High Wind Warning 25, NWS Anchorage, AK

623 
WWAK71 PAFC 300626
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
926 PM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

AKZ131-301930-
/X.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0025.131130T0626Z-131202T0000Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
926 PM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKST SUNDAY...

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ135-301930-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.131201T0000Z-131202T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
926 PM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 3 PM
AKST SUNDAY THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

* WIND...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH BY SATURDAY EVENING.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY REACHING WARNING LEVELS
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PEAK LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

981 
WWAK71 PAFC 301359
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
459 AM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

AKZ131-010300-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0000Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
459 AM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKST SUNDAY...

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ135-010300-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.131201T0000Z-131202T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
459 AM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 3 PM AKST SUNDAY THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

* WIND...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THIS AFTERNOON
  WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH BY THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY REACHING WARNING LEVELS
  THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PEAK LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

MSO

461 
WWAK71 PAFC 301526
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
626 AM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

AKZ131-010430-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0000Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
626 AM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKST SUNDAY...

* WIND...NORTHEAST 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS PEAKED FRIDAY EVENING AND THEN DIMINISHED
  OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AGAIN LATER THIS MORNING
  AND REACH WARNING LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH WINDS WILL THEN
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST AND MOST
  WIDESPREAD WINDS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ135-010430-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.131201T0000Z-131202T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
626 AM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 3 PM AKST SUNDAY THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

* WIND...NORTHEAST 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND PEAK
  THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY
  DIMINISH BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK71 PAFC 010107
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
407 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

AKZ131-011415-
/X.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0100Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
407 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST SUNDAY...

* WIND...NORTHEAST 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE
  STRONGEST AND MOST WIDESPREAD WINDS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY EVENING
  THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ135-011415-
/X.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0100Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
407 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST SUNDAY THROUGH
THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

* WIND...NORTHEAST 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
  WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK71 PAFC 010230
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
530 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

AKZ125-011500-
/X.EXB.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131201T1500Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
530 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST SUNDAY NEAR WHITTIER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST SUNDAY.

* LOCATION...NEAR WHITTIER.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED
  AND DAMAGE PROPERTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ131-011530-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0100Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
530 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST SUNDAY...

* WIND...NORTHEAST 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 
  THE STRONGEST AND MOST WIDESPREAD WINDS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY 
  EVENING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ135-011530-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0100Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
530 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST SUNDAY
THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

* WIND...NORTHEAST 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 
  WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK71 PAFC 011352
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
452 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

AKZ125-011500-
/X.CAN.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131201T1500Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
452 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

HIGH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED NEAR WHITTIER. GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH ARE
STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS MORNING.

$$

AKZ131-020100-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0100Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
452 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WIND...NORTHEAST 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. 
  THE STRONGEST AND MOST WIDESPREAD WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ135-020100-
/X.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0100Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
452 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

* WIND...NORTHEAST 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK71 PAFC 020101
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
401 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

AKZ131-020215-
/X.EXP.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0100Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
401 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS WINDS HAVE
DIMINISHED BELOW WARNING LEVEL. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG OVERNIGHT
THROUGH THOMPSON PASS...WITH NORTHEAST WINDS OF 35-50 MPH EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING.

$$

AKZ135-020600-
/X.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0600Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
401 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING
THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

* WIND...NORTHEAST 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL REMAIN AT WARNING LEVEL THROUGH EARLY THIS
  EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. TREES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. 
  LOOSE DEBRIS CAN BE MOVED AND DAMAGE PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD
BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK71 PAFC 020600
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
900 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013


AKZ135-020700-
/X.EXP.PAFC.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131202T0600Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
900 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA...

STRONG NORTH WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH
THE NIGHT THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1250 PM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN IS IN PLACE
WITH A CLOSED LOW/TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND AND A RIDGE OVER THE
HEART OF THE BERING SEA. THE UPPER LOW IS SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY
TOWARD THE YUKON WHILE A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD FROM
THE CENTER DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. GAP WINDS ALONG THE
GULF COAST HAVE DIMINISHED A BIT FROM YESTERDAY BUT PASSAGE OF THIS
TROUGH FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE IN NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND IT WILL HELP
KICK THINGS UP AGAIN. ASIDE FROM THE GAP WINDS THE WEATHER IS VERY
QUIET FROM THE CENTRAL BERING TO MAINLAND ALASKA. ON THE WEST SIDE
OF THE BERING RIDGE A TROUGH IS MOVING OUT OF ASIA WITH A SURFACE
COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING PUSHING SLOWLY EASTWARD. A LONG
BUT NARROW FETCH OF MOISTURE IS STREAMING FROM THE TROPICS NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS INTO THE WESTERN BERING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...12Z MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH HANDLING OF UPPER LOW OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AND THE WAVES MOVING
AROUND IT. THIS LEADS TO INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE INTENSITY OF
GAP WINDS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF COAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
ON THE OTHER HAND MODEL SPREAD REMAINS LARGE ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE
RIDGE WITH DIFFERENCES IN WHETHER UPPER SHORT-WAVES PHASE INTO A
SINGLE TROUGH AND LARGE DIFFERENCES IN THE STRENGTH AND MOVEMENT
OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW. FOR NOW WILL STICK CLOSE TO INHERITED
FORECAST WHICH GIVES INDICATIONS OF A WEAK LOW MOVING THROUGH THE
AREA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES SOUTH INTO THE GULF
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH ITS PASSAGE
COMBINED WITH STRENGTHENING NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND IT WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASE IN WINDS ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY THROUGH MOUNTAIN
PASSES AND AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WINDS IN LOWER OR PROTECTED VALLEYS
WILL REMAIN CALM OR LIGHT AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN FRIGID.
ANOTHER UPPER WAVE WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY...SMALLER
AND MORE FOCUSED THAN THE TROUGH TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST
SUBSIDENCE IN THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION. AT THE SAME TIME THE
UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD AND THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD
IN FROM THE WEST...WITH A STRONG UPPER JET MAKING ITS WAY INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL. LASTLY...SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL TIGHTEN AS
HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER INTERIOR ALASKA. ALL OF THIS POINTS
TO HIGH WINDS IN THE VALDEZ AREA AS WELL AS THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. WILL UPGRADE THE CURRENT WATCHES TO WARNINGS WITH THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE. GAP WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE REGION SATURDAY...BUT REMAIN WELL BELOW WARNING LEVELS.
THE WIND EVENT WILL COME TO AN END SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE
UPPER RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY
MODERATE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WARMER AIR MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA UNTIL THE RIDGE PASSES TO THE EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES IN TIMING IT LOOKS LIKE
PRECIPITATION AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHWEST
COAST MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THERE LIKELY WILL BE SOME FROZEN
PRECIP TO START BUT WITH LOTS OF WARM AIR MOVING UP THE WEST SIDE
OF THE RIDGE EXPECT PRECIP TO CHANGE TO MOSTLY RAIN BY MID WEEK.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AS THE UPPER RIDGE SLIDES EASTWARD OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS WARM MOIST AIR WHICH IS CURRENTLY CONFINED TO THE
WESTERN BERING WILL OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION. AN
ACTIVE STORM TRACK WILL SET UP UNDERNEATH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH AS
WE HEAD THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER
RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA NEXT WEEK WHICH LEADS TO UNCERTAINTY IN
WHEN PRECIP MAY MAKE IT BACK INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS
LIKE THE EARLIEST THAT WILL BE IS LATE NEXT WEEK. MEANWHILE...
TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEK AS WARM AIR
MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE. MEANWHILE THE STORM TRACK WILL SET UP
OUT WEST RESULTING IN ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING AND
ALEUTIANS AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. AN INITIALLY WARM AND MOIST
AIRMASS MEANS PRECIP WILL BE MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN...ALTHOUGH
INDICATIONS ARE A LESS AMPLIFIED PATTERN LATE IN THE WEEK WILL ALLOW
COOLER AIR TO MOVE BACK IN FROM THE WEST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH...131 135.
         WIND CHILL ADVISORY...131.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...127 128 130 131 132 178 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...121 126 127 128 129 130 139.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 13