Red Flag Warning 12, NWS Anchorage, AK

894 
WWAK61 PAFC 222357
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
357 PM AKDT SAT JUN 22 2013

AKZ141-230600-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130623T0600Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
357 PM AKDT SAT JUN 22 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND ALONG THE COPPER RIVER...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...ALONG THE COPPER RIVER IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.

* 20 FT WINDS...SOUTH 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...20 TO 30 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH MID EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH AND RELATIVE
  HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO NEAR 50 PERCENT DURING THE LATE EVENING
  HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

JAM

855 
WWAK61 PAFC 230531
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
931 PM AKDT SAT JUN 22 2013

AKZ141-230645-
/X.CAN.PAFC.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130623T0600Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
931 PM AKDT SAT JUN 22 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WIND ALONG THE COPPER
RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

THE STRONG WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO LESS THAN 15 MPH AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE
RISEN ABOVE 25 PERCENT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE OVERNIGHT.

$$
 
PLD

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT SAT JUN 22 2013

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH. THE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE GULF MOVES EASTWARD AND
BECOMES NEGATIVE TILTED FROM CENTRAL ALASKA AND EXTENDS ALONG THE
COASTLINE TOWARDS SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA. THE MODELS HAVE A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLING OVER KODIAK EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THEN DISSIPATING.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING A CLOSED LOW JUST NORTH OF ATKA WITH
A LARGE PLUME OF CLOUDS STREAMING AHEAD OF THE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS ARE REPORTING STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS IN THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. THE UPPER LEVELS ARE SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE JUST NORTH OF
THE VANCOUVER TERRITORY EXTENDING TOWARD THE WRANGELL MOUNTAINS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND BECOME
NEGATIVE TILTED AND BE POSITIONED PARALLEL ALONG THE COASTLINE FROM
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TOWARDS SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
LOOK FOR CONTINUED SEA BREEZES AND THE TURNAGAIN ARM WINDS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BECOME
STATIONARY THROUGH THE KODIAK AREA INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA.
THERE WILL BE INCREASED CLOUD COVER INITIALLY BUT DIMINISH AS THE LOW
TRACKS FARTHER SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THERE WILL BE STEADY RAIN AND STRONGER WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE WEEKEND DUE TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL
BE PUSHING THROUGH SATURDAY AND STALLING OUT INTO SUNDAY. LOOK FOR
THE MARINE AREAS WITH THIS FRONT TO RECEIVE GALE FORCE WINDS. THIS
LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY SUNDAY EVENING.

THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN CHAIN...
THE BERING SEA WILL REMAIN UNDER LOW STRATUS AND FOG AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ALONG THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN.
BY SUNDAY EVENING THE LOW TRACKS MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
INTO THE PACIFIC OCEAN. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIAN AND BERING SEA FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A THERMAL TROUGH WILL START DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA REGION ON MONDAY. THEN BY TUESDAY IT WILL BE LOCATED THROUGH
THE WRANGELL MOUNTAINS EXTENDING TOWARDS THE MATANUSKA SUSITNA
VALLEY. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AND THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH REST OF THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 132 138 150 160 180 352.
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG 141.

PLD JUN 13