Gale Warning 960, NWS Anchorage, AK

812 
FZAK51 PAFC 310411 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

UPDATED ZONES 130 131 132 136 137 138 139

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-311500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF DISSIPATES
TONIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A 969 MB BRISTOL BAY 
LOW ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF TUE MORNING AND REACHES THE 
NORTH GULF COAST TUE EVENING.
$$

PKZ119-311500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT BY MORNING. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.  
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-311500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-311500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-311500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT BY MORNING. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL
ISLAND. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-311500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-311500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-311500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-311500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-311500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ131-311500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-311500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT DURING THE MORNING...THEN 
BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-311500-
CHINIAK BAY
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY NOON. SEAS 5 FT 
BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-311500-
MARMOT BAY
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY NOON. SEAS 5 FT 
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-311500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT BY NOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT BY MORNING. 
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ139-311500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-311500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
710 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 

$$

PKZ141-311500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW CHANGING 
TO RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

684 
FZAK51 PAFC 311242
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 972 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT INTENSIFIES TO 965 MB TUE
AFTERNOON 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AND THEN WEAKENS TO 973 MB TUE
NIGHT IN THE MIDDLE OF SHELIKOF STRAIT. THIS LOW THEN CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN TO 994 MB WED EVENING NEAR ANCHORAGE BEFORE DISSIPATING. AN
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF REACHES THE
NORTHEAST GULF COAST TUE EVENING AND THEN MOVES INLAND. 

$$

PKZ119-010300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-010300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-010300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-010300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE 
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-010300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-010300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.  PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-010300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-010300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-010300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-010300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-010300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-010300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-010300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-010300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-010300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-010300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY
FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ141-010300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
115 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS A CONVOLUTED AND CHAOTIC PATTERN
ACROSS THE REGION AS A ZONAL JET STREAM HAS USHERED IN NUMEROUS WEAK
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES THAT ARE TAKING TURNS SPINNING UP AND THEN
DISSIPATING GENERALLY WEAK SURFACE LOWS. THE MOST ACTIVE WEATHER IS
ACROSS THE BERING SEA...WHERE NO LESS THAN 4 WEAK AND COMPACT LOW
CENTERS ARE BRINGING GUSTY WINDS AND RAIN TO MANY AREAS. FURTHER TO
THE EAST...SEVERAL WEAK LOWS IN THE GULF ARE BRINGING RAIN SHOWERS TO
THE NORTH GULF COAST AND KODIAK ISLAND...WHILE INTERIOR AREAS REMAIN
VARIABLY CLOUDY AND DRY. YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS IS DESTINED FOR A DIFFERENT FATE THAN THE
OTHERS...AS THE JET STREAM IS BEGINNING TO BUCKLE AND AMPLIFY WITH
THE BEGINNINGS OF A RIDGE MOVING TOWARD THE GULF OF ALASKA. AS A
RESULT...A BAROCLINIC LEAF IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA PENINSULA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
UNFORTUNATELY THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW CENTER SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA LATE
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING. ALL MODELS HAVE TRENDED A BIT EASTWARD
TODAY...WITH THE ECMWF REMAINING THE MOST CONSISTENT BRINGING THE LOW
ONSHORE EAST OF DILLINGHAM ALONG THE BRISTOL BAY COASTLINE EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE ECMWF NOW HAS SOLID SUPPORT FROM BOTH THE
GEMGLB AND THE UKMET...WITH THE 12Z GFS A BIT TO THE EAST AND THE NAM
A SIGNIFICANT OUTLIER BEING MUCH FARTHER TO THE EAST THAN EVEN THE
GFS. THE CONSENSUS EC/GEMGLB/UKMET SOLUTION IS THE PREFERRED CHOICE
FOR TODAY...THOUGH CONFIDENCE REMAINS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR A STORM
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE FIRST 24-36 HOURS OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THE IMPORTANT TAKEAWAYS FROM ALL OF THE MODELS ARE THAT THIS
SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AND REACH PEAK INTENSITY
TUESDAY EVENING SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA BEFORE WEAKENING JUST
AS RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS BEFORE THE AMPLIFYING UPSTREAM RIDGE PUSHES PRECIP TO
THE EAST AND LARGELY OUT OF THE AREA. BY TUESDAY MORNING THE
AFORMENTIONED STRONG LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL ROAR INTO KODIAK
ISLAND WITH WIND AND RAIN SPREADING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE MAINLAND
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A STORM FORCE BARRIER JET WILL DEVELOP BY
AFTERNOON...WITH STRONG WINDS ALSO BLOWING DOWN COOK INLET. THE
EAST-WEST ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT WILL STRONGLY FAVOR THE UPSLOPE
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS...WITH THE USUAL DOWNSLOPE AREAS
SUCH AS ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU SEEING LITTLE OR NO SNOWFALL. MOST
COASTAL AREAS WILL SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIX OR EVEN ALL RAIN...WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF VALDEZ WHERE ENOUGH COLD AIR SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW AMOUNTS TO STEADILY ACCUMULATE BY THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK. AS THE DEPARTING LOW WEAKENS RAPIDLY AND MOVES INTO THE
INTERIOR OF THE STATE MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL LIKELY SEE WINDS
SWITCH TO THE SOUTH ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO NEAR OR ABOVE
FREEZING EVEN AT PROTECTED LOCATIONS LIKE ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY.

SOUTHWEST...PERSISTENT UNSTABLE SOUTHEAST FLOW IS ALLOWING CONVECTIVE
SNOW SHOWERS TO LINGER THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE WHERE A FEW INCHES OF SNOW HAS LIKELY
ACCUMULATED. THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY THIS EVENING
IN ADVANCE OF THE RAPID STORM INTENSIFICATION THAT WILL OCCUR SOUTH
OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT. SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...AND STRONG
WINDS WILL MOVE INTO THE BRISTOL BAY AREA BY MIDDAY TUESDAY...WITH
RAIN LIKELY MIXING IN ALONG THE MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF KING SALMON. THERE
REMAINS SOME QUESTION HOW MUCH SNOW AND WIND WILL SPREAD NORTH AND
WEST INTO THE OTHER ZONES...SINCE THE STORM IS SO COMPACT AND WILL BE
WEAKENING SO RAPIDLY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SUFFICE IT TO SAY...WHILE
SOME SNOW AND WIND IS LIKELY IN THESE ZONES THE WORST WEATHER WILL
DEFINITELY BE CONFINED TO INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...A COMPLEX LOW WITH RAIN SHOWERS AND
RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL BERING
TONIGHT...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OCCURRING ACROSS NEARLY
THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A PROGRESSIVE WEATHER
PATTERN CONTINUES WITH PERIODIC LOW PRESSURE CENTERS DEVELOPING ALONG
THE JET AND MOVING NORTHWARD INTO THE BERING AND WEAKENING. A
PARTICULARLY FAST-MOVING AND COMPACT STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS ON WEDNESDAY...LIKELY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF STORM FORCE
WINDS...BEFORE WEAKENING QUICKLY AND SLIDING TOWARD THE MAINLAND ON
THURSDAY.

...LONG TERM FORECAST FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

THE ACTIVE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST WITH A BERING SEA UPPER LOW SHIFTING OVER THE
MAINLAND. LATE THIS WEEK A PATTERN CHANGE WILL BE USHERED IN AS A
COMPLEX UPPER LOW SHIFTS OVER THE SEA OF OKHOTSK BRINGING A STRONG
SURFACE LOW EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. THE EFFECT OF THIS
SYSTEM WILL BUILD RIDGING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE EASTERN BERING ONTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW FOR MOST
AREAS OF THE MAINLAND EARLY THIS WEEKEND THEN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ACTIVE WEATHER
RESIDES WITH A MEANDERING NORTH PACIFIC LOW THAT IS POISED TO PHASE
WITH THE KAMCHATKA SYSTEM...SENDING A FRONT NORTHWARD OVER THE
MAINLAND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM 119 120 130 131
         GALE 132 136 137 138 139 141 150 155 160 165 177 178
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD DEC 13