Gale Warning 100, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH UPPER LEVEL FEATURES THROUGH 48
HOURS. DISCREPANCIES EXIST AT LOWER LEVELS. THE MAJOR STORM THAT
HIT NORTHERN ALASKA IS CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEASTERN INTERIOR AND
WILL FINALLY EXIT BY EARLY TUESDAY.

CURRENTLY...STRONG WINDS ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST ARE PRODUCING
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN AND AROUND DEADHORSE BUT THE WINDS ARE
SLOWLY STARTING TO SUBSIDE THERE BUT HAVE INCREASED AT BARTER
ISLAND WITH THE ADVANCE OF THE POLAR LOW THAT DEVELOPED.

THE NEXT ROUND OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
WEST COAST AND SPREADING EASTWARD TO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WITH THE
NEXT SYSTEM. THE NEXT SYSTEM CONSISTS ESSENTIALLY OF AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW AND A HUGE RIDGE THAT GETS FLATTENED OUT BY THE VIGOROUS LOW.
THE RIDGE IS ACTING AS THE CATALYST TO BRING IN MOISTURE FROM THE
PACIFIC AND THEN TRANSPORTS IT NEARLY ZONALLY ACROSS THE STATE.

ANOTHER POSSIBLE COASTAL FLOODING SCENARIO FOR NORTON SOUND. MOST
PLACES ALONG THE WEST COAST...WESTERN INTERIOR AND CENTRAL
INTERIOR ARE LIKELY TO SEE LARGE AMOUNTS OF FREEZING RAIN IN
FAIRLY SHORT ORDER AFTER STARTING OUT AS SNOW FOR A BRIEF PERIOD.
IT MAY BE THAT EVERYTHING BELOW THE BROOKS RANGE SEES AT LEAST
SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN AT SOME POINT BEFORE THE UPPER LOW IS ABLE
TO MOVE COLDER AIR BACK INTO NORTHERN ALASKA ON ITS TREK EASTWARD.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ212.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-
AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ217-AKZ219-AKZ221-AKZ222-AKZ225-AKZ227.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ213-
AKZ214-AKZ224-AKZ226.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ205-AKZ206.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-
PKZ235.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CF NOV 13

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