Brisk Wind Advisory 13, NWS Fairbanks, AK

418 
FZAK52 PAFG 082339
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
239 PM AKST TUE JAN 8 2013

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-091445-
239 PM AKST TUE JAN 8 2013

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO SAINT LAWRENCE
ISLAND TO THE YUKON DELTA WED PM AND TO THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA
BY THU PM.

$$

PKZ200-091445-
NORTON SOUND-
239 PM AKST TUE JAN 8 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-091445-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
239 PM AKST TUE JAN 8 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-091445-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
239 PM AKST TUE JAN 8 2013

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-091445-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
239 PM AKST TUE JAN 8 2013

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

JM/RT JAN 13

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
230 PM AKST MON JAN 7 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...LOW OVER GULF OF ALASKA MOVING EAST WHILE RIDGE OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS BUILDS NORTH OVER WESTERN ALASKA TUE THROUGH
THU. LOW EAST OF BANKS ISLAND WITH TROUGH WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN
BEAUFORT SEA...TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH TO FAIRBANKS TO DAWSON
CANADA 3AM WED THEN CONTINUE SOUTHEAST.

SURFACE...982 MB LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL STEADILY WEAKEN AND
MOVE SOUTHEAST. ASSOCIATED OCCLUSION OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
WILL DISSIPATE NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE BY 3AM TUE. 1034 MB HIGH OVER
RUSSIAN ARCTIC PERSISTING. WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPING OFFSHORE THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST THIS EVENING. OCCLUSION
OVER SOUTHWEST BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH AND WEAKEN FROM SAINT
LAWRENCE ISLAND TO BETHEL 9AM WED WHILE A NEW LOW FORMS OVER OUTER
BRISTOL BAY THEN AND MOVES TO NUNIVAK ISLAND 9PM WED AT 991
MB...THEN DISSIPATE NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND 9AM THU.

MODELS...IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 72 HOURS. 12Z NAM WAS NOT AS
STRONG ON BUILDING RIDGE OVER SW ALASKA THU BUT 18Z RUN HAS CAUGHT
UP TO THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTION. WITH THE CURRENT TREND SHOWN IN
THE MEDIUM TERM BY THE ECMWF AND GFS BUILDING THE RIDGE OVER
WESTERN AK AND SLIDING IT EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK...IT LOOKS AS
THOUGH ANY COOLING IN STORE OVER EASTERN AK BEHIND THE ARCTIC
UPPER TROUGH WILL BE SHORT LIVED...JUST FOR WED AND THU.

NORTH SLOPE...WINDS OVER EASTERN ZONES TURNING WEST AND INCREASING
TO 15 TO 25 MPH THROUGH TUE. NORTHEAST WINDS OVER WESTERN ZONES
DIMINISHING TONIGHT. SCATTERED FLURRIES PERSISTING.

WESTERN ALASKA...NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DIMINISH OVER THE
NORTHWEST COAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO INTO TUE. WEAKENING
OCCLUSION MOVING INTO AREA WILL GIVE A CHANCE OF SNOW TO ZONES 213
AND 214 WED. THE 991 MB LOW WHICH DEVELOPS BEHIND IT WILL BRING A
WIDER AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WED NIGHT AND THURSDAY...SPREADING EAST
TO MCGRATH BY THU AM AND NORTH TO THE ARCTIC CIRCLE THU AFTERNOON.
EXPECT SOME INCREASE IN NORTHEAST WINDS FOR A WHILE...UP TO 30
MPH.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...THE GFS PROVIDES SOME PRECIPITATION
TUE AND WED OVER CENTRAL INTERIOR EAST TO THE BORDER WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH SLIDING SOUTH OVER THE AREA...EXPECT IT TO THICKEN
UP THE CLOUDS AND BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. BEHIND THE UPPER
TROUGH...CLOUDS DECREASING AND TEMPS COOLING OFF WED NIGHT AND
THU...WITH THU AM BEING THE COLDEST SO FAR THIS MONTH.

&&
.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

JL JAN 13