Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2013
Small Craft Advisory 413, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at May 16, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 14 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 16, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- May 16, 2013, 6:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
210 FZAK51 PAFC 161153 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-170300- 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 995 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 40 NM EAST OF SEWARD AT 999 MB SAT AFTERNOON THEN STAY IN PLACE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-170300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ121-170300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-170300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-170300- PORT VALDEZ 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-170300- VALDEZ NARROWS 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-170300- VALDEZ ARM 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-170300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-170300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-170300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ136-170300- CHINIAK BAY 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ137-170300- MARMOT BAY 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ138-170300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-170300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-170300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
624 FZAK51 PAFC 162304 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-171500- 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 995 MB LOW NEAR KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 50 NM EAST OF SEWARD AT SIMILAR STRENGTH FRI AFTERNOON...THEN STAY IN PLACE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING IN THE EASTERN GULF SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-171500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ121-171500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-171500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-171500- PORT VALDEZ 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-171500- VALDEZ NARROWS 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-171500- VALDEZ ARM 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-171500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-171500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ132-171500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ136-171500- CHINIAK BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ137-171500- MARMOT BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ138-171500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-171500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 45 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-171500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
560 FZAK51 PAFC 170200 CCA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 600 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 CORRECTION TO ZONES 128 AND 129 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-171500- 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 995 MB LOW NEAR KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 50 NM EAST OF SEWARD AT SIMILAR STRENGTH FRI AFTERNOON...THEN STAY IN PLACE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING IN THE EASTERN GULF SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-171500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ121-171500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-171500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-171500- PORT VALDEZ 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-171500- VALDEZ NARROWS 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-171500- VALDEZ ARM 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-171500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-171500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ132-171500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ136-171500- CHINIAK BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ137-171500- MARMOT BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ138-171500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-171500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 45 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-171500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013 .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at May 15, 1:30 PM AKDT, 14 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 15, 1:30 PM AKDT, 14 hours 30 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 130 PM AKDT WED MAY 15 2013 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... A LONGWAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO ENCOMPASS THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND MOST OF THE MAINLAND. WARM AIR ADVECTION IS BEGINNING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AS A WEAK LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS IS BEING DRAWN UP INTO THE WESTERN GULF. AN AREA OF PERSISTENT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IS LOCATED OVER WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN APPROACHING KODIAK ISLAND FROM THE SOUTH. OUT WEST...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE LOWER LEVELS CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN WIDESPREAD FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA REGION. LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ARE BRINGING SOME OF THESE CLOUDS INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. ELSEWHERE OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH BELOW-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. .MODEL DISCUSSION... MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT. THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE ACROSS THE DOMAIN REMAINS HOW THE UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY WILL INTERACT WITH THE MOISTURE LEFTOVER FROM THE WEAK STORM CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE GULF. ALL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNIFICANT COOLING OF THE ATMOSPHERE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH EVEN SEA-LEVEL LOCATIONS CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE PROBLEMATIC AS POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATION IS CLOSELY TIED TO PRECIPITATION RATES. THIS IS WHERE THERE REMAINS A BIT OF MODEL DISAGREEMENT...AS THE MODELS ARE ALL HINTING AT A WEAK LOW CENTER FORMING IN THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE TIMING OF THIS DEVELOPMENT WILL DICTATE HOW STRONG THE DEEP-LAYER LIFT IS ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MAT-SU VALLEY. IF THE LOW DEVELOPS EARLIER THAN EXPECTED...STRONG DYNAMIC LIFT WILL BE DIMINISHED AND SNOWFALL RATES AROUND THE ANCHORAGE AREA WILL LIKELY NOT BE ENOUGH TO RESULT IN MORE THAN MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. THE MODELS ALL SHOW A SIMILAR TREND...THOUGH THE NAM IS A SLIGHT OUTLIER WITH A FASTER SPEED OF THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF AND ALSO WITH THE COLD AIR ARRIVAL ON FRIDAY. THUS WILL OPT TO UTILIZE A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST TODAY. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... SOUTHCENTRAL...PERSISTENT SHOWERS OVER THE CHUGACH WILL DIMINISH AS CROSS-BARRIER WINDS INCREASE THIS EVENING. A CLASSIC DOWNSLOPE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY...KEEPING THE WESTERN KENAI UP TO ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY MOSTLY DRY. MEANWHILE...LOCATIONS FURTHER EAST AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL SEE STEADY RAIN DEVELOP BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES NORTHWARD. THIS WILL ALLOW RAIN TO SPREAD INTO THE REST OF THE COOK INLET AREA. THE REAL FUN BEGINS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE COLD AIR ARRIVES FROM WESTERN ALASKA. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN MIXING IN WITH RAIN BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW EARLIEST...AND WILL ALSO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE ACCUMULATION. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA IS EXTREMELY RARE IN THE LATTER HALF OF MAY...AND HAS ONLY BEEN RECORDED TWICE BEFORE. THUS...A HIGHLY UNUSUAL EVENT APPEARS TO BE TAKING AIM AT SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FOR THE START OF THE WEEKEND. SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING CLOUDS DURING THE DAY THURSDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. AVAILABLE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL BE PRETTY MINIMAL AS THE FRONT PASSES...SO ONLY EXPECTING SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AT MOST LOCATIONS. THE EXCEPTION WILL LIKELY BE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WHERE AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND UPSLOPING WINDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION IN THAT AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE WIDESPREAD MARINE FOG AND STRATUS THAT IS EVIDENT ACROSS THE REGION ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WINDS GENERALLY OUT OF THE NORTH WILL ALLOW THIS CLOUDINESS TO CONTINUE TO IMPACT COMMUNITIES MAINLY ALONG THE BERING SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. .LONG TERM FORECAST... COLD AIR WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA ON FRIDAY AND BY SUNDAY WILL BE ON THE DECLINE. LONG-RANGE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A PATTERN SHIFT FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK THAT WOULD BE CHARACTERIZED BY MORE ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE BERING SEA WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES (BUT STILL AT OR BELOW NORMAL) AND SUNNIER WEATHER ACROSS THE MAINLAND FOR NEXT WEEK. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...NONE MARINE...GALE 120 FIRE WEATHER...NONE DIXON MAY 13
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| May 16, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| May 16, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| May 16, 4:00 AM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 36 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.