT GREELY      63.80N 145.94W
10/28/2013  M63.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

&&

SBERG

Local storm report, Oct 28, 9:07 AM AKDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
907 AM AKDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 15 WNW TANACROSS        63.45N 143.83W
10/28/2013  E60 MPH                             AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SOUTHWEST WINDS 35-40 GUSTING 55-60 THIS MORNING.

&&

SBERG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 27, 6:56 PM AKDT	Freezing Rain Advisory	AFG	11 hr
Oct 28, 3:43 AM AKDT	Heavy Freezing Spray Warning	AFG	3 days
Oct 28, 3:48 AM AKDT	Heavy Freezing Spray Warning	AFG	3 days
Oct 28, 5:41 AM AKDT	Winter Weather Advisory	AFG	44 hr
Oct 28, 2:36 PM AKDT	Brisk Wind Advisory	AFG	37 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Alaska, 2013 Every red flag warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.