Storm Warning 37, NWS Anchorage, AK

006 
FZAK51 PAFC 091307 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

CORRECTED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100300-
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 962 MB LOW 260 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA THIS EVENING WHILE AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WEAKENS TODAY OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF. A SECONDARY FRONT MOVES FROM THE WESTERN GULF THIS
EVENING TO THE NORTHERN GULF ON SUN. A LOW FORMING NEAR THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS TONIGHT WILL QUICKLY TRACK TO 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK
SUN MORNING...THEN MOVE TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND EARLY MON MORNING
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH. 

$$

PKZ120-100300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 50 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-100300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-100300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-100300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-100300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-100300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-100300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE WIND 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-100300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 16
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-100300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT BY MID MORNING THEN
INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-100300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE BY MID MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-100300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-100300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING
E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-100300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

337 
FZAK51 PAFC 091933 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1030 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

UPDATED ZONE 121 136 137

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100300-
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 962 MB LOW 260 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA THIS EVENING WHILE AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WEAKENS TODAY OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF. A SECONDARY FRONT MOVES FROM THE WESTERN GULF THIS
EVENING TO THE NORTHERN GULF ON SUN. A LOW FORMING NEAR THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS TONIGHT WILL QUICKLY TRACK TO 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK
SUN MORNING...THEN MOVE TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND EARLY MON MORNING
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH. 

$$

PKZ120-100300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 50 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1030 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-100300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-100300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-100300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-100300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-100300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-100300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE WIND 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-100300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 16
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-100300-
CHINIAK BAY
1030 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-100300-
MARMOT BAY
1030 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-100300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-100300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING
E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-100300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

408 
FZAK51 PAFC 092355
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101500-
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 968 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL MOVE INLAND OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS EVENING. A 987 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK
SUN MORNING WILL WEAKEN TO 995 MB 45 NM EAST OF SEWARD LATE SUN NIGHT
AND MOVE INLAND OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-101500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-101500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-101500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-101500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-101500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-101500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-101500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 30 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 22 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-101500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-101500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-101500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-101500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-101500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. S OF KALGIN ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING
SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND 
RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT S OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-101500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKST FRI FEB 8 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS IN THE PROCESS OF AMPLIFYING AND
BECOME MORE ACTIVE. A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH IS DIGGING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA...OPENING THE DOOR FOR VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR TO
SPILL SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT. FURTHER TO THE EAST...A
NORTHEAST PACIFIC RIDGE IS RAPIDLY BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF
OF ALASKA. BETWEEN THESE MAJOR FEATURES...A 140+ KT SOUTHERLY JET IS
TRANSPORTING LARGE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE TOWARD ALASKA FROM LOWER
LATITUDES. A STRONG WAVE HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THIS BROAD BAROCLINIC
ZONE OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THE LOW WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 967 MB
IS NOW LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND IS
MOVING TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST TOWARD MAINLAND ALASKA. WAY OUT
WEST...A SLOW-MOVING LOW NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA IS MAKING STEADY PROGRESS EASTWARD. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT IS
RACING WELL OUT AHEAD OF THE LOW AND WILL BE IMPACTING THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL ATMOSPHERIC MODELS ARE IN ABOVE-AVERAGE
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL EVOLUTION OF THE MAIN FEATURES OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE AFOREMENTIONED NORTH
PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK NORTHWARD AND MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL BRING STRONG WINDS AND
HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO THE COASTLINES AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE
SAME FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
INTERACT WITH COLDER AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION TO LIKELY PRODUCE
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS OF THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE AND THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA. BY SUNDAY MORNING...AS THE LOW CENTER TRACKS TOWARD
NOME...PRESSURE RISES WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AND BRING A SECONDARY PEAK TO PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS THE
REGION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAJORITY OF THE IMPACT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL BE CONFINED TO COASTAL
LOCATIONS. WITH STRONG AND MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT PRECIPITATION
TOTALS SHOULD BE SIGNIFICANT ACROSS THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION.
THANKFULLY...MOST SEA-LEVEL LOCATIONS WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO MIX WITH
OR CHANGE TO RAIN BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE EXCEPTION WILL LIKELY BE
THE VALDEZ AREA WHERE TEMPERATURES EVEN IN TOWN WILL LIKELY STAY COLD
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT MOSTLY SNOWFALL THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONALLY...WITH STRONG JET SUPPORT PROPELLING THE FRONT
INLAND...STRONG WINDS SHOULD COMBINE WITH THE HEAVY FALLING SNOW TO
PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH THOMPSON PASS. ADDITIONALLY...THE
FRONT WILL PRODUCE A VERY STRONG GRADIENT THROUGH BOTH EASTERN AND
WESTERN SECTIONS OF TURNAGAIN ARM AS WELL AS PORTAGE VALLEY...LEADING
TO WARNING LEVEL WINDS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY...AS
MENTIONED ABOVE...THE LOW CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE NORTHWARD
PROGRESS TOWARD NOME. THIS WILL REVERSE THE COOK INLET GRADIENT AND
ALLOW RESIDUAL (BELOW WARNING LEVEL) WINDS IN TURNAGAIN ARM TO BEGIN
TO AFFECT THE ANCHORAGE AREA. ACCOMPANYING THESE WINDS WILL BE
COOLING TEMPERATURES AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF SNOW. AT THIS POINT IT
LOOKS LIKE SNOWFALL ACROSS THE REGION IN THIS SECOND PHASE OF THE
STORM WILL BE LIMITED TO AN INCH OR TWO AT MOST LOCATIONS...BUT THIS
WILL BE MONITORED IN SUBSEQUENT FORECAST CYCLES.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF THE STRONG LOW. AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW ARE ALREADY REDUCING VISIBILITIES OVER PARTS OF THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA...A CONDITION THAT WILL PERSIST BEFORE GETTING MUCH
WORSE AND MORE WIDESPREAD IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES. WITH THE LOW CENTER EXPECTED TO PASS JUST EAST OF BETHEL
SATURDAY EVENING...SECTIONS ALONG THE DELTA COAST WILL VERY LIKELY
SEE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW REMAIN IN THE AREA. ACROSS THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE...CONDITIONS WILL GO STEADILY DOWNHILL TONIGHT AS
STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW ACCOMPANY THE ADVANCE OF THE WEATHER
FRONT. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP NORTH AND WEST OF KING SALMON
AS NORTHEASTERLY WINDS KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. A SECOND PUNCH COMES TO THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE
SATURDAY EVENING AS STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND RAPIDLY DROPPING
TEMPERATURES WRAP AROUND THE BOTTOM OF THE LOW CENTER.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...TWO DIFFERENT STORMS WILL IMPACT OPPOSITE
SIDES OF THE BERING SEA OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE STRONG LOW
AFFECTING MAINLAND ALASKA WILL KEEP THE EASTERN BERING SEA IN GENERAL
NORTHERLY FLOW AND STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION. THE INTERACTION OF TWO
UPPER LEVEL FEATURES IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP A STRETCHING
AXIS/DEFORMATION BAND NEAR/OVER THE CENTRAL BERING. RESULTING LIGHT
TO MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL COMBINE WITH THE STRONG WINDS AND COLD
TEMPERATURES TO LIKELY PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
PRIBILOFS BEGINNING THIS EVENING. WAY OUT WEST...A SEPARATE LOW SOUTH
OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL SEND A FRONT STRETCHING WELL TO THE
EAST OVER THE COMING DAYS. WITH NOTABLY COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE
REGION...TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY BELOW FREEZING OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AS THE REMNANTS OF THIS FRONT IMPACT THE AREA. AS A
RESULT...A BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LONG-TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A VERY ACTIVE PATTERN ACROSS
SOUTHERN ALASKA. THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A
PERSISTENT UPPER LOW SOUTH OF THE BERING STRAIT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH NUMEROUS EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCES. AS A RESULT...MUCH OF SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL SEE MULTIPLE
OPPORTUNITIES FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL BEGINNING SUNDAY AND
CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131 155 161 191 195
         HIGH WIND WARNING 101 125
MARINE...STORM 120
         GALE 125 129 127 128 130 132 136 137 138 140 141 150 155 160
              165 170 171 172 175 176 179 180 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 165 170 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD FEB 13