Blizzard Warning 27, NWS Fairbanks, AK

235 
WWAK41 PAFG 221334
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
434 AM AKST FRI NOV 22 2013

AKZ203-230100-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0027.131122T1800Z-131123T1800Z/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
434 AM AKST FRI NOV 22 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 AM AKST SATURDAY FROM DEADHORSE EAST...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 AM AKST SATURDAY. 

* SNOW...2 TO 3 INCHES.

* BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50
  MPH...BECOMING EAST AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

AKZ204-230100-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0027.131122T1800Z-131123T1800Z/
EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...KAKTOVIK...FLAXMAN ISLAND
434 AM AKST FRI NOV 22 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 AM AKST SATURDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 AM AKST SATURDAY. 

* SNOW...2 TO 3 INCHES

* BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...INCREASING
  TO 40 TO 50 MPH THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

400 
WWAK41 PAFG 222152
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1252 PM AKST FRI NOV 22 2013

AKZ203-231400-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0027.000000T0000Z-131123T1800Z/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1252 PM AKST FRI NOV 22 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY
FROM DEADHORSE EAST...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. 

* SNOW...2 TO 3 INCHES.

* BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* WINDS...INCREASING TO EAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

AKZ204-231400-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0027.000000T0000Z-131123T1800Z/
EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...KAKTOVIK...FLAXMAN ISLAND
1252 PM AKST FRI NOV 22 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. 

* SNOW...2 TO 3 INCHES.

* BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* WINDS...EAST 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTING UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

107 
WWAK41 PAFG 231155
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
255 AM AKST SAT NOV 23 2013

AKZ203-204-231300-
/X.CAN.PAFG.BZ.W.0027.000000T0000Z-131123T1800Z/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...
KUPARUK...KAKTOVIK...FLAXMAN ISLAND
255 AM AKST SAT NOV 23 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE
BLIZZARD WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA INCLUDING
DEADHORSE. EAST WINDS OF 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE
OCCURRING OVER BARTER ISLAND...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. ALTHOUGH SNOW HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE
AREA...EXPECT VISIBILITIES TO REACH DOWN TO ONE MILE IN SNOW
THROUGH THE MORNING. SINCE THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
MEET BLIZZARD CRITERIA...THE WARNING HAS BEEN EXPIRED.

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
651 AM AKST THU NOV 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS LOCATED OFF CAPE LISBURNE AND
DOMINATING MOST OF THE NORTH SLOPE AND EASTERN INTERIOR. AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED NEAR BETHEL AND WILL WANDER
SLOWLY TOWARDS NUNIVAK ISLAND TODAY BEFORE PUSHING BACK TOWARDS
THE CENTRAL INTERIOR BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW
FEATURE WILL BRING ALLOW FOR THE CHINOOK WINDS INCREASE ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE WILL ALSO PULL
IN MOISTURE INTO THE YUKON DELTA AND ALASKA RANGE ON FRIDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE INTERIOR BEFORE WEAKENING TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

AT THE SURFACE...A 1042 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CANADA AND
EXTENDING NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AS THE 1032MB HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER 50NM SOUTHEAST
OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST TO BE LOCATED 90NM NORTHEAST
OF BARROW BY 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AT 997MB
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST WITH STRONG SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPING ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
EXTENDING FROM BARROW TO BARTER ISLAND. THIS LOW WILL EVENTUALLY
SPLIT INTO A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH ONE LOW LOCATED NEAR
THE DEMARCATION POINT AT 1000MB AND ANOTHER 1001MB LOCATED 60NM
SOUTHEAST OF BARROW BY 3PM SATURDAY. THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
AND MOVING ALONG THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL SPLIT BY 3 PM ON FRIDAY
WITH ONE CENTER 0F 988 MB LOCATED SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND AND
ANOTHER LOW CENTER OF 986 MB LOCATED NEAR PALMER. THE SURFACE LOW
NEAR PALMER WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARDS EASTERN INTERIOR
WHILE THE OTHER LOW WILL EVENTUALLY WEAKEN ON SATURDAY EVENING.

NORTH SLOPE...SOME AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF ONE HALF MILE
NEAR BARROW...BUT IT APPEARS TO BE VERY ISOLATED EVENTS ACCORDING
TO LATEST SATELLITE DATA FROM THE SUOMI NPP VIIRS DAY NIGHT BAND.
IN FACT RATHER CLEAR ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA GIVEN HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL SOON CHANGE ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE IS REPLACED WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THE
TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM BARROW EASTWARD IS RATHER
IMPRESSIVE AND WILL BE ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS...BLOWING
SNOW...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR AREAS FROM DEADHORSE EAST
TOWARDS BARTER ISLAND. HAVE ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH FOR CONDITIONS
ACROSS PUBLIC ZONES 203 AND 204 FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE
WINDS INCREASE ON FRIDAY MORNING AND BEGIN TO DECREASE AS SNOW
WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
EXPECT THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO END EARLY SATURDAY. FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY. SEA ICE HAS COVERED MAJORITY OF THE ARCTIC COAST EXCEPT
PORTIONS WAINWRIGHT SOUTH TOWARDS POINT HOPE. HOWEVER...YOU CAN NOW
SEE ICE EXTENDING OFFSHORE FROM THE VIIRS IMAGERY.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
BEGINS TO IMPACT THE AREA AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE BERING STRAIT THIS
EVENING INTO FRIDAY ALLOWING FOR HEAVY SURF POTENTIAL ALONG THE
NORTH SHORES OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WHERE THERE IS STILL OPEN
WATERS. ICE IS ALREADY BEGINNING TO FILL PORTIONS OF NORTON BAY
AND KOTZEBUE SOUND BY THE VIIRS IMAGERY. AS FOR THE WINTER STORM
WATCH ALONG YUKON DELTA AREA...THERE DID NOT APPEAR TO BE AS MUCH
CONFIDENCE WITH THE HEAVY SNOW FOR PUBLIC ZONES 214 AND IT APPEARED
THAT PORTION OF ZONE 212 WOULD BE THE DOWNSLOPE DRIER SIDE OF THE
NULATO HILLS IN THIS EVENT. THUS THOSE TWO WATCHES WERE CANCELLED.
ALTHOUGH THE SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE LOWER YUKON VALLEY HAVE
DIMINISHED GREATLY...THERE STILL COULD BE SOME POTENTIAL
ENHANCEMENT OF THE UPSLOPE FLOW FOR THE NULATO HILLS. THUS I HAVE
KEPT THE PUBLIC ZONE 215 BUT TAPERED THE SNOW AMOUNTS DOWN. STILL
DECIDED TO KEEP THE WINTER STORM WATCH BECAUSE STILL SOME LOW
CONFIDENCE. STILL HAVE BETTER CONFIDENCE PUBLIC ZONE 216 WITH SNOW
AMOUNTS THUS HAVE KEPT THE WINTER STORM WATCH IN TACT BUT WITH THE
JUMP IN SNOW AMOUNTS AND LOCATIONS...DECIDED TO KEEP THE WATCH OUT
FOR FURTHER REVIEW ON IF ADVISORY OR WARNING CRITERIA.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...COLD AIR MASS STILL IN PLACE WITH
EVEN A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES SET IN BIG DELTA YESTERDAY WITH 38F
BELOW ZERO WITH PREVIOUS RECORD OF 37F BELOW ZERO SET IN 1993.
NEEDED TO START SOME WIND ADVISORIES AND WIND CHILL ADVISORIES DUE
TO INCREASING WINDS THIS MORNING AND JUST COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE.
WILL NOT GO INTO GREAT DETAIL BUT COULD SEE AREAS ACROSS EAGLE
REMAINING WITH WIND CHILL ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
ELSEWHERE...THE WINDS ARE STARTING TO INCREASE IN DELTA JUNCTION.
IT WILL BE AN INTERESTING SCENARIO WITH THE STRONGER WINDS
INCREASING MAINLY OVER THE SUMMITS WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES. HOWEVER...SOME LOCATIONS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
SIDE OF THE ALASKA RANGE COULD POTENTIALLY SEE SOME HEAVY SNOW
AMOUNTS AND IT WILL BE A FINE LINE WITH THE LOCATIONS THAT GET
CHINOOKED AND THOSE THAT RECEIVED HEAVY SNOW. HAVE KEPT THE WINTER
STORM WATCHES GOING FOR THE ALASKA RANGE THAT COULD POTENTIALLY
START IN THE EVENING. NEEDED TO EXTEND SOME OF THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES FOR THE INTERIOR...INITIALLY IT WILL BE BECAUSE OF THE
WINDS OVER THE SUMMITS. HOWEVER...COULD EVENTUALLY SEE LOCATIONS
LIKE ZONES 219 AND 220 THAT WILL TRANSITION INTO SNOW EVENTS AND
COULD SEE 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...POTENTIAL FOR SOME HIGH
SURF ON THE NORTH SIDE OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND FRI MORNING THROUGH
SAT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ203-AKZ204.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ213.

WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ225-AKZ226.

WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ225.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ220.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.
&&

MAK NOV 13