Gale Warning 92, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
140 PM AKST TUE NOV 5 2013

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH AXIS ALONG 160W CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE
EAST AND IMPACT WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR AS
WELL AS THE NORTH SLOPE. FAVORABLE DYNAMICS HELPED DEEPEN SURFACE
LOW LOCATED 350 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY TO 986 MB WITH GUSTY WEST
WINDS ALONG THE NORTH SLOPE BARROW AND POINTS EAST. HIGH SURF
NOTED AT BARROW THIS MORNING AND ALONG THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE
COAST WHERE HIGH SURF ADVISORIES CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF THE TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR ALONG A PATA TO PAMC LINE. LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES AHEAD OF
THE TROUGH WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN INTERIOR. SOUNDINGS INDICATE PRECIP SHOULD BE ALL SNOW.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT HELPING TO ENHANCE SNOW FALL TOTALS ALONG THE
SOUTH FACES OF THE BROOKS RANGE WHERE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT. AS SKIES SCATTER OUT BEHIND THE TROUGH TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ABOVE TO SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

FORECAST FOCUS CONTINUES ON VERY STRONG LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR
PASY AT AROUND 952 MB CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE BERING SEA.
WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASE TONIGHT ACROSS MARINE ZONE 210 WHERE STORM
FORCE SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH WED NIGHT. HIGH WIND WARNING ISSUED FOR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND
BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GALE
FORCE WINDS ON TAP BEGINNING EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW IN NORTON
SOUND. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL EXPAND NORTH THROUGH THE BERING
STRAIT BY NOON. GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE
CHUKCHI SEA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH SURF ADVISORY ISSUED FOR
MARINE ZONE 213 FOR WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHEAST FACING
SHORES...CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR HIGH SURF POTENTIAL FOR ZONE 211
AND ZONE 207 SPECIFICALLY KIVALINA...HOWEVER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ESSENTIALLY PARALLEL TO THE SEWARD PENINSULA COAST THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING AND REMAIN PARALLEL TO THE COAST NEAR KIVALINA
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR THE THREAT OF
COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THESE AND REMAINING SOUTH AND WEST FACING
AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST THURSDAY MORNING NEAR CAPE
ROMANZOF TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT NEAR KIVALINA AND NORTHWARD TO
POINT HOPE. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
AND WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN HOWEVER
SOUTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH LONG FETCH AND LONG DURATION EVENT
WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPDATES
TO STORM INTENSITY AND TRACT WILL IMPACT WINDS SPEEDS AND
DIRECTIONS AND POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...SEE DISCUSSION ABOVE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ218.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ213.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ213.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-
PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ210.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ245.
&&

CCC NOV 13