Brisk Wind Advisory 103, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1214 PM AKDT THU MAR 14 2013

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD UPPER LOW CENTER NOW CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN
INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD...OPENING UP INTO A
TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA MAINLAND AND THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA BY FRIDAY MORNING. A GENERALLY WEAK FLOW
PATTERN ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN ALASKA MAINLAND
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CURRENT MODELS ARE POINTING TO A RETURN
OF MODERATELY COLD AIR TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR
NEXT WEEK AS NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS ON THE EAST SIDE
OF AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST.

AN UPPER LEVEL WIND MAXIMUM OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR AND
WEST COAST WILL MOVE WESTWARD AND DIMINISH IN STRENGTH TONIGHT.
THIS SHOULD AID IN TONING DOWN THE GUSTY SURFACE WINDS OCCURRING
OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR ZONES AND PARTS OF THE WEST COAST.
GENERALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER MOST
OF THE INTERIOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT STAY BELOW ADVISORY
LEVEL. LOW LEVEL WINDS ALOFT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED
TO DIMINISH SLOWLY...AND THE COLD ADVECTION HAS ENDED. SOME
GUSTINESS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOWEVER AS SOLAR HEATING MIXES WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

A CHANCE OF SNOW OVER THE SOUTHERN WEST ZONES LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A WEAK SURFACE LOW APPROACHES DALL
POINT FROM THE WEST. MODEL SOLUTIONS VARY ON THE TRACK
OF THE SYSTEM AT THIS TIME SO FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
BELOW AVERAGE. THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY SNOWFALL WILL BE
OVER ZONE 214.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

BRISK WIND ADVISORY...PKZ200-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240.
WIND ADVISORY..AKZ215-AKZ216.

&&

RF MAR 13