Gale Warning 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

502 
FZAK52 PAFG 092313
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
213 PM AKST WED JAN 9 2013

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-101415-
213 PM AKST WED JAN 9 2013

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL MOVE TO NEAR ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND AS A 998 MB LOW BY 3AM THU...AND TO THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA
AS A 1003 MB LOW BY 3PM THU. A SECOND LOW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE
SOUTHEAST BERING SEA AS A 990 MB LOW BY 3PM THU AND INTO THE
BERING STRAIT AS A 996 MB LOW BY 3PM FRI.

$$

PKZ200-101415-
NORTON SOUND-
213 PM AKST WED JAN 9 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE EVENING.
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT. SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-101415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
213 PM AKST WED JAN 9 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE EVENING. BLOWING
SNOW. SNOW. 
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-101415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
213 PM AKST WED JAN 9 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING.
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 5 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-101415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
213 PM AKST WED JAN 9 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING.
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

EWP/JAM JAN 13

725 
FZAK52 PAFG 101248
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
348 AM AKST THU JAN 10 2013

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-110045-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 10 2013

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 998 LOW OVER ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHERN
CHUKCHI SEA AS A 1005 MB LOW BY 3PM THU AND THEN DISSIPATE. A
SECOND LOW IN THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTH
OF GAMBELL AS A 991 MB LOW BY 3AM FRI AND TO THE BERING STRAIT AS
A 998 MB LOW BY 3PM FRI THEN CONTINUE NORTH AND WEAKEN. A THIRD
AND MUCH STRONGER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA FRI
NIGHT AND SAT.

$$

PKZ200-110045-
NORTON SOUND-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 10 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-110045-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 10 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SOUTHEAST 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-110045-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 10 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-110045-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 10 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JAN 13

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
234 PM AKST TUE JAN 8 2013

.DISCUSSION...
COMPLEX SFC LOW IN THE CENTRAL AND WRN SEA WILL SPIN AN "INSTANT
OCCLUSION" ONTO THE BERING SEA COAST. LIKE THE SYSTEM LATE LAST
WEEK...SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL BE PEELED OFF EWD INTO THE NRN GULF
OF ALASKA. A NEW LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE ERN
BERING SEA ON THU...BUT THIS LOOKS TO BE EVEN WEAKER. 1035 MB HIGH
400 NM NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND WITH RIDGE TOWARD BARROW PRSTG BUT
DRFTG A BIT EWD. WEAK WARM FRONT APPROACHING ERN NORTH SLOPE COAST
WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE WILL OVER THE INTERIOR
WILL BUILD AND CONSOLIDATE TO A 1027 MB CENTER OF THE YUKON TERR
BY THU AM.

NUMERICAL MODELS CONT TO HAVE SOME DIFFS IN HANDLING THE INCOMING
BERING COAST OCCLUSION...AND TO A LARGER EXTENT THE NEXT LOW. BY
FRI AFTERNOON THE DIFFS ARE UNUSUALLY LARGE FOR SO EARLY IN THE
FORECAST CYCLE WITH TIMING AND AND STRENGTH OF SHORT WAVES.

MID-RANGE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON BUILDING BIG RIDGE IN THE
GULF OF ALASKA WITH PERIODIC BUILDING RIGHT ACROSS MAINLAND
ALASKA. THIS WILL BE A WARM PATTERN ACROSS THE CWA AND INTMTLY
STORMY OVR THE WEST COAST AND WRN NORTH SLOPE.

NORTH SLOPE...WINDS INCREASING AGAIN WRN AREAS WED PM WHILE
DIMINISHING THIS EVENING ERN AREAS, TEMPS REMAIN MOSTLY NEAR OR
ABOVE NORMAL.

WEST COAST...WWA LOOKS PLAUSIBLE FOR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BUT MORE
MARGINAL FOR ZONE 214. HOWEVER NO CONFIDENCE TO WARRANT ENDING
THE WWA ATTM. OCCLUSION WILL BRING SOME SNOW TO NULATO HILLS AND
SRN SEWARD PEN BUT SUB ADVISORY. NEXT LOW ON THU NIGHT/FRI LESS
IMPACTFUL AS MOST ENERGY IN THE GULF.

INTERIOR...AREAS CLOUDS AND LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT WILL MOVE EWD AS
RIDGE ALOFT BUILDS. MAY BE ENOUGH OF THE BERING OCCLUSION LEFT TO
SPREAD SNOW AS FAR EAST AS CENTRAL ZONES ON FRI. AFTER THE BRIEF
COOL DOWN TEMPS AGAIN WARMING WITH A DECENT CHINOOK DEVELOPING
AGAIN THU NIGHT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ213-AKZ214.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200.
&&

RT JAN 13